RBLX Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-04-26 to present • 31 trades in period
+10.26%
Last 3 Months Return
$15,142.79
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$13,733.98
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026
40
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
10.0/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
8.5/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality
42.2/100
× Confidence 0.95
= 40.1
30-Day Momentum
13
+0.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 17.2
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,733.98
Current Value
$15,142.79
Period P&L
$1,408.80
Max Drawdown
-18.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
22 /
9
Best Trade
+2.14%
Worst Trade
-4.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.33%
Avg Hold Time
3.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$880,497.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,408.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,408.80
Gross Return
+10.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.26%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 31 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $13,733.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $56.46 | 243 | $13,720.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 12:20pm ET | $56.82 | 243 | $13,807.26 | $13,820.43 |
+$86.44 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 11:40am ET | $55.42 | 249 | $13,799.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 12:05pm ET | $55.99 | 249 | $13,942.75 | $13,963.61 |
+$143.18 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:10pm ET | $46.03 | 303 | $13,948.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:20pm ET | $46.27 | 303 | $14,018.87 | $14,034.48 |
+$70.87 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:25pm ET | $47.72 | 294 | $14,031.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $45.78 | 294 | $13,457.85 | $13,461.27 |
$-573.21 (-4.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 3:05pm ET | $43.81 | 307 | $13,451.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 3:10pm ET | $43.97 | 307 | $13,498.79 | $13,508.86 |
+$47.59 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.79 | 308 | $13,487.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 12:45pm ET | $42.31 | 308 | $13,033.02 | $13,054.56 |
$-454.30 (-3.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 1:35pm ET | $41.86 | 311 | $13,018.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 2:05pm ET | $42.08 | 311 | $13,088.43 | $13,124.53 |
+$69.97 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $41.49 | 316 | $13,110.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $41.31 | 316 | $13,052.38 | $13,066.07 |
$-58.46 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $41.55 | 314 | $13,046.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 10:05am ET | $42.10 | 314 | $13,220.97 | $13,240.34 |
+$174.27 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 3:25pm ET | $46.55 | 284 | $13,220.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 3:35pm ET | $46.99 | 284 | $13,345.16 | $13,365.30 |
+$124.96 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $43.95 | 304 | $13,360.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $44.69 | 304 | $13,584.24 | $13,588.74 |
+$223.44 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $46.18 | 294 | $13,576.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.17 | 294 | $13,867.98 | $13,879.80 |
+$291.06 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $46.10 | 301 | $13,876.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 11:05am ET | $46.04 | 301 | $13,858.04 | $13,861.74 |
$-18.06 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $45.79 | 302 | $13,828.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $46.35 | 302 | $13,997.70 | $14,030.86 |
+$169.12 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $46.46 | 302 | $14,029.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $47.19 | 302 | $14,251.38 | $14,252.83 |
+$221.97 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 10:05am ET | $45.99 | 309 | $14,209.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 11:10am ET | $46.33 | 309 | $14,315.97 | $14,359.44 |
+$106.61 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 12:50pm ET | $44.79 | 320 | $14,334.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 3:40pm ET | $44.57 | 320 | $14,262.40 | $14,287.44 |
$-72.00 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $43.58 | 327 | $14,251.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 2:35pm ET | $43.55 | 327 | $14,240.85 | $14,277.01 |
$-10.43 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 3:10pm ET | $41.11 | 347 | $14,264.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $41.47 | 347 | $14,391.82 | $14,404.22 |
+$127.21 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.27 | 340 | $14,371.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $42.81 | 340 | $14,557.10 | $14,589.52 |
+$185.30 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 2:10pm ET | $45.41 | 321 | $14,576.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 3:30pm ET | $45.37 | 321 | $14,563.77 | $14,576.45 |
$-13.07 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.67 | 299 | $14,551.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 10:15am ET | $49.33 | 299 | $14,748.18 | $14,773.04 |
+$196.59 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 1:50pm ET | $51.63 | 286 | $14,764.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 2:35pm ET | $51.96 | 286 | $14,859.13 | $14,867.42 |
+$94.38 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 3:35pm ET | $46.33 | 320 | $14,825.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $46.85 | 320 | $14,993.60 | $15,035.42 |
+$168.00 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 2:50pm ET | $48.38 | 310 | $14,996.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 3:40pm ET | $48.58 | 310 | $15,061.35 | $15,100.52 |
+$65.10 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 1:10pm ET | $47.15 | 320 | $15,086.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 2:40pm ET | $46.97 | 320 | $15,032.00 | $15,046.12 |
$-54.40 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 3:25pm ET | $54.30 | 277 | $15,041.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 3:35pm ET | $54.65 | 277 | $15,136.67 | $15,141.68 |
+$95.57 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 12:15pm ET | $57.10 | 265 | $15,131.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 1:00pm ET | $57.58 | 265 | $15,258.70 | $15,269.31 |
+$127.62 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 3:40pm ET | $56.91 | 268 | $15,251.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.48 | 268 | $15,404.64 | $15,422.07 |
+$152.76 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.51 | 277 | $15,376.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 12:25pm ET | $54.13 | 277 | $14,994.01 | $15,039.81 |
$-382.26 (-2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 12:25pm ET | $55.37 | 271 | $15,005.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 12:40pm ET | $55.75 | 271 | $15,108.25 | $15,142.79 |
+$102.98 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,142.79
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,142.79
Total Return:
+51.43%