JPM Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 42 trades in period
+4.57%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,756.63
Current Value
74%
Win Rate
$12,199.46
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.6 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+1.6%
EMA20 Dist
+0.2%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
42
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
12.6/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
42.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 42.2
30-Day Momentum
17
-0.4%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.1
Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,199.46
Current Value
$12,756.63
Period P&L
$557.14
Max Drawdown
-7.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
31 /
11
Best Trade
+0.93%
Worst Trade
-1.14%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
4.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,046,944.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$557.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$557.14
Gross Return
+4.57%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.57%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 JPM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,199.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $332.01 | 36 | $11,952.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 10:50am ET | $332.12 | 36 | $11,956.32 | $12,203.45 |
+$3.96 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 2:40pm ET | $335.25 | 36 | $12,069.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 3:00pm ET | $336.17 | 36 | $12,102.30 | $12,236.75 |
+$33.30 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 1:15pm ET | $331.10 | 36 | $11,919.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 2:00pm ET | $331.56 | 36 | $11,936.16 | $12,253.31 |
+$16.56 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 2:05pm ET | $328.13 | 37 | $12,140.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 2:50pm ET | $328.39 | 37 | $12,150.43 | $12,262.93 |
+$9.62 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 3:05pm ET | $333.48 | 36 | $12,005.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 3:50pm ET | $333.84 | 36 | $12,018.24 | $12,275.89 |
+$12.96 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $335.92 | 36 | $12,092.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $335.26 | 36 | $12,069.36 | $12,252.31 |
$-23.58 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 2:45pm ET | $334.99 | 36 | $12,059.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $335.17 | 36 | $12,066.12 | $12,258.79 |
+$6.48 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $334.94 | 36 | $12,057.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $337.40 | 36 | $12,146.58 | $12,347.53 |
+$88.74 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 11:35am ET | $340.67 | 36 | $12,264.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 1:20pm ET | $340.84 | 36 | $12,270.24 | $12,353.65 |
+$6.12 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 2:15pm ET | $345.85 | 35 | $12,104.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 3:15pm ET | $347.42 | 35 | $12,159.70 | $12,408.51 |
+$54.86 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 3:30pm ET | $342.04 | 36 | $12,313.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $343.13 | 36 | $12,352.50 | $12,447.75 |
+$39.24 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $339.40 | 36 | $12,218.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 11:40am ET | $340.48 | 36 | $12,257.46 | $12,486.81 |
+$39.06 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 3:10pm ET | $344.62 | 36 | $12,406.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 3:15pm ET | $344.35 | 36 | $12,396.60 | $12,477.16 |
$-9.65 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $346.38 | 36 | $12,469.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 10:30am ET | $348.07 | 36 | $12,530.52 | $12,538.00 |
+$60.84 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 2:45pm ET | $352.09 | 35 | $12,323.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 3:35pm ET | $352.48 | 35 | $12,336.80 | $12,551.65 |
+$13.65 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $354.70 | 35 | $12,414.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $356.06 | 35 | $12,462.10 | $12,599.25 |
+$47.60 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 11:50am ET | $348.31 | 36 | $12,539.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 12:45pm ET | $349.15 | 36 | $12,569.40 | $12,629.49 |
+$30.24 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 2:35pm ET | $352.78 | 35 | $12,347.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 3:25pm ET | $353.24 | 35 | $12,363.57 | $12,645.76 |
+$16.27 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 1:25pm ET | $359.86 | 35 | $12,595.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 3:05pm ET | $359.61 | 35 | $12,586.18 | $12,636.84 |
$-8.92 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $358.73 | 35 | $12,555.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $359.98 | 35 | $12,599.30 | $12,680.59 |
+$43.75 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $357.20 | 35 | $12,502.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $358.23 | 35 | $12,538.22 | $12,716.81 |
+$36.22 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $361.54 | 35 | $12,653.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $362.43 | 35 | $12,685.05 | $12,747.96 |
+$31.15 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $363.68 | 35 | $12,728.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 10:20am ET | $364.74 | 35 | $12,765.90 | $12,785.06 |
+$37.10 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 11:40am ET | $363.82 | 35 | $12,733.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 2:10pm ET | $362.82 | 35 | $12,698.53 | $12,749.88 |
$-35.18 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $361.72 | 35 | $12,660.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 11:10am ET | $361.26 | 35 | $12,643.93 | $12,733.61 |
$-16.27 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 1:55pm ET | $356.09 | 35 | $12,463.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 3:05pm ET | $356.52 | 35 | $12,478.37 | $12,748.83 |
+$15.22 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 3:05pm ET | $352.61 | 36 | $12,694.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $353.43 | 36 | $12,723.48 | $12,778.25 |
+$29.42 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $355.71 | 35 | $12,449.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 2:00pm ET | $355.57 | 35 | $12,444.95 | $12,773.50 |
$-4.75 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $356.05 | 35 | $12,461.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $357.14 | 35 | $12,499.90 | $12,811.65 |
+$38.15 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $352.91 | 36 | $12,704.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 10:55am ET | $354.80 | 36 | $12,772.80 | $12,879.69 |
+$68.04 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 1:45pm ET | $356.16 | 36 | $12,821.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 2:40pm ET | $356.55 | 36 | $12,835.98 | $12,893.91 |
+$14.22 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 2:40pm ET | $355.26 | 36 | $12,789.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 3:20pm ET | $355.69 | 36 | $12,804.67 | $12,909.22 |
+$15.31 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 3:30pm ET | $354.39 | 36 | $12,758.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $357.68 | 36 | $12,876.66 | $13,027.84 |
+$118.62 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $361.19 | 36 | $13,002.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 11:50am ET | $357.06 | 36 | $12,854.16 | $12,879.16 |
$-148.68 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 1:30pm ET | $355.02 | 36 | $12,780.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 1:55pm ET | $355.70 | 36 | $12,805.38 | $12,903.82 |
+$24.66 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $353.53 | 36 | $12,727.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 10:55am ET | $352.77 | 36 | $12,699.85 | $12,876.59 |
$-27.23 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $354.51 | 36 | $12,762.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 11:55am ET | $352.17 | 36 | $12,677.94 | $12,792.35 |
$-84.24 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $348.48 | 36 | $12,545.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $348.59 | 36 | $12,549.24 | $12,796.49 |
+$4.14 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $346.08 | 36 | $12,458.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $345.69 | 36 | $12,444.84 | $12,782.45 |
$-14.04 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 11:30am ET | $350.46 | 36 | $12,616.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $351.44 | 36 | $12,651.84 | $12,817.55 |
+$35.10 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $339.91 | 37 | $12,576.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $337.22 | 37 | $12,477.14 | $12,718.02 |
$-99.53 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $336.58 | 37 | $12,453.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $337.62 | 37 | $12,491.94 | $12,756.63 |
+$38.61 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,756.63
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,756.63
Total Return:
+27.57%