Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 14:36:55

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

67
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
34.9/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
5.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 68.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 67.5

30-Day Momentum

67
+7.3%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
12
Trades
3.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 72.5 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,976
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,665.45
Current Value
$15,039.03
Period P&L
$1,373.55
Max Drawdown
-3.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
23 / 14
Best Trade
+2.72%
Worst Trade
-1.34%
Avg Trade Return
+0.27%
Avg Hold Time
7.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,010,828.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,373.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,373.55
Gross Return
+10.05%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.05%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $13,665.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $823.46 16 $13,175.36
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET $831.41 16 $13,302.64 $13,792.76 +$127.28
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:05am ET $839.00 16 $13,424.00
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 12:30pm ET $842.92 16 $13,486.72 $13,855.48 +$62.72
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $821.55 16 $13,144.80
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:25pm ET $821.36 16 $13,141.84 $13,852.52 $-2.96
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $808.00 17 $13,736.00
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:50pm ET $811.06 17 $13,788.02 $13,904.54 +$52.02
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 12:25pm ET $864.91 16 $13,838.56
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $865.16 16 $13,842.48 $13,908.46 +$3.92
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $864.48 16 $13,831.76
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $861.38 16 $13,782.08 $13,858.78 $-49.68
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $859.60 16 $13,753.60
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $863.04 16 $13,808.64 $13,913.82 +$55.04
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $903.37 15 $13,550.55
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:30am ET $903.91 15 $13,558.72 $13,921.99 +$8.17
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $902.90 15 $13,543.44
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $900.49 15 $13,507.42 $13,885.98 $-36.01
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $899.07 15 $13,486.05
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $916.31 15 $13,744.61 $14,144.54 +$258.56
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $925.93 15 $13,888.95
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $924.09 15 $13,861.35 $14,116.94 $-27.60
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:00pm ET $932.49 15 $13,987.42
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $934.59 15 $14,018.78 $14,148.29 +$31.35
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET $923.87 15 $13,858.05
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:25am ET $922.24 15 $13,833.60 $14,123.84 $-24.45
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:55am ET $933.51 15 $14,002.61
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 11:30am ET $929.38 15 $13,940.70 $14,061.93 $-61.91
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:30am ET $907.25 15 $13,608.75
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:10pm ET $902.57 15 $13,538.55 $13,991.73 $-70.20
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $924.46 15 $13,866.95
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $920.08 15 $13,801.20 $13,925.98 $-65.75
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
17 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:45am ET $915.11 15 $13,726.65
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $903.47 15 $13,551.98 $13,751.31 $-174.67
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.1h held
18 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:55am ET $933.73 14 $13,072.22
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:00am ET $940.24 14 $13,163.36 $13,842.45 +$91.14
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
19 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 11:25am ET $932.89 14 $13,060.46
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 12:05pm ET $935.32 14 $13,094.48 $13,876.47 +$34.02
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
20 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $941.64 14 $13,182.96
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:35am ET $929.00 14 $13,006.00 $13,699.51 $-176.96
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
21 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $937.02 14 $13,118.28
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 10:15am ET $945.13 14 $13,231.82 $13,813.05 +$113.54
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
22 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $959.26 14 $13,429.71
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 11:05am ET $951.32 14 $13,318.48 $13,701.82 $-111.23
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
23 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 2:10pm ET $945.82 14 $13,241.41
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 3:05pm ET $945.69 14 $13,239.66 $13,700.07 $-1.75
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
24 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 3:50pm ET $925.75 14 $12,960.50
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $943.94 14 $13,215.16 $13,954.73 +$254.66
(+2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
25 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $999.36 13 $12,991.68
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $1,006.53 13 $13,084.89 $14,047.94 +$93.21
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held
26 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:45am ET $978.74 14 $13,702.36
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:15am ET $991.15 14 $13,876.03 $14,221.61 +$173.67
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
27 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:30am ET $988.44 14 $13,838.16
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:55am ET $994.42 14 $13,921.88 $14,305.33 +$83.72
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
28 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $1,021.53 14 $14,301.42
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:15pm ET $1,024.31 14 $14,340.34 $14,344.25 +$38.92
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:35pm ET $1,066.91 13 $13,869.83
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $1,053.82 13 $13,699.66 $14,174.08 $-170.17
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $1,083.32 13 $14,083.16
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $1,072.63 13 $13,944.19 $14,035.11 $-138.97
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $1,052.88 13 $13,687.38
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1,058.50 13 $13,760.50 $14,108.24 +$73.13
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.4h held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $1,026.02 13 $13,338.26
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:40am ET $1,030.00 13 $13,390.00 $14,159.98 +$51.74
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:00pm ET $1,007.51 14 $14,105.14
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:25pm ET $1,021.90 14 $14,306.53 $14,361.37 +$201.39
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:45pm ET $1,062.89 13 $13,817.51
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,091.77 13 $14,193.01 $14,736.88 +$375.51
(+2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $1,090.05 13 $14,170.65
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $1,091.28 13 $14,186.58 $14,752.80 +$15.92
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $1,104.44 13 $14,357.78
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $1,121.97 13 $14,585.65 $14,980.66 +$227.86
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $1,075.00 13 $13,975.00
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $1,079.49 13 $14,033.37 $15,039.03 +$58.37
(+0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,039.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,039.03
Total Return: +50.39%
Back to Professor Mean