Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:58:47

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
54.2 neutral
20d Trend
+3.9%
5d Trend
-3.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.0%
ATR%
7.2%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.3/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 34.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 34.2

30-Day Momentum

61
+6.1%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
12
Trades
2.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 66.4 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+27 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,450.48
Current Value
$14,391.44
Period P&L
$941.04
Max Drawdown
-24.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
27 / 13
Best Trade
+5.12%
Worst Trade
-2.57%
Avg Trade Return
+0.18%
Avg Hold Time
5.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,077,557.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$941.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$941.04
Gross Return
+7.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 INTC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 40 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $13,450.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET $130.70 102 $13,331.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 10:15am ET $132.65 102 $13,530.31 $13,649.31 +$198.91
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:45pm ET $130.46 104 $13,568.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:40pm ET $130.94 104 $13,617.76 $13,698.71 +$49.40
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $125.87 108 $13,593.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:35am ET $123.65 108 $13,354.65 $13,459.40 $-239.31
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 2:20pm ET $140.29 95 $13,327.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $140.61 95 $13,358.35 $13,490.20 +$30.80
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $125.92 107 $13,473.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:45am ET $127.96 107 $13,691.19 $13,707.95 +$217.75
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:15am ET $124.60 110 $13,705.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $124.82 110 $13,730.20 $13,732.70 +$24.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $110.04 124 $13,644.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $109.72 124 $13,605.28 $13,693.64 $-39.06
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $108.80 125 $13,600.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:15am ET $109.10 125 $13,637.50 $13,731.14 +$37.50
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 11:50am ET $104.17 131 $13,645.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:40pm ET $102.79 131 $13,465.49 $13,551.02 $-180.13
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:35am ET $107.50 126 $13,544.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:45am ET $106.13 126 $13,372.38 $13,378.47 $-172.54
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:45am ET $98.32 136 $13,371.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 2:15pm ET $96.52 136 $13,126.72 $13,133.67 $-244.80
(-1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 1:40pm ET $98.18 133 $13,058.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 2:05pm ET $98.67 133 $13,122.91 $13,197.98 +$64.31
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 3:05pm ET $104.72 126 $13,195.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:30pm ET $105.30 126 $13,267.80 $13,270.43 +$72.45
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $103.32 128 $13,224.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $101.39 128 $12,977.92 $13,023.39 $-247.04
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:35am ET $97.77 133 $13,003.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET $96.02 133 $12,770.66 $12,790.64 $-232.75
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:55am ET $90.94 140 $12,731.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 11:55am ET $89.14 140 $12,479.60 $12,538.62 $-252.01
(-2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 2:10pm ET $86.18 145 $12,495.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 2:50pm ET $86.63 145 $12,561.35 $12,604.60 +$65.97
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $81.81 154 $12,598.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $86.00 154 $13,244.00 $13,249.86 +$645.26
(+5.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 11:25am ET $92.10 143 $13,170.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 12:30pm ET $92.44 143 $13,218.92 $13,298.29 +$48.43
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $99.92 133 $13,289.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:45am ET $101.26 133 $13,468.24 $13,477.18 +$178.89
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $98.07 137 $13,434.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 11:05am ET $98.33 137 $13,471.21 $13,513.48 +$36.30
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $96.80 139 $13,455.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 2:30pm ET $97.38 139 $13,535.81 $13,593.42 +$79.94
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 3:30pm ET $101.53 133 $13,503.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:40am ET $102.00 133 $13,566.00 $13,655.93 +$62.51
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $102.18 133 $13,589.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $104.04 133 $13,837.32 $13,903.31 +$247.38
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $98.99 140 $13,857.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 11:55am ET $96.44 140 $13,501.60 $13,547.01 $-356.30
(-2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 1:35pm ET $92.96 145 $13,479.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 2:30pm ET $93.17 145 $13,509.65 $13,577.46 +$30.45
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:35am ET $91.11 149 $13,575.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 11:15am ET $90.61 149 $13,500.89 $13,502.38 $-75.08
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $87.03 155 $13,489.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $87.45 155 $13,554.75 $13,567.46 +$65.08
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $86.78 156 $13,537.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 11:00am ET $86.65 156 $13,518.18 $13,547.96 $-19.50
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $90.37 149 $13,465.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $90.65 149 $13,507.03 $13,589.86 +$41.90
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:35am ET $89.42 151 $13,502.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 12:20pm ET $89.56 151 $13,522.94 $13,610.38 +$20.52
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 2:40pm ET $88.01 154 $13,553.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $88.63 154 $13,649.07 $13,705.91 +$95.53
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $88.55 154 $13,636.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:25am ET $89.54 154 $13,788.39 $13,857.60 +$151.69
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $104.50 132 $13,793.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $103.09 132 $13,607.88 $13,672.14 $-185.46
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $102.45 133 $13,625.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 11:00am ET $101.47 133 $13,495.51 $13,541.79 $-130.35
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 12:35pm ET $102.38 132 $13,514.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 1:20pm ET $102.99 132 $13,594.68 $13,622.31 +$80.52
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $97.96 139 $13,616.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $98.64 139 $13,710.96 $13,716.83 +$94.52
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:05pm ET $100.93 135 $13,625.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $105.00 135 $14,174.78 $14,266.06 +$549.23
(+4.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 12:25pm ET $106.64 133 $14,183.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 1:05pm ET $106.98 133 $14,228.92 $14,311.20 +$45.14
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
40 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:25pm ET $121.12 118 $14,292.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:10pm ET $121.80 118 $14,372.40 $14,391.44 +$80.24
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,391.44
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,391.44
Total Return: +43.91%
Back to Professor Mean