MRK Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 37 trades in period
+0.38%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,484.66
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$13,433.70
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
46
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
15.3/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
46.2/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 46.0
30-Day Momentum
14
-1.3%
30d Return
54%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.2
Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,433.70
Current Value
$13,484.66
Period P&L
$50.95
Max Drawdown
-8.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
21 /
16
Best Trade
+1.39%
Worst Trade
-2.13%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
5.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$995,956.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$50.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$50.95
Gross Return
+0.38%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.38%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $13,433.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 12:20pm ET | $127.45 | 105 | $13,382.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 1:05pm ET | $127.87 | 105 | $13,426.35 | $13,477.80 |
+$44.10 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 1:50pm ET | $128.35 | 105 | $13,476.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 2:00pm ET | $129.13 | 105 | $13,558.65 | $13,559.70 |
+$81.90 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 3:30pm ET | $128.14 | 105 | $13,454.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 10:55am ET | $127.15 | 105 | $13,350.75 | $13,455.75 |
$-103.95 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $127.83 | 105 | $13,422.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $126.65 | 105 | $13,298.77 | $13,331.85 |
$-123.90 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 1:00pm ET | $128.68 | 103 | $13,254.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:20pm ET | $128.51 | 103 | $13,236.52 | $13,314.33 |
$-17.52 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 3:50pm ET | $126.22 | 105 | $13,253.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $125.32 | 105 | $13,159.12 | $13,220.35 |
$-93.98 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $124.00 | 106 | $13,144.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 1:15pm ET | $123.52 | 106 | $13,093.18 | $13,169.53 |
$-50.82 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $121.89 | 108 | $13,164.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 11:40am ET | $121.27 | 108 | $13,097.16 | $13,102.03 |
$-67.50 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 3:25pm ET | $127.57 | 102 | $13,012.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.23 | 102 | $13,079.46 | $13,169.35 |
+$67.32 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.81 | 103 | $13,060.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $127.50 | 103 | $13,133.01 | $13,241.45 |
+$72.10 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 12:20pm ET | $128.00 | 103 | $13,183.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 12:45pm ET | $128.24 | 103 | $13,209.23 | $13,267.20 |
+$25.75 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 12:45pm ET | $130.11 | 101 | $13,141.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $130.36 | 101 | $13,166.39 | $13,292.48 |
+$25.28 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 2:25pm ET | $131.07 | 101 | $13,238.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 2:30pm ET | $130.90 | 101 | $13,220.90 | $13,275.31 |
$-17.17 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $130.76 | 101 | $13,206.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $132.58 | 101 | $13,390.58 | $13,459.13 |
+$183.82 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $130.98 | 102 | $13,359.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 11:05am ET | $131.07 | 102 | $13,369.14 | $13,468.31 |
+$9.18 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.88 | 104 | $13,403.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $128.68 | 104 | $13,382.72 | $13,447.51 |
$-20.80 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $129.99 | 103 | $13,388.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 1:45pm ET | $127.22 | 103 | $13,103.66 | $13,162.20 |
$-285.31 (-2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 3:45pm ET | $128.03 | 102 | $13,059.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $129.41 | 102 | $13,199.82 | $13,302.96 |
+$140.76 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $128.07 | 103 | $13,190.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 1:45pm ET | $128.41 | 103 | $13,226.74 | $13,339.01 |
+$36.05 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $129.93 | 102 | $13,252.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $131.15 | 102 | $13,377.81 | $13,464.47 |
+$125.46 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 3:50pm ET | $133.31 | 101 | $13,464.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $134.16 | 101 | $13,550.16 | $13,550.32 |
+$85.85 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $134.99 | 100 | $13,499.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $135.86 | 100 | $13,586.33 | $13,637.15 |
+$86.83 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $150.93 | 90 | $13,583.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $150.52 | 90 | $13,546.80 | $13,600.25 |
$-36.90 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.82 | 90 | $13,483.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 11:00am ET | $150.49 | 90 | $13,544.55 | $13,661.00 |
+$60.75 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.55 | 88 | $13,600.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 10:40am ET | $154.88 | 88 | $13,629.88 | $13,690.48 |
+$29.48 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 1:05pm ET | $150.83 | 90 | $13,574.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 1:35pm ET | $151.13 | 90 | $13,601.70 | $13,717.48 |
+$27.00 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.10 | 93 | $13,587.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 10:10am ET | $147.80 | 93 | $13,745.86 | $13,876.04 |
+$158.56 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 12:20pm ET | $148.73 | 93 | $13,831.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 1:05pm ET | $149.10 | 93 | $13,866.76 | $13,911.38 |
+$35.34 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $150.51 | 92 | $13,846.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $149.85 | 92 | $13,786.66 | $13,851.18 |
$-60.21 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $150.52 | 92 | $13,847.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 11:15am ET | $150.91 | 92 | $13,883.83 | $13,887.17 |
+$35.99 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $147.75 | 93 | $13,740.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 11:50am ET | $147.64 | 93 | $13,730.52 | $13,876.94 |
$-10.23 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $144.54 | 96 | $13,875.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.45 | 96 | $13,963.20 | $13,964.30 |
+$87.36 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 2:55pm ET | $144.95 | 96 | $13,915.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $143.54 | 96 | $13,779.84 | $13,828.94 |
$-135.36 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.7h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $143.93 | 96 | $13,817.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:40pm ET | $144.32 | 96 | $13,854.72 | $13,865.90 |
+$36.96 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $146.58 | 94 | $13,778.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 10:55am ET | $146.51 | 94 | $13,772.41 | $13,859.79 |
$-6.11 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 3:50pm ET | $149.74 | 92 | $13,776.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.54 | 92 | $13,665.68 | $13,749.02 |
$-110.77 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $150.32 | 91 | $13,679.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 1:10pm ET | $147.41 | 91 | $13,414.76 | $13,484.66 |
$-264.36 (-1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,484.66
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,484.66
Total Return:
+34.85%