PEP Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-04-26 to present • 30 trades in period
-1.69%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,733.73
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$9,900.73
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
85.2 overbought
20d Trend
+19.9%
5d Trend
+9.7%
EMA20 Dist
+9.3%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
62.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
14.0/100
× Confidence 0.95
= 13.3
30-Day Momentum
3
-5.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,900.73
Current Value
$9,733.73
Period P&L
$-166.95
Max Drawdown
-12.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
18 /
12
Best Trade
+1.77%
Worst Trade
-4.29%
Avg Trade Return
-0.05%
Avg Hold Time
7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$603,444.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-166.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$-166.95
Gross Return
-1.69%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.69%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,900.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 12:35pm ET | $155.15 | 63 | $9,774.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.74 | 63 | $9,874.31 | $10,000.54 |
+$99.86 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.9h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.53 | 64 | $9,953.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $156.15 | 64 | $9,993.60 | $10,040.22 |
+$39.68 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:00pm ET | $158.07 | 63 | $9,958.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 2:50pm ET | $157.08 | 63 | $9,896.04 | $9,977.69 |
$-62.53 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $153.04 | 65 | $9,947.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $154.06 | 65 | $10,013.90 | $10,043.99 |
+$66.30 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.02 | 64 | $9,921.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 10:50am ET | $155.49 | 64 | $9,951.68 | $10,074.39 |
+$30.40 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $155.05 | 64 | $9,923.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 11:40am ET | $155.78 | 64 | $9,969.92 | $10,121.11 |
+$46.72 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 2:35pm ET | $149.68 | 67 | $10,028.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 3:25pm ET | $149.83 | 67 | $10,038.39 | $10,130.60 |
+$9.49 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $151.00 | 67 | $10,117.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $152.38 | 67 | $10,209.46 | $10,223.06 |
+$92.46 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $149.02 | 68 | $10,133.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 10:30am ET | $149.55 | 68 | $10,169.74 | $10,259.32 |
+$36.26 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 1:30pm ET | $149.12 | 68 | $10,140.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 2:15pm ET | $149.31 | 68 | $10,153.08 | $10,272.24 |
+$12.92 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 1:05pm ET | $149.95 | 68 | $10,196.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 3:20pm ET | $149.60 | 68 | $10,172.46 | $10,248.10 |
$-24.14 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $147.56 | 69 | $10,181.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 10:45am ET | $148.16 | 69 | $10,223.38 | $10,289.84 |
+$41.74 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.72 | 68 | $10,180.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 11:35am ET | $147.30 | 68 | $10,016.74 | $10,125.62 |
$-164.22 (-1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 1:45pm ET | $148.14 | 68 | $10,073.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 2:45pm ET | $148.32 | 68 | $10,085.76 | $10,137.82 |
+$12.20 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.40 | 69 | $10,032.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 10:45am ET | $145.16 | 69 | $10,016.38 | $10,121.60 |
$-16.22 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 3:05pm ET | $141.68 | 71 | $10,058.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $142.18 | 71 | $10,094.78 | $10,157.45 |
+$35.85 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 1:45pm ET | $143.05 | 71 | $10,156.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.89 | 71 | $10,287.19 | $10,288.09 |
+$130.64 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 3:00pm ET | $142.60 | 72 | $10,267.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 11:00am ET | $140.23 | 72 | $10,096.78 | $10,117.67 |
$-170.42 (-1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 1:15pm ET | $142.69 | 70 | $9,988.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $142.88 | 70 | $10,001.60 | $10,130.97 |
+$13.30 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 3:45pm ET | $144.13 | 70 | $10,089.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 10:55am ET | $143.65 | 70 | $10,055.50 | $10,097.37 |
$-33.60 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $145.48 | 69 | $10,038.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 10:15am ET | $146.47 | 69 | $10,106.43 | $10,165.68 |
+$68.31 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 12:10pm ET | $143.78 | 70 | $10,064.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 1:50pm ET | $143.10 | 70 | $10,017.35 | $10,118.43 |
$-47.25 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 2:00pm ET | $141.00 | 71 | $10,011.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.50 | 71 | $10,188.50 | $10,295.93 |
+$177.50 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 12:45pm ET | $142.85 | 72 | $10,285.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $142.36 | 72 | $10,249.92 | $10,260.29 |
$-35.64 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 3:10pm ET | $141.09 | 72 | $10,158.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 3:50pm ET | $141.43 | 72 | $10,182.96 | $10,284.77 |
+$24.48 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $137.07 | 75 | $10,280.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 12:25pm ET | $136.47 | 75 | $10,235.39 | $10,239.91 |
$-44.86 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.04 | 71 | $10,155.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $142.62 | 71 | $10,126.02 | $10,210.09 |
$-29.82 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 11:10am ET | $147.31 | 69 | $10,164.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $145.22 | 69 | $10,020.18 | $10,065.88 |
$-144.21 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $143.02 | 70 | $10,011.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $136.89 | 70 | $9,582.30 | $9,636.43 |
$-429.45 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.88 | 70 | $9,511.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $137.27 | 70 | $9,608.90 | $9,733.73 |
+$97.30 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,733.73
Net Profit/Loss:
$-266.27
Total Return:
-2.66%