PANW Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 37 trades in period
+3.90%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,639.53
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$9,277.37
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality
10.9/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 10.7
30-Day Momentum
52
+5.7%
30d Return
91%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 57.9
Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+41 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,277.37
Current Value
$9,639.53
Period P&L
$362.14
Max Drawdown
-24.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
24 /
13
Best Trade
+3.82%
Worst Trade
-5.78%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
4.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$655,432.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$362.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$362.14
Gross Return
+3.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.90%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,277.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $164.36 | 56 | $9,204.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.00 | 56 | $9,072.00 | $9,145.23 |
$-132.16 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $156.70 | 58 | $9,088.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:40pm ET | $155.96 | 58 | $9,045.68 | $9,102.31 |
$-42.92 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $156.37 | 58 | $9,069.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $147.33 | 58 | $8,545.14 | $8,577.99 |
$-524.32 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:45pm ET | $154.01 | 55 | $8,470.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:45pm ET | $154.10 | 55 | $8,475.50 | $8,582.94 |
+$4.95 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $158.17 | 54 | $8,541.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET | $159.96 | 54 | $8,637.57 | $8,679.33 |
+$96.39 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $161.72 | 53 | $8,571.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $162.57 | 53 | $8,616.21 | $8,724.38 |
+$45.05 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:00pm ET | $161.63 | 53 | $8,566.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:10pm ET | $162.40 | 53 | $8,607.20 | $8,765.19 |
+$40.81 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $169.73 | 51 | $8,656.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:40am ET | $167.57 | 51 | $8,546.07 | $8,655.03 |
$-110.16 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 1:55pm ET | $153.31 | 56 | $8,585.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:00pm ET | $154.22 | 56 | $8,636.32 | $8,705.99 |
+$50.96 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 1:25pm ET | $160.71 | 54 | $8,678.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:15pm ET | $160.31 | 54 | $8,656.73 | $8,684.29 |
$-21.70 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:15pm ET | $166.46 | 52 | $8,656.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:05pm ET | $166.41 | 52 | $8,653.19 | $8,681.30 |
$-2.99 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.61 | 52 | $8,663.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $168.24 | 52 | $8,748.62 | $8,766.20 |
+$84.90 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $174.36 | 50 | $8,718.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $174.98 | 50 | $8,749.00 | $8,797.20 |
+$31.00 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $173.73 | 50 | $8,686.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $172.88 | 50 | $8,644.00 | $8,754.70 |
$-42.50 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.16 | 49 | $8,681.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $176.68 | 49 | $8,657.32 | $8,730.93 |
$-23.77 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:45pm ET | $182.13 | 47 | $8,560.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.52 | 47 | $8,437.44 | $8,608.26 |
$-122.67 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.08 | 48 | $8,595.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:50am ET | $177.25 | 48 | $8,508.12 | $8,520.54 |
$-87.72 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 3:45pm ET | $181.83 | 46 | $8,364.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $183.87 | 46 | $8,458.02 | $8,614.38 |
+$93.84 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $182.76 | 47 | $8,589.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $183.54 | 47 | $8,626.15 | $8,650.81 |
+$36.43 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 12:05pm ET | $195.81 | 44 | $8,615.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 2:15pm ET | $193.60 | 44 | $8,518.18 | $8,553.35 |
$-97.46 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 2:55pm ET | $204.14 | 41 | $8,369.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 3:05pm ET | $205.19 | 41 | $8,412.79 | $8,596.50 |
+$43.15 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $212.13 | 40 | $8,485.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $213.74 | 40 | $8,549.60 | $8,661.10 |
+$64.60 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 12:40pm ET | $235.04 | 36 | $8,461.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 1:40pm ET | $235.84 | 36 | $8,490.24 | $8,689.90 |
+$28.80 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $238.20 | 36 | $8,575.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $242.15 | 36 | $8,717.22 | $8,831.92 |
+$142.02 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 11:40am ET | $243.58 | 36 | $8,768.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 1:00pm ET | $242.45 | 36 | $8,728.02 | $8,791.06 |
$-40.86 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $241.46 | 36 | $8,692.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $250.70 | 36 | $9,025.02 | $9,123.52 |
+$332.46 (+3.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $253.70 | 35 | $8,879.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 10:40am ET | $256.47 | 35 | $8,976.45 | $9,220.64 |
+$97.12 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $256.32 | 35 | $8,971.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $264.20 | 35 | $9,247.00 | $9,496.62 |
+$275.98 (+3.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $288.97 | 32 | $9,247.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $294.40 | 32 | $9,420.80 | $9,670.38 |
+$173.76 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 12:50pm ET | $280.32 | 34 | $9,530.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 2:00pm ET | $280.60 | 34 | $9,540.40 | $9,679.90 |
+$9.52 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $275.68 | 35 | $9,648.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $277.40 | 35 | $9,709.00 | $9,739.92 |
+$60.02 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $266.13 | 36 | $9,580.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 1:05pm ET | $255.42 | 36 | $9,195.12 | $9,354.36 |
$-385.56 (-4.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
21.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 2:30pm ET | $263.29 | 35 | $9,214.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $263.40 | 35 | $9,219.00 | $9,358.38 |
+$4.02 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $274.58 | 34 | $9,335.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $277.64 | 34 | $9,439.93 | $9,462.59 |
+$104.21 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 2:35pm ET | $282.89 | 33 | $9,335.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 3:30pm ET | $283.61 | 33 | $9,359.29 | $9,486.35 |
+$23.76 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $278.00 | 34 | $9,452.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $281.19 | 34 | $9,560.46 | $9,594.81 |
+$108.46 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 3:00pm ET | $285.57 | 33 | $9,423.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 3:35pm ET | $286.92 | 33 | $9,468.36 | $9,639.53 |
+$44.72 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,639.53
Net Profit/Loss:
$-360.47
Total Return:
-3.60%