NFLX Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 38 trades in period
-2.58%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,455.16
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$11,758.45
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
28
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.7/35
Total Return
9.9/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality
28.0/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 27.6
30-Day Momentum
9
-5.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,976
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,758.45
Current Value
$11,455.16
Period P&L
$-303.32
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
21 /
17
Best Trade
+1.51%
Worst Trade
-3.30%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
3.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$912,749.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-303.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$-303.32
Gross Return
-2.58%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.58%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,758.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $92.84 | 126 | $11,697.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 11:30am ET | $92.51 | 126 | $11,656.26 | $11,716.89 |
$-41.58 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:10pm ET | $92.07 | 127 | $11,692.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:45pm ET | $92.27 | 127 | $11,718.39 | $11,742.39 |
+$25.50 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $93.14 | 126 | $11,735.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $93.82 | 126 | $11,821.95 | $11,828.70 |
+$86.31 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET | $92.92 | 127 | $11,800.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $92.91 | 127 | $11,799.57 | $11,828.07 |
$-0.63 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:45am ET | $94.96 | 124 | $11,774.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:50am ET | $95.27 | 124 | $11,813.48 | $11,867.13 |
+$39.06 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 1:20pm ET | $98.64 | 120 | $11,836.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 1:45pm ET | $98.90 | 120 | $11,868.60 | $11,898.93 |
+$31.80 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 3:00pm ET | $98.87 | 120 | $11,864.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $99.12 | 120 | $11,894.41 | $11,928.94 |
+$30.01 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $101.66 | 117 | $11,894.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 11:20am ET | $101.92 | 117 | $11,924.06 | $11,958.77 |
+$29.83 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 2:10pm ET | $103.35 | 115 | $11,885.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:55pm ET | $103.45 | 115 | $11,896.74 | $11,970.27 |
+$11.50 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $106.71 | 112 | $11,951.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $107.54 | 112 | $12,044.48 | $12,063.23 |
+$92.96 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:10am ET | $94.23 | 128 | $12,061.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $94.07 | 128 | $12,040.32 | $12,042.11 |
$-21.12 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $93.09 | 129 | $12,008.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 12:45pm ET | $93.07 | 129 | $12,006.67 | $12,040.18 |
$-1.93 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $92.82 | 129 | $11,974.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $92.45 | 129 | $11,926.05 | $11,991.81 |
$-48.38 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $91.85 | 130 | $11,940.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $92.40 | 130 | $12,011.74 | $12,063.05 |
+$71.24 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 11:20am ET | $90.52 | 133 | $12,039.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 1:00pm ET | $90.64 | 133 | $12,054.46 | $12,078.35 |
+$15.30 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $91.19 | 132 | $12,037.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $92.57 | 132 | $12,219.24 | $12,260.51 |
+$182.16 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:15pm ET | $93.55 | 131 | $12,255.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:40pm ET | $92.33 | 131 | $12,095.23 | $12,100.69 |
$-159.82 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $90.94 | 133 | $12,095.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $90.39 | 133 | $12,021.21 | $12,026.21 |
$-74.48 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $86.89 | 138 | $11,991.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $87.85 | 138 | $12,123.30 | $12,158.00 |
+$131.79 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 1:00pm ET | $88.44 | 137 | $12,116.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 2:25pm ET | $88.44 | 137 | $12,116.96 | $12,158.68 |
+$0.68 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.41 | 140 | $12,097.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 10:25am ET | $87.24 | 140 | $12,213.60 | $12,274.88 |
+$116.20 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 1:10pm ET | $88.37 | 138 | $12,195.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 3:05pm ET | $87.71 | 138 | $12,103.98 | $12,183.80 |
$-91.08 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 3:50pm ET | $87.69 | 138 | $12,101.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $88.29 | 138 | $12,184.02 | $12,266.46 |
+$82.66 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 3:00pm ET | $86.80 | 141 | $12,238.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 3:50pm ET | $86.92 | 141 | $12,255.44 | $12,283.08 |
+$16.62 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 11:20am ET | $90.23 | 136 | $12,271.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 2:25pm ET | $88.96 | 136 | $12,097.88 | $12,109.68 |
$-173.40 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $88.12 | 137 | $12,072.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $88.38 | 137 | $12,108.05 | $12,145.29 |
+$35.61 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $87.64 | 138 | $12,094.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 11:30am ET | $87.73 | 138 | $12,106.74 | $12,157.71 |
+$12.42 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.85 | 139 | $12,071.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $86.25 | 139 | $11,989.44 | $12,075.70 |
$-82.01 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $85.81 | 140 | $12,013.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $86.23 | 140 | $12,072.20 | $12,134.50 |
+$58.80 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $84.32 | 143 | $12,057.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $84.20 | 143 | $12,040.60 | $12,118.05 |
$-16.45 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 12:05pm ET | $81.14 | 149 | $12,089.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 1:00pm ET | $81.40 | 149 | $12,129.34 | $12,157.53 |
+$39.48 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 3:30pm ET | $81.50 | 149 | $12,144.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.46 | 149 | $12,287.28 | $12,300.57 |
+$143.04 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.18 | 149 | $12,245.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:00am ET | $82.06 | 149 | $12,226.92 | $12,281.93 |
$-18.64 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $82.18 | 149 | $12,244.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 3:40pm ET | $82.03 | 149 | $12,222.47 | $12,259.58 |
$-22.35 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $80.72 | 151 | $12,189.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 11:00am ET | $80.05 | 151 | $12,087.43 | $12,157.53 |
$-102.05 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $80.72 | 150 | $12,108.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 11:30am ET | $79.13 | 150 | $11,869.50 | $11,919.03 |
$-238.50 (-2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 2:10pm ET | $77.42 | 153 | $11,845.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:55am ET | $76.93 | 153 | $11,770.75 | $11,844.52 |
$-74.51 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 10:20am ET | $75.12 | 157 | $11,793.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 1:45pm ET | $72.64 | 157 | $11,404.48 | $11,455.16 |
$-389.36 (-3.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,455.16
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,455.16
Total Return:
+14.55%