PEP Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 38 trades in period
-7.55%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,518.69
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$10,295.98
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
85.2 overbought
20d Trend
+19.9%
5d Trend
+9.7%
EMA20 Dist
+9.3%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
62.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
14
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
14.0/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 13.7
30-Day Momentum
19
-0.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.0
Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,295.98
Current Value
$9,518.69
Period P&L
$-777.22
Max Drawdown
-12.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.22
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
21 /
17
Best Trade
+1.43%
Worst Trade
-4.29%
Avg Trade Return
-0.20%
Avg Hold Time
5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$732,872.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-777.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$-777.22
Gross Return
-7.55%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.55%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,295.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 12:45pm ET | $142.85 | 72 | $10,285.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $142.36 | 72 | $10,249.92 | $10,260.29 |
$-35.64 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 3:10pm ET | $141.09 | 72 | $10,158.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 3:50pm ET | $141.43 | 72 | $10,182.96 | $10,284.77 |
+$24.48 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $137.07 | 75 | $10,280.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 12:25pm ET | $136.47 | 75 | $10,235.39 | $10,239.91 |
$-44.86 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.04 | 71 | $10,155.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $142.62 | 71 | $10,126.02 | $10,210.09 |
$-29.82 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 11:10am ET | $147.31 | 69 | $10,164.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $145.22 | 69 | $10,020.18 | $10,065.88 |
$-144.21 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $143.02 | 70 | $10,011.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $136.89 | 70 | $9,582.30 | $9,636.43 |
$-429.45 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.88 | 70 | $9,511.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $137.27 | 70 | $9,608.90 | $9,733.73 |
+$97.30 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $138.03 | 70 | $9,661.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 1:10pm ET | $136.27 | 70 | $9,538.98 | $9,610.87 |
$-122.86 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 3:25pm ET | $135.64 | 70 | $9,494.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.58 | 70 | $9,630.61 | $9,746.67 |
+$135.81 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 11:45am ET | $138.44 | 70 | $9,691.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 2:10pm ET | $136.67 | 70 | $9,566.90 | $9,622.51 |
$-124.16 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $134.35 | 71 | $9,539.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:50am ET | $134.91 | 71 | $9,578.96 | $9,662.27 |
+$39.76 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 3:00pm ET | $135.74 | 71 | $9,637.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 10:50am ET | $135.00 | 71 | $9,585.00 | $9,609.38 |
$-52.89 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 11:05am ET | $143.65 | 66 | $9,480.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 1:05pm ET | $142.27 | 66 | $9,389.83 | $9,518.31 |
$-91.07 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 1:10pm ET | $144.59 | 65 | $9,398.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 2:25pm ET | $144.40 | 65 | $9,386.32 | $9,506.28 |
$-12.02 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 3:40pm ET | $139.87 | 67 | $9,371.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $140.15 | 67 | $9,390.05 | $9,525.04 |
+$18.76 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 12:20pm ET | $138.88 | 68 | $9,443.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 1:40pm ET | $139.05 | 68 | $9,455.40 | $9,536.60 |
+$11.56 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $138.29 | 68 | $9,403.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $138.77 | 68 | $9,436.36 | $9,569.24 |
+$32.64 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 3:50pm ET | $137.90 | 69 | $9,515.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.45 | 69 | $9,484.05 | $9,538.19 |
$-31.05 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $138.14 | 69 | $9,531.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 10:55am ET | $138.38 | 69 | $9,548.22 | $9,554.75 |
+$16.56 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.40 | 69 | $9,480.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 10:50am ET | $137.32 | 69 | $9,475.25 | $9,549.40 |
$-5.35 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 1:30pm ET | $139.71 | 68 | $9,500.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 2:10pm ET | $139.88 | 68 | $9,511.84 | $9,560.95 |
+$11.55 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 3:50pm ET | $140.58 | 68 | $9,559.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $140.94 | 68 | $9,583.92 | $9,585.71 |
+$24.76 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $140.14 | 68 | $9,529.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.99 | 68 | $9,587.32 | $9,643.51 |
+$57.80 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $141.74 | 68 | $9,638.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 11:00am ET | $141.94 | 68 | $9,651.92 | $9,657.11 |
+$13.60 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 12:45pm ET | $144.74 | 66 | $9,552.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 1:50pm ET | $144.84 | 66 | $9,559.44 | $9,663.71 |
+$6.60 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $141.71 | 68 | $9,636.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $142.15 | 68 | $9,666.15 | $9,693.58 |
+$29.87 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 1:45pm ET | $140.45 | 69 | $9,691.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 2:40pm ET | $140.59 | 69 | $9,700.37 | $9,702.90 |
+$9.32 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 3:20pm ET | $140.60 | 69 | $9,701.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $140.96 | 69 | $9,725.90 | $9,727.39 |
+$24.49 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 10:45am ET | $140.02 | 69 | $9,661.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 1:10pm ET | $139.90 | 69 | $9,653.10 | $9,719.11 |
$-8.28 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 2:40pm ET | $140.89 | 68 | $9,580.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $139.54 | 68 | $9,488.38 | $9,626.79 |
$-92.32 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $138.02 | 69 | $9,523.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $138.79 | 69 | $9,576.51 | $9,679.57 |
+$52.78 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $138.04 | 70 | $9,662.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 12:15pm ET | $136.56 | 70 | $9,559.20 | $9,575.97 |
$-103.60 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $136.74 | 70 | $9,571.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.30 | 70 | $9,611.00 | $9,615.17 |
+$39.20 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 11:20am ET | $136.57 | 70 | $9,559.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 12:40pm ET | $136.66 | 70 | $9,566.20 | $9,621.47 |
+$6.30 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $135.35 | 71 | $9,610.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $135.83 | 71 | $9,643.93 | $9,655.20 |
+$33.73 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $132.13 | 73 | $9,645.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 12:35pm ET | $130.26 | 73 | $9,508.62 | $9,518.69 |
$-136.51 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $130.32 | 73 | $9,513.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET | $131.19 | 73 | $9,576.87 | $9,582.20 |
+$63.51 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 10:55am ET | $129.71 | 73 | $9,468.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 1:25pm ET | $128.84 | 73 | $9,405.32 | $9,518.69 |
$-63.51 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,518.69
Net Profit/Loss:
$-481.31
Total Return:
-4.81%