ISRG Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 39 trades in period
+0.61%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,585.38
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$12,508.49
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,752
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
71 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,508.49
Current Value
$12,585.38
Period P&L
$76.88
Max Drawdown
-17.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
22 /
17
Best Trade
+2.08%
Worst Trade
-2.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
5.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$939,935.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$76.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$76.88
Gross Return
+0.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.61%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 71 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,508.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET | $557.26 | 22 | $12,259.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 2:20pm ET | $557.34 | 22 | $12,261.48 | $12,510.35 |
+$1.85 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $544.50 | 22 | $11,979.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 11:05am ET | $542.33 | 22 | $11,931.15 | $12,462.50 |
$-47.85 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET | $569.00 | 21 | $11,948.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 2:55pm ET | $557.11 | 21 | $11,699.21 | $12,212.81 |
$-249.69 (-2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 3:50pm ET | $561.94 | 21 | $11,800.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $564.20 | 21 | $11,848.20 | $12,260.37 |
+$47.57 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $561.79 | 21 | $11,797.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 10:10am ET | $567.55 | 21 | $11,918.45 | $12,381.23 |
+$120.86 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 10:30am ET | $576.43 | 21 | $12,105.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 11:45am ET | $577.04 | 21 | $12,117.84 | $12,394.04 |
+$12.81 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 2:25pm ET | $568.75 | 21 | $11,943.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $566.96 | 21 | $11,906.16 | $12,356.55 |
$-37.48 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 9:50am ET | $566.00 | 21 | $11,886.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 11:10am ET | $565.88 | 21 | $11,883.48 | $12,354.03 |
$-2.52 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 11:25am ET | $567.07 | 21 | $11,908.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 12:20pm ET | $567.15 | 21 | $11,910.15 | $12,355.82 |
+$1.78 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 9:55am ET | $569.48 | 21 | $11,959.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 12:35pm ET | $565.19 | 21 | $11,868.99 | $12,265.73 |
$-90.09 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 3:50pm ET | $557.63 | 21 | $11,710.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 10:05am ET | $559.00 | 21 | $11,739.00 | $12,294.50 |
+$28.77 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 11:25am ET | $546.54 | 22 | $12,023.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 11:40am ET | $548.64 | 22 | $12,070.08 | $12,340.70 |
+$46.20 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 12:50pm ET | $551.84 | 22 | $12,140.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 1:40pm ET | $554.58 | 22 | $12,200.65 | $12,400.87 |
+$60.17 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 2:00pm ET | $546.57 | 22 | $12,024.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 2:30pm ET | $548.46 | 22 | $12,066.12 | $12,442.45 |
+$41.58 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 12:15pm ET | $559.96 | 22 | $12,319.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 12:40pm ET | $563.79 | 22 | $12,403.38 | $12,526.71 |
+$84.26 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 3:00pm ET | $571.38 | 21 | $11,998.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:05pm ET | $570.51 | 21 | $11,980.61 | $12,508.33 |
$-18.38 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $580.02 | 21 | $12,180.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $578.44 | 21 | $12,147.24 | $12,475.15 |
$-33.18 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 9:35am ET | $575.61 | 21 | $12,087.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 10:20am ET | $577.18 | 21 | $12,120.78 | $12,508.12 |
+$32.97 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 10:45am ET | $576.53 | 21 | $12,107.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 12:55pm ET | $575.35 | 21 | $12,082.25 | $12,483.34 |
$-24.78 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $572.63 | 21 | $12,025.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 11:15am ET | $569.83 | 21 | $11,966.43 | $12,424.54 |
$-58.80 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 12:55pm ET | $556.32 | 22 | $12,239.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 2:10pm ET | $557.54 | 22 | $12,265.88 | $12,451.38 |
+$26.84 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $564.03 | 22 | $12,408.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:35pm ET | $565.72 | 22 | $12,445.84 | $12,488.56 |
+$37.18 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:15pm ET | $597.23 | 20 | $11,944.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $587.58 | 20 | $11,751.60 | $12,295.56 |
$-193.00 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $582.95 | 21 | $12,241.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 11:40am ET | $583.16 | 21 | $12,246.36 | $12,299.97 |
+$4.41 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $570.41 | 21 | $11,978.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $564.79 | 21 | $11,860.59 | $12,181.95 |
$-118.02 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:50am ET | $543.45 | 22 | $11,955.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:30pm ET | $538.57 | 22 | $11,848.54 | $12,074.70 |
$-107.25 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 2:10pm ET | $534.51 | 22 | $11,759.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:15pm ET | $534.35 | 22 | $11,755.70 | $12,071.18 |
$-3.52 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $524.39 | 23 | $12,060.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $526.95 | 23 | $12,119.85 | $12,130.06 |
+$58.88 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 1:50pm ET | $529.61 | 22 | $11,651.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 1:55pm ET | $528.35 | 22 | $11,623.70 | $12,102.34 |
$-27.72 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $520.71 | 23 | $11,976.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $524.59 | 23 | $12,065.57 | $12,191.58 |
+$89.24 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $526.94 | 23 | $12,119.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:35am ET | $530.33 | 23 | $12,197.48 | $12,269.55 |
+$77.97 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $523.64 | 23 | $12,043.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:05pm ET | $523.53 | 23 | $12,041.19 | $12,267.14 |
$-2.42 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:05pm ET | $503.96 | 24 | $12,095.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 2:05pm ET | $504.34 | 24 | $12,104.16 | $12,276.26 |
+$9.12 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $503.60 | 24 | $12,086.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:25pm ET | $504.99 | 24 | $12,119.76 | $12,309.62 |
+$33.36 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $493.77 | 24 | $11,850.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $497.52 | 24 | $11,940.54 | $12,399.68 |
+$90.06 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $466.44 | 26 | $12,127.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:15am ET | $476.12 | 26 | $12,379.17 | $12,651.41 |
+$251.73 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $481.96 | 26 | $12,530.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:10pm ET | $480.05 | 26 | $12,481.30 | $12,601.75 |
$-49.66 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $490.68 | 25 | $12,267.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 2:10pm ET | $492.11 | 25 | $12,302.75 | $12,637.50 |
+$35.75 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $495.48 | 25 | $12,386.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $493.39 | 25 | $12,334.75 | $12,585.38 |
$-52.12 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,585.38
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,585.38
Total Return:
+25.85%