Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:32:24

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.1/35
Total Return
10.1/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 33.4/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 31.6

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,491.30
Current Value
$11,522.75
Period P&L
$31.43
Max Drawdown
-5.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
16 / 12
Best Trade
+1.79%
Worst Trade
-2.44%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
4.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$635,586.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$31.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$31.43
Gross Return
+0.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,491.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:00am ET $672.01 17 $11,424.09
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET $675.79 17 $11,488.43 $11,555.66 +$64.34
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $668.94 17 $11,371.98
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:55am ET $669.84 17 $11,387.28 $11,570.96 +$15.30
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $612.83 18 $11,030.94
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:05am ET $611.73 18 $11,011.14 $11,551.16 $-19.80
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held
4 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $610.34 18 $10,986.12
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $613.48 18 $11,042.64 $11,607.68 +$56.52
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
5 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $617.52 18 $11,115.36
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 2:15pm ET $616.30 18 $11,093.40 $11,585.72 $-21.96
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
6 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $603.99 19 $11,475.81
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $601.94 19 $11,436.86 $11,546.77 $-38.95
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
7 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:35am ET $593.92 19 $11,284.48
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:55am ET $600.21 19 $11,403.90 $11,666.19 +$119.42
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
8 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $619.67 18 $11,154.06
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:10pm ET $617.77 18 $11,119.86 $11,631.99 $-34.20
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
9 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $609.00 19 $11,571.00
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 12:10pm ET $608.35 19 $11,558.65 $11,619.64 $-12.35
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
10 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 2:55pm ET $601.14 19 $11,421.66
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 3:20pm ET $602.85 19 $11,454.20 $11,652.18 +$32.54
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
11 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $599.71 19 $11,394.40
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 10:55am ET $598.49 19 $11,371.31 $11,629.09 $-23.09
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
12 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:40am ET $607.98 19 $11,551.62
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 10:05am ET $610.73 19 $11,603.87 $11,681.34 +$52.25
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
13 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $629.76 18 $11,335.68
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:10am ET $627.06 18 $11,287.08 $11,632.74 $-48.60
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $600.54 19 $11,410.26
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET $605.59 19 $11,506.30 $11,728.78 +$96.04
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:20pm ET $634.93 18 $11,428.74
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $626.02 18 $11,268.27 $11,568.31 $-160.47
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:35am ET $580.11 19 $11,022.09
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 10:05am ET $590.50 19 $11,219.50 $11,765.72 +$197.41
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $588.70 19 $11,185.30
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 1:20pm ET $586.44 19 $11,142.36 $11,722.78 $-42.94
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $575.27 20 $11,505.40
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $576.72 20 $11,534.40 $11,751.78 +$29.00
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:50am ET $561.82 20 $11,236.40
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:40am ET $566.74 20 $11,334.80 $11,850.18 +$98.40
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:15pm ET $593.20 19 $11,270.80
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $593.53 19 $11,277.07 $11,856.45 +$6.27
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $592.54 20 $11,850.80
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $579.31 20 $11,586.20 $11,591.85 $-264.60
(-2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:10pm ET $575.06 20 $11,501.20
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 2:50pm ET $576.15 20 $11,522.90 $11,613.55 +$21.70
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $561.79 20 $11,235.90
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $565.24 20 $11,304.80 $11,682.45 +$68.90
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $556.60 20 $11,132.00
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 2:15pm ET $558.32 20 $11,166.40 $11,716.85 +$34.40
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:40pm ET $544.39 21 $11,432.19
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 10:05am ET $546.62 21 $11,479.02 $11,763.68 +$46.83
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:05am ET $563.14 20 $11,262.80
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 11:25am ET $566.71 20 $11,334.10 $11,834.98 +$71.30
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
27 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $615.66 19 $11,697.50
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $600.66 19 $11,412.63 $11,550.11 $-284.87
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $604.68 19 $11,488.92
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 11:40am ET $603.24 19 $11,461.56 $11,522.75 $-27.36
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,522.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,522.75
Total Return: +15.23%
Back to Professor Mean