MU Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 37 trades in period
+2.26%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,782.33
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$13,477.99
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
34
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.6/35
Total Return
13.2/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
35.0/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 34.2
30-Day Momentum
65
+7.9%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
10
Trades
8.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 74.1
Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+30 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,477.99
Current Value
$13,782.33
Period P&L
$304.30
Max Drawdown
-23.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
22 /
15
Best Trade
+5.66%
Worst Trade
-7.49%
Avg Trade Return
+0.08%
Avg Hold Time
8.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$934,931.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$304.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$304.30
Gross Return
+2.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.26%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $13,477.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:05pm ET | $1,212.41 | 11 | $13,336.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,213.52 | 11 | $13,348.72 | $13,490.28 |
+$12.26 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,125.39 | 11 | $12,379.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,090.82 | 11 | $11,999.07 | $13,110.07 |
$-380.22 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 2:10pm ET | $1,146.35 | 11 | $12,609.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 2:40pm ET | $1,155.86 | 11 | $12,714.51 | $13,214.73 |
+$104.66 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $1,028.32 | 12 | $12,339.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,003.49 | 12 | $12,041.94 | $12,916.83 |
$-297.90 (-2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $917.57 | 14 | $12,845.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 11:05am ET | $916.71 | 14 | $12,833.87 | $12,904.72 |
$-12.11 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 11:25am ET | $916.00 | 14 | $12,824.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 12:15pm ET | $927.53 | 14 | $12,985.42 | $13,066.14 |
+$161.42 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 2:35pm ET | $1,014.63 | 12 | $12,175.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $961.78 | 12 | $11,541.36 | $12,432.00 |
$-634.14 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $916.62 | 13 | $11,916.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $909.30 | 13 | $11,820.90 | $12,336.83 |
$-95.17 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $982.35 | 12 | $11,788.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 3:40pm ET | $982.00 | 12 | $11,784.00 | $12,332.63 |
$-4.20 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $878.35 | 14 | $12,296.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $871.59 | 14 | $12,202.25 | $12,237.98 |
$-94.65 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $808.61 | 15 | $12,129.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $843.58 | 15 | $12,653.70 | $12,762.45 |
+$524.48 (+4.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 2:15pm ET | $881.22 | 14 | $12,337.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $931.08 | 14 | $13,035.05 | $13,460.42 |
+$697.97 (+5.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $951.42 | 14 | $13,319.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $969.46 | 14 | $13,572.44 | $13,712.99 |
+$252.56 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 2:50pm ET | $982.18 | 13 | $12,768.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 3:25pm ET | $993.18 | 13 | $12,911.34 | $13,855.98 |
+$143.00 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $892.26 | 15 | $13,383.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 11:50am ET | $871.67 | 15 | $13,075.05 | $13,547.13 |
$-308.85 (-2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 1:40pm ET | $812.41 | 16 | $12,998.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 2:00pm ET | $820.36 | 16 | $13,125.84 | $13,674.41 |
+$127.28 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 2:15pm ET | $765.27 | 17 | $13,009.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 2:35pm ET | $773.22 | 17 | $13,144.82 | $13,809.65 |
+$135.23 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET | $830.92 | 16 | $13,294.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 12:30pm ET | $835.77 | 16 | $13,372.32 | $13,887.25 |
+$77.60 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 2:05pm ET | $892.71 | 15 | $13,390.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 2:35pm ET | $895.87 | 15 | $13,438.05 | $13,934.72 |
+$47.47 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 3:45pm ET | $909.60 | 15 | $13,644.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $841.43 | 15 | $12,621.45 | $12,912.17 |
$-1,022.55 (-7.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $878.97 | 14 | $12,305.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 11:10am ET | $865.27 | 14 | $12,113.78 | $12,720.37 |
$-191.80 (-1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 3:40pm ET | $876.20 | 14 | $12,266.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 10:55am ET | $860.43 | 14 | $12,045.95 | $12,499.52 |
$-220.85 (-1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $911.95 | 13 | $11,855.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $924.45 | 13 | $12,017.85 | $12,662.02 |
+$162.50 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $1,023.06 | 12 | $12,276.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 3:40pm ET | $1,016.66 | 12 | $12,199.92 | $12,585.22 |
$-76.80 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET | $922.00 | 13 | $11,986.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:40am ET | $936.00 | 13 | $12,168.00 | $12,767.22 |
+$182.00 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 2:05pm ET | $951.51 | 13 | $12,369.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 2:50pm ET | $955.15 | 13 | $12,416.95 | $12,814.54 |
+$47.32 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:35pm ET | $964.38 | 13 | $12,536.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 3:40pm ET | $961.47 | 13 | $12,499.06 | $12,776.62 |
$-37.92 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 2:00pm ET | $921.78 | 13 | $11,983.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 2:35pm ET | $925.63 | 13 | $12,033.19 | $12,826.61 |
+$49.99 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 3:45pm ET | $937.28 | 13 | $12,184.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $967.78 | 13 | $12,581.14 | $13,223.05 |
+$396.44 (+3.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 11:50am ET | $926.09 | 14 | $12,965.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 1:15pm ET | $922.32 | 14 | $12,912.41 | $13,170.20 |
$-52.85 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 2:40pm ET | $944.29 | 13 | $12,275.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 3:20pm ET | $945.49 | 13 | $12,291.37 | $13,185.85 |
+$15.65 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $927.97 | 14 | $12,991.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 10:55am ET | $947.53 | 14 | $13,265.42 | $13,459.69 |
+$273.84 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 2:55pm ET | $1,013.08 | 13 | $13,170.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,010.00 | 13 | $13,130.00 | $13,419.65 |
$-40.04 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $973.77 | 13 | $12,658.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 1:05pm ET | $981.33 | 13 | $12,757.29 | $13,518.00 |
+$98.35 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $909.68 | 14 | $12,735.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $914.29 | 14 | $12,800.13 | $13,582.61 |
+$64.61 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET | $923.80 | 14 | $12,933.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:45pm ET | $932.52 | 14 | $13,055.28 | $13,704.69 |
+$122.08 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $1,085.89 | 12 | $13,030.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $1,092.35 | 12 | $13,108.26 | $13,782.33 |
+$77.64 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,782.33
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,782.33
Total Return:
+37.82%