LCID Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 38 trades in period
-14.67%
Last 3 Months Return
$6,853.78
Current Value
61%
Win Rate
$8,032.25
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality
10.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 10.8
30-Day Momentum
16
-9.5%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.9
Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,985
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,032.25
Current Value
$6,853.78
Period P&L
$-1,178.44
Max Drawdown
-30.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
23 /
15
Best Trade
+2.92%
Worst Trade
-8.15%
Avg Trade Return
-0.39%
Avg Hold Time
8.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$573,620.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,178.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,178.44
Gross Return
-14.67%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.67%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,032.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 2:05pm ET | $5.11 | 1,571 | $8,027.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 3:30pm ET | $5.12 | 1,571 | $8,043.52 | $8,047.93 |
+$15.71 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 12:00pm ET | $6.65 | 1,210 | $8,046.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 12:10pm ET | $6.76 | 1,210 | $8,179.60 | $8,181.03 |
+$133.10 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 12:30pm ET | $6.07 | 1,347 | $8,176.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.13 | 1,347 | $8,257.11 | $8,261.98 |
+$80.95 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.39 | 1,292 | $8,255.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 11:45am ET | $6.07 | 1,292 | $7,848.90 | $7,855.00 |
$-406.98 (-4.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 2:55pm ET | $5.86 | 1,339 | $7,853.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $5.80 | 1,339 | $7,759.51 | $7,761.27 |
$-93.73 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 11:05am ET | $5.84 | 1,328 | $7,755.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 3:15pm ET | $5.63 | 1,328 | $7,470.00 | $7,475.75 |
$-285.52 (-3.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $5.49 | 1,360 | $7,473.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 12:15pm ET | $5.55 | 1,360 | $7,541.20 | $7,543.75 |
+$68.00 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 12:55pm ET | $6.54 | 1,153 | $7,540.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 1:00pm ET | $6.45 | 1,153 | $7,436.85 | $7,439.98 |
$-103.77 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $7.27 | 1,023 | $7,436.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 11:50am ET | $7.24 | 1,023 | $7,411.63 | $7,415.43 |
$-24.55 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 11:50am ET | $7.23 | 1,025 | $7,410.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 2:20pm ET | $6.96 | 1,025 | $7,138.20 | $7,142.78 |
$-272.65 (-3.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 11:05am ET | $6.37 | 1,121 | $7,140.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 11:25am ET | $6.51 | 1,121 | $7,297.71 | $7,299.72 |
+$156.94 (+2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 11:40am ET | $6.38 | 1,144 | $7,298.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 12:25pm ET | $6.42 | 1,144 | $7,344.37 | $7,345.36 |
+$45.65 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.57 | 970 | $7,341.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $7.79 | 970 | $7,556.30 | $7,559.93 |
+$214.56 (+2.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 12:10pm ET | $7.50 | 1,008 | $7,559.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 1:15pm ET | $7.55 | 1,008 | $7,615.44 | $7,615.77 |
+$55.84 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 2:05pm ET | $7.53 | 1,010 | $7,610.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $7.43 | 1,010 | $7,499.25 | $7,504.67 |
$-111.10 (-1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.62 | 984 | $7,498.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 10:40am ET | $7.64 | 984 | $7,517.76 | $7,524.35 |
+$19.68 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 1:40pm ET | $6.41 | 1,173 | $7,518.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 3:10pm ET | $6.47 | 1,173 | $7,595.17 | $7,600.60 |
+$76.25 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $6.90 | 1,101 | $7,593.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 3:15pm ET | $6.97 | 1,101 | $7,679.47 | $7,686.37 |
+$85.77 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 3:25pm ET | $6.54 | 1,175 | $7,684.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.62 | 1,175 | $7,778.50 | $7,780.37 |
+$94.00 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 10:05am ET | $6.60 | 1,178 | $7,774.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 11:50am ET | $6.48 | 1,178 | $7,633.09 | $7,638.54 |
$-141.83 (-1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 2:00pm ET | $6.37 | 1,199 | $7,638.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 3:10pm ET | $6.39 | 1,199 | $7,661.61 | $7,662.04 |
+$23.50 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 10:35am ET | $6.05 | 1,266 | $7,659.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 11:30am ET | $6.11 | 1,266 | $7,741.59 | $7,744.33 |
+$82.29 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 1:50pm ET | $5.84 | 1,324 | $7,738.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $5.78 | 1,324 | $7,652.19 | $7,657.74 |
$-86.59 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:50am ET | $5.70 | 1,343 | $7,655.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 1:55pm ET | $5.70 | 1,343 | $7,661.81 | $7,664.46 |
+$6.72 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $5.51 | 1,392 | $7,662.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.42 | 1,392 | $7,544.64 | $7,546.14 |
$-118.32 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.02 | 1,503 | $7,545.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 10:20am ET | $5.14 | 1,503 | $7,725.42 | $7,726.50 |
+$180.36 (+2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 2:45pm ET | $4.94 | 1,564 | $7,726.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.00 | 1,564 | $7,820.00 | $7,820.18 |
+$93.68 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.03 | 1,554 | $7,816.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $5.09 | 1,554 | $7,917.63 | $7,921.19 |
+$101.01 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 1:55pm ET | $4.89 | 1,618 | $7,920.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.72 | 1,618 | $7,628.87 | $7,629.95 |
$-291.24 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.53 | 1,686 | $7,629.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $4.59 | 1,686 | $7,747.17 | $7,747.97 |
+$118.02 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 3:45pm ET | $4.57 | 1,693 | $7,745.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 11:15am ET | $4.53 | 1,693 | $7,660.83 | $7,663.32 |
$-84.65 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $4.66 | 1,642 | $7,659.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 12:20pm ET | $4.28 | 1,642 | $7,035.97 | $7,039.36 |
$-623.96 (-8.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 2:05pm ET | $4.26 | 1,652 | $7,037.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $4.30 | 1,652 | $7,103.60 | $7,105.44 |
+$66.08 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 11:25am ET | $4.14 | 1,716 | $7,104.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 11:45am ET | $4.16 | 1,716 | $7,147.14 | $7,148.34 |
+$42.90 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 1:15pm ET | $4.03 | 1,772 | $7,145.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:45pm ET | $3.99 | 1,772 | $7,067.80 | $7,070.90 |
$-77.44 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.26 | 1,657 | $7,067.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 12:10pm ET | $4.11 | 1,657 | $6,818.55 | $6,822.35 |
$-248.55 (-3.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 12:00pm ET | $4.24 | 1,609 | $6,822.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 12:45pm ET | $4.24 | 1,609 | $6,830.20 | $6,830.23 |
+$7.88 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $4.06 | 1,682 | $6,828.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 11:20am ET | $4.07 | 1,682 | $6,852.47 | $6,853.78 |
+$23.55 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,853.78
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,146.22
Total Return:
-31.46%