GS Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 41 trades in period
-5.69%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,143.82
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$14,996.55
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
59
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
28.8/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
59.2/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 59.0
30-Day Momentum
10
-4.3%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-49 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$14,996.55
Current Value
$14,143.82
Period P&L
$-852.76
Max Drawdown
-3.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
19 /
22
Best Trade
+3.01%
Worst Trade
-3.27%
Avg Trade Return
-0.15%
Avg Hold Time
7.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,175,803.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-852.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$-852.76
Gross Return
-5.69%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.69%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $14,996.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 12:35pm ET | $1,083.73 | 13 | $14,088.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 2:25pm ET | $1,078.43 | 13 | $14,019.59 | $14,927.68 |
$-68.90 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 2:30pm ET | $1,026.28 | 14 | $14,367.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 3:15pm ET | $1,030.04 | 14 | $14,420.56 | $14,980.32 |
+$52.64 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 3:15pm ET | $1,022.70 | 14 | $14,317.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,010.84 | 14 | $14,151.69 | $14,814.21 |
$-166.11 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,007.40 | 14 | $14,103.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,014.37 | 14 | $14,201.18 | $14,911.79 |
+$97.58 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 12:20pm ET | $1,018.28 | 14 | $14,255.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,048.90 | 14 | $14,684.60 | $15,340.40 |
+$428.61 (+3.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 10:15am ET | $1,043.68 | 14 | $14,611.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 11:30am ET | $1,044.10 | 14 | $14,617.40 | $15,346.28 |
+$5.88 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $1,059.51 | 14 | $14,833.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,058.93 | 14 | $14,824.95 | $15,338.09 |
$-8.19 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,055.00 | 14 | $14,770.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $1,050.23 | 14 | $14,703.22 | $15,271.31 |
$-66.78 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 10:55am ET | $1,135.00 | 13 | $14,755.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 11:55am ET | $1,137.22 | 13 | $14,783.86 | $15,300.17 |
+$28.86 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 12:00pm ET | $1,106.82 | 13 | $14,388.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 3:00pm ET | $1,094.81 | 13 | $14,232.47 | $15,143.98 |
$-156.19 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 12:40pm ET | $1,057.64 | 14 | $14,806.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 1:50pm ET | $1,057.55 | 14 | $14,805.70 | $15,142.72 |
$-1.26 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 3:20pm ET | $1,080.60 | 14 | $15,128.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1,082.89 | 14 | $15,160.39 | $15,174.71 |
+$31.99 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,082.00 | 14 | $15,148.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,077.90 | 14 | $15,090.53 | $15,117.24 |
$-57.47 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,069.93 | 14 | $14,979.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 11:10am ET | $1,069.81 | 14 | $14,977.27 | $15,115.49 |
$-1.75 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 1:00pm ET | $1,040.10 | 14 | $14,561.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 2:45pm ET | $1,029.54 | 14 | $14,413.49 | $14,967.58 |
$-147.91 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 3:45pm ET | $1,034.24 | 14 | $14,479.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,023.91 | 14 | $14,334.67 | $14,822.89 |
$-144.69 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET | $1,018.24 | 14 | $14,255.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 10:55am ET | $1,023.68 | 14 | $14,331.52 | $14,898.98 |
+$76.09 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 12:40pm ET | $1,014.31 | 14 | $14,200.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 12:50pm ET | $1,011.00 | 14 | $14,154.00 | $14,852.64 |
$-46.34 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 1:55pm ET | $1,058.46 | 14 | $14,818.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 2:55pm ET | $1,058.88 | 14 | $14,824.32 | $14,858.52 |
+$5.88 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,064.67 | 13 | $13,840.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 12:40pm ET | $1,052.23 | 13 | $13,679.05 | $14,696.93 |
$-161.59 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $1,036.55 | 14 | $14,511.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $1,040.43 | 14 | $14,566.02 | $14,751.32 |
+$54.39 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 2:25pm ET | $1,036.24 | 14 | $14,507.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 3:05pm ET | $1,032.28 | 14 | $14,451.85 | $14,695.81 |
$-55.51 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 12:50pm ET | $1,046.53 | 14 | $14,651.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 2:05pm ET | $1,047.14 | 14 | $14,659.96 | $14,704.35 |
+$8.54 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 1:00pm ET | $1,046.15 | 14 | $14,646.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 1:55pm ET | $1,048.94 | 14 | $14,685.16 | $14,743.41 |
+$39.06 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,026.35 | 14 | $14,368.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 11:15am ET | $1,023.98 | 14 | $14,335.72 | $14,710.23 |
$-33.18 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:35am ET | $1,008.89 | 14 | $14,124.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 12:45pm ET | $1,010.46 | 14 | $14,146.37 | $14,732.14 |
+$21.91 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $1,032.60 | 14 | $14,456.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 11:25am ET | $1,034.44 | 14 | $14,482.16 | $14,757.90 |
+$25.76 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,050.00 | 14 | $14,700.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 11:00am ET | $1,046.94 | 14 | $14,657.17 | $14,715.07 |
$-42.83 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $1,040.99 | 14 | $14,573.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $1,038.53 | 14 | $14,539.42 | $14,680.63 |
$-34.44 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,028.36 | 14 | $14,397.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 11:20am ET | $1,025.27 | 14 | $14,353.78 | $14,637.37 |
$-43.26 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 12:20pm ET | $1,015.92 | 14 | $14,222.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 12:25pm ET | $1,012.58 | 14 | $14,176.12 | $14,590.61 |
$-46.76 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 2:05pm ET | $1,032.10 | 14 | $14,449.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 3:00pm ET | $1,034.69 | 14 | $14,485.73 | $14,626.94 |
+$36.33 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 10:05am ET | $1,033.50 | 14 | $14,469.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $1,035.94 | 14 | $14,503.16 | $14,661.10 |
+$34.16 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,022.04 | 14 | $14,308.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 10:25am ET | $1,026.27 | 14 | $14,367.71 | $14,720.31 |
+$59.21 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 2:35pm ET | $1,030.10 | 14 | $14,421.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1,029.76 | 14 | $14,416.64 | $14,715.55 |
$-4.76 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $983.18 | 14 | $13,764.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 12:30pm ET | $959.68 | 14 | $13,435.52 | $14,386.55 |
$-329.00 (-2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 2:30pm ET | $968.02 | 14 | $13,552.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 10:15am ET | $936.38 | 14 | $13,109.32 | $13,943.59 |
$-442.96 (-3.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 3:25pm ET | $940.84 | 14 | $13,171.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $955.55 | 14 | $13,377.70 | $14,149.53 |
+$205.94 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $955.07 | 14 | $13,370.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $950.93 | 14 | $13,313.02 | $14,091.60 |
$-57.93 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 11:25am ET | $939.87 | 14 | $13,158.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 12:25pm ET | $941.65 | 14 | $13,183.10 | $14,116.52 |
+$24.92 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 2:40pm ET | $919.47 | 15 | $13,791.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 2:50pm ET | $921.28 | 15 | $13,819.27 | $14,143.82 |
+$27.30 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,143.82
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,143.82
Total Return:
+41.44%