RBLX Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 40 trades in period
-1.37%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,830.11
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$15,035.41
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
41
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
9.8/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
41.1/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 40.9
30-Day Momentum
23
+1.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 25.1
Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$15,035.41
Current Value
$14,830.11
Period P&L
$-205.33
Max Drawdown
-18.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
20 /
20
Best Trade
+1.96%
Worst Trade
-2.99%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
6.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,207,901.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-205.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$-205.33
Gross Return
-1.37%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.37%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $15,035.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 2:50pm ET | $48.38 | 310 | $14,996.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 3:40pm ET | $48.58 | 310 | $15,061.35 | $15,100.52 |
+$65.10 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 1:10pm ET | $47.15 | 320 | $15,086.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 2:40pm ET | $46.97 | 320 | $15,032.00 | $15,046.12 |
$-54.40 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 3:25pm ET | $54.30 | 277 | $15,041.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 3:35pm ET | $54.65 | 277 | $15,136.67 | $15,141.68 |
+$95.57 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 12:15pm ET | $57.10 | 265 | $15,131.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 1:00pm ET | $57.58 | 265 | $15,258.70 | $15,269.31 |
+$127.62 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 3:40pm ET | $56.91 | 268 | $15,251.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.48 | 268 | $15,404.64 | $15,422.07 |
+$152.76 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.51 | 277 | $15,376.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 12:25pm ET | $54.13 | 277 | $14,994.01 | $15,039.81 |
$-382.26 (-2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 12:25pm ET | $55.37 | 271 | $15,005.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 12:40pm ET | $55.75 | 271 | $15,108.25 | $15,142.79 |
+$102.98 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 3:40pm ET | $55.42 | 273 | $15,131.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.51 | 273 | $15,427.23 | $15,438.99 |
+$296.20 (+2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.99 | 280 | $15,398.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 12:25pm ET | $54.38 | 280 | $15,227.80 | $15,268.19 |
$-170.80 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 1:40pm ET | $56.35 | 270 | $15,214.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 2:05pm ET | $56.65 | 270 | $15,295.50 | $15,349.20 |
+$81.00 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 3:05pm ET | $54.90 | 279 | $15,317.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $54.67 | 279 | $15,251.54 | $15,283.63 |
$-65.57 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $51.17 | 298 | $15,248.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $51.70 | 298 | $15,406.60 | $15,441.57 |
+$157.94 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $53.27 | 289 | $15,395.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:50am ET | $53.80 | 289 | $15,548.20 | $15,594.74 |
+$153.17 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 11:35am ET | $50.38 | 309 | $15,567.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 3:10pm ET | $49.99 | 309 | $15,446.91 | $15,474.23 |
$-120.51 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 12:50pm ET | $47.92 | 322 | $15,431.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 1:30pm ET | $48.24 | 322 | $15,533.28 | $15,575.66 |
+$101.43 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 2:15pm ET | $48.27 | 322 | $15,542.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 2:45pm ET | $48.49 | 322 | $15,613.78 | $15,646.69 |
+$71.03 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 3:20pm ET | $49.24 | 317 | $15,609.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 3:50pm ET | $49.64 | 317 | $15,735.88 | $15,773.49 |
+$126.80 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $49.43 | 319 | $15,767.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 12:05pm ET | $48.31 | 319 | $15,409.30 | $15,415.25 |
$-358.24 (-2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 2:50pm ET | $37.65 | 409 | $15,398.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.83 | 409 | $15,472.47 | $15,488.87 |
+$73.62 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 11:50am ET | $35.97 | 430 | $15,467.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 1:10pm ET | $35.87 | 430 | $15,424.10 | $15,445.87 |
$-43.00 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $36.59 | 422 | $15,440.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.51 | 422 | $15,407.22 | $15,412.11 |
$-33.76 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 1:45pm ET | $37.50 | 410 | $15,375.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 3:40pm ET | $37.46 | 410 | $15,356.55 | $15,393.62 |
$-18.49 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $36.49 | 421 | $15,362.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 12:25pm ET | $35.40 | 421 | $14,903.40 | $14,934.73 |
$-458.89 (-3.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.5h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 12:50pm ET | $38.53 | 387 | $14,913.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 2:15pm ET | $38.53 | 387 | $14,911.11 | $14,932.79 |
$-1.94 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 2:05pm ET | $38.07 | 392 | $14,923.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.03 | 392 | $14,905.80 | $14,915.15 |
$-17.64 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.4h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $38.12 | 391 | $14,904.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 11:15am ET | $37.80 | 391 | $14,779.80 | $14,790.03 |
$-125.12 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:25pm ET | $38.40 | 385 | $14,785.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 3:40pm ET | $38.53 | 385 | $14,834.05 | $14,838.16 |
+$48.13 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 11:35am ET | $38.11 | 389 | $14,824.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 1:30pm ET | $37.84 | 389 | $14,719.76 | $14,733.13 |
$-105.03 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 2:25pm ET | $38.53 | 382 | $14,720.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 3:40pm ET | $38.41 | 382 | $14,672.58 | $14,685.34 |
$-47.79 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $39.97 | 367 | $14,670.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $39.46 | 367 | $14,479.99 | $14,494.50 |
$-190.84 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 11:50am ET | $39.67 | 365 | $14,477.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 12:55pm ET | $39.87 | 365 | $14,552.55 | $14,569.33 |
+$74.82 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 1:45pm ET | $45.18 | 322 | $14,547.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 3:40pm ET | $44.85 | 322 | $14,440.09 | $14,461.46 |
$-107.87 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $44.41 | 325 | $14,433.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.11 | 325 | $14,660.75 | $14,688.96 |
+$227.50 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 2:10pm ET | $45.54 | 322 | $14,665.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 3:00pm ET | $45.76 | 322 | $14,734.72 | $14,758.19 |
+$69.23 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 2:50pm ET | $50.43 | 292 | $14,725.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 3:10pm ET | $50.69 | 292 | $14,800.02 | $14,832.65 |
+$74.46 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $47.68 | 311 | $14,828.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.62 | 311 | $15,119.27 | $15,123.59 |
+$290.94 (+2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.86 | 322 | $15,088.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 10:55am ET | $46.84 | 322 | $15,082.48 | $15,117.15 |
$-6.44 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.61 | 298 | $15,081.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $49.95 | 298 | $14,885.10 | $14,920.47 |
$-196.68 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 1:00pm ET | $48.97 | 304 | $14,886.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 1:30pm ET | $49.35 | 304 | $15,002.40 | $15,035.99 |
+$115.52 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 2:00pm ET | $49.24 | 305 | $15,018.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 3:25pm ET | $48.56 | 305 | $14,812.32 | $14,830.11 |
$-205.88 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,830.11
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,830.11
Total Return:
+48.30%