Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 14:42:35

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.2/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 32.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 32.1

30-Day Momentum

47
+1.6%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
5.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 49.6 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+15 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,976
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,431.54
Current Value
$11,976.86
Period P&L
$545.30
Max Drawdown
-13.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
29 / 9
Best Trade
+1.42%
Worst Trade
-1.66%
Avg Trade Return
+0.13%
Avg Hold Time
4.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$865,170.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$545.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$545.30
Gross Return
+4.77%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.77%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,431.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $728.51 15 $10,927.65
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:40am ET $735.00 15 $11,025.00 $11,528.91 +$97.35
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 1:45pm ET $747.99 15 $11,219.85
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 2:15pm ET $750.17 15 $11,252.62 $11,561.68 +$32.77
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 3:00pm ET $758.52 15 $11,377.80
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET $758.48 15 $11,377.27 $11,561.15 $-0.53
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:50pm ET $748.34 15 $11,225.10
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:15pm ET $750.57 15 $11,258.55 $11,594.60 +$33.45
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $772.08 15 $11,581.25
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $773.22 15 $11,598.30 $11,611.65 +$17.05
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $761.04 15 $11,415.60
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:30pm ET $761.52 15 $11,422.80 $11,618.85 +$7.20
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:00pm ET $754.63 15 $11,319.45
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $757.40 15 $11,360.93 $11,660.33 +$41.48
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $764.15 15 $11,462.25
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET $771.14 15 $11,567.03 $11,765.10 +$104.77
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:05am ET $753.00 15 $11,295.00
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $742.44 15 $11,136.60 $11,606.70 $-158.40
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $753.49 15 $11,302.35
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 2:15pm ET $754.53 15 $11,317.95 $11,622.30 +$15.60
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:25am ET $749.26 15 $11,238.90
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:40am ET $749.34 15 $11,240.10 $11,623.50 +$1.20
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $747.91 15 $11,218.65
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $749.96 15 $11,249.40 $11,654.25 +$30.75
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $747.60 15 $11,214.00
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $740.28 15 $11,104.27 $11,544.52 $-109.73
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:15am ET $747.65 15 $11,214.75
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:25pm ET $748.21 15 $11,223.15 $11,552.92 +$8.40
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $757.11 15 $11,356.65
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $759.71 15 $11,395.58 $11,591.85 +$38.93
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $742.37 15 $11,135.55
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $738.72 15 $11,080.80 $11,537.10 $-54.75
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:55pm ET $703.04 16 $11,248.56
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 2:40pm ET $705.10 16 $11,281.60 $11,570.14 +$33.04
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
18 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:00am ET $704.09 16 $11,265.44
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:00am ET $706.99 16 $11,311.84 $11,616.54 +$46.40
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
19 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 2:00pm ET $710.17 16 $11,362.80
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 2:30pm ET $711.99 16 $11,391.84 $11,645.58 +$29.04
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
20 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $712.94 16 $11,406.97
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $723.04 16 $11,568.64 $11,807.25 +$161.67
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
21 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:35am ET $714.39 16 $11,430.24
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:40am ET $713.45 16 $11,415.12 $11,792.13 $-15.12
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
22 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:40am ET $708.96 16 $11,343.40
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 12:15pm ET $697.22 16 $11,155.52 $11,604.25 $-187.88
(-1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
23 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 2:40pm ET $623.67 18 $11,226.06
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 3:20pm ET $626.84 18 $11,283.03 $11,661.22 +$56.97
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
24 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $643.58 18 $11,584.44
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $647.05 18 $11,646.90 $11,723.68 +$62.46
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
25 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:35am ET $639.26 18 $11,506.59
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:45am ET $642.67 18 $11,568.15 $11,785.24 +$61.56
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
26 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 12:50pm ET $638.20 18 $11,487.60
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:45am ET $637.74 18 $11,479.32 $11,776.96 $-8.28
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.9h held
27 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:50pm ET $622.71 18 $11,208.78
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 1:50pm ET $623.72 18 $11,226.96 $11,795.14 +$18.18
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
28 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:15pm ET $613.58 19 $11,658.02
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 3:30pm ET $613.32 19 $11,653.08 $11,790.20 $-4.94
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $599.32 19 $11,386.99
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:45am ET $598.35 19 $11,368.65 $11,771.86 $-18.34
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 2:10pm ET $620.53 18 $11,169.45
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:00pm ET $621.39 18 $11,185.02 $11,787.43 +$15.57
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:55am ET $634.41 18 $11,419.38
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $636.13 18 $11,450.25 $11,818.30 +$30.87
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:15pm ET $611.09 19 $11,610.80
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 2:35pm ET $611.88 19 $11,625.72 $11,833.22 +$14.92
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $614.85 19 $11,682.15
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $616.08 19 $11,705.52 $11,856.59 +$23.37
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $608.97 19 $11,570.34
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:15am ET $611.79 19 $11,624.01 $11,910.26 +$53.67
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $612.15 19 $11,630.76
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 2:20pm ET $612.36 19 $11,634.84 $11,914.34 +$4.08
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $614.43 19 $11,674.26
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $615.33 19 $11,691.27 $11,931.35 +$17.01
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:30am ET $599.97 19 $11,399.43
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 12:10pm ET $600.53 19 $11,410.16 $11,942.09 +$10.74
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $607.11 19 $11,535.09
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $608.94 19 $11,569.86 $11,976.86 +$34.77
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,976.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,976.86
Total Return: +19.77%
Back to Professor Mean