GLD Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 40 trades in period
+1.15%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,888.26
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$9,776.11
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality
11.4/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 11.3
30-Day Momentum
45
+1.8%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
14
Trades
2.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 45.9
Conf: 0.98×
Accelerating (+34 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,776.11
Current Value
$9,888.26
Period P&L
$112.15
Max Drawdown
-7.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
24 /
16
Best Trade
+2.47%
Worst Trade
-2.53%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
6.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$754,160.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$112.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$112.15
Gross Return
+1.15%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.15%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,776.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:45pm ET | $369.44 | 26 | $9,605.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $371.69 | 26 | $9,663.94 | $9,834.62 |
+$58.50 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $371.07 | 26 | $9,647.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $370.41 | 26 | $9,630.66 | $9,817.46 |
$-17.16 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 12:55pm ET | $369.39 | 26 | $9,604.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 1:40pm ET | $369.71 | 26 | $9,612.46 | $9,825.78 |
+$8.32 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 2:20pm ET | $373.02 | 26 | $9,698.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 2:25pm ET | $372.71 | 26 | $9,690.46 | $9,817.59 |
$-8.19 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:10pm ET | $379.95 | 25 | $9,498.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 12:05pm ET | $370.34 | 25 | $9,258.50 | $9,577.22 |
$-240.37 (-2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
21.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $375.04 | 25 | $9,376.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 10:50am ET | $376.68 | 25 | $9,417.00 | $9,618.22 |
+$41.00 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 12:25pm ET | $367.35 | 26 | $9,550.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 12:30pm ET | $366.42 | 26 | $9,526.92 | $9,594.17 |
$-24.05 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 2:35pm ET | $371.85 | 25 | $9,296.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 2:40pm ET | $371.20 | 25 | $9,280.00 | $9,577.92 |
$-16.25 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 3:30pm ET | $371.53 | 25 | $9,288.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $366.34 | 25 | $9,158.50 | $9,448.17 |
$-129.75 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $363.87 | 25 | $9,096.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $366.36 | 25 | $9,159.00 | $9,510.42 |
+$62.25 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 1:45pm ET | $367.53 | 25 | $9,188.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 2:05pm ET | $367.88 | 25 | $9,197.00 | $9,519.17 |
+$8.75 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 12:30pm ET | $380.45 | 25 | $9,511.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $372.76 | 25 | $9,319.00 | $9,326.84 |
$-192.33 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 12:45pm ET | $372.92 | 25 | $9,323.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 3:40pm ET | $372.17 | 25 | $9,304.25 | $9,308.09 |
$-18.75 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $369.79 | 25 | $9,244.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $368.95 | 25 | $9,223.67 | $9,287.02 |
$-21.08 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $368.37 | 25 | $9,209.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 11:00am ET | $367.69 | 25 | $9,192.25 | $9,270.01 |
$-17.00 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.79 | 25 | $9,269.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 10:55am ET | $371.25 | 25 | $9,281.25 | $9,281.51 |
+$11.50 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 1:55pm ET | $369.73 | 25 | $9,243.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 2:10pm ET | $370.26 | 25 | $9,256.50 | $9,294.76 |
+$13.25 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 3:35pm ET | $389.68 | 23 | $8,962.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $390.60 | 23 | $8,983.80 | $9,315.92 |
+$21.16 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $396.90 | 23 | $9,128.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 10:25am ET | $398.00 | 23 | $9,154.00 | $9,341.13 |
+$25.21 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:40am ET | $400.99 | 23 | $9,222.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 12:40pm ET | $402.09 | 23 | $9,248.07 | $9,366.32 |
+$25.19 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 12:50pm ET | $403.85 | 23 | $9,288.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 2:15pm ET | $404.10 | 23 | $9,294.30 | $9,372.07 |
+$5.75 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 3:15pm ET | $398.58 | 23 | $9,167.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $402.13 | 23 | $9,248.99 | $9,453.72 |
+$81.65 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $405.42 | 23 | $9,324.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 3:15pm ET | $404.44 | 23 | $9,302.12 | $9,431.18 |
$-22.54 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $398.91 | 23 | $9,174.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $408.76 | 23 | $9,401.48 | $9,657.73 |
+$226.55 (+2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $410.30 | 23 | $9,437.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 10:35am ET | $412.12 | 23 | $9,478.76 | $9,699.48 |
+$41.75 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:25pm ET | $423.59 | 22 | $9,318.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $424.03 | 22 | $9,328.66 | $9,709.16 |
+$9.68 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $423.90 | 22 | $9,325.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 10:30am ET | $424.59 | 22 | $9,340.98 | $9,724.34 |
+$15.18 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 11:05am ET | $421.57 | 23 | $9,696.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 11:50am ET | $422.62 | 23 | $9,720.26 | $9,748.49 |
+$24.15 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 2:05pm ET | $422.00 | 23 | $9,706.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 2:55pm ET | $422.51 | 23 | $9,717.62 | $9,760.11 |
+$11.62 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $406.99 | 23 | $9,360.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 10:50am ET | $406.54 | 23 | $9,350.31 | $9,749.65 |
$-10.46 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 12:30pm ET | $398.82 | 24 | $9,571.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $397.80 | 24 | $9,547.20 | $9,725.16 |
$-24.48 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 2:30pm ET | $410.72 | 23 | $9,446.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 3:50pm ET | $410.59 | 23 | $9,443.57 | $9,722.17 |
$-2.99 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $403.56 | 24 | $9,685.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $403.67 | 24 | $9,688.20 | $9,724.93 |
+$2.76 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $403.14 | 24 | $9,675.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 12:25pm ET | $403.43 | 24 | $9,682.41 | $9,731.98 |
+$7.05 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 2:00pm ET | $399.02 | 24 | $9,576.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $402.48 | 24 | $9,659.52 | $9,815.02 |
+$83.04 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $392.07 | 25 | $9,801.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 11:00am ET | $392.27 | 25 | $9,806.75 | $9,820.02 |
+$5.00 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 2:05pm ET | $396.79 | 24 | $9,522.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $400.26 | 24 | $9,606.24 | $9,903.31 |
+$83.29 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.4h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 2:45pm ET | $401.67 | 24 | $9,640.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $400.17 | 24 | $9,603.98 | $9,867.21 |
$-36.10 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $397.38 | 24 | $9,537.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 11:00am ET | $397.08 | 24 | $9,529.92 | $9,860.13 |
$-7.08 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 1:35pm ET | $391.99 | 25 | $9,799.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $393.12 | 25 | $9,828.00 | $9,888.26 |
+$28.13 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,888.26
Net Profit/Loss:
$-111.74
Total Return:
-1.12%