Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-23 13:03:19

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
54.2 neutral
20d Trend
+3.9%
5d Trend
-3.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.0%
ATR%
7.2%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.7/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 30.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 30.2

30-Day Momentum

90
+31.7%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
11
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 100.0 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+60 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,957
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,332.09
Current Value
$13,450.40
Period P&L
$4,118.39
Max Drawdown
-24.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.40

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
31 / 6
Best Trade
+12.06%
Worst Trade
-4.84%
Avg Trade Return
+1.03%
Avg Hold Time
10.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$771,199.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,118.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,118.39
Gross Return
+44.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+44.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 INTC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,332.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $43.50 214 $9,309.00
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET $44.06 214 $9,427.77 $9,450.78 +$118.77
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 1:55pm ET $47.39 199 $9,430.61
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 2:25pm ET $47.53 199 $9,457.48 $9,477.65 +$26.87
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $43.55 217 $9,450.35
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:05am ET $43.53 217 $9,447.09 $9,474.40 $-3.25
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $40.81 232 $9,466.76
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $40.99 232 $9,509.68 $9,517.32 +$42.92
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $47.96 198 $9,496.55
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:20pm ET $48.06 198 $9,514.89 $9,535.66 +$18.34
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:10pm ET $50.17 190 $9,533.25
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $50.61 190 $9,616.00 $9,618.41 +$82.75
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $51.83 185 $9,587.63
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $52.40 185 $9,693.08 $9,723.86 +$105.45
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $62.57 155 $9,698.35
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $64.26 155 $9,960.30 $9,985.81 +$261.95
(+2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $63.39 157 $9,952.23
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:20pm ET $62.50 157 $9,812.50 $9,846.08 $-139.73
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $68.99 142 $9,796.58
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 12:15pm ET $69.84 142 $9,916.87 $9,966.37 +$120.29
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:05pm ET $65.55 152 $9,963.60
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 1:55pm ET $65.73 152 $9,990.96 $9,993.73 +$27.36
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:20pm ET $65.61 152 $9,973.48
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:25pm ET $65.63 152 $9,975.76 $9,996.01 +$2.28
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $66.88 149 $9,965.12
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $67.67 149 $10,082.81 $10,113.71 +$117.70
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $81.47 124 $10,102.28
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:10am ET $83.70 124 $10,378.80 $10,390.23 +$276.52
(+2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:50am ET $92.59 112 $10,369.75
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:55am ET $93.04 112 $10,421.04 $10,441.51 +$51.28
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
16 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:00pm ET $98.81 105 $10,375.31
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $99.01 105 $10,396.05 $10,462.25 +$20.74
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
17 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:45pm ET $96.44 108 $10,415.52
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:05pm ET $96.89 108 $10,463.58 $10,510.31 +$48.06
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
18 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $108.00 97 $10,476.00
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $110.66 97 $10,734.02 $10,768.33 +$258.02
(+2.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
19 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:45am ET $109.92 97 $10,661.76
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:55am ET $112.59 97 $10,921.71 $11,028.28 +$259.95
(+2.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
20 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $124.18 88 $10,927.84
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 12:15pm ET $118.35 88 $10,414.36 $10,514.80 $-513.48
(-4.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
21 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $120.76 87 $10,506.12
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $114.91 87 $9,997.17 $10,005.85 $-508.95
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
22 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $109.63 91 $9,976.51
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:35am ET $109.30 91 $9,946.31 $9,975.65 $-30.20
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
23 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 12:25pm ET $104.86 95 $9,961.70
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 12:55pm ET $106.57 95 $10,123.68 $10,137.63 +$161.98
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
24 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 2:55pm ET $111.04 91 $10,104.64
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 3:05pm ET $112.19 91 $10,209.29 $10,242.28 +$104.65
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
25 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $116.73 87 $10,155.51
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $114.42 87 $9,954.55 $10,041.32 $-200.96
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
26 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $120.62 83 $10,011.46
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $122.56 83 $10,172.48 $10,202.34 +$161.02
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held
27 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $119.10 85 $10,123.49
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:50am ET $120.03 85 $10,202.55 $10,281.40 +$79.06
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
28 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:45pm ET $117.41 87 $10,214.66
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:30pm ET $117.91 87 $10,258.17 $10,324.91 +$43.51
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $105.45 97 $10,228.65
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:40am ET $107.14 97 $10,393.06 $10,489.32 +$164.41
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:20pm ET $111.23 94 $10,455.62
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:55pm ET $112.29 94 $10,554.79 $10,588.49 +$99.17
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $111.50 94 $10,480.53
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:25pm ET $112.43 94 $10,568.42 $10,676.38 +$87.89
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $98.96 107 $10,588.72
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $110.90 107 $11,866.09 $11,953.75 +$1,277.37
(+12.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:50pm ET $111.81 106 $11,851.86
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $113.61 106 $12,042.66 $12,144.55 +$190.80
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $127.12 95 $12,076.40
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 1:50pm ET $128.26 95 $12,184.23 $12,252.38 +$107.83
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $117.65 104 $12,235.28
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $121.41 104 $12,626.64 $12,643.74 +$391.36
(+3.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $133.23 94 $12,523.62
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $139.38 94 $13,101.72 $13,221.84 +$578.10
(+4.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7d held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $129.64 101 $13,093.84
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $131.90 101 $13,322.40 $13,450.40 +$228.56
(+1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,450.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,450.40
Total Return: +34.50%
Back to Professor Mean