MA Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 43 trades in period
+1.58%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,188.17
Current Value
72%
Win Rate
$11,013.85
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.18%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026
32
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.1/35
Total Return
9.2/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
31.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 31.8
30-Day Momentum
20
-1.2%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.0
Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-12 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,013.85
Current Value
$11,188.17
Period P&L
$174.34
Max Drawdown
-5.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
31 /
12
Best Trade
+1.17%
Worst Trade
-1.52%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
8.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$939,460.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$174.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$174.34
Gross Return
+1.58%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.58%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,013.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 12:15pm ET | $496.08 | 22 | $10,913.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 2:15pm ET | $495.21 | 22 | $10,894.62 | $10,994.82 |
$-19.03 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 2:45pm ET | $500.47 | 21 | $10,509.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $505.73 | 21 | $10,620.33 | $11,105.28 |
+$110.46 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $508.99 | 21 | $10,688.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $511.46 | 21 | $10,740.76 | $11,157.25 |
+$51.98 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 3:05pm ET | $524.45 | 21 | $11,013.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $530.58 | 21 | $11,142.08 | $11,285.88 |
+$128.63 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $531.83 | 21 | $11,168.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $529.12 | 21 | $11,111.52 | $11,228.96 |
$-56.92 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 11:10am ET | $535.12 | 20 | $10,702.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:35pm ET | $532.01 | 20 | $10,640.20 | $11,166.76 |
$-62.20 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $517.82 | 21 | $10,874.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $520.16 | 21 | $10,923.36 | $11,215.90 |
+$49.14 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $519.89 | 21 | $10,917.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 12:55pm ET | $521.25 | 21 | $10,946.25 | $11,244.46 |
+$28.56 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 3:30pm ET | $536.38 | 20 | $10,727.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $537.79 | 20 | $10,755.80 | $11,272.76 |
+$28.30 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $531.90 | 21 | $11,169.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $538.03 | 21 | $11,298.73 | $11,401.59 |
+$128.83 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $546.78 | 20 | $10,935.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 12:55pm ET | $548.37 | 20 | $10,967.40 | $11,433.49 |
+$31.90 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 1:00pm ET | $541.10 | 21 | $11,363.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 1:35pm ET | $542.28 | 21 | $11,387.93 | $11,458.32 |
+$24.83 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $544.34 | 21 | $11,431.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $540.96 | 21 | $11,360.16 | $11,387.34 |
$-70.98 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $535.95 | 21 | $11,254.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 11:25am ET | $536.40 | 21 | $11,264.30 | $11,396.80 |
+$9.45 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 12:45pm ET | $526.53 | 21 | $11,057.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 12:50pm ET | $527.50 | 21 | $11,077.50 | $11,417.16 |
+$20.37 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 12:45pm ET | $551.43 | 20 | $11,028.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $552.36 | 20 | $11,047.20 | $11,435.76 |
+$18.60 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 3:10pm ET | $560.71 | 20 | $11,214.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 3:15pm ET | $561.41 | 20 | $11,228.10 | $11,449.76 |
+$14.00 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $568.53 | 20 | $11,370.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $568.66 | 20 | $11,373.10 | $11,452.26 |
+$2.50 (+0.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 3:35pm ET | $573.89 | 19 | $10,903.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $566.67 | 19 | $10,766.73 | $11,315.08 |
$-137.18 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 11:20am ET | $569.76 | 19 | $10,825.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 12:20pm ET | $570.45 | 19 | $10,838.55 | $11,328.17 |
+$13.09 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $571.91 | 19 | $10,866.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 12:45pm ET | $564.78 | 19 | $10,730.82 | $11,192.70 |
$-135.47 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 2:35pm ET | $559.86 | 19 | $10,637.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 3:10pm ET | $560.75 | 19 | $10,654.25 | $11,209.52 |
+$16.82 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $561.63 | 19 | $10,670.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $558.15 | 19 | $10,604.85 | $11,143.40 |
$-66.12 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 10:40am ET | $564.88 | 19 | $10,732.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $566.61 | 19 | $10,765.59 | $11,176.27 |
+$32.87 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $562.82 | 19 | $10,693.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $564.33 | 19 | $10,722.18 | $11,204.87 |
+$28.60 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $574.53 | 19 | $10,916.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET | $577.82 | 19 | $10,978.53 | $11,267.33 |
+$62.46 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $577.45 | 19 | $10,971.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 2:50pm ET | $576.80 | 19 | $10,959.20 | $11,254.98 |
$-12.35 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 12:30pm ET | $595.27 | 18 | $10,714.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 1:00pm ET | $596.26 | 18 | $10,732.59 | $11,272.80 |
+$17.82 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 3:25pm ET | $597.37 | 18 | $10,752.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $599.29 | 18 | $10,787.22 | $11,307.36 |
+$34.56 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $593.06 | 19 | $11,268.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 10:55am ET | $592.13 | 19 | $11,250.38 | $11,289.60 |
$-17.76 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $594.62 | 18 | $10,703.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $590.24 | 18 | $10,624.41 | $11,210.85 |
$-78.75 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:45am ET | $587.53 | 19 | $11,162.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 10:10am ET | $590.86 | 19 | $11,226.34 | $11,274.22 |
+$63.37 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $586.16 | 19 | $11,137.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:15am ET | $586.74 | 19 | $11,148.15 | $11,285.33 |
+$11.12 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 1:40pm ET | $581.32 | 19 | $11,045.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $572.50 | 19 | $10,877.50 | $11,117.75 |
$-167.58 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $566.28 | 19 | $10,759.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 11:00am ET | $567.73 | 19 | $10,786.96 | $11,145.49 |
+$27.74 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $564.06 | 19 | $10,717.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 2:50pm ET | $564.56 | 19 | $10,726.64 | $11,154.99 |
+$9.50 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 2:50pm ET | $572.03 | 19 | $10,868.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $573.29 | 19 | $10,892.51 | $11,178.93 |
+$23.94 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $568.26 | 19 | $10,796.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $572.30 | 19 | $10,873.79 | $11,255.88 |
+$76.95 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $564.55 | 19 | $10,726.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 11:20am ET | $565.70 | 19 | $10,748.30 | $11,277.64 |
+$21.76 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 1:40pm ET | $565.32 | 19 | $10,740.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 2:45pm ET | $566.74 | 19 | $10,768.15 | $11,304.81 |
+$27.17 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $564.35 | 20 | $11,287.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 12:20pm ET | $557.24 | 20 | $11,144.80 | $11,162.61 |
$-142.20 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $559.58 | 19 | $10,632.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 1:55pm ET | $560.21 | 19 | $10,643.99 | $11,174.58 |
+$11.97 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2026 3:05pm ET | $566.94 | 19 | $10,771.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $567.66 | 19 | $10,785.45 | $11,188.17 |
+$13.59 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,188.17
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,188.17
Total Return:
+11.88%