Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:31:22

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
5.0/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 17.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 17.0

30-Day Momentum

16
-0.3%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
14
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.4 Conf: 0.98×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,347.24
Current Value
$10,351.59
Period P&L
$1,004.36
Max Drawdown
-17.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
26 / 14
Best Trade
+4.42%
Worst Trade
-1.99%
Avg Trade Return
+0.26%
Avg Hold Time
5.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$788,878.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,004.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,004.36
Gross Return
+10.74%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 40 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,347.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:45pm ET $51.21 182 $9,319.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $50.82 182 $9,249.33 $9,277.16 $-70.07
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 3:00pm ET $49.60 187 $9,276.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $49.70 187 $9,293.88 $9,294.91 +$17.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $48.58 191 $9,277.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 11:10am ET $48.20 191 $9,206.20 $9,223.28 $-71.63
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:15pm ET $48.84 188 $9,181.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $48.97 188 $9,205.42 $9,246.78 +$23.50
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:50pm ET $53.92 171 $9,220.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 2:15pm ET $53.75 171 $9,191.25 $9,217.71 $-29.07
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:20am ET $52.30 176 $9,204.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 12:55pm ET $52.06 176 $9,162.56 $9,175.47 $-42.24
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:30am ET $54.62 167 $9,122.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 12:25pm ET $54.28 167 $9,064.76 $9,118.19 $-57.28
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:45am ET $53.58 170 $9,107.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 10:50am ET $53.86 170 $9,156.20 $9,166.64 +$48.45
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $54.06 169 $9,136.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:40am ET $54.69 169 $9,242.61 $9,273.11 +$106.47
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 12:55pm ET $55.91 165 $9,225.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $56.10 165 $9,257.32 $9,305.28 +$32.17
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 2:05pm ET $57.28 162 $9,280.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $57.45 162 $9,307.26 $9,332.37 +$27.09
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 3:25pm ET $57.61 161 $9,275.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 10:15am ET $57.56 161 $9,267.16 $9,324.32 $-8.05
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 12:25pm ET $55.56 167 $9,278.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $55.69 167 $9,301.06 $9,346.87 +$22.54
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 3:30pm ET $54.08 172 $9,301.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $56.16 172 $9,659.52 $9,704.62 +$357.76
(+3.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $55.14 176 $9,704.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 11:00am ET $55.16 176 $9,708.16 $9,708.54 +$3.92
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $55.65 174 $9,683.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 10:50am ET $55.75 174 $9,700.50 $9,725.94 +$17.40
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 2:20pm ET $54.95 176 $9,671.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 2:45pm ET $55.19 176 $9,714.32 $9,769.06 +$43.12
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $53.92 181 $9,760.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $56.31 181 $10,192.11 $10,200.75 +$431.69
(+4.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $55.45 183 $10,147.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:25am ET $55.87 183 $10,223.30 $10,276.70 +$75.95
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 3:40pm ET $58.85 174 $10,239.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 10:15am ET $58.83 174 $10,236.42 $10,273.22 $-3.48
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $57.59 178 $10,251.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 1:25pm ET $57.69 178 $10,268.82 $10,290.31 +$17.09
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 1:40pm ET $58.46 176 $10,288.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 2:15pm ET $58.56 176 $10,307.44 $10,308.79 +$18.48
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 2:35pm ET $60.08 171 $10,273.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 2:55pm ET $60.24 171 $10,301.89 $10,337.00 +$28.21
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:45am ET $61.30 168 $10,298.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:10am ET $61.55 168 $10,340.40 $10,379.00 +$42.00
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 10:45am ET $60.02 172 $10,323.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $59.73 172 $10,273.56 $10,329.12 $-49.88
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 3:35pm ET $58.81 175 $10,291.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $58.40 175 $10,220.87 $10,258.87 $-70.25
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET $58.36 175 $10,213.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:20am ET $58.56 175 $10,247.13 $10,292.99 +$34.12
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:50pm ET $58.93 174 $10,253.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 3:40pm ET $59.03 174 $10,272.09 $10,311.24 +$18.25
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $60.67 169 $10,253.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $60.49 169 $10,222.81 $10,280.82 $-30.42
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:40am ET $60.78 169 $10,271.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:45am ET $60.99 169 $10,307.31 $10,316.31 +$35.49
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:45am ET $59.65 172 $10,259.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 10:35am ET $60.08 172 $10,333.76 $10,390.27 +$73.96
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $60.63 171 $10,367.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $60.58 171 $10,359.18 $10,381.72 $-8.55
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET $61.18 169 $10,339.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 11:10am ET $60.74 169 $10,264.99 $10,307.29 $-74.43
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:10am ET $62.15 165 $10,255.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 11:30am ET $62.71 165 $10,347.15 $10,398.87 +$91.58
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $63.19 164 $10,363.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $63.54 164 $10,421.38 $10,457.09 +$58.22
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:40pm ET $60.12 173 $10,400.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 11:00am ET $58.92 173 $10,194.02 $10,250.36 $-206.73
(-2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $58.80 174 $10,231.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $58.14 174 $10,116.36 $10,135.52 $-114.84
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $56.34 179 $10,084.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:10am ET $57.03 179 $10,209.26 $10,259.92 +$124.40
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 12:45pm ET $57.49 178 $10,233.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $57.70 178 $10,270.60 $10,297.30 +$37.38
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
40 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 2:40pm ET $57.69 178 $10,268.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $57.99 178 $10,323.11 $10,351.59 +$54.29
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,351.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$351.59
Total Return: +3.52%
Back to Professor Mean