Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-25 23:54:50

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.6
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.76
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.8
Active
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 25, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.2/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 34.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 34.7

30-Day Momentum

73
+9.9%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
3.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 76.3 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+38 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-06-25
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,329.95
Current Value
$13,478.39
Period P&L
$1,148.41
Max Drawdown
-16.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
25 / 12
Best Trade
+3.88%
Worst Trade
-8.77%
Avg Trade Return
+0.27%
Avg Hold Time
9.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$884,908.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,148.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,148.41
Gross Return
+9.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,329.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET $220.29 55 $12,115.68
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 12:35pm ET $217.42 55 $11,958.10 $12,172.40 $-157.58
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 2:00pm ET $209.55 58 $12,154.19
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $209.24 58 $12,135.92 $12,154.13 $-18.27
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $207.03 58 $12,007.74
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $202.63 58 $11,752.54 $11,898.93 $-255.20
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET $208.87 56 $11,696.72
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:45am ET $209.68 56 $11,742.36 $11,944.57 +$45.64
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:05pm ET $211.26 56 $11,830.28
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $211.98 56 $11,870.88 $11,985.17 +$40.60
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $211.51 56 $11,844.57
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $205.20 56 $11,491.20 $11,631.80 $-353.37
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $184.45 63 $11,620.04
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET $168.26 63 $10,600.69 $10,612.46 $-1,019.34
(-8.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $179.59 59 $10,595.81
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $179.54 59 $10,593.15 $10,609.81 $-2.65
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $196.22 54 $10,595.88
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:40pm ET $196.96 54 $10,635.84 $10,649.77 +$39.96
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $207.94 51 $10,604.94
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:10pm ET $208.50 51 $10,633.50 $10,678.33 +$28.56
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $200.42 53 $10,622.26
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $199.43 53 $10,569.53 $10,625.60 $-52.73
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET $202.61 52 $10,535.72
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:15am ET $203.90 52 $10,602.80 $10,692.68 +$67.08
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $212.00 50 $10,600.00
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $214.96 50 $10,748.00 $10,840.68 +$148.00
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $205.48 52 $10,684.70
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET $209.08 52 $10,872.16 $11,028.14 +$187.46
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $201.71 54 $10,892.34
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:00am ET $204.47 54 $11,041.39 $11,177.18 +$149.04
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
16 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:20pm ET $216.77 51 $11,055.52
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $219.67 51 $11,203.17 $11,324.83 +$147.65
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
17 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $239.37 47 $11,250.39
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:10am ET $245.00 47 $11,515.00 $11,589.44 +$264.61
(+2.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
18 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $252.96 45 $11,383.20
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $254.29 45 $11,443.27 $11,649.51 +$60.07
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
19 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 3:30pm ET $196.11 59 $11,570.49
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $203.64 59 $12,015.01 $12,094.03 +$444.52
(+3.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
20 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:40am ET $190.55 63 $12,004.96
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:40am ET $190.36 63 $11,992.68 $12,081.75 $-12.28
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
21 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $197.72 61 $12,060.92
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 1:40pm ET $198.76 61 $12,124.36 $12,145.19 +$63.44
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
22 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 3:05pm ET $199.15 60 $11,949.00
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $199.18 60 $11,950.80 $12,146.99 +$1.80
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
23 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:55am ET $201.50 60 $12,090.01
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 1:05pm ET $202.13 60 $12,127.80 $12,184.78 +$37.79
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
24 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 1:35pm ET $214.76 56 $12,026.28
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:45pm ET $216.15 56 $12,104.12 $12,262.62 +$77.84
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
25 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 2:10pm ET $219.68 55 $12,082.13
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:15pm ET $219.62 55 $12,078.83 $12,259.32 $-3.30
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
26 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $209.60 58 $12,156.80
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $217.74 58 $12,628.92 $12,731.44 +$472.12
(+3.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $262.77 48 $12,613.15
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:10am ET $269.52 48 $12,937.20 $13,055.49 +$324.05
(+2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:40am ET $261.20 49 $12,798.80
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:15pm ET $262.77 49 $12,875.49 $13,132.18 +$76.69
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:40pm ET $272.58 48 $13,083.84
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:05pm ET $274.46 48 $13,174.08 $13,222.42 +$90.24
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $248.95 53 $13,194.09
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $249.67 53 $13,232.51 $13,260.84 +$38.42
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $246.43 53 $13,060.53
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET $248.27 53 $13,158.31 $13,358.63 +$97.79
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:00am ET $228.59 58 $13,258.22
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $224.26 58 $13,007.37 $13,107.78 $-250.85
(-1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $223.98 58 $12,990.69
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:55am ET $227.09 58 $13,171.22 $13,288.31 +$180.53
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:35pm ET $237.40 55 $13,057.00
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 1:55pm ET $236.94 55 $13,031.70 $13,263.01 $-25.30
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:40am ET $230.10 57 $13,115.56
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $233.08 57 $13,285.70 $13,433.16 +$170.15
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $220.73 60 $13,243.80
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET $223.77 60 $13,426.20 $13,615.56 +$182.40
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $227.69 59 $13,433.71
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET $225.37 59 $13,296.54 $13,478.39 $-137.17
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,478.39
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,478.39
Total Return: +34.78%
Back to Professor Mean