PLTR Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-26 to present • 35 trades in period
+4.52%
Last 3 Months Return
$15,931.11
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$15,242.81
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.18%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026
48
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
18.5/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
48.3/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 48.1
30-Day Momentum
26
+0.9%
30d Return
70%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 30.0
Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-26 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$15,242.81
Current Value
$15,931.11
Period P&L
$688.24
Max Drawdown
-11.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
22 /
13
Best Trade
+3.90%
Worst Trade
-4.83%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
4.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,088,661.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$688.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$688.24
Gross Return
+4.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.52%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $15,242.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 11:30am ET | $115.97 | 131 | $15,192.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 1:05pm ET | $115.86 | 131 | $15,177.66 | $15,228.47 |
$-14.41 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 1:55pm ET | $117.49 | 129 | $15,156.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.07 | 129 | $15,747.24 | $15,819.50 |
+$591.03 (+3.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $127.07 | 124 | $15,756.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $130.29 | 124 | $16,155.96 | $16,218.78 |
+$399.28 (+2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 3:00pm ET | $136.84 | 118 | $16,147.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $130.23 | 118 | $15,367.14 | $15,438.80 |
$-779.98 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $127.50 | 121 | $15,427.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $126.49 | 121 | $15,304.69 | $15,315.99 |
$-122.81 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 1:25pm ET | $126.43 | 121 | $15,298.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 2:35pm ET | $126.81 | 121 | $15,344.01 | $15,361.97 |
+$45.98 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 3:25pm ET | $128.31 | 119 | $15,268.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 3:50pm ET | $129.38 | 119 | $15,396.22 | $15,489.30 |
+$127.33 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 2:55pm ET | $133.12 | 116 | $15,441.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 3:25pm ET | $133.72 | 116 | $15,511.52 | $15,558.90 |
+$69.60 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $130.54 | 119 | $15,534.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $130.12 | 119 | $15,484.52 | $15,509.16 |
$-49.74 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $134.85 | 115 | $15,508.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $133.67 | 115 | $15,372.05 | $15,372.88 |
$-136.27 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $129.66 | 118 | $15,300.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $127.81 | 118 | $15,081.58 | $15,154.00 |
$-218.89 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $122.09 | 124 | $15,139.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $124.24 | 124 | $15,405.14 | $15,419.98 |
+$265.98 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 12:50pm ET | $123.01 | 125 | $15,376.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $123.43 | 125 | $15,428.13 | $15,471.85 |
+$51.88 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.45 | 125 | $15,431.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $122.51 | 125 | $15,313.75 | $15,354.19 |
$-117.66 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 3:20pm ET | $124.40 | 123 | $15,301.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 11:35am ET | $121.43 | 123 | $14,936.50 | $14,989.49 |
$-364.70 (-2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $160.97 | 93 | $14,970.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $163.55 | 93 | $15,210.33 | $15,229.61 |
+$240.12 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $153.46 | 99 | $15,192.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $156.80 | 99 | $15,523.20 | $15,560.77 |
+$331.16 (+2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 2:50pm ET | $169.57 | 91 | $15,430.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 3:10pm ET | $170.76 | 91 | $15,539.61 | $15,669.97 |
+$109.20 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $175.12 | 89 | $15,585.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $174.25 | 89 | $15,508.25 | $15,592.54 |
$-77.43 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $174.09 | 89 | $15,494.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $171.93 | 89 | $15,302.08 | $15,400.61 |
$-191.93 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 10:05am ET | $176.93 | 87 | $15,393.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 11:30am ET | $177.24 | 87 | $15,419.88 | $15,427.15 |
+$26.54 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $173.08 | 89 | $15,404.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $173.93 | 89 | $15,479.33 | $15,502.44 |
+$75.29 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $173.27 | 89 | $15,421.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $175.24 | 89 | $15,596.36 | $15,677.77 |
+$175.33 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 2:10pm ET | $178.72 | 87 | $15,548.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 3:10pm ET | $179.45 | 87 | $15,612.15 | $15,741.28 |
+$63.51 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 1:25pm ET | $173.01 | 90 | $15,570.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 2:30pm ET | $173.57 | 90 | $15,621.30 | $15,791.68 |
+$50.40 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.40 | 85 | $15,759.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $186.60 | 85 | $15,861.01 | $15,893.69 |
+$102.01 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:55am ET | $185.16 | 85 | $15,738.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 10:50am ET | $185.81 | 85 | $15,793.85 | $15,948.94 |
+$55.25 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 2:30pm ET | $180.98 | 88 | $15,926.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $181.65 | 88 | $15,984.76 | $16,007.46 |
+$58.52 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $182.31 | 87 | $15,860.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $180.84 | 87 | $15,732.65 | $15,879.14 |
$-128.32 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $173.32 | 91 | $15,772.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $174.55 | 91 | $15,884.05 | $15,990.91 |
+$111.77 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $169.21 | 94 | $15,905.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $170.54 | 94 | $16,030.76 | $16,116.40 |
+$125.49 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 3:05pm ET | $172.40 | 93 | $16,032.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 3:25pm ET | $173.18 | 93 | $16,105.28 | $16,188.94 |
+$72.54 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 3:40pm ET | $172.93 | 93 | $16,082.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $169.59 | 93 | $15,771.87 | $15,877.85 |
$-311.09 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 12:35pm ET | $175.73 | 90 | $15,815.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 2:00pm ET | $175.63 | 90 | $15,806.70 | $15,868.85 |
$-9.00 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 12:40pm ET | $190.40 | 83 | $15,803.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 1:30pm ET | $191.15 | 83 | $15,865.46 | $15,931.11 |
+$62.26 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,931.11
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,931.11
Total Return:
+59.31%