PM Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 38 trades in period
-6.25%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,518.00
Current Value
61%
Win Rate
$10,152.86
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
13.1/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 12.9
30-Day Momentum
13
-5.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8
Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,976
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,152.86
Current Value
$9,518.00
Period P&L
$-634.83
Max Drawdown
-10.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
23 /
15
Best Trade
+2.00%
Worst Trade
-2.88%
Avg Trade Return
-0.17%
Avg Hold Time
11.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$742,000.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-634.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$-634.83
Gross Return
-6.25%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.25%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,152.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:05pm ET | $163.55 | 62 | $10,140.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 1:10pm ET | $163.90 | 62 | $10,161.80 | $10,174.22 |
+$21.39 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 3:40pm ET | $164.24 | 61 | $10,018.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 10:30am ET | $164.09 | 61 | $10,009.19 | $10,164.77 |
$-9.45 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:45am ET | $164.65 | 61 | $10,043.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $163.55 | 61 | $9,976.55 | $10,097.90 |
$-66.87 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
21.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET | $164.69 | 61 | $10,046.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $165.02 | 61 | $10,066.22 | $10,118.03 |
+$20.13 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $161.50 | 62 | $10,013.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:45am ET | $158.47 | 62 | $9,825.14 | $9,930.17 |
$-187.86 (-1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 12:55pm ET | $158.38 | 62 | $9,819.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 1:20pm ET | $158.82 | 62 | $9,846.53 | $9,957.37 |
+$27.20 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 11:00am ET | $158.82 | 62 | $9,846.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET | $159.09 | 62 | $9,863.57 | $9,974.10 |
+$16.73 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $160.76 | 62 | $9,967.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 12:50pm ET | $158.81 | 62 | $9,846.22 | $9,853.20 |
$-120.90 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $160.24 | 61 | $9,774.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 12:00pm ET | $158.40 | 61 | $9,662.52 | $9,741.08 |
$-112.12 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 3:40pm ET | $157.56 | 61 | $9,611.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $158.08 | 61 | $9,642.88 | $9,772.80 |
+$31.72 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $155.62 | 62 | $9,648.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $156.76 | 62 | $9,719.03 | $9,843.39 |
+$70.59 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 1:10pm ET | $157.82 | 62 | $9,784.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 2:40pm ET | $157.57 | 62 | $9,769.65 | $9,828.20 |
$-15.19 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:00pm ET | $154.80 | 63 | $9,752.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.90 | 63 | $9,947.70 | $10,023.50 |
+$195.30 (+2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $169.79 | 59 | $10,017.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $167.52 | 59 | $9,883.68 | $9,889.87 |
$-133.63 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:10pm ET | $165.67 | 59 | $9,774.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:50pm ET | $165.81 | 59 | $9,782.79 | $9,898.04 |
+$8.17 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 12:35pm ET | $163.79 | 60 | $9,827.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 12:50pm ET | $164.85 | 60 | $9,891.00 | $9,961.64 |
+$63.60 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:55pm ET | $166.32 | 59 | $9,812.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:30pm ET | $166.63 | 59 | $9,830.88 | $9,979.63 |
+$17.99 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 2:10pm ET | $168.69 | 59 | $9,952.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 3:15pm ET | $168.79 | 59 | $9,958.61 | $9,985.53 |
+$5.90 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $169.57 | 58 | $9,835.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 1:50pm ET | $170.20 | 58 | $9,871.31 | $10,021.78 |
+$36.25 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 10:20am ET | $170.87 | 58 | $9,910.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $171.42 | 58 | $9,942.36 | $10,053.97 |
+$32.19 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 2:55pm ET | $179.21 | 56 | $10,035.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 3:05pm ET | $180.43 | 56 | $10,103.80 | $10,122.29 |
+$68.32 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 3:40pm ET | $188.35 | 53 | $9,982.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $188.84 | 53 | $10,008.26 | $10,148.26 |
+$25.97 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 2:15pm ET | $191.15 | 53 | $10,130.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 2:50pm ET | $191.75 | 53 | $10,162.75 | $10,180.25 |
+$31.99 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 3:25pm ET | $190.66 | 53 | $10,105.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:50am ET | $190.91 | 53 | $10,118.49 | $10,193.50 |
+$13.25 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 3:50pm ET | $191.68 | 53 | $10,159.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.71 | 53 | $10,001.63 | $10,036.09 |
$-157.41 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 3:30pm ET | $189.21 | 53 | $10,027.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 11:35am ET | $183.76 | 53 | $9,739.54 | $9,747.77 |
$-288.32 (-2.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 2:45pm ET | $179.30 | 54 | $9,682.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.60 | 54 | $9,536.40 | $9,601.97 |
$-145.80 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.32 | 54 | $9,467.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 1:00pm ET | $173.09 | 54 | $9,346.86 | $9,481.82 |
$-120.15 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 3:20pm ET | $174.43 | 54 | $9,419.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 3:30pm ET | $173.77 | 54 | $9,383.58 | $9,446.09 |
$-35.73 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $176.63 | 53 | $9,361.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.80 | 53 | $9,423.40 | $9,508.10 |
+$62.01 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $177.12 | 53 | $9,387.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 11:45am ET | $175.68 | 53 | $9,311.04 | $9,431.78 |
$-76.32 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $176.57 | 53 | $9,358.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 3:45pm ET | $177.26 | 53 | $9,394.52 | $9,467.82 |
+$36.04 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 1:50pm ET | $182.71 | 51 | $9,318.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 2:35pm ET | $183.20 | 51 | $9,342.95 | $9,492.56 |
+$24.74 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 3:05pm ET | $182.96 | 51 | $9,331.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 3:25pm ET | $183.46 | 51 | $9,356.46 | $9,517.81 |
+$25.25 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.79 | 52 | $9,453.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $182.81 | 52 | $9,506.12 | $9,570.85 |
+$53.04 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 12:25pm ET | $180.06 | 53 | $9,543.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 12:50pm ET | $180.65 | 53 | $9,574.19 | $9,601.86 |
+$31.01 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 1:35pm ET | $179.74 | 53 | $9,525.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $178.27 | 53 | $9,448.31 | $9,524.22 |
$-77.64 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 12:05pm ET | $177.99 | 53 | $9,433.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 1:30pm ET | $177.87 | 53 | $9,427.11 | $9,518.00 |
$-6.22 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,518.00
Net Profit/Loss:
$-482.00
Total Return:
-4.82%