DIS Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 36 trades in period
-1.37%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,378.75
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$9,509.07
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality
11.1/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 11.0
30-Day Momentum
12
-1.1%
30d Return
46%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.3
Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,509.07
Current Value
$9,378.75
Period P&L
$-130.40
Max Drawdown
-21.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
18 /
18
Best Trade
+1.42%
Worst Trade
-1.92%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
10.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$687,489.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-130.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-130.40
Gross Return
-1.37%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.37%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,509.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 3:35pm ET | $101.72 | 94 | $9,561.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 10:15am ET | $101.52 | 94 | $9,542.88 | $9,571.18 |
$-18.80 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 12:25pm ET | $98.60 | 97 | $9,564.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 1:40pm ET | $98.85 | 97 | $9,588.45 | $9,595.43 |
+$24.25 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 2:50pm ET | $98.60 | 97 | $9,564.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 3:15pm ET | $98.82 | 97 | $9,585.54 | $9,616.77 |
+$21.34 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $96.22 | 99 | $9,526.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $97.34 | 99 | $9,636.66 | $9,727.15 |
+$110.38 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $97.56 | 99 | $9,657.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $97.50 | 99 | $9,652.50 | $9,721.70 |
$-5.45 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 10:10am ET | $96.77 | 100 | $9,677.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 11:25am ET | $96.87 | 100 | $9,687.00 | $9,731.70 |
+$10.00 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 2:05pm ET | $95.83 | 101 | $9,679.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 3:35pm ET | $95.89 | 101 | $9,684.79 | $9,737.15 |
+$5.45 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $95.74 | 101 | $9,669.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $96.85 | 101 | $9,781.85 | $9,849.26 |
+$112.11 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $95.89 | 102 | $9,780.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $95.55 | 102 | $9,746.10 | $9,814.58 |
$-34.68 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 1:20pm ET | $97.05 | 101 | $9,802.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 3:20pm ET | $97.18 | 101 | $9,815.18 | $9,827.71 |
+$13.13 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 10:20am ET | $98.65 | 99 | $9,766.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $97.67 | 99 | $9,668.84 | $9,730.20 |
$-97.51 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 1:30pm ET | $96.47 | 100 | $9,647.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 3:45pm ET | $96.32 | 100 | $9,631.50 | $9,714.71 |
$-15.50 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 3:50pm ET | $96.19 | 100 | $9,619.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $97.11 | 100 | $9,711.00 | $9,806.70 |
+$92.00 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $93.90 | 104 | $9,765.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 11:35am ET | $92.98 | 104 | $9,669.92 | $9,711.03 |
$-95.68 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 3:25pm ET | $95.00 | 102 | $9,690.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $96.35 | 102 | $9,827.70 | $9,848.71 |
+$137.69 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 3:05pm ET | $98.78 | 99 | $9,779.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $98.90 | 99 | $9,791.10 | $9,860.60 |
+$11.88 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $96.31 | 102 | $9,823.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 11:35am ET | $95.09 | 102 | $9,699.18 | $9,736.16 |
$-124.44 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 12:20pm ET | $97.57 | 99 | $9,659.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 1:40pm ET | $97.56 | 99 | $9,658.44 | $9,734.68 |
$-1.48 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $104.22 | 93 | $9,692.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 12:10pm ET | $103.20 | 93 | $9,597.60 | $9,639.35 |
$-95.33 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 12:45pm ET | $103.28 | 93 | $9,604.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 2:15pm ET | $103.17 | 93 | $9,594.81 | $9,629.58 |
$-9.77 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $106.18 | 90 | $9,556.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 3:00pm ET | $104.14 | 90 | $9,373.05 | $9,445.98 |
$-183.60 (-1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 3:30pm ET | $104.53 | 90 | $9,407.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $104.61 | 90 | $9,415.35 | $9,453.63 |
+$7.65 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 1:35pm ET | $107.08 | 88 | $9,423.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 2:00pm ET | $107.40 | 88 | $9,451.20 | $9,481.79 |
+$28.16 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 2:20pm ET | $111.21 | 85 | $9,453.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 3:45pm ET | $111.27 | 85 | $9,457.95 | $9,486.47 |
+$4.68 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.87 | 87 | $9,471.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $107.84 | 87 | $9,382.08 | $9,396.86 |
$-89.61 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET | $107.40 | 87 | $9,343.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 1:35pm ET | $107.59 | 87 | $9,360.33 | $9,413.39 |
+$16.53 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 12:30pm ET | $106.83 | 88 | $9,401.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $107.33 | 88 | $9,445.48 | $9,457.83 |
+$44.44 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
21h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $107.97 | 87 | $9,393.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:10am ET | $107.82 | 87 | $9,380.77 | $9,445.21 |
$-12.62 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $105.25 | 89 | $9,367.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $104.30 | 89 | $9,282.70 | $9,360.66 |
$-84.55 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $103.66 | 90 | $9,329.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $104.36 | 90 | $9,392.40 | $9,423.66 |
+$63.00 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 3:00pm ET | $104.67 | 90 | $9,420.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 3:05pm ET | $104.87 | 90 | $9,438.30 | $9,441.66 |
+$18.00 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 2:05pm ET | $108.71 | 86 | $9,349.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $108.79 | 86 | $9,355.94 | $9,448.54 |
+$6.88 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $107.70 | 87 | $9,369.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $107.41 | 87 | $9,344.67 | $9,423.30 |
$-25.24 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $103.59 | 90 | $9,323.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 10:55am ET | $103.55 | 90 | $9,319.50 | $9,419.70 |
$-3.60 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $104.16 | 90 | $9,374.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $103.85 | 90 | $9,346.50 | $9,391.80 |
$-27.90 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 2:05pm ET | $103.72 | 90 | $9,334.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 3:45pm ET | $103.57 | 90 | $9,321.75 | $9,378.75 |
$-13.05 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,378.75
Net Profit/Loss:
$-621.25
Total Return:
-6.21%