PYPL Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 42 trades in period
+2.22%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,901.96
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$9,686.85
Period Start
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality
13.3/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 13.1
30-Day Momentum
16
+0.2%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 17.8
Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,976
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,686.85
Current Value
$9,901.96
Period P&L
$215.19
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
24 /
18
Best Trade
+2.42%
Worst Trade
-1.56%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
6.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$828,676.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$215.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$215.19
Gross Return
+2.22%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.22%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,686.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.91 | 215 | $9,655.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 11:05am ET | $44.66 | 215 | $9,601.90 | $9,633.02 |
$-53.75 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $44.63 | 215 | $9,595.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:25pm ET | $44.74 | 215 | $9,618.03 | $9,655.59 |
+$22.57 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 1:50pm ET | $44.97 | 214 | $9,623.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 2:40pm ET | $45.15 | 214 | $9,661.03 | $9,693.04 |
+$37.45 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 3:25pm ET | $43.71 | 221 | $9,660.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:30pm ET | $43.88 | 221 | $9,697.48 | $9,730.12 |
+$37.08 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.19 | 215 | $9,715.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $44.58 | 215 | $9,584.70 | $9,598.97 |
$-131.15 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $43.86 | 218 | $9,561.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $44.48 | 218 | $9,696.64 | $9,734.13 |
+$135.16 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $45.69 | 213 | $9,731.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $45.71 | 213 | $9,735.17 | $9,737.33 |
+$3.20 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $44.69 | 217 | $9,697.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $45.01 | 217 | $9,767.17 | $9,806.77 |
+$69.44 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $45.42 | 215 | $9,765.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $45.34 | 215 | $9,748.10 | $9,789.57 |
$-17.20 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:00pm ET | $44.99 | 217 | $9,761.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 2:35pm ET | $45.24 | 217 | $9,818.16 | $9,845.99 |
+$56.42 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:20pm ET | $47.97 | 205 | $9,833.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:25pm ET | $48.06 | 205 | $9,852.30 | $9,864.44 |
+$18.45 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.56 | 203 | $9,856.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $49.73 | 203 | $10,095.19 | $10,102.96 |
+$238.52 (+2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $50.79 | 198 | $10,056.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $50.70 | 198 | $10,038.14 | $10,084.68 |
$-18.28 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $51.44 | 196 | $10,082.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $51.19 | 196 | $10,032.26 | $10,034.70 |
$-49.98 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.71 | 197 | $9,989.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 11:10am ET | $49.92 | 197 | $9,834.24 | $9,879.07 |
$-155.63 (-1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 11:10am ET | $49.70 | 198 | $9,840.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET | $50.00 | 198 | $9,900.00 | $9,938.47 |
+$59.40 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 12:40pm ET | $49.88 | 199 | $9,925.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 2:25pm ET | $49.90 | 199 | $9,929.11 | $9,942.45 |
+$3.98 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 2:25pm ET | $49.67 | 200 | $9,934.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $49.60 | 200 | $9,920.00 | $9,928.45 |
$-14.00 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $50.18 | 197 | $9,885.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:50am ET | $50.13 | 197 | $9,875.61 | $9,918.60 |
$-9.85 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 2:40pm ET | $50.58 | 196 | $9,914.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.73 | 196 | $9,943.08 | $9,947.02 |
+$28.42 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.24 | 219 | $9,907.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $44.88 | 219 | $9,827.63 | $9,867.08 |
$-79.94 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $46.12 | 213 | $9,823.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 12:25pm ET | $46.08 | 213 | $9,815.04 | $9,858.56 |
$-8.52 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 12:45pm ET | $46.78 | 210 | $9,822.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 2:00pm ET | $46.67 | 210 | $9,800.91 | $9,836.72 |
$-21.84 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 2:50pm ET | $45.58 | 215 | $9,798.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 10:25am ET | $45.42 | 215 | $9,764.25 | $9,802.34 |
$-34.38 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.96 | 218 | $9,801.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 10:25am ET | $45.24 | 218 | $9,862.32 | $9,863.38 |
+$61.04 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.86 | 219 | $9,824.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 10:30am ET | $44.96 | 219 | $9,846.24 | $9,885.28 |
+$21.90 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 2:20pm ET | $44.42 | 222 | $9,861.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 3:40pm ET | $44.44 | 222 | $9,865.68 | $9,889.72 |
+$4.44 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 3:40pm ET | $43.85 | 225 | $9,867.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.54 | 225 | $9,796.50 | $9,818.85 |
$-70.87 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.20 | 222 | $9,812.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:55am ET | $44.29 | 222 | $9,833.49 | $9,839.94 |
+$21.09 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 1:25pm ET | $44.12 | 223 | $9,837.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 1:30pm ET | $44.24 | 223 | $9,865.52 | $9,867.82 |
+$27.88 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 3:40pm ET | $44.15 | 223 | $9,845.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.52 | 223 | $9,927.96 | $9,950.33 |
+$82.51 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $43.38 | 229 | $9,932.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:45am ET | $43.72 | 229 | $10,010.74 | $10,028.19 |
+$77.86 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.53 | 225 | $10,019.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:45am ET | $44.80 | 225 | $10,080.00 | $10,088.94 |
+$60.75 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $44.66 | 225 | $10,048.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 12:10pm ET | $44.65 | 225 | $10,046.25 | $10,086.69 |
$-2.25 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 1:15pm ET | $42.55 | 237 | $10,084.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 1:50pm ET | $42.70 | 237 | $10,119.88 | $10,122.22 |
+$35.53 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 3:45pm ET | $42.82 | 236 | $10,105.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.24 | 236 | $9,968.64 | $9,985.34 |
$-136.88 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $40.87 | 244 | $9,972.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 10:00am ET | $41.19 | 244 | $10,050.51 | $10,063.57 |
+$78.23 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $41.59 | 241 | $10,023.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $41.24 | 241 | $9,939.08 | $9,979.46 |
$-84.11 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 2:50pm ET | $40.83 | 244 | $9,961.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 3:40pm ET | $40.92 | 244 | $9,984.48 | $10,002.64 |
+$23.18 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 2:50pm ET | $42.76 | 233 | $9,963.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.71 | 233 | $9,951.43 | $9,990.99 |
$-11.65 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 12:20pm ET | $43.54 | 229 | $9,971.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:45pm ET | $43.10 | 229 | $9,869.90 | $9,889.09 |
$-101.90 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.13 | 234 | $9,858.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 10:45am ET | $42.19 | 234 | $9,871.29 | $9,901.96 |
+$12.87 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,901.96
Net Profit/Loss:
$-98.04
Total Return:
-0.98%