DKNG Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 38 trades in period
-2.70%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,938.87
Current Value
68%
Win Rate
$12,269.91
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
30
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality
30.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 30.4
30-Day Momentum
16
-1.7%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.9
Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,976
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,269.91
Current Value
$11,938.87
Period P&L
$-331.03
Max Drawdown
-14.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
26 /
12
Best Trade
+2.86%
Worst Trade
-5.04%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
3.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$906,187.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-331.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$-331.03
Gross Return
-2.70%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.70%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,269.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $23.45 | 523 | $12,264.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:45am ET | $23.53 | 523 | $12,306.19 | $12,311.74 |
+$41.84 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 2:10pm ET | $21.57 | 570 | $12,294.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:30pm ET | $21.61 | 570 | $12,317.70 | $12,334.54 |
+$22.80 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.09 | 584 | $12,319.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:55am ET | $20.84 | 584 | $12,173.48 | $12,188.54 |
$-146.00 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:25pm ET | $20.75 | 587 | $12,183.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:45pm ET | $20.84 | 587 | $12,236.01 | $12,241.37 |
+$52.83 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET | $22.34 | 547 | $12,219.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:45pm ET | $22.34 | 547 | $12,222.71 | $12,244.10 |
+$2.73 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 3:30pm ET | $22.79 | 537 | $12,238.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:35pm ET | $22.92 | 537 | $12,305.36 | $12,311.23 |
+$67.13 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.70 | 519 | $12,300.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $22.50 | 519 | $11,680.09 | $11,691.02 |
$-620.21 (-5.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $21.85 | 534 | $11,670.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 2:10pm ET | $21.90 | 534 | $11,694.60 | $11,715.05 |
+$24.03 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 2:30pm ET | $22.49 | 520 | $11,694.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:25pm ET | $22.56 | 520 | $11,728.60 | $11,748.85 |
+$33.80 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 3:20pm ET | $23.67 | 496 | $11,742.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.79 | 496 | $11,799.84 | $11,805.89 |
+$57.04 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:00pm ET | $23.53 | 501 | $11,788.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $22.92 | 501 | $11,485.42 | $11,502.78 |
$-303.11 (-2.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:35am ET | $23.18 | 496 | $11,497.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 2:00pm ET | $23.06 | 496 | $11,437.76 | $11,443.26 |
$-59.52 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $22.38 | 511 | $11,433.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $22.59 | 511 | $11,543.49 | $11,553.13 |
+$109.87 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.09 | 500 | $11,545.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $23.33 | 500 | $11,665.00 | $11,673.13 |
+$120.00 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $23.29 | 501 | $11,668.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 11:10am ET | $23.36 | 501 | $11,703.36 | $11,708.20 |
+$35.07 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET | $22.92 | 510 | $11,689.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:50pm ET | $22.98 | 510 | $11,717.25 | $11,736.30 |
+$28.10 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:35pm ET | $23.01 | 510 | $11,735.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $22.98 | 510 | $11,717.25 | $11,718.45 |
$-17.85 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.41 | 500 | $11,702.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $23.50 | 500 | $11,752.50 | $11,768.45 |
+$50.00 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $24.18 | 486 | $11,751.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 1:35pm ET | $24.49 | 486 | $11,899.71 | $11,916.68 |
+$148.23 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 2:30pm ET | $25.68 | 463 | $11,892.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 3:20pm ET | $25.83 | 463 | $11,956.98 | $11,981.50 |
+$64.82 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $24.44 | 490 | $11,978.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $24.90 | 490 | $12,201.00 | $12,204.45 |
+$222.95 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $23.94 | 509 | $12,182.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 10:10am ET | $24.62 | 509 | $12,531.22 | $12,552.71 |
+$348.26 (+2.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $24.97 | 502 | $12,534.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 10:10am ET | $25.15 | 502 | $12,625.30 | $12,643.07 |
+$90.36 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 11:20am ET | $25.86 | 488 | $12,619.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 11:35am ET | $26.02 | 488 | $12,700.20 | $12,723.59 |
+$80.52 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 3:35pm ET | $25.12 | 506 | $12,710.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.78 | 506 | $12,538.68 | $12,551.55 |
$-172.04 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 11:55am ET | $25.65 | 489 | $12,542.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 3:10pm ET | $24.83 | 489 | $12,141.82 | $12,150.52 |
$-401.03 (-3.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 12:15pm ET | $24.84 | 489 | $12,146.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 1:35pm ET | $24.97 | 489 | $12,207.89 | $12,211.65 |
+$61.13 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 3:15pm ET | $24.67 | 494 | $12,186.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.79 | 494 | $11,752.26 | $11,776.93 |
$-434.72 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.89 | 454 | $11,754.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $25.54 | 454 | $11,595.16 | $11,618.03 |
$-158.90 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 11:50am ET | $24.74 | 469 | $11,600.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 12:00pm ET | $24.91 | 469 | $11,680.45 | $11,697.76 |
+$79.73 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $25.34 | 461 | $11,681.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 2:15pm ET | $25.30 | 461 | $11,661.00 | $11,677.01 |
$-20.75 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.70 | 472 | $11,658.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 10:00am ET | $24.88 | 472 | $11,743.36 | $11,761.97 |
+$84.96 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 3:25pm ET | $28.92 | 406 | $11,741.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 3:30pm ET | $29.11 | 406 | $11,820.69 | $11,841.14 |
+$79.17 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $29.62 | 399 | $11,818.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 11:40am ET | $29.01 | 399 | $11,576.98 | $11,599.74 |
$-241.40 (-2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 11:45am ET | $28.90 | 401 | $11,586.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 2:30pm ET | $28.59 | 401 | $11,466.59 | $11,479.44 |
$-120.30 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 3:35pm ET | $28.49 | 402 | $11,450.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.87 | 402 | $11,605.74 | $11,634.21 |
+$154.77 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.00 | 447 | $11,624.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 10:20am ET | $26.43 | 447 | $11,816.44 | $11,826.42 |
+$192.21 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 2:50pm ET | $25.73 | 459 | $11,807.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 3:05pm ET | $25.97 | 459 | $11,920.23 | $11,938.87 |
+$112.45 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,938.87
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,938.87
Total Return:
+19.39%