ORCL Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 34 trades in period
-4.01%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,576.30
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$9,976.18
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality
9.3/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 9.2
30-Day Momentum
53
+4.2%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 55.5
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+44 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,976.18
Current Value
$9,576.30
Period P&L
$-399.84
Max Drawdown
-27.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
17 /
17
Best Trade
+3.05%
Worst Trade
-2.41%
Avg Trade Return
-0.11%
Avg Hold Time
3.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$650,069.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-399.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$-399.84
Gross Return
-4.01%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.01%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,976.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $154.14 | 64 | $9,864.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 11:40am ET | $152.49 | 64 | $9,759.36 | $9,870.54 |
$-105.60 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 2:45pm ET | $149.77 | 65 | $9,735.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 2:50pm ET | $149.25 | 65 | $9,701.25 | $9,836.42 |
$-34.12 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $146.86 | 66 | $9,692.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $148.32 | 66 | $9,789.12 | $9,932.78 |
+$96.36 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 1:00pm ET | $144.30 | 68 | $9,812.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 2:20pm ET | $144.49 | 68 | $9,825.32 | $9,945.70 |
+$12.92 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $141.28 | 70 | $9,889.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 11:45am ET | $139.43 | 70 | $9,760.10 | $9,816.20 |
$-129.50 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 2:10pm ET | $144.47 | 67 | $9,679.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 3:35pm ET | $144.49 | 67 | $9,681.16 | $9,817.87 |
+$1.67 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $138.18 | 71 | $9,810.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $137.89 | 71 | $9,790.19 | $9,797.63 |
$-20.24 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $129.98 | 75 | $9,748.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $129.60 | 75 | $9,720.00 | $9,769.32 |
$-28.32 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 2:55pm ET | $132.08 | 73 | $9,641.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 3:35pm ET | $132.88 | 73 | $9,700.24 | $9,827.72 |
+$58.40 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 3:35pm ET | $123.95 | 79 | $9,792.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $124.70 | 79 | $9,851.50 | $9,887.16 |
+$59.45 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $123.06 | 80 | $9,844.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 11:20am ET | $122.41 | 80 | $9,792.82 | $9,835.58 |
$-51.58 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 11:35am ET | $125.53 | 78 | $9,791.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 12:15pm ET | $126.46 | 78 | $9,863.49 | $9,907.73 |
+$72.15 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 1:30pm ET | $120.35 | 82 | $9,868.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 3:20pm ET | $120.18 | 82 | $9,855.17 | $9,894.20 |
$-13.53 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 2:30pm ET | $119.25 | 82 | $9,778.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 3:30pm ET | $120.06 | 82 | $9,844.92 | $9,960.61 |
+$66.41 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.50 | 83 | $9,918.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 12:25pm ET | $117.30 | 83 | $9,735.90 | $9,778.43 |
$-182.18 (-1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 3:30pm ET | $146.13 | 66 | $9,644.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 10:50am ET | $144.82 | 66 | $9,558.12 | $9,691.97 |
$-86.46 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $148.32 | 65 | $9,640.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 12:50pm ET | $144.96 | 65 | $9,422.72 | $9,473.84 |
$-218.13 (-2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $154.15 | 61 | $9,402.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 11:20am ET | $153.57 | 61 | $9,367.77 | $9,438.77 |
$-35.07 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $146.93 | 64 | $9,403.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.39 | 64 | $9,176.96 | $9,212.53 |
$-226.24 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $140.80 | 65 | $9,152.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:45am ET | $140.69 | 65 | $9,144.85 | $9,205.38 |
$-7.15 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $142.88 | 64 | $9,144.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $142.61 | 64 | $9,127.04 | $9,187.78 |
$-17.60 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 3:20pm ET | $143.52 | 64 | $9,185.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $144.76 | 64 | $9,264.64 | $9,267.14 |
+$79.36 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.35 | 62 | $9,259.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $148.44 | 62 | $9,203.28 | $9,210.72 |
$-56.42 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $144.21 | 63 | $9,085.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 11:45am ET | $143.12 | 63 | $9,016.56 | $9,142.01 |
$-68.71 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 11:45am ET | $143.88 | 63 | $9,064.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 12:35pm ET | $144.65 | 63 | $9,113.26 | $9,190.83 |
+$48.82 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 3:50pm ET | $154.37 | 59 | $9,107.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $159.08 | 59 | $9,385.72 | $9,468.69 |
+$277.86 (+3.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 2:40pm ET | $161.64 | 58 | $9,375.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 3:45pm ET | $162.14 | 58 | $9,404.12 | $9,497.69 |
+$29.00 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.75 | 60 | $9,465.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 10:40am ET | $158.88 | 60 | $9,532.81 | $9,565.50 |
+$67.81 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 12:10pm ET | $152.35 | 62 | $9,445.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 1:10pm ET | $152.80 | 62 | $9,473.59 | $9,593.39 |
+$27.89 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $142.49 | 67 | $9,547.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $142.66 | 67 | $9,558.22 | $9,604.45 |
+$11.06 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 1:35pm ET | $143.11 | 67 | $9,588.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:05pm ET | $143.98 | 67 | $9,646.66 | $9,663.02 |
+$58.57 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 3:00pm ET | $148.73 | 64 | $9,518.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $149.24 | 64 | $9,551.36 | $9,695.98 |
+$32.96 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 2:35pm ET | $148.15 | 65 | $9,629.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 2:50pm ET | $148.78 | 65 | $9,670.95 | $9,737.50 |
+$41.52 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 3:40pm ET | $149.34 | 65 | $9,707.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $146.86 | 65 | $9,545.90 | $9,576.30 |
$-161.20 (-1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,576.30
Net Profit/Loss:
$-423.70
Total Return:
-4.24%