DIS Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 38 trades in period
+3.34%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,589.98
Current Value
68%
Win Rate
$9,280.17
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
11.4/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 11.2
30-Day Momentum
40
+2.9%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 43.6
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+29 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,976
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,280.17
Current Value
$9,589.98
Period P&L
$309.74
Max Drawdown
-21.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
26 /
12
Best Trade
+2.05%
Worst Trade
-1.28%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
6.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$705,758.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$309.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$309.74
Gross Return
+3.34%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.34%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,280.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $98.19 | 94 | $9,229.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 11:00am ET | $97.74 | 94 | $9,187.56 | $9,237.94 |
$-42.30 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 2:00pm ET | $96.01 | 96 | $9,217.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 2:55pm ET | $96.25 | 96 | $9,239.52 | $9,260.31 |
+$22.37 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $94.19 | 98 | $9,230.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:50am ET | $93.76 | 98 | $9,188.47 | $9,218.16 |
$-42.15 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 12:25pm ET | $96.95 | 95 | $9,210.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 12:45pm ET | $97.23 | 95 | $9,236.85 | $9,244.76 |
+$26.60 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 12:20pm ET | $95.66 | 96 | $9,183.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:35pm ET | $95.66 | 96 | $9,183.36 | $9,244.76 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $98.01 | 94 | $9,212.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $98.40 | 94 | $9,249.60 | $9,281.42 |
+$36.66 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $99.24 | 93 | $9,229.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 12:20pm ET | $99.22 | 93 | $9,227.55 | $9,279.65 |
$-1.77 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 3:00pm ET | $100.97 | 91 | $9,188.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $101.13 | 91 | $9,202.38 | $9,293.75 |
+$14.10 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $102.20 | 90 | $9,198.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:20am ET | $102.24 | 90 | $9,201.61 | $9,297.36 |
+$3.61 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $105.83 | 87 | $9,207.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $105.83 | 87 | $9,207.64 | $9,297.79 |
+$0.43 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:30pm ET | $106.44 | 87 | $9,260.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $106.68 | 87 | $9,281.16 | $9,318.67 |
+$20.88 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $103.99 | 89 | $9,254.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:10am ET | $104.47 | 89 | $9,297.83 | $9,361.84 |
+$43.17 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:15pm ET | $102.34 | 91 | $9,312.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 2:25pm ET | $102.50 | 91 | $9,327.50 | $9,376.40 |
+$14.56 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $101.17 | 92 | $9,307.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:45am ET | $101.83 | 92 | $9,368.36 | $9,437.12 |
+$60.72 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:30am ET | $100.72 | 93 | $9,366.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET | $100.90 | 93 | $9,384.16 | $9,454.33 |
+$17.21 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:30pm ET | $103.54 | 91 | $9,422.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $103.35 | 91 | $9,404.85 | $9,437.04 |
$-17.29 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:40pm ET | $101.60 | 92 | $9,346.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $100.94 | 92 | $9,286.30 | $9,376.60 |
$-60.44 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $106.95 | 87 | $9,304.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 12:25pm ET | $107.41 | 87 | $9,344.67 | $9,416.62 |
+$40.02 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 12:45pm ET | $109.70 | 85 | $9,324.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 2:30pm ET | $108.29 | 85 | $9,205.07 | $9,297.20 |
$-119.42 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 2:50pm ET | $107.84 | 86 | $9,274.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.15 | 86 | $9,300.90 | $9,323.86 |
+$26.66 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 1:25pm ET | $105.27 | 88 | $9,263.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 2:20pm ET | $105.59 | 88 | $9,291.92 | $9,352.02 |
+$28.16 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 12:55pm ET | $105.27 | 88 | $9,263.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 1:35pm ET | $105.64 | 88 | $9,296.76 | $9,385.02 |
+$33.00 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 2:30pm ET | $102.61 | 91 | $9,337.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 3:45pm ET | $102.76 | 91 | $9,351.16 | $9,398.22 |
+$13.20 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $103.71 | 90 | $9,333.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 10:15am ET | $103.78 | 90 | $9,340.20 | $9,404.52 |
+$6.30 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 3:50pm ET | $104.35 | 90 | $9,391.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $103.30 | 90 | $9,297.00 | $9,309.71 |
$-94.81 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 10:35am ET | $102.63 | 90 | $9,236.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 11:30am ET | $102.85 | 90 | $9,256.50 | $9,329.51 |
+$19.80 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 1:30pm ET | $103.43 | 90 | $9,308.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 2:15pm ET | $103.73 | 90 | $9,335.70 | $9,356.56 |
+$27.05 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $103.25 | 90 | $9,292.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 10:45am ET | $103.12 | 90 | $9,280.80 | $9,345.18 |
$-11.38 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $101.79 | 91 | $9,262.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $100.79 | 91 | $9,172.34 | $9,254.97 |
$-90.21 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 11:10am ET | $100.15 | 92 | $9,214.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 12:35pm ET | $99.84 | 92 | $9,185.28 | $9,225.99 |
$-28.98 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 12:35pm ET | $99.96 | 92 | $9,196.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 2:35pm ET | $99.36 | 92 | $9,140.66 | $9,169.87 |
$-56.12 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $98.60 | 93 | $9,169.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 10:10am ET | $99.34 | 93 | $9,238.62 | $9,238.69 |
+$68.82 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 3:20pm ET | $99.31 | 93 | $9,235.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $99.28 | 93 | $9,233.04 | $9,235.90 |
$-2.79 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET | $99.85 | 92 | $9,186.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $101.90 | 92 | $9,374.80 | $9,424.50 |
+$188.60 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $101.43 | 92 | $9,331.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $101.75 | 92 | $9,361.46 | $9,454.40 |
+$29.90 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $101.26 | 93 | $9,417.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:20pm ET | $101.78 | 93 | $9,465.54 | $9,502.76 |
+$48.36 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $103.28 | 92 | $9,501.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:55am ET | $104.12 | 92 | $9,578.86 | $9,579.86 |
+$77.10 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 1:30pm ET | $103.24 | 92 | $9,498.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 2:10pm ET | $103.35 | 92 | $9,508.20 | $9,589.98 |
+$10.12 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,589.98
Net Profit/Loss:
$-410.02
Total Return:
-4.10%