JNJ Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-04-26 to present • 30 trades in period
+3.38%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,470.62
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$12,062.94
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026
46
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
15.3/35
Total Return
11.7/25
Win Rate
9.5/15
Profit Factor
4.4/15
Consistency
7.4/10
Raw Quality
48.2/100
× Confidence 0.95
= 45.9
30-Day Momentum
6
-0.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-40 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,062.94
Current Value
$12,470.62
Period P&L
$407.72
Max Drawdown
-5.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
20 /
10
Best Trade
+1.94%
Worst Trade
-1.68%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
7.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$734,616.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$407.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$407.72
Gross Return
+3.38%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.38%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,062.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $225.55 | 53 | $11,954.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $227.91 | 53 | $12,079.23 | $12,188.03 |
+$125.13 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:10pm ET | $228.97 | 53 | $12,135.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 2:10pm ET | $227.11 | 53 | $12,036.83 | $12,089.45 |
$-98.58 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 2:45pm ET | $227.04 | 53 | $12,033.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $228.26 | 53 | $12,097.52 | $12,153.85 |
+$64.40 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $228.90 | 53 | $12,131.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:10am ET | $229.57 | 53 | $12,167.21 | $12,189.63 |
+$35.78 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:15pm ET | $224.41 | 54 | $12,118.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 3:50pm ET | $224.60 | 54 | $12,128.40 | $12,199.62 |
+$9.99 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $225.34 | 54 | $12,168.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 11:55am ET | $224.67 | 54 | $12,132.19 | $12,163.45 |
$-36.17 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $221.91 | 54 | $11,983.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $223.19 | 54 | $12,052.26 | $12,232.57 |
+$69.12 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 3:05pm ET | $225.28 | 54 | $12,165.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $225.80 | 54 | $12,193.20 | $12,260.65 |
+$28.08 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $229.50 | 53 | $12,163.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:50am ET | $231.13 | 53 | $12,249.89 | $12,347.04 |
+$86.39 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 10:10am ET | $229.10 | 53 | $12,142.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 12:20pm ET | $228.78 | 53 | $12,125.34 | $12,330.08 |
$-16.96 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 11:35am ET | $229.25 | 53 | $12,150.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 12:10pm ET | $230.05 | 53 | $12,192.65 | $12,372.48 |
+$42.40 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $229.70 | 53 | $12,174.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $229.88 | 53 | $12,183.64 | $12,382.02 |
+$9.54 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $232.97 | 53 | $12,347.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 11:10am ET | $230.24 | 53 | $12,202.72 | $12,237.33 |
$-144.69 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 12:40pm ET | $231.63 | 52 | $12,044.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 2:25pm ET | $231.87 | 52 | $12,057.24 | $12,250.07 |
+$12.74 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $229.33 | 53 | $12,154.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 2:55pm ET | $225.47 | 53 | $11,949.91 | $12,045.49 |
$-204.58 (-1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $222.45 | 54 | $12,012.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $223.96 | 54 | $12,094.11 | $12,127.57 |
+$82.08 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 3:35pm ET | $223.51 | 54 | $12,069.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $227.18 | 54 | $12,267.72 | $12,325.75 |
+$198.18 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 3:00pm ET | $232.74 | 52 | $12,102.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $234.13 | 52 | $12,174.76 | $12,398.03 |
+$72.28 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 3:20pm ET | $236.99 | 52 | $12,323.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $238.79 | 52 | $12,416.82 | $12,491.63 |
+$93.60 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 3:45pm ET | $240.33 | 51 | $12,256.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $239.66 | 51 | $12,222.66 | $12,457.46 |
$-34.17 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $234.21 | 53 | $12,413.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 10:35am ET | $234.30 | 53 | $12,417.90 | $12,462.23 |
+$4.77 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 2:00pm ET | $233.31 | 53 | $12,365.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:10pm ET | $232.90 | 53 | $12,343.70 | $12,440.50 |
$-21.73 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:20pm ET | $228.53 | 54 | $12,340.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 3:40pm ET | $229.54 | 54 | $12,395.16 | $12,495.04 |
+$54.54 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 1:30pm ET | $239.51 | 52 | $12,454.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 2:25pm ET | $239.70 | 52 | $12,464.40 | $12,504.92 |
+$9.88 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $244.97 | 51 | $12,493.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $249.72 | 51 | $12,735.72 | $12,747.17 |
+$242.25 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $256.43 | 49 | $12,565.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $255.56 | 49 | $12,522.44 | $12,704.54 |
$-42.63 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $261.11 | 48 | $12,533.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $258.40 | 48 | $12,403.20 | $12,574.70 |
$-129.84 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 1:40pm ET | $265.12 | 47 | $12,460.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:30pm ET | $266.39 | 47 | $12,520.10 | $12,634.15 |
+$59.45 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 3:25pm ET | $265.12 | 47 | $12,460.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $260.65 | 47 | $12,250.78 | $12,424.30 |
$-209.85 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $258.08 | 48 | $12,387.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $259.05 | 48 | $12,434.16 | $12,470.62 |
+$46.32 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,470.62
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,470.62
Total Return:
+24.71%