PFE Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 36 trades in period
+3.35%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,989.15
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$10,632.81
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
25
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.9/35
Total Return
8.6/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
25.5/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 25.4
30-Day Momentum
40
+2.2%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 42.4
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+15 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,632.81
Current Value
$10,989.15
Period P&L
$356.39
Max Drawdown
-11.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
21 /
15
Best Trade
+1.99%
Worst Trade
-1.02%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
6.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$776,175.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$356.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$356.39
Gross Return
+3.35%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.35%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,632.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 1:30pm ET | $23.93 | 444 | $10,627.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.92 | 444 | $10,620.48 | $10,626.09 |
$-6.66 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 11:00am ET | $24.17 | 439 | $10,608.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 12:30pm ET | $24.20 | 439 | $10,625.99 | $10,643.65 |
+$17.56 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 3:30pm ET | $24.09 | 441 | $10,625.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $24.13 | 441 | $10,639.13 | $10,656.88 |
+$13.23 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.86 | 446 | $10,641.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $23.81 | 446 | $10,617.03 | $10,632.39 |
$-24.49 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 1:50pm ET | $24.00 | 443 | $10,629.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:40pm ET | $24.02 | 443 | $10,643.07 | $10,645.68 |
+$13.29 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.05 | 442 | $10,627.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $24.14 | 442 | $10,667.67 | $10,685.46 |
+$39.78 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $24.22 | 441 | $10,681.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $24.18 | 441 | $10,665.58 | $10,670.03 |
$-15.43 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.23 | 440 | $10,661.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 11:40am ET | $24.22 | 440 | $10,654.60 | $10,663.43 |
$-6.60 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $25.03 | 426 | $10,662.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 1:40pm ET | $25.08 | 426 | $10,686.21 | $10,686.85 |
+$23.43 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 1:40pm ET | $25.03 | 426 | $10,664.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 2:15pm ET | $25.07 | 426 | $10,679.82 | $10,701.76 |
+$14.91 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 2:40pm ET | $24.79 | 431 | $10,683.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $24.84 | 431 | $10,706.04 | $10,724.26 |
+$22.50 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 12:10pm ET | $24.99 | 429 | $10,718.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 1:50pm ET | $24.96 | 429 | $10,708.70 | $10,714.40 |
$-9.87 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.58 | 435 | $10,690.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 11:10am ET | $24.63 | 435 | $10,714.05 | $10,738.32 |
+$23.92 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 11:10am ET | $25.24 | 425 | $10,724.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 1:15pm ET | $25.17 | 425 | $10,699.37 | $10,712.82 |
$-25.50 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 2:05pm ET | $25.13 | 426 | $10,703.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 2:25pm ET | $25.19 | 426 | $10,733.07 | $10,742.64 |
+$29.82 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.77 | 433 | $10,725.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:55am ET | $24.89 | 433 | $10,775.21 | $10,792.43 |
+$49.79 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $24.79 | 435 | $10,783.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $25.15 | 435 | $10,940.95 | $10,949.73 |
+$157.30 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 10:20am ET | $26.86 | 407 | $10,934.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 1:15pm ET | $26.59 | 407 | $10,822.13 | $10,837.81 |
$-111.92 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 1:35pm ET | $26.82 | 404 | $10,833.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 3:20pm ET | $26.73 | 404 | $10,796.90 | $10,801.45 |
$-36.36 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 3:30pm ET | $26.83 | 402 | $10,783.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.66 | 402 | $10,717.32 | $10,735.12 |
$-66.33 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 11:45am ET | $28.15 | 381 | $10,724.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 1:05pm ET | $28.11 | 381 | $10,711.81 | $10,722.09 |
$-13.03 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 3:05pm ET | $27.99 | 383 | $10,718.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $27.94 | 383 | $10,702.93 | $10,706.77 |
$-15.32 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 10:45am ET | $27.83 | 384 | $10,688.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 11:40am ET | $27.94 | 384 | $10,728.96 | $10,747.09 |
+$40.32 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 1:30pm ET | $28.35 | 379 | $10,744.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 1:45pm ET | $28.44 | 379 | $10,780.65 | $10,783.10 |
+$36.00 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 2:10pm ET | $28.30 | 381 | $10,782.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 2:45pm ET | $28.37 | 381 | $10,808.97 | $10,809.73 |
+$26.63 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 3:25pm ET | $27.91 | 387 | $10,801.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:55am ET | $27.98 | 387 | $10,829.03 | $10,837.59 |
+$27.86 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $28.46 | 380 | $10,814.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.02 | 380 | $11,029.50 | $11,052.29 |
+$214.70 (+2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $28.89 | 382 | $11,034.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $28.75 | 382 | $10,980.59 | $10,998.81 |
$-53.48 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $28.53 | 385 | $10,984.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 11:05am ET | $28.50 | 385 | $10,970.58 | $10,985.34 |
$-13.47 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 3:00pm ET | $27.81 | 395 | $10,984.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 3:40pm ET | $27.89 | 395 | $11,016.55 | $11,016.94 |
+$31.60 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.72 | 397 | $11,004.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 11:25am ET | $27.51 | 397 | $10,921.71 | $10,933.81 |
$-83.13 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 3:10pm ET | $27.71 | 394 | $10,917.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 3:30pm ET | $27.75 | 394 | $10,931.53 | $10,947.60 |
+$13.79 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 3:35pm ET | $27.46 | 398 | $10,929.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.55 | 398 | $10,962.91 | $10,981.43 |
+$33.83 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $27.60 | 397 | $10,957.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 11:10am ET | $27.41 | 397 | $10,879.79 | $10,904.02 |
$-77.41 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.7h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.61 | 394 | $10,877.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $27.75 | 394 | $10,935.47 | $10,961.78 |
+$57.76 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 2:30pm ET | $27.97 | 391 | $10,934.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 3:25pm ET | $28.03 | 391 | $10,961.68 | $10,989.15 |
+$27.37 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,989.15
Net Profit/Loss:
+$989.15
Total Return:
+9.89%