GOOGL Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 34 trades in period
+1.67%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,489.72
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$11,300.81
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
30
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.5/35
Total Return
10.2/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
30.1/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 30.0
30-Day Momentum
9
-2.1%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,300.81
Current Value
$11,489.72
Period P&L
$188.89
Max Drawdown
-9.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
18 /
16
Best Trade
+7.47%
Worst Trade
-2.63%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
13.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$791,385.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$188.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$188.89
Gross Return
+1.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.67%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,300.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $336.38 | 33 | $11,100.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 10:35am ET | $342.39 | 33 | $11,298.87 | $11,499.19 |
+$198.36 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 3:50pm ET | $337.06 | 34 | $11,460.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $336.10 | 34 | $11,427.40 | $11,466.55 |
$-32.64 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $351.45 | 32 | $11,246.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 10:15am ET | $352.71 | 32 | $11,286.72 | $11,506.87 |
+$40.32 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $336.38 | 33 | $11,100.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $361.50 | 33 | $11,929.50 | $12,335.86 |
+$828.99 (+7.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
11d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:35pm ET | $368.70 | 33 | $12,167.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 12:25pm ET | $361.15 | 33 | $11,917.95 | $12,086.55 |
$-249.31 (-2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
21.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 1:40pm ET | $353.90 | 34 | $12,032.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 1:55pm ET | $354.98 | 34 | $12,069.32 | $12,123.27 |
+$36.72 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 3:20pm ET | $354.52 | 34 | $12,053.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:55am ET | $354.08 | 34 | $12,038.89 | $12,108.48 |
$-14.79 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 1:20pm ET | $370.78 | 32 | $11,864.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 1:50pm ET | $371.86 | 32 | $11,899.68 | $12,143.20 |
+$34.72 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 2:00pm ET | $370.73 | 32 | $11,863.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 2:05pm ET | $361.54 | 32 | $11,569.28 | $11,849.12 |
$-294.08 (-2.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 12:05pm ET | $355.82 | 33 | $11,742.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 3:05pm ET | $352.36 | 33 | $11,627.88 | $11,734.80 |
$-114.32 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 3:50pm ET | $347.85 | 33 | $11,479.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $348.97 | 33 | $11,516.01 | $11,771.76 |
+$36.96 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 2:35pm ET | $318.79 | 36 | $11,476.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $318.79 | 36 | $11,476.44 | $11,771.76 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 12:50pm ET | $326.71 | 36 | $11,761.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 2:40pm ET | $326.48 | 36 | $11,753.28 | $11,763.48 |
$-8.28 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 3:20pm ET | $333.87 | 35 | $11,685.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $335.54 | 35 | $11,743.90 | $11,821.93 |
+$58.45 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $368.05 | 32 | $11,777.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $374.33 | 32 | $11,978.40 | $12,022.57 |
+$200.64 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 12:00pm ET | $374.74 | 32 | $11,991.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 2:05pm ET | $364.89 | 32 | $11,676.48 | $11,707.37 |
$-315.20 (-2.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $356.94 | 32 | $11,422.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 3:05pm ET | $357.69 | 32 | $11,446.00 | $11,731.29 |
+$23.92 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $352.60 | 33 | $11,635.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 10:55am ET | $352.46 | 33 | $11,631.34 | $11,727.00 |
$-4.29 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 11:10am ET | $341.70 | 34 | $11,617.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 12:30pm ET | $342.54 | 34 | $11,646.19 | $11,755.39 |
+$28.39 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $344.36 | 34 | $11,708.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $345.78 | 34 | $11,756.52 | $11,803.84 |
+$48.45 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $341.86 | 34 | $11,623.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $343.40 | 34 | $11,675.60 | $11,856.20 |
+$52.36 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:10am ET | $339.88 | 34 | $11,555.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 12:20pm ET | $340.19 | 34 | $11,566.46 | $11,866.74 |
+$10.54 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 1:00pm ET | $350.44 | 33 | $11,564.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 3:20pm ET | $348.78 | 33 | $11,509.87 | $11,812.09 |
$-54.65 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $345.13 | 34 | $11,734.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 11:05am ET | $343.33 | 34 | $11,673.22 | $11,751.06 |
$-61.03 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 3:40pm ET | $340.36 | 34 | $11,572.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 3:45pm ET | $340.72 | 34 | $11,584.48 | $11,763.13 |
+$12.07 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $342.74 | 34 | $11,653.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $341.72 | 34 | $11,618.48 | $11,728.46 |
$-34.67 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $334.77 | 35 | $11,716.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 11:15am ET | $336.40 | 35 | $11,774.00 | $11,785.51 |
+$57.05 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $341.56 | 34 | $11,613.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 12:00pm ET | $338.12 | 34 | $11,496.08 | $11,668.55 |
$-116.96 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $331.05 | 35 | $11,586.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 11:50am ET | $329.78 | 35 | $11,542.30 | $11,624.27 |
$-44.28 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 2:15pm ET | $339.49 | 34 | $11,542.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $343.20 | 34 | $11,668.80 | $11,750.41 |
+$126.14 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 1:55pm ET | $344.51 | 34 | $11,713.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:05pm ET | $346.20 | 34 | $11,770.63 | $11,807.72 |
+$57.31 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $349.99 | 33 | $11,549.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $348.81 | 33 | $11,510.73 | $11,768.78 |
$-38.94 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $358.78 | 32 | $11,480.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 1:25pm ET | $352.45 | 32 | $11,278.40 | $11,566.22 |
$-202.56 (-1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 3:35pm ET | $338.38 | 34 | $11,504.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $336.13 | 34 | $11,428.25 | $11,489.72 |
$-76.50 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,489.72
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,489.72
Total Return:
+14.90%