Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,871
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,291.47
Current Value
$9,276.96
Period P&L
$-14.48
Max Drawdown
-14.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
21 / 15
Best Trade
+2.28%
Worst Trade
-1.53%
Avg Trade Return
-0.00%
Avg Hold Time
14h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$661,724.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-14.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$-14.48
Gross Return
-0.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,291.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $234.21 39 $9,134.19
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:55am ET $236.37 39 $9,218.43 $9,375.71 +$84.24
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 10:30am ET $236.42 39 $9,220.38
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 11:45am ET $236.49 39 $9,223.11 $9,378.44 +$2.73
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 3:45pm ET $233.76 40 $9,350.40
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:45am ET $234.34 40 $9,373.60 $9,401.64 +$23.20
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET $236.65 39 $9,229.52
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 1:10pm ET $233.49 39 $9,106.11 $9,278.23 $-123.41
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 3:25pm ET $235.61 39 $9,188.79
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $236.61 39 $9,227.79 $9,317.23 +$39.00
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 2:00pm ET $244.27 38 $9,282.26
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 2:45pm ET $244.54 38 $9,292.33 $9,327.30 +$10.07
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 3:50pm ET $247.53 37 $9,158.43
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 9:45am ET $248.24 37 $9,184.88 $9,353.75 +$26.46
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 2:15pm ET $246.41 37 $9,116.99
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET $246.86 37 $9,133.82 $9,370.59 +$16.84
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:45am ET $249.07 37 $9,215.59
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 10:10am ET $249.41 37 $9,228.17 $9,383.17 +$12.58
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 3:30pm ET $250.82 37 $9,280.34
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $252.09 37 $9,327.15 $9,429.97 +$46.81
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 12:35pm ET $251.93 37 $9,321.41
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 2:35pm ET $251.94 37 $9,321.78 $9,430.34 +$0.37
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:40am ET $257.53 36 $9,271.08
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 12:15pm ET $255.08 36 $9,182.88 $9,342.14 $-88.20
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 3:25pm ET $252.29 37 $9,334.73
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 1:30pm ET $249.42 37 $9,228.54 $9,235.95 $-106.19
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
22.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 3:50pm ET $247.12 37 $9,143.44
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $251.07 37 $9,289.59 $9,382.10 +$146.15
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 1:40pm ET $250.66 37 $9,274.42
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 3:20pm ET $250.82 37 $9,280.34 $9,388.02 +$5.92
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 3:20pm ET $253.58 37 $9,382.28
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET $252.73 37 $9,351.01 $9,356.76 $-31.27
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 9:30am ET $251.50 37 $9,305.50
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 10:10am ET $252.17 37 $9,330.29 $9,381.55 +$24.79
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 2:25pm ET $250.69 37 $9,275.53
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 2:35pm ET $251.10 37 $9,290.70 $9,396.72 +$15.17
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $249.46 37 $9,230.02
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 10:55am ET $249.42 37 $9,228.46 $9,395.15 $-1.56
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 2:30pm ET $246.78 38 $9,377.45
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $246.67 38 $9,373.46 $9,391.16 $-3.99
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $252.81 37 $9,353.97
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $252.01 37 $9,324.37 $9,361.56 $-29.60
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $254.70 36 $9,169.20
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:15am ET $254.91 36 $9,176.76 $9,369.12 +$7.56
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $260.50 35 $9,117.33
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $260.36 35 $9,112.60 $9,364.40 $-4.72
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 2:05pm ET $261.59 35 $9,155.65
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $262.13 35 $9,174.38 $9,383.12 +$18.73
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $266.14 35 $9,314.73
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:05pm ET $266.46 35 $9,326.10 $9,394.50 +$11.37
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $266.31 35 $9,320.85
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $262.23 35 $9,178.05 $9,251.70 $-142.80
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET $265.21 34 $9,017.14
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $264.21 34 $8,983.14 $9,217.70 $-34.00
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $270.35 34 $9,191.90
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $268.05 34 $9,113.70 $9,139.50 $-78.20
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 10:40am ET $263.89 34 $8,972.26
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 12:10pm ET $263.99 34 $8,975.49 $9,142.73 +$3.23
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 10:05am ET $263.83 34 $8,970.05
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 11:50am ET $263.53 34 $8,960.02 $9,132.70 $-10.03
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:50am ET $261.32 34 $8,884.88
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:55am ET $260.40 34 $8,853.60 $9,101.42 $-31.28
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $262.53 34 $8,926.02
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $263.62 34 $8,963.08 $9,138.48 +$37.06
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET $260.53 35 $9,118.55
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:50pm ET $258.09 35 $9,033.15 $9,053.08 $-85.40
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:30pm ET $255.46 35 $8,940.93
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $261.29 35 $9,145.15 $9,257.30 +$204.23
(+2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $263.69 35 $9,229.15
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET $264.82 35 $9,268.70 $9,296.85 +$39.55
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $267.47 34 $9,093.98
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $266.89 34 $9,074.09 $9,276.96 $-19.89
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,276.96
Net Profit/Loss: $-723.04
Total Return: -7.23%
Back to Professor Mean