MDT Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 39 trades in period
+0.67%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,617.39
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$9,553.14
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
12
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
12.5/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 12.4
30-Day Momentum
14
-1.5%
30d Return
54%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.2
Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,553.14
Current Value
$9,617.39
Period P&L
$64.21
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
21 /
18
Best Trade
+3.36%
Worst Trade
-1.40%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
6.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$751,011.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$64.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$64.21
Gross Return
+0.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.67%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,553.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 2:05pm ET | $81.10 | 117 | $9,488.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:55am ET | $80.74 | 117 | $9,446.58 | $9,511.07 |
$-42.12 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 1:20pm ET | $81.25 | 117 | $9,506.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.20 | 117 | $9,383.40 | $9,388.22 |
$-122.85 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 11:30am ET | $79.18 | 118 | $9,343.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 2:10pm ET | $79.07 | 118 | $9,330.26 | $9,374.65 |
$-13.57 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $81.81 | 114 | $9,326.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $82.38 | 114 | $9,391.32 | $9,439.63 |
+$64.98 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 11:05am ET | $84.83 | 111 | $9,416.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 12:30pm ET | $84.57 | 111 | $9,387.27 | $9,410.77 |
$-28.86 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 1:40pm ET | $81.99 | 114 | $9,346.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 2:15pm ET | $82.18 | 114 | $9,367.95 | $9,431.86 |
+$21.09 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 12:25pm ET | $82.90 | 113 | $9,367.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 12:50pm ET | $83.45 | 113 | $9,429.85 | $9,494.01 |
+$62.15 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 2:35pm ET | $83.82 | 113 | $9,471.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 3:50pm ET | $83.88 | 113 | $9,478.44 | $9,500.79 |
+$6.78 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 1:55pm ET | $80.86 | 117 | $9,461.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.58 | 117 | $9,778.86 | $9,818.44 |
+$317.66 (+3.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.6h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 12:05pm ET | $83.28 | 117 | $9,743.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 2:00pm ET | $82.96 | 117 | $9,706.32 | $9,781.00 |
$-37.44 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 2:55pm ET | $83.64 | 116 | $9,702.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.46 | 116 | $9,565.94 | $9,644.70 |
$-136.30 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $82.08 | 117 | $9,603.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $82.44 | 117 | $9,645.48 | $9,686.82 |
+$42.12 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 1:25pm ET | $81.79 | 118 | $9,651.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 2:05pm ET | $81.96 | 118 | $9,671.28 | $9,706.88 |
+$20.06 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 12:35pm ET | $84.76 | 114 | $9,662.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 1:10pm ET | $84.93 | 114 | $9,682.02 | $9,726.26 |
+$19.38 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.57 | 112 | $9,695.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $87.19 | 112 | $9,765.28 | $9,796.26 |
+$70.00 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $86.22 | 113 | $9,742.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 11:45am ET | $85.49 | 113 | $9,659.81 | $9,713.20 |
$-83.06 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.54 | 113 | $9,666.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $85.23 | 113 | $9,630.99 | $9,677.61 |
$-35.59 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $85.57 | 113 | $9,669.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $85.93 | 113 | $9,710.09 | $9,718.29 |
+$40.68 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 12:40pm ET | $86.15 | 112 | $9,648.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 2:05pm ET | $86.13 | 112 | $9,646.56 | $9,716.05 |
$-2.24 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $88.84 | 109 | $9,683.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 3:40pm ET | $88.99 | 109 | $9,699.37 | $9,731.86 |
+$15.81 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $88.71 | 109 | $9,669.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 10:45am ET | $89.39 | 109 | $9,744.05 | $9,805.98 |
+$74.12 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 12:10pm ET | $90.81 | 107 | $9,716.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 1:55pm ET | $90.73 | 107 | $9,708.11 | $9,797.96 |
$-8.02 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $91.39 | 107 | $9,778.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $90.67 | 107 | $9,701.16 | $9,720.39 |
$-77.57 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 3:40pm ET | $92.38 | 105 | $9,699.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $93.15 | 105 | $9,780.37 | $9,800.86 |
+$80.47 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 12:35pm ET | $93.35 | 104 | $9,708.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 2:35pm ET | $92.82 | 104 | $9,652.76 | $9,745.22 |
$-55.64 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 10:45am ET | $93.12 | 104 | $9,684.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 11:55am ET | $93.33 | 104 | $9,706.32 | $9,767.06 |
+$21.84 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 3:30pm ET | $91.75 | 106 | $9,724.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $91.14 | 106 | $9,660.31 | $9,702.40 |
$-64.66 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $90.90 | 106 | $9,635.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $91.29 | 106 | $9,676.74 | $9,743.74 |
+$41.34 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 2:35pm ET | $90.94 | 107 | $9,730.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 2:55pm ET | $91.09 | 107 | $9,746.63 | $9,759.79 |
+$16.05 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 3:05pm ET | $92.18 | 105 | $9,678.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $92.57 | 105 | $9,719.85 | $9,801.26 |
+$41.47 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 3:25pm ET | $92.47 | 105 | $9,709.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $92.64 | 105 | $9,727.72 | $9,819.63 |
+$18.37 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $92.93 | 105 | $9,757.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 11:20am ET | $92.29 | 105 | $9,690.45 | $9,752.43 |
$-67.20 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 3:00pm ET | $92.22 | 105 | $9,683.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $92.15 | 105 | $9,676.27 | $9,745.08 |
$-7.35 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 10:35am ET | $90.89 | 107 | $9,725.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 12:25pm ET | $90.54 | 107 | $9,687.78 | $9,707.27 |
$-37.81 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $93.08 | 104 | $9,680.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 10:50am ET | $93.39 | 104 | $9,712.56 | $9,738.99 |
+$31.72 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 12:45pm ET | $94.08 | 103 | $9,690.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:25pm ET | $93.67 | 103 | $9,648.01 | $9,696.76 |
$-42.23 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $92.56 | 104 | $9,626.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 10:25am ET | $92.78 | 104 | $9,648.60 | $9,718.62 |
+$21.86 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $91.68 | 106 | $9,718.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 11:20am ET | $91.79 | 106 | $9,729.74 | $9,730.28 |
+$11.66 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 11:25am ET | $90.25 | 107 | $9,656.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 3:45pm ET | $89.19 | 107 | $9,543.33 | $9,617.39 |
$-112.89 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,617.39
Net Profit/Loss:
$-382.61
Total Return:
-3.83%