REGN Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 37 trades in period
-3.79%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,565.75
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$12,020.83
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
29
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.1/35
Total Return
10.2/25
Win Rate
8.8/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
29.5/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 29.3
30-Day Momentum
19
-1.0%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 19.1
Conf: 0.98×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,987
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,020.83
Current Value
$11,565.75
Period P&L
$-455.08
Max Drawdown
-13.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
22 /
15
Best Trade
+1.12%
Worst Trade
-1.90%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
9.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$853,165.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-455.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$-455.08
Gross Return
-3.79%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.79%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,020.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $623.99 | 19 | $11,855.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $627.10 | 19 | $11,914.90 | $12,063.21 |
+$58.99 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 11:50am ET | $633.31 | 19 | $12,032.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 1:25pm ET | $632.47 | 19 | $12,016.93 | $12,047.25 |
$-15.96 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $628.02 | 19 | $11,932.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 10:05am ET | $630.58 | 19 | $11,981.02 | $12,095.80 |
+$48.56 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 1:05pm ET | $627.39 | 19 | $11,920.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 1:10pm ET | $626.52 | 19 | $11,903.88 | $12,079.27 |
$-16.53 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $669.18 | 18 | $12,045.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $664.41 | 18 | $11,959.38 | $11,993.41 |
$-85.86 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $663.78 | 18 | $11,948.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 3:40pm ET | $666.23 | 18 | $11,992.23 | $12,037.60 |
+$44.19 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $658.96 | 18 | $11,861.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $657.86 | 18 | $11,841.57 | $12,017.89 |
$-19.71 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $656.56 | 18 | $11,818.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 11:45am ET | $658.82 | 18 | $11,858.67 | $12,058.48 |
+$40.59 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 3:05pm ET | $675.81 | 17 | $11,488.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 3:40pm ET | $677.97 | 17 | $11,525.41 | $12,095.12 |
+$36.64 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $671.87 | 18 | $12,093.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $674.82 | 18 | $12,146.76 | $12,148.22 |
+$53.10 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 2:00pm ET | $670.16 | 18 | $12,062.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 2:20pm ET | $672.48 | 18 | $12,104.64 | $12,189.94 |
+$41.72 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $651.05 | 18 | $11,718.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $644.87 | 18 | $11,607.66 | $12,078.61 |
$-111.33 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 1:35pm ET | $663.47 | 18 | $11,942.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 3:50pm ET | $656.51 | 18 | $11,817.18 | $11,953.33 |
$-125.28 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 3:50pm ET | $669.43 | 17 | $11,380.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $667.28 | 17 | $11,343.76 | $11,916.77 |
$-36.56 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 2:55pm ET | $693.74 | 17 | $11,793.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 3:15pm ET | $697.14 | 17 | $11,851.38 | $11,974.57 |
+$57.80 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 2:30pm ET | $760.41 | 15 | $11,406.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 3:25pm ET | $761.97 | 15 | $11,429.55 | $11,997.93 |
+$23.36 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 3:45pm ET | $758.43 | 15 | $11,376.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $760.95 | 15 | $11,414.25 | $12,035.73 |
+$37.80 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 2:50pm ET | $805.85 | 14 | $11,281.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $790.55 | 14 | $11,067.70 | $11,821.53 |
$-214.20 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 1:25pm ET | $811.57 | 14 | $11,361.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 3:30pm ET | $807.89 | 14 | $11,310.46 | $11,770.01 |
$-51.52 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 3:50pm ET | $803.08 | 14 | $11,243.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $806.51 | 14 | $11,291.07 | $11,817.96 |
+$47.95 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 3:05pm ET | $815.27 | 14 | $11,413.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $819.55 | 14 | $11,473.77 | $11,877.95 |
+$59.99 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $835.34 | 14 | $11,694.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 11:15am ET | $836.34 | 14 | $11,708.83 | $11,892.02 |
+$14.07 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 1:10pm ET | $840.10 | 14 | $11,761.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 11:50am ET | $825.40 | 14 | $11,555.60 | $11,686.15 |
$-205.87 (-1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 2:35pm ET | $832.64 | 14 | $11,656.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 3:50pm ET | $834.16 | 14 | $11,678.17 | $11,707.36 |
+$21.21 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $804.65 | 14 | $11,265.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 10:35am ET | $813.63 | 14 | $11,390.82 | $11,833.08 |
+$125.72 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 12:20pm ET | $791.65 | 14 | $11,083.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 1:10pm ET | $792.23 | 14 | $11,091.18 | $11,841.16 |
+$8.08 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 2:50pm ET | $796.97 | 14 | $11,157.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 2:55pm ET | $798.05 | 14 | $11,172.70 | $11,856.33 |
+$15.17 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $844.73 | 14 | $11,826.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:20am ET | $842.97 | 14 | $11,801.65 | $11,831.69 |
$-24.64 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 1:00pm ET | $832.48 | 14 | $11,654.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 2:00pm ET | $833.65 | 14 | $11,671.03 | $11,848.06 |
+$16.37 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 3:50pm ET | $810.17 | 14 | $11,342.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $803.83 | 14 | $11,253.62 | $11,759.30 |
$-88.76 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $799.77 | 14 | $11,196.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 12:50pm ET | $794.71 | 14 | $11,125.87 | $11,688.39 |
$-70.91 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 1:25pm ET | $782.51 | 14 | $10,955.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 2:25pm ET | $783.85 | 14 | $10,973.90 | $11,707.15 |
+$18.76 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $788.53 | 14 | $11,039.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 11:15am ET | $776.80 | 14 | $10,875.27 | $11,543.00 |
$-164.15 (-1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $776.33 | 14 | $10,868.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $781.17 | 14 | $10,936.38 | $11,610.76 |
+$67.76 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $785.17 | 14 | $10,992.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $788.10 | 14 | $11,033.47 | $11,651.85 |
+$41.09 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $792.77 | 14 | $11,098.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:35am ET | $796.68 | 14 | $11,153.52 | $11,706.66 |
+$54.81 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 10:40am ET | $802.17 | 14 | $11,230.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $792.10 | 14 | $11,089.47 | $11,565.75 |
$-140.91 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,565.75
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,565.75
Total Return:
+15.66%