CVX Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 39 trades in period
+7.98%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,723.60
Current Value
77%
Win Rate
$10,857.46
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
37
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
10.7/35
Total Return
10.4/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
37.3/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 37.1
30-Day Momentum
52
+2.9%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
2.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 55.1
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+15 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,857.46
Current Value
$11,723.60
Period P&L
$866.11
Max Drawdown
-5.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
30 /
9
Best Trade
+2.07%
Worst Trade
-1.75%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
6.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$875,790.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$866.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$866.11
Gross Return
+7.98%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.98%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,857.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $169.42 | 64 | $10,842.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 10:00am ET | $171.49 | 64 | $10,975.04 | $10,989.66 |
+$132.16 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $170.45 | 64 | $10,908.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 11:10am ET | $170.83 | 64 | $10,933.12 | $11,013.98 |
+$24.32 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 3:10pm ET | $169.48 | 64 | $10,846.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $169.59 | 64 | $10,853.76 | $11,021.02 |
+$7.04 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 2:20pm ET | $166.05 | 66 | $10,959.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 2:40pm ET | $166.44 | 66 | $10,985.04 | $11,046.43 |
+$25.41 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 11:45am ET | $167.48 | 65 | $10,886.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 12:25pm ET | $167.89 | 65 | $10,912.85 | $11,073.08 |
+$26.65 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 12:15pm ET | $177.27 | 62 | $10,990.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 2:10pm ET | $175.90 | 62 | $10,905.80 | $10,988.36 |
$-84.72 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 2:10pm ET | $173.91 | 63 | $10,956.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 2:15pm ET | $174.30 | 63 | $10,980.90 | $11,012.62 |
+$24.26 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 3:30pm ET | $181.34 | 60 | $10,880.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 3:45pm ET | $181.98 | 60 | $10,918.51 | $11,050.73 |
+$38.11 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.51 | 60 | $10,890.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $180.77 | 60 | $10,846.20 | $11,006.33 |
$-44.40 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 12:55pm ET | $183.56 | 59 | $10,830.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 1:55pm ET | $183.88 | 59 | $10,848.92 | $11,025.21 |
+$18.88 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.12 | 59 | $10,981.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $187.01 | 59 | $11,033.59 | $11,077.72 |
+$52.51 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 12:55pm ET | $189.70 | 58 | $11,002.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 1:35pm ET | $190.07 | 58 | $11,024.06 | $11,099.47 |
+$21.75 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $192.62 | 57 | $10,979.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $196.60 | 57 | $11,206.20 | $11,326.33 |
+$226.86 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $194.13 | 58 | $11,259.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 10:05am ET | $194.97 | 58 | $11,308.26 | $11,374.76 |
+$48.43 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 3:30pm ET | $190.51 | 59 | $11,239.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.80 | 59 | $11,316.49 | $11,451.46 |
+$76.70 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 1:40pm ET | $191.63 | 59 | $11,306.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 2:20pm ET | $191.96 | 59 | $11,325.64 | $11,470.63 |
+$19.18 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $194.60 | 58 | $11,286.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 11:00am ET | $194.62 | 58 | $11,287.96 | $11,471.79 |
+$1.16 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 3:35pm ET | $190.24 | 60 | $11,414.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 12:00pm ET | $186.92 | 60 | $11,215.20 | $11,272.59 |
$-199.20 (-1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.70 | 60 | $11,262.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 11:00am ET | $187.30 | 60 | $11,238.00 | $11,248.59 |
$-24.00 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $194.72 | 57 | $11,099.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $196.32 | 57 | $11,190.24 | $11,339.79 |
+$91.20 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $194.66 | 58 | $11,290.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 10:25am ET | $196.20 | 58 | $11,379.43 | $11,428.94 |
+$89.15 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 3:30pm ET | $200.22 | 57 | $11,412.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $200.65 | 57 | $11,437.05 | $11,453.45 |
+$24.51 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.88 | 55 | $11,268.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $205.50 | 55 | $11,302.50 | $11,487.28 |
+$33.83 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 2:05pm ET | $206.96 | 55 | $11,382.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $206.63 | 55 | $11,364.65 | $11,469.41 |
$-17.87 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $204.60 | 56 | $11,457.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 12:15pm ET | $202.55 | 56 | $11,342.80 | $11,354.61 |
$-114.80 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 1:25pm ET | $200.87 | 56 | $11,248.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 2:35pm ET | $200.85 | 56 | $11,247.60 | $11,353.77 |
$-0.84 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 2:45pm ET | $199.80 | 56 | $11,189.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 3:25pm ET | $200.42 | 56 | $11,223.53 | $11,388.30 |
+$34.53 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 2:50pm ET | $201.23 | 56 | $11,268.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 3:35pm ET | $201.46 | 56 | $11,281.76 | $11,401.46 |
+$13.16 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 11:55am ET | $208.31 | 54 | $11,248.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 12:20pm ET | $209.17 | 54 | $11,295.19 | $11,447.91 |
+$46.45 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $211.73 | 54 | $11,433.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $212.37 | 54 | $11,467.71 | $11,482.20 |
+$34.29 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $208.44 | 55 | $11,464.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 10:45am ET | $209.17 | 55 | $11,504.35 | $11,522.35 |
+$40.15 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $210.33 | 54 | $11,357.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $212.88 | 54 | $11,495.25 | $11,659.78 |
+$137.43 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $212.21 | 54 | $11,459.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 11:20am ET | $212.65 | 54 | $11,483.15 | $11,683.59 |
+$23.81 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $214.32 | 54 | $11,573.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 12:25pm ET | $214.83 | 54 | $11,600.82 | $11,711.13 |
+$27.54 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $215.05 | 54 | $11,612.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 11:45am ET | $212.47 | 54 | $11,473.38 | $11,571.81 |
$-139.32 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.02 | 54 | $11,395.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $211.84 | 54 | $11,439.36 | $11,616.09 |
+$44.28 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $205.13 | 56 | $11,487.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 1:50pm ET | $204.68 | 56 | $11,462.36 | $11,591.45 |
$-24.64 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 1:50pm ET | $202.79 | 57 | $11,559.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.46 | 57 | $11,654.22 | $11,686.64 |
+$95.19 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.7h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET | $205.90 | 56 | $11,530.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $206.56 | 56 | $11,567.36 | $11,723.60 |
+$36.96 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,723.60
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,723.60
Total Return:
+17.24%