META Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 36 trades in period
+9.72%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,817.60
Current Value
69%
Win Rate
$11,682.43
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
42
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
15.1/35
Total Return
11.8/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
42.6/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 42.4
30-Day Momentum
69
+8.6%
30d Return
82%
Win Rate
11
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 76.4
Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+26 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,682.43
Current Value
$12,817.60
Period P&L
$1,135.15
Max Drawdown
-5.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
25 /
11
Best Trade
+2.63%
Worst Trade
-2.82%
Avg Trade Return
+0.27%
Avg Hold Time
10.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$831,288.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,135.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,135.15
Gross Return
+9.72%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.72%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,682.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $556.60 | 20 | $11,132.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 2:15pm ET | $558.32 | 20 | $11,166.40 | $11,716.85 |
+$34.40 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:40pm ET | $544.39 | 21 | $11,432.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 10:05am ET | $546.62 | 21 | $11,479.02 | $11,763.68 |
+$46.83 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 11:05am ET | $563.14 | 20 | $11,262.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 11:25am ET | $566.71 | 20 | $11,334.10 | $11,834.98 |
+$71.30 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 3:15pm ET | $615.66 | 19 | $11,697.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $600.66 | 19 | $11,412.63 | $11,550.11 |
$-284.87 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $604.68 | 19 | $11,488.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 11:40am ET | $603.24 | 19 | $11,461.56 | $11,522.75 |
$-27.36 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 1:05pm ET | $663.94 | 17 | $11,286.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 2:00pm ET | $666.98 | 17 | $11,338.66 | $11,574.43 |
+$51.68 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 3:25pm ET | $658.70 | 17 | $11,197.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $659.59 | 17 | $11,213.03 | $11,589.56 |
+$15.13 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $672.49 | 17 | $11,432.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $675.29 | 17 | $11,479.96 | $11,637.19 |
+$47.63 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 3:00pm ET | $644.20 | 18 | $11,595.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 3:50pm ET | $647.95 | 18 | $11,663.10 | $11,704.69 |
+$67.50 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $644.10 | 18 | $11,593.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $648.79 | 18 | $11,678.22 | $11,789.02 |
+$84.33 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $634.93 | 18 | $11,428.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 11:40am ET | $630.16 | 18 | $11,342.79 | $11,703.07 |
$-85.95 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 3:35pm ET | $604.81 | 19 | $11,491.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $605.97 | 19 | $11,513.43 | $11,725.11 |
+$22.04 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $595.20 | 19 | $11,308.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $602.99 | 19 | $11,456.81 | $11,873.12 |
+$148.01 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:45am ET | $592.90 | 20 | $11,858.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 10:25am ET | $594.52 | 20 | $11,890.40 | $11,905.52 |
+$32.40 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 11:50am ET | $586.91 | 20 | $11,738.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 12:20pm ET | $589.50 | 20 | $11,790.00 | $11,957.32 |
+$51.80 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $582.48 | 20 | $11,649.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 11:25am ET | $583.59 | 20 | $11,671.90 | $11,979.62 |
+$22.30 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $586.09 | 20 | $11,721.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 12:55pm ET | $584.48 | 20 | $11,689.70 | $11,947.42 |
$-32.20 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 3:45pm ET | $587.63 | 20 | $11,752.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $593.30 | 20 | $11,866.10 | $12,060.92 |
+$113.50 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $595.64 | 20 | $11,912.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 2:45pm ET | $594.20 | 20 | $11,883.90 | $12,032.02 |
$-28.90 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 3:50pm ET | $599.63 | 20 | $11,992.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 12:45pm ET | $582.74 | 20 | $11,654.90 | $11,694.42 |
$-337.60 (-2.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 12:20pm ET | $592.12 | 19 | $11,250.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 2:00pm ET | $591.66 | 19 | $11,241.54 | $11,685.68 |
$-8.74 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $557.56 | 20 | $11,151.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 11:00am ET | $550.64 | 20 | $11,012.80 | $11,547.28 |
$-138.40 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 2:20pm ET | $550.03 | 20 | $11,000.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 10:40am ET | $546.62 | 20 | $10,932.40 | $11,479.18 |
$-68.10 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $547.59 | 20 | $10,951.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $551.06 | 20 | $11,021.20 | $11,548.68 |
+$69.50 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $574.78 | 20 | $11,495.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $577.35 | 20 | $11,546.92 | $11,600.00 |
+$51.32 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $572.54 | 20 | $11,450.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 11:00am ET | $572.26 | 20 | $11,445.26 | $11,594.46 |
$-5.54 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 2:35pm ET | $578.61 | 20 | $11,572.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 3:20pm ET | $580.33 | 20 | $11,606.60 | $11,628.86 |
+$34.40 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $612.48 | 18 | $11,024.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $613.50 | 18 | $11,043.00 | $11,647.21 |
+$18.35 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 2:40pm ET | $615.57 | 18 | $11,080.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 3:00pm ET | $620.33 | 18 | $11,165.94 | $11,732.98 |
+$85.77 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $648.99 | 18 | $11,681.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 10:20am ET | $652.39 | 18 | $11,743.02 | $11,794.18 |
+$61.20 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 3:50pm ET | $646.97 | 18 | $11,645.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $656.41 | 18 | $11,815.38 | $11,964.10 |
+$169.92 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $658.58 | 18 | $11,854.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $672.38 | 18 | $12,102.84 | $12,212.50 |
+$248.40 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 11:25am ET | $677.05 | 18 | $12,186.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 11:50am ET | $678.91 | 18 | $12,220.38 | $12,245.98 |
+$33.48 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $662.53 | 18 | $11,925.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $679.98 | 18 | $12,239.73 | $12,560.08 |
+$314.10 (+2.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 12:35pm ET | $744.79 | 16 | $11,916.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 2:05pm ET | $743.66 | 16 | $11,898.48 | $12,541.92 |
$-18.16 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $744.63 | 16 | $11,914.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $761.86 | 16 | $12,189.76 | $12,817.60 |
+$275.68 (+2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,817.60
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,817.60
Total Return:
+28.18%