HOOD Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 39 trades in period
+15.48%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,004.25
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$12,126.81
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
34
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.2/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
34.1/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 33.9
30-Day Momentum
40
+4.0%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 42.9
Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,126.81
Current Value
$14,004.25
Period P&L
$1,877.37
Max Drawdown
-26.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
26 /
13
Best Trade
+3.11%
Worst Trade
-2.57%
Avg Trade Return
+0.38%
Avg Hold Time
9.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,011,370.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,877.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,877.37
Gross Return
+15.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.48%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,126.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $100.79 | 120 | $12,094.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 10:50am ET | $100.13 | 120 | $12,015.60 | $12,047.68 |
$-79.20 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 12:40pm ET | $94.12 | 128 | $12,047.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 1:45pm ET | $94.76 | 128 | $12,129.92 | $12,130.24 |
+$82.56 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 2:25pm ET | $96.62 | 125 | $12,077.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 3:10pm ET | $96.88 | 125 | $12,110.00 | $12,162.74 |
+$32.50 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $101.14 | 120 | $12,136.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 10:15am ET | $101.98 | 120 | $12,237.60 | $12,263.53 |
+$100.79 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 12:25pm ET | $111.77 | 109 | $12,182.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $113.00 | 109 | $12,317.00 | $12,397.60 |
+$134.07 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $116.29 | 106 | $12,326.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 11:25am ET | $114.13 | 106 | $12,097.78 | $12,168.64 |
$-228.96 (-1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 3:10pm ET | $115.52 | 105 | $12,129.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.08 | 105 | $12,503.40 | $12,542.44 |
+$373.80 (+3.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $110.53 | 113 | $12,489.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 10:10am ET | $111.93 | 113 | $12,647.53 | $12,700.08 |
+$157.64 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 12:30pm ET | $113.15 | 112 | $12,672.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $114.57 | 112 | $12,831.84 | $12,859.12 |
+$159.04 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $107.58 | 119 | $12,802.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 2:45pm ET | $107.19 | 119 | $12,755.61 | $12,812.71 |
$-46.41 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $99.97 | 128 | $12,796.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $100.26 | 128 | $12,833.28 | $12,849.83 |
+$37.12 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $106.08 | 121 | $12,836.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $106.45 | 121 | $12,880.45 | $12,893.99 |
+$44.16 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $104.38 | 123 | $12,838.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $102.99 | 123 | $12,667.16 | $12,722.41 |
$-171.58 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $97.53 | 130 | $12,678.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $96.11 | 130 | $12,494.30 | $12,537.81 |
$-184.60 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $89.82 | 139 | $12,484.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 10:45am ET | $91.40 | 139 | $12,704.60 | $12,757.43 |
+$219.62 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 12:10pm ET | $88.92 | 143 | $12,715.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 12:50pm ET | $89.65 | 143 | $12,819.96 | $12,861.83 |
+$104.40 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $86.59 | 148 | $12,815.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $88.66 | 148 | $13,121.68 | $13,168.19 |
+$306.36 (+2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $86.18 | 152 | $13,099.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $88.25 | 152 | $13,414.00 | $13,483.06 |
+$314.87 (+2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 2:40pm ET | $92.20 | 146 | $13,461.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 3:05pm ET | $93.09 | 146 | $13,591.14 | $13,613.07 |
+$130.01 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $93.25 | 145 | $13,521.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $90.85 | 145 | $13,173.25 | $13,265.27 |
$-347.80 (-2.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 12:25pm ET | $93.56 | 141 | $13,191.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 2:10pm ET | $93.25 | 141 | $13,147.55 | $13,220.86 |
$-44.41 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $93.28 | 141 | $13,152.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $94.32 | 141 | $13,299.49 | $13,367.87 |
+$147.01 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $97.85 | 136 | $13,307.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 11:20am ET | $97.39 | 136 | $13,245.04 | $13,305.31 |
$-62.56 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $92.85 | 143 | $13,277.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 11:30am ET | $93.04 | 143 | $13,304.72 | $13,332.09 |
+$26.78 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 1:25pm ET | $96.88 | 137 | $13,272.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 3:30pm ET | $96.00 | 137 | $13,152.68 | $13,212.20 |
$-119.89 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:00pm ET | $107.06 | 123 | $13,168.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 3:50pm ET | $108.28 | 123 | $13,317.83 | $13,361.13 |
+$148.93 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $110.17 | 121 | $13,330.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 10:30am ET | $110.79 | 121 | $13,405.59 | $13,436.15 |
+$75.02 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 12:35pm ET | $110.69 | 121 | $13,393.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 2:55pm ET | $110.15 | 121 | $13,328.16 | $13,370.33 |
$-65.82 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 3:50pm ET | $104.39 | 128 | $13,361.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $102.25 | 128 | $13,087.36 | $13,095.77 |
$-274.56 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 12:05pm ET | $105.41 | 124 | $13,070.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 3:15pm ET | $103.47 | 124 | $12,830.28 | $12,855.21 |
$-240.56 (-1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $121.00 | 106 | $12,826.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 10:35am ET | $122.49 | 106 | $12,983.94 | $13,013.15 |
+$157.94 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 2:40pm ET | $119.65 | 108 | $12,922.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $120.81 | 108 | $13,046.94 | $13,137.89 |
+$124.74 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $112.50 | 116 | $13,050.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $116.00 | 116 | $13,456.00 | $13,543.89 |
+$406.00 (+3.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 11:55am ET | $112.94 | 119 | $13,439.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 1:25pm ET | $113.25 | 119 | $13,477.34 | $13,581.37 |
+$37.48 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $111.50 | 121 | $13,491.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 11:00am ET | $110.18 | 121 | $13,331.77 | $13,421.64 |
$-159.73 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $103.55 | 129 | $13,357.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $104.29 | 129 | $13,453.41 | $13,517.10 |
+$95.46 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $123.56 | 109 | $13,468.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $124.59 | 109 | $13,580.31 | $13,629.37 |
+$112.27 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.77 | 111 | $13,627.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $125.11 | 111 | $13,887.21 | $13,889.11 |
+$259.74 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $121.29 | 114 | $13,827.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $122.30 | 114 | $13,942.20 | $14,004.25 |
+$115.14 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,004.25
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,004.25
Total Return:
+40.04%