JNJ Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 37 trades in period
+3.45%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,935.91
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$12,504.96
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
52
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
18.2/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
9.5/15
Profit Factor
4.8/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality
52.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 51.7
30-Day Momentum
19
-0.5%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.0
Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,504.96
Current Value
$12,935.91
Period P&L
$430.98
Max Drawdown
-5.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
24 /
13
Best Trade
+1.94%
Worst Trade
-1.68%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
6.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$938,654.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$430.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$430.98
Gross Return
+3.45%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.45%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,504.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $244.97 | 51 | $12,493.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $249.72 | 51 | $12,735.72 | $12,747.17 |
+$242.25 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $256.43 | 49 | $12,565.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $255.56 | 49 | $12,522.44 | $12,704.54 |
$-42.63 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $261.11 | 48 | $12,533.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $258.40 | 48 | $12,403.20 | $12,574.70 |
$-129.84 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 1:40pm ET | $265.12 | 47 | $12,460.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:30pm ET | $266.39 | 47 | $12,520.10 | $12,634.15 |
+$59.45 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 3:25pm ET | $265.12 | 47 | $12,460.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $260.65 | 47 | $12,250.78 | $12,424.30 |
$-209.85 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $258.08 | 48 | $12,387.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $259.05 | 48 | $12,434.16 | $12,470.62 |
+$46.32 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $254.28 | 49 | $12,459.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 11:45am ET | $253.52 | 49 | $12,422.48 | $12,433.38 |
$-37.24 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 12:00pm ET | $250.64 | 49 | $12,281.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 12:45pm ET | $251.79 | 49 | $12,337.95 | $12,489.98 |
+$56.59 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 12:50pm ET | $248.44 | 50 | $12,422.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 1:30pm ET | $249.55 | 50 | $12,477.50 | $12,545.48 |
+$55.50 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 3:50pm ET | $252.68 | 49 | $12,381.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $253.40 | 49 | $12,416.60 | $12,581.00 |
+$35.52 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $246.91 | 50 | $12,345.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $249.76 | 50 | $12,488.25 | $12,723.75 |
+$142.75 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 1:00pm ET | $254.89 | 49 | $12,489.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 2:25pm ET | $254.78 | 49 | $12,484.22 | $12,718.36 |
$-5.39 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $262.55 | 48 | $12,602.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 2:05pm ET | $262.76 | 48 | $12,612.48 | $12,728.44 |
+$10.08 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $267.07 | 47 | $12,552.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $270.75 | 47 | $12,725.25 | $12,901.40 |
+$172.96 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 11:00am ET | $266.21 | 48 | $12,778.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 11:15am ET | $267.45 | 48 | $12,837.60 | $12,960.80 |
+$59.40 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 1:25pm ET | $255.54 | 50 | $12,777.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 2:20pm ET | $256.09 | 50 | $12,804.50 | $12,988.05 |
+$27.25 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $256.78 | 50 | $12,839.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $255.49 | 50 | $12,774.25 | $12,923.30 |
$-64.75 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $251.16 | 51 | $12,809.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 10:50am ET | $252.85 | 51 | $12,895.35 | $13,009.49 |
+$86.19 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $256.57 | 50 | $12,828.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 12:05pm ET | $256.32 | 50 | $12,815.75 | $12,996.94 |
$-12.55 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $256.27 | 50 | $12,813.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $256.46 | 50 | $12,823.01 | $13,006.69 |
+$9.75 (+0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $260.07 | 50 | $13,003.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $261.48 | 50 | $13,073.75 | $13,076.94 |
+$70.25 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 10:40am ET | $259.65 | 50 | $12,982.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 11:25am ET | $260.51 | 50 | $13,025.25 | $13,119.69 |
+$42.75 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 1:05pm ET | $262.85 | 49 | $12,879.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $262.33 | 49 | $12,854.17 | $13,094.20 |
$-25.49 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $273.35 | 47 | $12,847.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 11:15am ET | $271.28 | 47 | $12,750.16 | $12,996.91 |
$-97.29 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 1:05pm ET | $270.95 | 47 | $12,734.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 2:05pm ET | $271.11 | 47 | $12,742.17 | $13,004.43 |
+$7.52 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $271.12 | 47 | $12,742.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $270.40 | 47 | $12,709.03 | $12,970.83 |
$-33.60 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $272.20 | 47 | $12,793.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 12:30pm ET | $270.94 | 47 | $12,734.18 | $12,911.84 |
$-58.99 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 12:55pm ET | $266.00 | 48 | $12,768.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 1:20pm ET | $266.70 | 48 | $12,801.41 | $12,945.25 |
+$33.41 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 11:55am ET | $265.76 | 48 | $12,756.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 12:30pm ET | $266.33 | 48 | $12,783.60 | $12,972.37 |
+$27.12 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 11:45am ET | $274.07 | 47 | $12,881.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 12:20pm ET | $274.64 | 47 | $12,908.08 | $12,999.16 |
+$26.79 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 1:40pm ET | $277.69 | 46 | $12,773.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 2:15pm ET | $278.13 | 46 | $12,794.00 | $13,019.42 |
+$20.26 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $271.52 | 47 | $12,761.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $267.30 | 47 | $12,563.33 | $12,821.32 |
$-198.10 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $268.53 | 47 | $12,620.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $270.00 | 47 | $12,690.00 | $12,890.41 |
+$69.09 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 12:50pm ET | $267.54 | 48 | $12,841.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 1:45pm ET | $267.76 | 48 | $12,852.24 | $12,900.82 |
+$10.41 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $268.02 | 48 | $12,864.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 10:40am ET | $268.60 | 48 | $12,892.80 | $12,928.66 |
+$27.84 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 12:45pm ET | $270.80 | 47 | $12,727.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 2:10pm ET | $271.32 | 47 | $12,752.04 | $12,953.33 |
+$24.67 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 12:15pm ET | $267.76 | 48 | $12,852.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 1:30pm ET | $267.39 | 48 | $12,834.96 | $12,935.91 |
$-17.42 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,935.91
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,935.91
Total Return:
+29.36%