PG Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 40 trades in period
+6.37%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,683.84
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$10,984.64
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
36
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.8/35
Total Return
10.1/25
Win Rate
9.2/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
36.4/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 35.9
30-Day Momentum
49
+3.0%
30d Return
73%
Win Rate
11
Trades
3.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 54.4
Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+13 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,978
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,984.64
Current Value
$11,683.84
Period P&L
$699.19
Max Drawdown
-7.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
30 /
10
Best Trade
+1.09%
Worst Trade
-1.07%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
8.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$886,333.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$699.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$699.19
Gross Return
+6.37%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.37%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,984.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $143.96 | 76 | $10,940.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 10:50am ET | $144.65 | 76 | $10,993.02 | $11,036.70 |
+$52.06 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 1:10pm ET | $143.81 | 76 | $10,929.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 2:40pm ET | $144.06 | 76 | $10,948.56 | $11,055.70 |
+$19.00 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $143.72 | 76 | $10,922.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $144.17 | 76 | $10,956.92 | $11,089.90 |
+$34.20 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 2:30pm ET | $143.13 | 77 | $11,020.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.21 | 77 | $11,027.17 | $11,096.45 |
+$6.55 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $144.01 | 77 | $11,088.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 11:20am ET | $143.13 | 77 | $11,021.01 | $11,029.08 |
$-67.38 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 11:45am ET | $143.69 | 76 | $10,920.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:05pm ET | $143.64 | 76 | $10,916.64 | $11,025.27 |
$-3.81 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $142.88 | 77 | $11,001.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $143.28 | 77 | $11,032.56 | $11,056.07 |
+$30.80 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 1:40pm ET | $141.24 | 78 | $11,016.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:10pm ET | $141.53 | 78 | $11,039.34 | $11,078.69 |
+$22.62 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.98 | 76 | $10,942.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $144.65 | 76 | $10,993.40 | $11,129.61 |
+$50.92 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 1:35pm ET | $145.26 | 76 | $11,039.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 2:20pm ET | $145.45 | 76 | $11,053.82 | $11,144.05 |
+$14.44 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $144.26 | 77 | $11,108.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.62 | 77 | $11,058.74 | $11,094.38 |
$-49.67 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 3:25pm ET | $146.85 | 75 | $11,013.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:45pm ET | $147.09 | 75 | $11,031.75 | $11,112.38 |
+$18.00 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $143.39 | 77 | $11,041.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:05am ET | $143.96 | 77 | $11,084.92 | $11,156.27 |
+$43.89 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:50am ET | $142.47 | 78 | $11,112.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 1:05pm ET | $142.60 | 78 | $11,122.80 | $11,166.41 |
+$10.14 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 11:35am ET | $149.25 | 74 | $11,044.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 12:55pm ET | $149.67 | 74 | $11,075.58 | $11,197.49 |
+$31.08 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 2:15pm ET | $148.17 | 75 | $11,112.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 2:35pm ET | $148.38 | 75 | $11,128.87 | $11,213.61 |
+$16.12 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $148.09 | 75 | $11,106.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 11:50am ET | $146.50 | 75 | $10,987.50 | $11,094.73 |
$-118.88 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:05pm ET | $146.62 | 75 | $10,996.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 1:50pm ET | $146.89 | 75 | $11,016.75 | $11,114.98 |
+$20.25 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 2:10pm ET | $146.92 | 75 | $11,019.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $147.03 | 75 | $11,027.25 | $11,123.23 |
+$8.25 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $143.05 | 77 | $11,014.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $143.38 | 77 | $11,040.26 | $11,148.64 |
+$25.41 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $147.43 | 75 | $11,056.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 10:55am ET | $146.77 | 75 | $11,007.75 | $11,099.52 |
$-49.12 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 3:05pm ET | $146.40 | 75 | $10,980.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.95 | 75 | $10,945.88 | $11,065.40 |
$-34.12 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 3:20pm ET | $144.60 | 76 | $10,989.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.22 | 76 | $10,884.72 | $10,960.52 |
$-104.88 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 3:25pm ET | $142.88 | 76 | $10,858.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.18 | 76 | $10,881.68 | $10,983.32 |
+$22.80 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 1:00pm ET | $141.67 | 77 | $10,908.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 1:25pm ET | $142.60 | 77 | $10,980.20 | $11,054.93 |
+$71.61 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 3:45pm ET | $140.89 | 78 | $10,989.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $141.63 | 78 | $11,046.75 | $11,112.26 |
+$57.33 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.85 | 78 | $10,986.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 10:25am ET | $141.94 | 78 | $11,071.32 | $11,197.28 |
+$85.02 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 11:10am ET | $143.65 | 77 | $11,061.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 11:25am ET | $143.94 | 77 | $11,083.38 | $11,219.23 |
+$21.95 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 1:00pm ET | $143.27 | 78 | $11,175.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 3:10pm ET | $142.99 | 78 | $11,153.22 | $11,197.39 |
$-21.84 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 3:45pm ET | $147.54 | 75 | $11,065.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.70 | 75 | $11,002.50 | $11,134.76 |
$-62.63 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.80 | 76 | $11,004.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 10:45am ET | $144.77 | 76 | $11,002.52 | $11,132.63 |
$-2.13 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 3:00pm ET | $139.86 | 79 | $11,048.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 3:30pm ET | $140.11 | 79 | $11,068.69 | $11,152.38 |
+$19.75 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 2:25pm ET | $141.24 | 78 | $11,016.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $142.60 | 78 | $11,122.80 | $11,258.85 |
+$106.47 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.1h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 12:55pm ET | $145.10 | 77 | $11,172.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 1:30pm ET | $145.35 | 77 | $11,192.33 | $11,278.46 |
+$19.61 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 1:35pm ET | $148.89 | 75 | $11,166.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 2:05pm ET | $149.23 | 75 | $11,192.25 | $11,303.96 |
+$25.50 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $148.46 | 76 | $11,282.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.47 | 76 | $11,359.72 | $11,380.72 |
+$76.76 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 3:45pm ET | $150.11 | 75 | $11,258.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $151.51 | 75 | $11,363.25 | $11,485.72 |
+$105.00 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $151.65 | 75 | $11,373.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $152.45 | 75 | $11,433.75 | $11,546.09 |
+$60.37 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 1:45pm ET | $151.07 | 76 | $11,481.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 2:40pm ET | $151.23 | 76 | $11,493.10 | $11,557.87 |
+$11.78 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 3:30pm ET | $148.04 | 78 | $11,547.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.66 | 78 | $11,673.48 | $11,683.84 |
+$125.97 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,683.84
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,683.84
Total Return:
+16.84%