Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:02:30

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.3/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 28.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 28.1

30-Day Momentum

12
-4.2%
30d Return
46%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.3 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,304.01
Current Value
$12,094.95
Period P&L
$-1,209.09
Max Drawdown
-16.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
15 / 23
Best Trade
+2.02%
Worst Trade
-3.22%
Avg Trade Return
-0.31%
Avg Hold Time
16.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$958,348.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,209.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,209.09
Gross Return
-9.09%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $13,304.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $227.69 59 $13,433.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET $225.37 59 $13,296.54 $13,478.39 $-137.17
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:15pm ET $222.85 60 $13,370.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 1:50pm ET $223.76 60 $13,425.61 $13,533.30 +$54.91
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 1:35pm ET $246.12 54 $13,290.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:50am ET $245.19 54 $13,240.26 $13,483.35 $-49.95
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $249.19 54 $13,456.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $242.30 54 $13,084.47 $13,111.56 $-371.79
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $247.22 53 $13,102.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 3:10pm ET $246.55 53 $13,067.14 $13,076.04 $-35.52
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $265.30 49 $12,999.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:30am ET $264.26 49 $12,948.50 $13,024.84 $-51.20
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:25am ET $270.60 48 $12,988.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:45am ET $270.52 48 $12,984.96 $13,021.00 $-3.84
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 12:25pm ET $271.68 47 $12,769.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:00pm ET $269.99 47 $12,689.53 $12,941.45 $-79.55
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:50am ET $274.91 47 $12,920.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 1:40pm ET $272.67 47 $12,815.26 $12,835.94 $-105.51
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 2:50pm ET $273.08 47 $12,834.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:05pm ET $271.68 47 $12,768.96 $12,770.14 $-65.80
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 2:15pm ET $276.64 46 $12,725.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 2:20pm ET $275.55 46 $12,675.30 $12,720.00 $-50.14
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET $268.67 47 $12,627.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:40am ET $266.90 47 $12,544.30 $12,636.80 $-83.19
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:55am ET $265.87 47 $12,495.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 12:05pm ET $262.92 47 $12,357.47 $12,498.51 $-138.30
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 2:35pm ET $262.71 47 $12,347.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 3:40pm ET $263.18 47 $12,369.46 $12,520.60 +$22.09
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $255.61 48 $12,269.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:45am ET $259.64 48 $12,462.96 $12,714.28 +$193.68
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:25am ET $270.60 48 $12,988.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $276.07 48 $13,251.36 $12,976.84 +$262.56
(+2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 1:15pm ET $283.90 45 $12,775.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 2:05pm ET $284.83 45 $12,817.46 $13,018.58 +$41.74
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $301.25 43 $12,953.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:45am ET $302.91 43 $13,025.13 $13,089.85 +$71.27
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 1:35pm ET $303.28 43 $13,041.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $298.05 43 $12,816.36 $12,865.17 $-224.68
(-1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET $301.29 42 $12,653.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 10:00am ET $306.93 42 $12,891.06 $13,102.26 +$237.09
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 12:50pm ET $311.88 42 $13,098.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 2:25pm ET $312.09 42 $13,107.78 $13,111.08 +$8.82
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:35am ET $328.51 39 $12,811.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 11:50am ET $320.86 39 $12,513.54 $12,812.73 $-298.35
(-2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $295.86 43 $12,721.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:55am ET $293.17 43 $12,606.10 $12,696.85 $-115.88
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:15am ET $284.40 44 $12,513.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 2:05pm ET $282.33 44 $12,422.52 $12,605.78 $-91.07
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $286.90 43 $12,336.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 10:55am ET $287.29 43 $12,353.47 $12,622.55 +$16.77
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:10pm ET $277.18 45 $12,473.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:20pm ET $276.11 45 $12,424.95 $12,574.40 $-48.15
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $301.84 41 $12,375.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:50am ET $303.69 41 $12,451.29 $12,650.25 +$75.85
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $302.15 41 $12,388.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $297.20 41 $12,185.20 $12,447.30 $-202.95
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $277.00 44 $12,188.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $271.20 44 $11,932.80 $12,192.10 $-255.20
(-2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.2h held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:45pm ET $283.76 42 $11,917.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $281.05 42 $11,804.10 $12,078.28 $-113.82
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $275.02 43 $11,825.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:50am ET $279.28 43 $12,009.04 $12,261.46 +$183.18
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $313.02 39 $12,207.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:45am ET $317.31 39 $12,375.25 $12,428.93 +$167.47
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:45am ET $310.51 40 $12,420.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET $313.08 40 $12,523.00 $12,531.73 +$102.80
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:25pm ET $330.51 37 $12,228.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $324.40 37 $12,002.80 $12,305.66 $-226.07
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $324.24 37 $11,997.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $329.10 37 $12,176.52 $12,485.11 +$179.45
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $328.05 38 $12,465.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 11:15am ET $317.49 38 $12,064.81 $12,084.21 $-400.90
(-3.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:00pm ET $349.61 34 $11,886.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 12:15pm ET $351.33 34 $11,945.22 $12,142.55 +$58.34
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $353.86 34 $12,031.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $352.46 34 $11,983.64 $12,094.95 $-47.60
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,094.95
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,094.95
Total Return: +20.95%
Back to Professor Mean