MCD Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 36 trades in period
-1.37%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,211.45
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$12,381.18
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,980
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
69 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,381.18
Current Value
$12,211.45
Period P&L
$-169.71
Max Drawdown
-4.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
17 /
19
Best Trade
+0.81%
Worst Trade
-1.07%
Avg Trade Return
-0.04%
Avg Hold Time
8.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$873,406.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-169.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$-169.71
Gross Return
-1.37%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.37%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 69 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,381.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 2:30pm ET | $307.50 | 40 | $12,299.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $310.00 | 40 | $12,400.00 | $12,481.97 |
+$100.20 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 11:10am ET | $304.64 | 40 | $12,185.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 11:55am ET | $305.23 | 40 | $12,209.20 | $12,505.57 |
+$23.60 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 2:20pm ET | $305.60 | 40 | $12,223.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 11:20am ET | $303.05 | 40 | $12,122.00 | $12,403.77 |
$-101.80 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
21h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $308.00 | 40 | $12,320.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 10:45am ET | $308.36 | 40 | $12,334.40 | $12,418.17 |
+$14.40 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 1:25pm ET | $309.07 | 40 | $12,362.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 2:30pm ET | $309.08 | 40 | $12,363.35 | $12,418.71 |
+$0.55 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 3:20pm ET | $311.08 | 39 | $12,131.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 3:40pm ET | $311.68 | 39 | $12,155.52 | $12,442.31 |
+$23.60 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 1:55pm ET | $305.23 | 40 | $12,209.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $301.98 | 40 | $12,079.20 | $12,312.51 |
$-129.80 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 11:30am ET | $308.13 | 39 | $12,017.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 12:45pm ET | $308.19 | 39 | $12,019.22 | $12,314.65 |
+$2.15 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 3:50pm ET | $310.72 | 39 | $12,118.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:45am ET | $311.67 | 39 | $12,154.94 | $12,351.51 |
+$36.85 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 12:45pm ET | $308.52 | 40 | $12,340.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 1:25pm ET | $309.42 | 40 | $12,376.80 | $12,387.51 |
+$36.00 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 1:25pm ET | $311.06 | 39 | $12,131.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $310.82 | 39 | $12,121.98 | $12,378.14 |
$-9.36 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 11:10am ET | $316.46 | 39 | $12,341.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 1:00pm ET | $316.33 | 39 | $12,336.87 | $12,373.07 |
$-5.07 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 2:00pm ET | $314.97 | 39 | $12,283.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 2:35pm ET | $315.68 | 39 | $12,311.62 | $12,401.05 |
+$27.98 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 3:50pm ET | $320.34 | 38 | $12,172.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $319.75 | 38 | $12,150.50 | $12,378.82 |
$-22.23 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $315.85 | 39 | $12,318.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $314.57 | 39 | $12,268.42 | $12,329.09 |
$-49.73 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $311.75 | 39 | $12,158.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET | $311.18 | 39 | $12,135.83 | $12,306.86 |
$-22.23 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 12:30pm ET | $310.36 | 39 | $12,104.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 2:10pm ET | $310.23 | 39 | $12,098.97 | $12,301.79 |
$-5.07 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $306.85 | 40 | $12,274.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 11:10am ET | $307.36 | 40 | $12,294.41 | $12,322.20 |
+$20.41 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 3:00pm ET | $306.21 | 40 | $12,248.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $302.95 | 40 | $12,117.80 | $12,191.80 |
$-130.40 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $301.21 | 40 | $12,048.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 11:20am ET | $301.16 | 40 | $12,046.40 | $12,189.80 |
$-2.00 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 1:40pm ET | $303.25 | 40 | $12,130.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:20pm ET | $302.98 | 40 | $12,119.20 | $12,179.00 |
$-10.80 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $303.51 | 40 | $12,140.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $304.92 | 40 | $12,196.80 | $12,235.60 |
+$56.60 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $306.71 | 39 | $11,961.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 11:20am ET | $306.06 | 39 | $11,936.27 | $12,210.19 |
$-25.42 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 1:40pm ET | $306.46 | 39 | $11,951.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:45pm ET | $306.46 | 39 | $11,951.94 | $12,210.19 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 1:25pm ET | $307.01 | 39 | $11,973.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:05pm ET | $306.69 | 39 | $11,960.91 | $12,197.71 |
$-12.48 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $306.92 | 39 | $11,970.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 11:15am ET | $306.59 | 39 | $11,956.82 | $12,184.47 |
$-13.24 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $304.54 | 40 | $12,181.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 1:40pm ET | $303.85 | 40 | $12,153.80 | $12,156.67 |
$-27.80 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:30pm ET | $306.15 | 39 | $11,939.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:30pm ET | $306.03 | 39 | $11,935.17 | $12,152.18 |
$-4.49 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 11:10am ET | $311.47 | 39 | $12,147.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 12:50pm ET | $311.18 | 39 | $12,136.02 | $12,140.87 |
$-11.31 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:40pm ET | $313.57 | 38 | $11,915.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $314.14 | 38 | $11,937.32 | $12,162.53 |
+$21.66 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:55pm ET | $315.73 | 38 | $11,997.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 1:20pm ET | $316.48 | 38 | $12,026.24 | $12,191.03 |
+$28.50 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 12:40pm ET | $316.95 | 38 | $12,044.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 1:45pm ET | $316.78 | 38 | $12,037.64 | $12,184.38 |
$-6.65 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:55pm ET | $319.94 | 38 | $12,157.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:05pm ET | $320.18 | 38 | $12,166.84 | $12,193.50 |
+$9.12 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $322.20 | 37 | $11,921.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $324.10 | 37 | $11,991.70 | $12,263.62 |
+$70.12 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $323.82 | 37 | $11,981.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $325.90 | 37 | $12,058.48 | $12,340.95 |
+$77.33 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:20pm ET | $326.62 | 37 | $12,084.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $323.12 | 37 | $11,955.44 | $12,211.45 |
$-129.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,211.45
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,211.45
Total Return:
+22.11%