PG Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 41 trades in period
+2.25%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,947.27
Current Value
68%
Win Rate
$11,683.83
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
38
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
9.5/35
Total Return
10.8/25
Win Rate
9.3/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
38.8/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 38.1
30-Day Momentum
20
-0.2%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.0
Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,683.83
Current Value
$11,947.27
Period P&L
$263.42
Max Drawdown
-7.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
28 /
13
Best Trade
+0.84%
Worst Trade
-1.34%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
6.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$953,574.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$263.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$263.42
Gross Return
+2.25%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.25%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,683.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $152.66 | 76 | $11,602.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 2:30pm ET | $152.45 | 76 | $11,586.20 | $11,667.50 |
$-16.34 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 1:10pm ET | $148.85 | 78 | $11,609.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 2:15pm ET | $148.91 | 78 | $11,615.37 | $11,672.96 |
+$5.46 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.75 | 80 | $11,660.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 11:00am ET | $145.28 | 80 | $11,622.40 | $11,635.05 |
$-37.91 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 11:20am ET | $146.30 | 79 | $11,557.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 12:00pm ET | $146.52 | 79 | $11,575.08 | $11,652.43 |
+$17.38 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $150.95 | 77 | $11,622.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $149.82 | 77 | $11,536.14 | $11,565.81 |
$-86.63 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $150.41 | 76 | $11,431.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 10:50am ET | $150.26 | 76 | $11,420.14 | $11,554.79 |
$-11.02 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 2:05pm ET | $146.71 | 78 | $11,442.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 3:15pm ET | $146.58 | 78 | $11,433.24 | $11,545.04 |
$-9.75 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $146.89 | 78 | $11,457.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.13 | 78 | $11,554.14 | $11,641.76 |
+$96.72 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.92 | 79 | $11,606.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 12:10pm ET | $146.09 | 79 | $11,541.11 | $11,576.19 |
$-65.57 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 3:00pm ET | $147.74 | 78 | $11,523.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 3:20pm ET | $147.98 | 78 | $11,542.44 | $11,594.91 |
+$18.72 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 11:45am ET | $151.82 | 76 | $11,537.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 3:10pm ET | $149.79 | 76 | $11,383.66 | $11,440.63 |
$-154.28 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.4h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.12 | 77 | $11,405.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $147.29 | 77 | $11,341.71 | $11,377.10 |
$-63.52 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 1:15pm ET | $149.89 | 75 | $11,241.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 1:20pm ET | $149.56 | 75 | $11,217.00 | $11,352.35 |
$-24.75 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 2:35pm ET | $145.87 | 77 | $11,231.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 3:00pm ET | $146.24 | 77 | $11,260.48 | $11,381.23 |
+$28.88 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 12:00pm ET | $148.54 | 76 | $11,289.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 1:15pm ET | $148.84 | 76 | $11,311.46 | $11,403.65 |
+$22.42 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 1:30pm ET | $150.80 | 75 | $11,310.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 2:05pm ET | $151.35 | 75 | $11,350.88 | $11,444.53 |
+$40.87 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 3:00pm ET | $144.54 | 79 | $11,418.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 3:35pm ET | $144.89 | 79 | $11,446.31 | $11,472.18 |
+$27.65 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $141.90 | 80 | $11,352.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 10:55am ET | $142.85 | 80 | $11,428.00 | $11,548.18 |
+$76.00 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $144.30 | 80 | $11,543.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 3:40pm ET | $144.88 | 80 | $11,590.00 | $11,594.50 |
+$46.32 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.13 | 79 | $11,543.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $146.76 | 79 | $11,594.04 | $11,644.66 |
+$50.16 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 1:20pm ET | $145.65 | 79 | $11,506.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 1:55pm ET | $146.10 | 79 | $11,541.90 | $11,680.21 |
+$35.55 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.09 | 80 | $11,606.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 10:25am ET | $145.30 | 80 | $11,623.99 | $11,697.40 |
+$17.19 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.21 | 81 | $11,681.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 11:10am ET | $144.46 | 81 | $11,701.26 | $11,717.65 |
+$20.25 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 10:10am ET | $143.82 | 81 | $11,649.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 11:05am ET | $144.07 | 81 | $11,669.67 | $11,737.90 |
+$20.25 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 3:40pm ET | $143.34 | 81 | $11,610.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.91 | 81 | $11,656.71 | $11,784.07 |
+$46.17 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.08 | 81 | $11,670.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $144.73 | 81 | $11,723.13 | $11,836.72 |
+$52.65 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:30pm ET | $144.70 | 81 | $11,720.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.76 | 81 | $11,806.23 | $11,922.25 |
+$85.53 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.55 | 81 | $11,789.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 12:10pm ET | $145.39 | 81 | $11,776.79 | $11,909.49 |
$-12.76 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 12:10pm ET | $144.51 | 82 | $11,849.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 12:50pm ET | $144.93 | 82 | $11,884.26 | $11,943.93 |
+$34.44 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 2:20pm ET | $143.39 | 83 | $11,901.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 3:20pm ET | $143.50 | 83 | $11,910.50 | $11,953.06 |
+$9.13 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $142.65 | 83 | $11,839.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:55am ET | $143.43 | 83 | $11,905.10 | $12,018.22 |
+$65.16 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 12:05pm ET | $147.40 | 81 | $11,939.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $146.29 | 81 | $11,849.49 | $11,928.71 |
$-89.51 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 3:15pm ET | $147.76 | 80 | $11,820.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $146.92 | 80 | $11,753.60 | $11,861.51 |
$-67.20 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $146.48 | 80 | $11,718.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $147.15 | 80 | $11,772.00 | $11,915.09 |
+$53.58 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 11:25am ET | $144.38 | 82 | $11,839.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 12:05pm ET | $144.76 | 82 | $11,870.33 | $11,946.26 |
+$31.17 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $142.49 | 83 | $11,826.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $143.22 | 83 | $11,887.26 | $12,006.85 |
+$60.59 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 2:20pm ET | $144.86 | 82 | $11,878.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 3:25pm ET | $144.99 | 82 | $11,889.34 | $12,017.67 |
+$10.82 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $146.01 | 82 | $11,973.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.07 | 82 | $11,813.74 | $11,858.18 |
$-159.49 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $147.53 | 80 | $11,802.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 1:25pm ET | $147.74 | 80 | $11,819.21 | $11,874.99 |
+$16.81 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.16 | 81 | $11,838.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 10:55am ET | $146.44 | 81 | $11,861.64 | $11,897.67 |
+$22.68 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 3:20pm ET | $147.54 | 80 | $11,803.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.16 | 80 | $11,853.20 | $11,947.27 |
+$49.60 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,947.27
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,947.27
Total Return:
+19.47%