PM Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 38 trades in period
-6.55%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,894.29
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$9,518.03
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality
12.7/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 12.7
30-Day Momentum
16
-0.8%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.9
Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,518.03
Current Value
$8,894.29
Period P&L
$-623.71
Max Drawdown
-10.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.23
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
21 /
17
Best Trade
+0.95%
Worst Trade
-2.81%
Avg Trade Return
-0.18%
Avg Hold Time
5.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$689,974.96
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-623.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$-623.71
Gross Return
-6.55%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.55%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,518.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 1:30pm ET | $176.89 | 53 | $9,375.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 2:10pm ET | $177.51 | 53 | $9,407.98 | $9,550.80 |
+$32.80 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 12:20pm ET | $180.30 | 52 | $9,375.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 1:15pm ET | $180.87 | 52 | $9,405.24 | $9,580.44 |
+$29.64 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 1:40pm ET | $180.54 | 53 | $9,568.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 3:00pm ET | $180.83 | 53 | $9,583.99 | $9,595.81 |
+$15.37 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 3:35pm ET | $180.75 | 53 | $9,579.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 11:35am ET | $177.63 | 53 | $9,414.39 | $9,430.45 |
$-165.36 (-1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 3:50pm ET | $187.74 | 50 | $9,386.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.41 | 50 | $9,320.75 | $9,364.45 |
$-66.00 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $178.89 | 52 | $9,302.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 11:20am ET | $179.87 | 52 | $9,353.24 | $9,415.54 |
+$51.09 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 2:30pm ET | $181.07 | 52 | $9,415.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 3:35pm ET | $181.37 | 52 | $9,430.98 | $9,431.14 |
+$15.60 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 2:20pm ET | $179.72 | 52 | $9,345.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 2:35pm ET | $180.13 | 52 | $9,366.76 | $9,452.46 |
+$21.32 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 12:15pm ET | $191.70 | 49 | $9,393.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 2:10pm ET | $191.24 | 49 | $9,371.00 | $9,430.41 |
$-22.05 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 2:45pm ET | $191.97 | 49 | $9,406.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 3:35pm ET | $192.56 | 49 | $9,435.39 | $9,459.27 |
+$28.86 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 3:35pm ET | $188.18 | 50 | $9,409.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 3:40pm ET | $187.47 | 50 | $9,373.50 | $9,423.52 |
$-35.75 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $191.37 | 49 | $9,376.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $193.18 | 49 | $9,466.06 | $9,512.70 |
+$89.18 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 11:45am ET | $194.37 | 48 | $9,329.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 1:35pm ET | $193.80 | 48 | $9,302.40 | $9,485.58 |
$-27.12 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 11:20am ET | $204.90 | 46 | $9,425.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 1:55pm ET | $201.78 | 46 | $9,281.88 | $9,341.83 |
$-143.75 (-1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 2:05pm ET | $199.30 | 46 | $9,167.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $193.69 | 46 | $8,909.74 | $9,083.77 |
$-258.06 (-2.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $190.76 | 47 | $8,965.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 10:25am ET | $192.36 | 47 | $9,040.92 | $9,158.74 |
+$74.97 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 1:15pm ET | $188.66 | 48 | $9,055.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 1:55pm ET | $189.16 | 48 | $9,079.68 | $9,182.74 |
+$24.00 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 10:50am ET | $185.92 | 49 | $9,110.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 11:45am ET | $186.47 | 49 | $9,137.03 | $9,209.69 |
+$26.95 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $188.09 | 48 | $9,028.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.07 | 48 | $8,979.12 | $9,160.49 |
$-49.20 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.10 | 48 | $9,028.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $187.00 | 48 | $8,976.00 | $9,107.69 |
$-52.80 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 3:00pm ET | $186.18 | 48 | $8,936.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 3:05pm ET | $186.44 | 48 | $8,949.12 | $9,120.41 |
+$12.72 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 10:05am ET | $187.84 | 48 | $9,016.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 10:20am ET | $188.55 | 48 | $9,050.40 | $9,154.26 |
+$33.85 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 12:25pm ET | $185.89 | 49 | $9,108.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 2:00pm ET | $185.71 | 49 | $9,099.55 | $9,145.20 |
$-9.06 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 2:45pm ET | $187.42 | 48 | $8,996.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $187.98 | 48 | $9,023.04 | $9,172.08 |
+$26.88 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 2:15pm ET | $193.17 | 47 | $9,078.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $190.07 | 47 | $8,933.17 | $9,026.26 |
$-145.82 (-1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 12:45pm ET | $191.76 | 47 | $9,012.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 3:40pm ET | $190.45 | 47 | $8,950.92 | $8,964.22 |
$-62.04 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.62 | 46 | $8,814.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 11:20am ET | $192.43 | 46 | $8,852.01 | $9,001.71 |
+$37.49 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 3:35pm ET | $191.22 | 47 | $8,987.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.88 | 47 | $8,877.59 | $8,891.96 |
$-109.75 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 12:05pm ET | $189.91 | 46 | $8,736.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 12:20pm ET | $188.66 | 46 | $8,678.36 | $8,834.24 |
$-57.73 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 2:35pm ET | $187.96 | 47 | $8,834.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 3:35pm ET | $188.18 | 47 | $8,844.46 | $8,844.57 |
+$10.34 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 3:40pm ET | $187.26 | 47 | $8,801.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $186.27 | 47 | $8,754.69 | $8,798.04 |
$-46.53 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 3:50pm ET | $185.30 | 47 | $8,709.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $184.07 | 47 | $8,651.29 | $8,740.00 |
$-58.04 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 2:35pm ET | $192.14 | 45 | $8,646.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 3:05pm ET | $192.93 | 45 | $8,681.63 | $8,775.33 |
+$35.33 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $192.41 | 45 | $8,658.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $192.81 | 45 | $8,676.45 | $8,793.33 |
+$18.00 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 12:55pm ET | $193.66 | 45 | $8,714.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 1:30pm ET | $193.78 | 45 | $8,720.10 | $8,798.73 |
+$5.40 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.26 | 46 | $8,660.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 10:35am ET | $189.83 | 46 | $8,732.18 | $8,870.72 |
+$71.99 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.80 | 47 | $8,779.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $187.74 | 47 | $8,823.78 | $8,914.90 |
+$44.18 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 2:05pm ET | $190.47 | 46 | $8,761.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 2:10pm ET | $190.02 | 46 | $8,740.83 | $8,894.29 |
$-20.61 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,894.29
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,105.71
Total Return:
-11.06%