QQQ Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 37 trades in period
+6.80%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,966.37
Current Value
73%
Win Rate
$11,204.94
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
42
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
13.8/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
42.5/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 41.7
30-Day Momentum
14
-1.3%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.5
Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,204.94
Current Value
$11,966.37
Period P&L
$761.40
Max Drawdown
-4.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.32
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
27 /
10
Best Trade
+1.51%
Worst Trade
-1.64%
Avg Trade Return
+0.18%
Avg Hold Time
7.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$855,193.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$761.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$761.40
Gross Return
+6.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.80%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,204.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $711.42 | 15 | $10,671.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $715.76 | 15 | $10,736.40 | $11,270.06 |
+$65.10 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $704.03 | 16 | $11,264.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 10:05am ET | $712.16 | 16 | $11,394.64 | $11,400.22 |
+$130.16 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $726.23 | 15 | $10,893.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 11:00am ET | $729.73 | 15 | $10,945.95 | $11,452.72 |
+$52.50 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 12:30pm ET | $711.63 | 16 | $11,386.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $718.48 | 16 | $11,495.68 | $11,562.32 |
+$109.60 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $713.74 | 16 | $11,419.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $712.21 | 16 | $11,395.36 | $11,537.84 |
$-24.48 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 10:15am ET | $706.20 | 16 | $11,299.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 10:25am ET | $707.97 | 16 | $11,327.52 | $11,566.16 |
+$28.32 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 3:00pm ET | $722.74 | 16 | $11,563.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 3:45pm ET | $723.16 | 16 | $11,570.56 | $11,572.80 |
+$6.64 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $716.23 | 16 | $11,459.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $715.64 | 16 | $11,450.24 | $11,563.36 |
$-9.44 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 2:45pm ET | $720.42 | 16 | $11,526.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $723.76 | 16 | $11,580.16 | $11,616.80 |
+$53.44 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $711.22 | 16 | $11,379.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $710.10 | 16 | $11,361.60 | $11,598.96 |
$-17.84 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $688.11 | 16 | $11,009.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 10:35am ET | $698.52 | 16 | $11,176.32 | $11,765.52 |
+$166.56 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $698.94 | 16 | $11,183.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $704.78 | 16 | $11,276.56 | $11,859.04 |
+$93.52 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $705.08 | 16 | $11,281.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 10:55am ET | $707.19 | 16 | $11,315.04 | $11,892.88 |
+$33.84 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $690.11 | 17 | $11,731.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $691.56 | 17 | $11,756.52 | $11,917.46 |
+$24.58 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $687.93 | 17 | $11,694.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 1:30pm ET | $690.42 | 17 | $11,737.14 | $11,959.79 |
+$42.33 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $674.47 | 17 | $11,465.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 10:45am ET | $673.87 | 17 | $11,455.79 | $11,949.59 |
$-10.20 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 11:50am ET | $665.37 | 17 | $11,311.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 12:25pm ET | $666.78 | 17 | $11,335.26 | $11,973.56 |
+$23.97 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $699.63 | 17 | $11,893.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $708.28 | 17 | $12,040.76 | $12,120.61 |
+$147.05 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 3:35pm ET | $719.99 | 16 | $11,519.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $711.64 | 16 | $11,386.24 | $11,987.01 |
$-133.60 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 12:30pm ET | $719.60 | 16 | $11,513.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 1:40pm ET | $721.18 | 16 | $11,538.88 | $12,012.29 |
+$25.28 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $720.52 | 16 | $11,528.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $721.27 | 16 | $11,540.32 | $12,024.37 |
+$12.08 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 3:25pm ET | $724.06 | 16 | $11,584.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $724.83 | 16 | $11,597.20 | $12,036.61 |
+$12.24 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $730.23 | 16 | $11,683.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 2:45pm ET | $730.58 | 16 | $11,689.28 | $12,042.13 |
+$5.52 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET | $715.05 | 16 | $11,440.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:40am ET | $717.32 | 16 | $11,477.12 | $12,078.37 |
+$36.24 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $709.27 | 17 | $12,057.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $711.43 | 17 | $12,094.39 | $12,115.17 |
+$36.80 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $707.41 | 17 | $12,025.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 2:05pm ET | $708.24 | 17 | $12,040.16 | $12,129.45 |
+$14.28 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $708.63 | 17 | $12,046.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:45am ET | $711.17 | 17 | $12,089.88 | $12,172.62 |
+$43.17 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 2:05pm ET | $718.37 | 16 | $11,493.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $718.49 | 16 | $11,495.91 | $12,174.61 |
+$1.99 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $714.22 | 17 | $12,141.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 11:10am ET | $714.64 | 17 | $12,148.80 | $12,181.66 |
+$7.05 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 12:30pm ET | $707.95 | 17 | $12,035.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 3:05pm ET | $707.09 | 17 | $12,020.55 | $12,167.15 |
$-14.52 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 3:50pm ET | $718.03 | 16 | $11,488.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $716.26 | 16 | $11,460.16 | $12,138.75 |
$-28.40 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $707.65 | 17 | $12,030.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 10:40am ET | $711.45 | 17 | $12,094.57 | $12,203.26 |
+$64.51 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 3:50pm ET | $715.26 | 17 | $12,159.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $703.57 | 17 | $11,960.61 | $12,004.45 |
$-198.81 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $708.65 | 16 | $11,338.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 12:00pm ET | $705.43 | 16 | $11,286.88 | $11,952.93 |
$-51.52 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 1:40pm ET | $709.06 | 16 | $11,344.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:00pm ET | $709.95 | 16 | $11,359.20 | $11,967.17 |
+$14.24 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 2:40pm ET | $715.92 | 16 | $11,454.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 3:05pm ET | $716.71 | 16 | $11,467.36 | $11,979.81 |
+$12.64 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $743.23 | 16 | $11,891.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 11:00am ET | $742.39 | 16 | $11,878.24 | $11,966.37 |
$-13.44 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,966.37
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,966.37
Total Return:
+19.66%