MS Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 38 trades in period
+8.40%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,396.89
Current Value
68%
Win Rate
$11,435.97
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
37
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
8.9/35
Total Return
11.7/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality
37.2/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 36.7
30-Day Momentum
23
+0.8%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.0
Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,976
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,435.97
Current Value
$12,396.89
Period P&L
$960.88
Max Drawdown
-9.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.32
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
26 /
12
Best Trade
+1.61%
Worst Trade
-1.89%
Avg Trade Return
+0.22%
Avg Hold Time
7.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$912,823.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$960.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$960.88
Gross Return
+8.40%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.40%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,435.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.63 | 70 | $11,384.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:35am ET | $164.57 | 70 | $11,519.55 | $11,571.46 |
+$135.45 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $164.52 | 70 | $11,516.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:15pm ET | $165.52 | 70 | $11,586.40 | $11,641.46 |
+$70.00 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 12:30pm ET | $163.29 | 71 | $11,593.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 2:10pm ET | $163.43 | 71 | $11,603.18 | $11,651.05 |
+$9.59 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $157.76 | 73 | $11,516.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:35pm ET | $158.41 | 73 | $11,563.93 | $11,698.86 |
+$47.81 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $166.74 | 70 | $11,671.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:30pm ET | $166.39 | 70 | $11,647.30 | $11,674.36 |
$-24.50 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $166.34 | 70 | $11,643.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $166.60 | 70 | $11,662.35 | $11,693.26 |
+$18.90 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $167.21 | 69 | $11,537.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $168.15 | 69 | $11,602.35 | $11,758.12 |
+$64.86 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.31 | 67 | $11,745.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $176.19 | 67 | $11,804.73 | $11,817.08 |
+$58.96 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $176.74 | 66 | $11,664.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:55am ET | $176.67 | 66 | $11,660.22 | $11,812.46 |
$-4.62 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $183.52 | 64 | $11,745.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET | $184.13 | 64 | $11,784.64 | $11,851.50 |
+$39.04 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 3:45pm ET | $191.16 | 61 | $11,661.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $191.85 | 61 | $11,702.85 | $11,893.29 |
+$41.79 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $187.22 | 63 | $11,794.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $190.17 | 63 | $11,980.71 | $12,079.14 |
+$185.85 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.46 | 64 | $12,061.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $191.13 | 64 | $12,232.32 | $12,250.34 |
+$171.20 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $189.88 | 64 | $12,152.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 12:30pm ET | $190.10 | 64 | $12,166.72 | $12,264.42 |
+$14.08 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:55pm ET | $191.13 | 64 | $12,232.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 2:30pm ET | $191.41 | 64 | $12,250.56 | $12,282.34 |
+$17.92 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $188.13 | 65 | $12,228.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.87 | 65 | $12,276.55 | $12,330.12 |
+$47.78 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:35pm ET | $189.85 | 64 | $12,150.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $190.51 | 64 | $12,192.32 | $12,372.36 |
+$42.24 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:55am ET | $191.39 | 64 | $12,248.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:15pm ET | $191.18 | 64 | $12,235.52 | $12,359.23 |
$-13.13 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 2:45pm ET | $187.69 | 65 | $12,199.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 3:15pm ET | $188.24 | 65 | $12,235.28 | $12,394.65 |
+$35.42 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $192.34 | 64 | $12,309.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 11:10am ET | $191.87 | 64 | $12,279.68 | $12,364.57 |
$-30.08 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 12:45pm ET | $192.02 | 64 | $12,289.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 2:00pm ET | $191.64 | 64 | $12,264.96 | $12,340.25 |
$-24.32 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 2:35pm ET | $191.45 | 64 | $12,252.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.83 | 64 | $12,021.12 | $12,108.89 |
$-231.36 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $190.70 | 63 | $12,014.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $191.95 | 63 | $12,092.85 | $12,187.64 |
+$78.75 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 12:45pm ET | $194.65 | 62 | $12,067.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 2:05pm ET | $194.63 | 62 | $12,067.06 | $12,186.71 |
$-0.93 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 2:25pm ET | $191.66 | 63 | $12,074.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 3:05pm ET | $192.60 | 63 | $12,133.80 | $12,245.62 |
+$58.91 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 3:35pm ET | $190.00 | 64 | $12,160.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.32 | 64 | $12,244.48 | $12,330.10 |
+$84.48 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 12:25pm ET | $197.26 | 62 | $12,229.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 1:10pm ET | $197.58 | 62 | $12,249.96 | $12,350.25 |
+$20.15 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 3:05pm ET | $201.94 | 61 | $12,318.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $202.38 | 61 | $12,345.48 | $12,377.39 |
+$27.14 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $199.24 | 62 | $12,353.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $200.08 | 62 | $12,404.96 | $12,429.21 |
+$51.82 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 1:05pm ET | $207.18 | 59 | $12,223.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 2:10pm ET | $207.30 | 59 | $12,230.70 | $12,436.00 |
+$6.79 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 3:45pm ET | $215.63 | 57 | $12,290.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $213.08 | 57 | $12,145.45 | $12,290.54 |
$-145.46 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $215.72 | 56 | $12,080.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $213.67 | 56 | $11,965.52 | $12,175.74 |
$-114.80 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET | $214.53 | 56 | $12,013.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $214.19 | 56 | $11,994.64 | $12,156.70 |
$-19.04 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $208.75 | 58 | $12,107.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:05am ET | $207.75 | 58 | $12,049.56 | $12,098.76 |
$-57.94 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 11:45am ET | $213.77 | 56 | $11,971.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 1:05pm ET | $214.12 | 56 | $11,990.44 | $12,118.08 |
+$19.32 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $217.95 | 55 | $11,987.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $220.51 | 55 | $12,128.05 | $12,258.88 |
+$140.80 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 3:25pm ET | $224.71 | 54 | $12,134.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $228.33 | 54 | $12,329.82 | $12,454.36 |
+$195.48 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $223.70 | 55 | $12,303.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $222.65 | 55 | $12,246.02 | $12,396.89 |
$-57.47 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,396.89
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,396.89
Total Return:
+23.97%