PYPL Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 35 trades in period
+1.37%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,054.85
Current Value
69%
Win Rate
$9,919.44
Period Start
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
15
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.1/35
Total Return
1.6/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
15.4/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 15.3
30-Day Momentum
21
-0.9%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.8
Conf: 0.98×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,919.44
Current Value
$10,054.85
Period P&L
$135.50
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
24 /
11
Best Trade
+2.70%
Worst Trade
-2.57%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
6.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$704,312.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$135.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$135.50
Gross Return
+1.37%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.37%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,919.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $42.39 | 234 | $9,919.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.95 | 234 | $10,050.30 | $10,050.40 |
+$131.04 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 11:05am ET | $44.19 | 227 | $10,032.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 12:20pm ET | $44.26 | 227 | $10,048.15 | $10,066.29 |
+$15.89 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 12:55pm ET | $44.54 | 225 | $10,022.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.90 | 225 | $10,102.50 | $10,146.17 |
+$79.88 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.52 | 227 | $10,106.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $44.49 | 227 | $10,099.23 | $10,139.36 |
$-6.81 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.24 | 224 | $10,133.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $44.69 | 224 | $10,010.56 | $10,016.16 |
$-123.20 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 1:15pm ET | $45.97 | 217 | $9,974.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 2:05pm ET | $46.06 | 217 | $9,993.94 | $10,035.69 |
+$19.53 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 3:15pm ET | $47.42 | 211 | $10,005.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 3:30pm ET | $47.81 | 211 | $10,088.96 | $10,119.04 |
+$83.35 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 2:20pm ET | $57.21 | 176 | $10,068.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 11:00am ET | $56.14 | 176 | $9,880.64 | $9,930.72 |
$-188.32 (-1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.7h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 1:30pm ET | $56.70 | 175 | $9,922.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 2:20pm ET | $56.97 | 175 | $9,969.75 | $9,977.97 |
+$47.25 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 1:10pm ET | $55.54 | 179 | $9,942.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 2:40pm ET | $55.42 | 179 | $9,921.07 | $9,956.49 |
$-21.48 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $55.55 | 179 | $9,943.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 11:00am ET | $55.66 | 179 | $9,963.16 | $9,976.19 |
+$19.71 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 3:20pm ET | $56.15 | 177 | $9,938.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.67 | 177 | $10,206.71 | $10,244.35 |
+$268.15 (+2.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 3:35pm ET | $58.89 | 173 | $10,187.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.38 | 173 | $9,925.88 | $9,982.25 |
$-262.09 (-2.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.12 | 174 | $9,938.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 11:40am ET | $56.85 | 174 | $9,891.03 | $9,934.40 |
$-47.85 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.26 | 173 | $9,905.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $57.76 | 173 | $9,992.48 | $10,020.90 |
+$86.50 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 12:45pm ET | $58.50 | 171 | $10,003.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 1:45pm ET | $58.88 | 171 | $10,069.33 | $10,086.73 |
+$65.83 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 2:10pm ET | $58.95 | 171 | $10,080.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 3:10pm ET | $59.02 | 171 | $10,092.42 | $10,098.70 |
+$11.97 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.11 | 173 | $10,053.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 11:15am ET | $58.38 | 173 | $10,100.60 | $10,146.27 |
+$47.57 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 11:20am ET | $60.42 | 167 | $10,089.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 12:50pm ET | $60.39 | 167 | $10,085.13 | $10,142.09 |
$-4.18 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 2:05pm ET | $60.77 | 166 | $10,087.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 3:20pm ET | $60.80 | 166 | $10,092.80 | $10,147.07 |
+$4.98 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 1:55pm ET | $61.74 | 164 | $10,124.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 2:50pm ET | $61.74 | 164 | $10,126.18 | $10,148.71 |
+$1.64 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.26 | 165 | $10,107.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 10:00am ET | $61.60 | 165 | $10,164.82 | $10,205.64 |
+$56.93 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $61.64 | 165 | $10,170.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $61.99 | 165 | $10,229.17 | $10,264.21 |
+$58.57 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET | $53.78 | 190 | $10,219.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 1:10pm ET | $54.08 | 190 | $10,276.15 | $10,321.21 |
+$57.00 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 2:20pm ET | $53.15 | 194 | $10,311.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 2:35pm ET | $53.26 | 194 | $10,332.44 | $10,342.55 |
+$21.34 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 3:00pm ET | $52.46 | 197 | $10,333.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.71 | 197 | $10,384.66 | $10,393.57 |
+$51.02 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.99 | 185 | $10,357.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 12:20pm ET | $54.85 | 185 | $10,147.25 | $10,183.59 |
$-209.98 (-2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 2:50pm ET | $53.08 | 191 | $10,138.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 3:20pm ET | $53.27 | 191 | $10,174.57 | $10,219.88 |
+$36.29 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 3:45pm ET | $52.27 | 195 | $10,192.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.08 | 195 | $9,959.63 | $9,987.34 |
$-232.54 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $53.83 | 185 | $9,958.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 11:40am ET | $53.64 | 185 | $9,923.40 | $9,952.19 |
$-35.15 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 11:45am ET | $53.28 | 186 | $9,910.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 1:15pm ET | $53.31 | 186 | $9,916.59 | $9,958.57 |
+$6.38 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 1:15pm ET | $53.25 | 187 | $9,957.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $53.33 | 187 | $9,971.78 | $9,972.58 |
+$14.01 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 2:20pm ET | $52.56 | 189 | $9,932.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.79 | 189 | $9,977.31 | $10,017.00 |
+$44.42 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $52.53 | 190 | $9,980.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $52.88 | 190 | $10,047.20 | $10,083.50 |
+$66.50 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $52.55 | 191 | $10,037.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $52.40 | 191 | $10,008.40 | $10,054.85 |
$-28.65 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,054.85
Net Profit/Loss:
+$54.85
Total Return:
+0.55%