JPM Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-04-26 to present • 32 trades in period
+5.70%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,258.79
Current Value
81%
Win Rate
$11,597.73
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.6 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+1.6%
EMA20 Dist
+0.2%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026
37
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
10.5/35
Total Return
11.4/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
38.9/100
× Confidence 0.95
= 36.9
30-Day Momentum
17
+0.2%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.2
Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,597.73
Current Value
$12,258.79
Period P&L
$661.03
Max Drawdown
-7.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.40
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
26 /
6
Best Trade
+1.04%
Worst Trade
-1.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.18%
Avg Hold Time
7.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$758,509.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$661.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$661.03
Gross Return
+5.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.70%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 JPM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,597.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:45pm ET | $312.42 | 37 | $11,559.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:40pm ET | $311.62 | 37 | $11,529.94 | $11,567.98 |
$-29.78 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $306.99 | 37 | $11,358.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $310.17 | 37 | $11,476.29 | $11,685.64 |
+$117.66 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $312.59 | 37 | $11,565.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $314.30 | 37 | $11,629.10 | $11,748.91 |
+$63.27 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $314.75 | 37 | $11,645.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 2:15pm ET | $314.82 | 37 | $11,648.34 | $11,751.34 |
+$2.43 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $306.45 | 38 | $11,645.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 3:35pm ET | $307.21 | 38 | $11,673.98 | $11,780.03 |
+$28.69 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $300.14 | 39 | $11,705.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $301.61 | 39 | $11,762.60 | $11,837.16 |
+$57.13 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $296.20 | 39 | $11,551.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $298.35 | 39 | $11,635.65 | $11,921.01 |
+$83.85 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 2:15pm ET | $300.98 | 39 | $11,738.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 3:00pm ET | $301.30 | 39 | $11,750.70 | $11,933.49 |
+$12.48 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 3:40pm ET | $300.39 | 39 | $11,715.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 12:35pm ET | $297.76 | 39 | $11,612.64 | $11,830.92 |
$-102.57 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.9h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 2:25pm ET | $298.86 | 39 | $11,655.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 3:05pm ET | $300.54 | 39 | $11,721.06 | $11,896.44 |
+$65.52 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $293.95 | 40 | $11,757.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $296.64 | 40 | $11,865.80 | $12,004.44 |
+$108.00 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 12:45pm ET | $300.94 | 39 | $11,736.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 1:10pm ET | $301.33 | 39 | $11,751.87 | $12,019.65 |
+$15.21 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $306.18 | 39 | $11,941.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $307.80 | 39 | $12,004.20 | $12,082.83 |
+$63.18 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $305.10 | 39 | $11,898.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 10:35am ET | $301.82 | 39 | $11,770.98 | $11,954.91 |
$-127.92 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 2:15pm ET | $295.86 | 40 | $11,834.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 3:05pm ET | $296.40 | 40 | $11,856.20 | $11,976.71 |
+$21.80 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $296.44 | 40 | $11,857.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $298.21 | 40 | $11,928.40 | $12,047.51 |
+$70.80 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $299.93 | 40 | $11,997.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $298.92 | 40 | $11,956.80 | $12,007.11 |
$-40.40 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 12:05pm ET | $310.40 | 38 | $11,795.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 12:50pm ET | $311.40 | 38 | $11,833.20 | $12,045.11 |
+$38.00 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 1:00pm ET | $312.23 | 38 | $11,864.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 1:50pm ET | $312.23 | 38 | $11,864.74 | $12,045.30 |
+$0.19 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 3:35pm ET | $311.97 | 38 | $11,854.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $312.74 | 38 | $11,884.12 | $12,074.56 |
+$29.26 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 1:00pm ET | $309.67 | 38 | $11,767.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:15pm ET | $310.59 | 38 | $11,802.42 | $12,109.52 |
+$34.96 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 2:05pm ET | $320.47 | 37 | $11,857.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 2:55pm ET | $320.72 | 37 | $11,866.64 | $12,118.77 |
+$9.25 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 12:45pm ET | $335.71 | 36 | $12,085.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 12:55pm ET | $336.58 | 36 | $12,116.88 | $12,150.09 |
+$31.32 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:30pm ET | $326.68 | 37 | $12,087.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $329.07 | 37 | $12,175.59 | $12,238.52 |
+$88.43 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $329.92 | 37 | $12,207.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $328.87 | 37 | $12,168.19 | $12,199.49 |
$-39.03 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $332.01 | 36 | $11,952.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 10:50am ET | $332.12 | 36 | $11,956.32 | $12,203.45 |
+$3.96 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 2:40pm ET | $335.25 | 36 | $12,069.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 3:00pm ET | $336.17 | 36 | $12,102.30 | $12,236.75 |
+$33.30 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 1:15pm ET | $331.10 | 36 | $11,919.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 2:00pm ET | $331.56 | 36 | $11,936.16 | $12,253.31 |
+$16.56 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 2:05pm ET | $328.13 | 37 | $12,140.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 2:50pm ET | $328.39 | 37 | $12,150.43 | $12,262.93 |
+$9.62 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 3:05pm ET | $333.48 | 36 | $12,005.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 3:50pm ET | $333.84 | 36 | $12,018.24 | $12,275.89 |
+$12.96 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $335.92 | 36 | $12,092.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $335.26 | 36 | $12,069.36 | $12,252.31 |
$-23.58 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 2:45pm ET | $334.99 | 36 | $12,059.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $335.17 | 36 | $12,066.12 | $12,258.79 |
+$6.48 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,258.79
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,258.79
Total Return:
+22.59%