DKNG Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 40 trades in period
+3.11%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,310.47
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$11,938.88
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
32
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.6/35
Total Return
11.4/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
32.3/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 32.1
30-Day Momentum
34
+2.2%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 36.1
Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,938.88
Current Value
$12,310.47
Period P&L
$371.60
Max Drawdown
-14.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
23 /
17
Best Trade
+3.09%
Worst Trade
-2.28%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
6.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$954,738.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$371.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$371.60
Gross Return
+3.11%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.11%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,938.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $25.00 | 477 | $11,927.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $25.23 | 477 | $12,032.33 | $12,043.81 |
+$104.94 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $24.25 | 496 | $12,028.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 12:05pm ET | $23.84 | 496 | $11,822.90 | $11,838.71 |
$-205.10 (-1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 1:15pm ET | $24.40 | 485 | $11,831.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 1:40pm ET | $24.56 | 485 | $11,911.60 | $11,918.74 |
+$80.02 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $25.30 | 471 | $11,916.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 11:25am ET | $25.05 | 471 | $11,796.20 | $11,798.63 |
$-120.10 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 1:00pm ET | $25.74 | 458 | $11,786.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $25.88 | 458 | $11,850.75 | $11,862.75 |
+$64.12 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.68 | 461 | $11,838.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $25.44 | 461 | $11,727.84 | $11,752.11 |
$-110.64 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $26.66 | 440 | $11,728.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 12:25pm ET | $26.22 | 440 | $11,536.80 | $11,560.71 |
$-191.40 (-1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 3:35pm ET | $26.22 | 440 | $11,534.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.72 | 440 | $11,756.80 | $11,782.91 |
+$222.20 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 1:00pm ET | $26.92 | 437 | $11,764.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 2:40pm ET | $26.52 | 437 | $11,589.24 | $11,608.11 |
$-174.80 (-1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 12:35pm ET | $25.84 | 449 | $11,602.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 3:40pm ET | $25.25 | 449 | $11,337.25 | $11,343.20 |
$-264.91 (-2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 3:40pm ET | $24.83 | 456 | $11,322.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 11:25am ET | $24.40 | 456 | $11,124.12 | $11,144.84 |
$-198.36 (-1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 2:20pm ET | $24.52 | 454 | $11,134.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $24.11 | 454 | $10,945.94 | $10,956.43 |
$-188.41 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $22.36 | 490 | $10,956.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 11:00am ET | $23.02 | 490 | $11,278.43 | $11,278.46 |
+$322.03 (+2.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 11:00am ET | $22.50 | 501 | $11,271.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 12:20pm ET | $22.52 | 501 | $11,285.02 | $11,292.14 |
+$13.68 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $23.02 | 490 | $11,279.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.73 | 490 | $11,628.19 | $11,640.53 |
+$348.39 (+3.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.08 | 483 | $11,630.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $24.33 | 483 | $11,753.80 | $11,763.50 |
+$122.97 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $24.32 | 483 | $11,746.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 11:35am ET | $24.32 | 483 | $11,746.22 | $11,763.16 |
$-0.34 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 2:35pm ET | $23.36 | 503 | $11,750.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 3:00pm ET | $23.43 | 503 | $11,787.80 | $11,800.33 |
+$37.17 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 10:35am ET | $23.26 | 507 | $11,791.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 11:15am ET | $23.49 | 507 | $11,909.43 | $11,917.95 |
+$117.62 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.72 | 524 | $11,905.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 10:55am ET | $22.70 | 524 | $11,894.80 | $11,907.47 |
$-10.48 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 1:15pm ET | $24.92 | 477 | $11,889.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 1:35pm ET | $25.06 | 477 | $11,951.24 | $11,969.48 |
+$62.01 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.13 | 476 | $11,960.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $25.35 | 476 | $12,066.65 | $12,075.91 |
+$106.43 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 11:25am ET | $25.29 | 477 | $12,063.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 1:25pm ET | $25.24 | 477 | $12,037.10 | $12,049.67 |
$-26.24 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 10:35am ET | $25.73 | 468 | $12,041.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 12:30pm ET | $25.52 | 468 | $11,945.70 | $11,953.73 |
$-95.94 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 1:15pm ET | $24.85 | 481 | $11,952.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 3:00pm ET | $24.58 | 481 | $11,823.65 | $11,824.53 |
$-129.20 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $25.61 | 461 | $11,806.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 10:50am ET | $25.93 | 461 | $11,953.73 | $11,972.05 |
+$147.52 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 1:50pm ET | $25.84 | 463 | $11,966.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 2:40pm ET | $25.88 | 463 | $11,982.95 | $11,988.76 |
+$16.71 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 10:50am ET | $24.60 | 487 | $11,982.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 11:25am ET | $24.75 | 487 | $12,050.82 | $12,056.94 |
+$68.18 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.26 | 496 | $12,032.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 10:50am ET | $24.50 | 496 | $12,152.00 | $12,175.98 |
+$119.04 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 1:35pm ET | $23.50 | 518 | $12,173.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 2:55pm ET | $23.47 | 518 | $12,154.87 | $12,157.85 |
$-18.13 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $24.20 | 502 | $12,148.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.68 | 502 | $12,388.96 | $12,398.41 |
+$240.56 (+2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.00 | 516 | $12,384.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $24.02 | 516 | $12,394.32 | $12,408.73 |
+$10.32 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.44 | 529 | $12,399.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $23.53 | 529 | $12,450.01 | $12,459.04 |
+$50.31 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $23.59 | 528 | $12,455.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 1:55pm ET | $23.73 | 528 | $12,529.44 | $12,532.96 |
+$73.92 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:45am ET | $23.96 | 523 | $12,531.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 11:00am ET | $24.40 | 523 | $12,761.20 | $12,763.08 |
+$230.12 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.47 | 521 | $12,748.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 10:45am ET | $24.42 | 521 | $12,725.42 | $12,739.63 |
$-23.45 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $23.23 | 548 | $12,727.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 3:25pm ET | $22.75 | 548 | $12,464.26 | $12,476.59 |
$-263.04 (-2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 3:40pm ET | $21.93 | 568 | $12,459.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $21.99 | 568 | $12,487.48 | $12,504.99 |
+$28.40 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 11:35am ET | $22.84 | 547 | $12,493.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 11:40am ET | $22.34 | 547 | $12,219.98 | $12,231.49 |
$-273.50 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $20.89 | 585 | $12,220.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $21.02 | 585 | $12,299.62 | $12,310.47 |
+$78.98 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,310.47
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,310.47
Total Return:
+23.10%