MDT Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 37 trades in period
+4.61%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,537.85
Current Value
76%
Win Rate
$9,117.41
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality
12.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 12.7
30-Day Momentum
49
+1.8%
30d Return
85%
Win Rate
13
Trades
3.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 51.7
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+37 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,963
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,117.41
Current Value
$9,537.85
Period P&L
$420.39
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
28 /
9
Best Trade
+0.64%
Worst Trade
-0.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$687,934.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$420.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$420.39
Gross Return
+4.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.61%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,117.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.61 | 105 | $9,094.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $87.05 | 105 | $9,140.25 | $9,163.66 |
+$46.20 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:15pm ET | $87.59 | 104 | $9,109.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $87.82 | 104 | $9,133.28 | $9,187.58 |
+$23.92 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $86.75 | 105 | $9,109.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $86.91 | 105 | $9,125.55 | $9,203.86 |
+$16.28 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 11:15am ET | $86.33 | 106 | $9,150.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:15pm ET | $86.47 | 106 | $9,165.82 | $9,218.70 |
+$14.84 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:05am ET | $85.76 | 107 | $9,176.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $86.16 | 107 | $9,219.12 | $9,261.50 |
+$42.80 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:45pm ET | $86.44 | 107 | $9,249.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:50pm ET | $86.29 | 107 | $9,233.03 | $9,245.45 |
$-16.05 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $87.82 | 105 | $9,221.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:50am ET | $87.78 | 105 | $9,216.38 | $9,240.73 |
$-4.72 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 1:10pm ET | $87.18 | 105 | $9,154.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 2:10pm ET | $87.24 | 105 | $9,160.20 | $9,246.51 |
+$5.78 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET | $88.38 | 104 | $9,191.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 1:30pm ET | $88.54 | 104 | $9,207.64 | $9,262.63 |
+$16.12 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $86.32 | 107 | $9,236.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET | $86.42 | 107 | $9,246.94 | $9,273.33 |
+$10.70 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $86.62 | 107 | $9,268.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:40pm ET | $86.18 | 107 | $9,221.79 | $9,226.78 |
$-46.55 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:40pm ET | $85.11 | 108 | $9,191.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:05am ET | $85.27 | 108 | $9,209.16 | $9,244.06 |
+$17.28 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 12:25pm ET | $82.93 | 111 | $9,205.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 1:30pm ET | $83.03 | 111 | $9,216.33 | $9,255.16 |
+$11.10 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $83.58 | 110 | $9,193.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 10:35am ET | $83.66 | 110 | $9,202.60 | $9,263.96 |
+$8.80 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:40am ET | $83.08 | 111 | $9,221.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 12:10pm ET | $83.47 | 111 | $9,265.17 | $9,307.25 |
+$43.29 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 2:25pm ET | $81.62 | 114 | $9,304.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:50pm ET | $81.61 | 114 | $9,302.97 | $9,305.54 |
$-1.71 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $80.32 | 115 | $9,237.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $80.74 | 115 | $9,285.10 | $9,353.27 |
+$47.73 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:50am ET | $79.13 | 118 | $9,337.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 2:45pm ET | $78.64 | 118 | $9,279.52 | $9,295.45 |
$-57.82 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $77.49 | 119 | $9,221.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $77.99 | 119 | $9,280.22 | $9,354.36 |
+$58.91 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $77.27 | 121 | $9,349.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 12:05pm ET | $76.99 | 121 | $9,315.79 | $9,320.48 |
$-33.88 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.36 | 122 | $9,316.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 11:35am ET | $75.93 | 122 | $9,263.46 | $9,267.75 |
$-52.73 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 1:55pm ET | $76.48 | 121 | $9,254.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 2:20pm ET | $76.70 | 121 | $9,280.49 | $9,294.16 |
+$26.41 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 1:00pm ET | $78.17 | 118 | $9,224.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 1:45pm ET | $78.42 | 118 | $9,254.10 | $9,324.20 |
+$30.04 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.40 | 120 | $9,288.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 10:25am ET | $77.77 | 120 | $9,332.40 | $9,368.59 |
+$44.39 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 3:30pm ET | $78.67 | 119 | $9,361.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.37 | 119 | $9,326.03 | $9,332.89 |
$-35.70 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $77.39 | 120 | $9,286.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $77.85 | 120 | $9,342.00 | $9,388.09 |
+$55.20 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 10:45am ET | $75.53 | 124 | $9,365.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 11:50am ET | $75.64 | 124 | $9,379.36 | $9,402.04 |
+$13.95 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 12:55pm ET | $74.50 | 126 | $9,387.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 1:40pm ET | $74.57 | 126 | $9,395.82 | $9,410.47 |
+$8.43 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.84 | 127 | $9,377.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $74.07 | 127 | $9,406.89 | $9,439.68 |
+$29.21 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 12:00pm ET | $81.01 | 116 | $9,397.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 1:40pm ET | $81.17 | 116 | $9,415.72 | $9,458.24 |
+$18.56 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 2:50pm ET | $81.44 | 116 | $9,447.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 3:35pm ET | $81.60 | 116 | $9,465.60 | $9,476.22 |
+$17.98 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 3:10pm ET | $82.00 | 115 | $9,430.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.07 | 115 | $9,438.05 | $9,484.27 |
+$8.05 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.97 | 118 | $9,436.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $80.36 | 118 | $9,482.48 | $9,530.29 |
+$46.02 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 1:00pm ET | $80.31 | 118 | $9,476.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 2:15pm ET | $80.32 | 118 | $9,477.76 | $9,531.47 |
+$1.18 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $80.67 | 118 | $9,518.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 11:25am ET | $80.47 | 118 | $9,496.05 | $9,509.05 |
$-22.42 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 1:55pm ET | $78.86 | 120 | $9,462.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 2:40pm ET | $78.99 | 120 | $9,478.80 | $9,525.25 |
+$16.20 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 2:55pm ET | $79.19 | 120 | $9,502.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 3:45pm ET | $79.29 | 120 | $9,515.40 | $9,537.85 |
+$12.60 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,537.85
Net Profit/Loss:
$-462.15
Total Return:
-4.62%