Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:38:22

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.2/35
Total Return
9.2/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 26.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 26.3

30-Day Momentum

55
+4.1%
30d Return
91%
Win Rate
11
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 61.2 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+29 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,534.17
Current Value
$11,183.05
Period P&L
$648.90
Max Drawdown
-18.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
31 / 8
Best Trade
+1.98%
Worst Trade
-2.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
5.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$831,342.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$648.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$648.90
Gross Return
+6.16%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,534.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 3:20pm ET $125.35 83 $10,404.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $125.89 83 $10,448.88 $10,534.15 +$44.83
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:45pm ET $124.08 84 $10,423.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 2:15pm ET $124.42 84 $10,451.28 $10,562.29 +$28.14
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $126.01 83 $10,458.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $128.04 83 $10,626.91 $10,730.37 +$168.08
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:50am ET $125.40 85 $10,659.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:45am ET $125.43 85 $10,661.55 $10,732.91 +$2.55
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $125.79 85 $10,691.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 3:25pm ET $125.75 85 $10,688.33 $10,729.51 $-3.40
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:55am ET $128.51 83 $10,666.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 11:10am ET $129.07 83 $10,712.81 $10,775.99 +$46.48
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $133.95 80 $10,716.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 1:55pm ET $134.43 80 $10,754.39 $10,814.38 +$38.39
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $135.08 80 $10,806.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 3:45pm ET $135.67 80 $10,853.60 $10,861.58 +$47.20
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:45am ET $132.90 81 $10,764.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $130.12 81 $10,539.72 $10,636.40 $-225.18
(-2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $130.21 81 $10,547.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 11:45am ET $130.69 81 $10,585.89 $10,675.28 +$38.88
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $132.10 80 $10,568.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 2:35pm ET $132.22 80 $10,577.60 $10,684.88 +$9.60
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 11:50am ET $137.37 77 $10,577.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:15pm ET $135.36 77 $10,422.64 $10,530.03 $-154.85
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $130.40 80 $10,432.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:35am ET $130.21 80 $10,416.80 $10,514.43 $-15.60
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 3:00pm ET $130.84 80 $10,467.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $128.34 80 $10,267.20 $10,314.43 $-200.00
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:55am ET $129.89 79 $10,261.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 10:30am ET $130.64 79 $10,320.56 $10,373.68 +$59.25
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 11:50am ET $131.57 78 $10,262.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 12:45pm ET $131.82 78 $10,281.57 $10,392.40 +$18.72
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $133.32 77 $10,266.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:55am ET $134.18 77 $10,331.86 $10,458.24 +$65.83
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $129.24 80 $10,339.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:45am ET $130.04 80 $10,403.20 $10,522.17 +$63.93
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 12:35pm ET $129.16 81 $10,461.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 1:45pm ET $129.51 81 $10,490.31 $10,550.52 +$28.35
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $129.50 81 $10,489.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 1:45pm ET $129.54 81 $10,492.34 $10,553.36 +$2.84
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $133.43 79 $10,540.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 3:30pm ET $133.61 79 $10,555.19 $10,567.58 +$14.22
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $133.86 78 $10,441.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 10:05am ET $136.51 78 $10,648.17 $10,774.67 +$207.09
(+2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 2:40pm ET $136.38 79 $10,774.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 3:15pm ET $136.89 79 $10,813.92 $10,814.18 +$39.51
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $137.94 78 $10,759.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $138.38 78 $10,793.64 $10,848.70 +$34.52
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $146.70 73 $10,709.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 11:10am ET $145.05 73 $10,588.65 $10,728.25 $-120.45
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $146.82 73 $10,717.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 3:10pm ET $146.74 73 $10,712.02 $10,722.41 $-5.84
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 3:25pm ET $146.18 73 $10,671.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $146.43 73 $10,689.39 $10,740.66 +$18.25
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $148.01 72 $10,656.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:05am ET $148.95 72 $10,724.40 $10,808.34 +$67.68
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $148.23 72 $10,672.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $148.43 72 $10,686.60 $10,822.38 +$14.04
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $143.65 75 $10,773.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 10:35am ET $144.52 75 $10,839.00 $10,887.63 +$65.25
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $148.93 73 $10,871.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $149.45 73 $10,909.85 $10,925.59 +$37.96
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:05pm ET $149.91 72 $10,793.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 1:35pm ET $150.18 72 $10,812.60 $10,944.67 +$19.08
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:05pm ET $150.38 72 $10,827.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $150.56 72 $10,840.32 $10,957.99 +$13.32
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $145.92 75 $10,944.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $146.99 75 $11,024.25 $11,038.24 +$80.25
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET $144.78 76 $11,003.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 11:35am ET $144.35 76 $10,970.60 $11,005.64 $-32.60
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $145.37 75 $10,902.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:35pm ET $145.63 75 $10,922.25 $11,025.14 +$19.50
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $145.57 75 $10,917.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $146.01 75 $10,950.75 $11,058.14 +$33.00
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $149.62 73 $10,922.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $151.26 73 $11,041.62 $11,177.50 +$119.36
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 11:35am ET $150.84 74 $11,161.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 1:35pm ET $150.91 74 $11,167.34 $11,183.05 +$5.55
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,183.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,183.05
Total Return: +11.83%
Back to Professor Mean