QQQ Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 37 trades in period
+5.64%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,204.96
Current Value
78%
Win Rate
$10,606.45
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
33
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
8.3/35
Total Return
9.2/25
Win Rate
8.8/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality
33.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 33.4
30-Day Momentum
55
+3.5%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
12
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 59.1
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+21 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,977
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,606.45
Current Value
$11,204.96
Period P&L
$598.49
Max Drawdown
-4.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.50
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
29 /
8
Best Trade
+1.05%
Worst Trade
-0.47%
Avg Trade Return
+0.15%
Avg Hold Time
6.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$773,523.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$598.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$598.49
Gross Return
+5.64%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.64%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,606.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $591.56 | 17 | $10,056.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 1:35pm ET | $589.26 | 17 | $10,017.42 | $10,567.37 |
$-39.10 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:00pm ET | $586.97 | 18 | $10,565.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $587.96 | 18 | $10,583.28 | $10,585.19 |
+$17.82 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $570.44 | 18 | $10,267.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $567.78 | 18 | $10,220.04 | $10,537.31 |
$-47.88 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET | $559.22 | 18 | $10,065.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $558.80 | 18 | $10,058.40 | $10,529.75 |
$-7.56 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $585.78 | 17 | $9,958.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:20pm ET | $584.63 | 17 | $9,938.71 | $10,510.20 |
$-19.55 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $585.32 | 17 | $9,950.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $587.15 | 17 | $9,981.55 | $10,541.31 |
+$31.11 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $582.10 | 18 | $10,477.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $586.33 | 18 | $10,554.02 | $10,617.58 |
+$76.27 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:55am ET | $610.78 | 17 | $10,383.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 1:50pm ET | $610.43 | 17 | $10,377.39 | $10,611.71 |
$-5.87 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET | $631.95 | 16 | $10,111.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 1:30pm ET | $633.10 | 16 | $10,129.60 | $10,630.11 |
+$18.40 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET | $638.34 | 16 | $10,213.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:00pm ET | $639.36 | 16 | $10,229.76 | $10,646.43 |
+$16.32 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $646.71 | 16 | $10,347.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 12:10pm ET | $645.05 | 16 | $10,320.80 | $10,619.87 |
$-26.56 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET | $644.72 | 16 | $10,315.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET | $646.19 | 16 | $10,339.04 | $10,643.34 |
+$23.47 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 3:05pm ET | $652.86 | 16 | $10,445.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:10pm ET | $653.75 | 16 | $10,460.00 | $10,657.58 |
+$14.24 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $662.50 | 16 | $10,600.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 11:45am ET | $662.47 | 16 | $10,599.52 | $10,657.10 |
$-0.48 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $656.82 | 16 | $10,509.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $658.20 | 16 | $10,531.20 | $10,679.26 |
+$22.16 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $658.81 | 16 | $10,540.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:50am ET | $660.52 | 16 | $10,568.32 | $10,706.63 |
+$27.37 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 2:45pm ET | $673.65 | 15 | $10,104.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET | $674.86 | 15 | $10,122.90 | $10,724.78 |
+$18.15 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $680.61 | 15 | $10,209.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:05pm ET | $681.39 | 15 | $10,220.85 | $10,736.41 |
+$11.63 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 11:55am ET | $698.36 | 15 | $10,475.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 2:00pm ET | $695.26 | 15 | $10,428.90 | $10,689.91 |
$-46.50 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 3:00pm ET | $712.47 | 15 | $10,687.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $713.23 | 15 | $10,698.45 | $10,701.24 |
+$11.33 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 1:10pm ET | $719.49 | 14 | $10,072.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 1:45pm ET | $720.17 | 14 | $10,082.38 | $10,710.76 |
+$9.52 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $708.63 | 15 | $10,629.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:15am ET | $709.83 | 15 | $10,647.38 | $10,728.69 |
+$17.93 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:15am ET | $696.57 | 15 | $10,448.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 11:15am ET | $699.59 | 15 | $10,493.78 | $10,773.99 |
+$45.30 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $708.98 | 15 | $10,634.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 10:05am ET | $711.20 | 15 | $10,668.00 | $10,807.29 |
+$33.30 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 3:15pm ET | $718.47 | 15 | $10,777.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $726.04 | 15 | $10,890.60 | $10,920.77 |
+$113.48 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $727.09 | 15 | $10,906.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 12:10pm ET | $727.66 | 15 | $10,914.90 | $10,929.35 |
+$8.58 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 2:00pm ET | $735.92 | 14 | $10,302.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 2:30pm ET | $738.16 | 14 | $10,334.24 | $10,960.71 |
+$31.36 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 3:35pm ET | $743.38 | 14 | $10,407.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $743.42 | 14 | $10,407.88 | $10,961.27 |
+$0.56 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $743.63 | 14 | $10,410.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 12:55pm ET | $743.74 | 14 | $10,412.36 | $10,962.81 |
+$1.54 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 3:15pm ET | $741.85 | 14 | $10,385.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 3:25pm ET | $743.28 | 14 | $10,405.94 | $10,982.85 |
+$20.04 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET | $716.25 | 15 | $10,743.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $722.69 | 15 | $10,840.35 | $11,079.45 |
+$96.60 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $698.49 | 15 | $10,477.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $700.34 | 15 | $10,505.17 | $11,107.27 |
+$27.82 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET | $719.83 | 15 | $10,797.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $721.72 | 15 | $10,825.80 | $11,135.62 |
+$28.35 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $742.47 | 14 | $10,394.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $743.63 | 14 | $10,410.82 | $11,151.86 |
+$16.24 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 1:05pm ET | $731.45 | 15 | $10,971.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 1:55pm ET | $733.45 | 15 | $11,001.75 | $11,181.86 |
+$30.00 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 2:35pm ET | $739.05 | 15 | $11,085.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 3:35pm ET | $739.41 | 15 | $11,091.08 | $11,187.19 |
+$5.33 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $715.38 | 15 | $10,730.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $716.57 | 15 | $10,748.48 | $11,204.96 |
+$17.77 (+0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,204.96
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,204.96
Total Return:
+12.05%