SCHW Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 37 trades in period
-2.00%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,327.85
Current Value
70%
Win Rate
$12,579.47
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
49 neutral
20d Trend
-0.0%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
41
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
11.6/35
Total Return
11.5/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
41.2/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 40.7
30-Day Momentum
9
-5.6%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,977
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,579.47
Current Value
$12,327.85
Period P&L
$-251.65
Max Drawdown
-7.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
26 /
11
Best Trade
+1.51%
Worst Trade
-2.39%
Avg Trade Return
-0.05%
Avg Hold Time
8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$933,077.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-251.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-251.65
Gross Return
-2.00%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.00%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SCHW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,579.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $95.77 | 131 | $12,545.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 2:00pm ET | $96.06 | 131 | $12,583.21 | $12,616.84 |
+$37.34 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $94.68 | 133 | $12,591.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:30am ET | $94.96 | 133 | $12,629.02 | $12,654.08 |
+$37.24 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:10pm ET | $92.86 | 136 | $12,628.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:30pm ET | $92.36 | 136 | $12,560.28 | $12,586.08 |
$-68.00 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $93.24 | 134 | $12,493.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 11:00am ET | $93.29 | 134 | $12,500.86 | $12,593.45 |
+$7.37 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 2:15pm ET | $93.38 | 134 | $12,512.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 3:15pm ET | $93.54 | 134 | $12,533.69 | $12,614.89 |
+$21.44 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 3:15pm ET | $92.20 | 136 | $12,538.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:40am ET | $92.11 | 136 | $12,527.64 | $12,603.68 |
$-11.21 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:15am ET | $95.88 | 131 | $12,560.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 12:00pm ET | $96.08 | 131 | $12,586.48 | $12,629.88 |
+$26.20 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $96.50 | 130 | $12,545.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $94.46 | 130 | $12,279.80 | $12,364.68 |
$-265.20 (-2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:55am ET | $98.52 | 125 | $12,315.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 12:20pm ET | $98.85 | 125 | $12,356.25 | $12,405.93 |
+$41.25 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 3:45pm ET | $99.93 | 124 | $12,391.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $100.30 | 124 | $12,437.20 | $12,451.81 |
+$45.88 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $90.69 | 137 | $12,424.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:25am ET | $92.06 | 137 | $12,612.22 | $12,639.50 |
+$187.69 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $92.55 | 136 | $12,586.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $92.92 | 136 | $12,636.44 | $12,689.09 |
+$49.59 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $92.03 | 137 | $12,608.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $92.49 | 137 | $12,671.13 | $12,752.11 |
+$63.02 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 12:40pm ET | $89.82 | 141 | $12,664.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 2:20pm ET | $88.57 | 141 | $12,487.67 | $12,575.16 |
$-176.95 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:30pm ET | $89.17 | 141 | $12,572.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $89.21 | 141 | $12,579.31 | $12,581.50 |
+$6.34 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $90.45 | 139 | $12,572.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $90.72 | 139 | $12,610.08 | $12,619.03 |
+$37.53 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $90.39 | 139 | $12,564.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $91.00 | 139 | $12,649.00 | $12,703.13 |
+$84.10 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $91.51 | 138 | $12,629.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $92.33 | 138 | $12,741.54 | $12,815.60 |
+$112.47 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $91.42 | 140 | $12,798.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 12:35pm ET | $89.92 | 140 | $12,588.80 | $12,605.60 |
$-210.00 (-1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 1:55pm ET | $88.63 | 142 | $12,585.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 2:10pm ET | $88.86 | 142 | $12,617.41 | $12,637.55 |
+$31.95 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 2:50pm ET | $87.72 | 144 | $12,631.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 3:30pm ET | $87.96 | 144 | $12,666.24 | $12,672.11 |
+$34.56 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $89.68 | 141 | $12,644.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $90.59 | 141 | $12,772.75 | $12,799.98 |
+$127.87 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 9:50am ET | $90.08 | 142 | $12,791.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $90.55 | 142 | $12,858.10 | $12,866.72 |
+$66.74 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 12:00pm ET | $90.95 | 141 | $12,823.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 1:05pm ET | $91.11 | 141 | $12,847.21 | $12,889.99 |
+$23.27 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 2:20pm ET | $92.26 | 139 | $12,824.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 3:05pm ET | $92.36 | 139 | $12,838.73 | $12,904.58 |
+$14.59 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $91.31 | 141 | $12,874.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $92.10 | 141 | $12,986.10 | $13,015.97 |
+$111.39 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 12:50pm ET | $89.61 | 145 | $12,993.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 1:40pm ET | $89.89 | 145 | $13,034.05 | $13,056.57 |
+$40.60 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 3:30pm ET | $90.28 | 144 | $13,000.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $89.71 | 144 | $12,917.52 | $12,973.77 |
$-82.80 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $88.83 | 146 | $12,969.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 11:00am ET | $86.71 | 146 | $12,659.66 | $12,663.52 |
$-310.25 (-2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 3:20pm ET | $86.80 | 145 | $12,586.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 3:45pm ET | $87.18 | 145 | $12,641.10 | $12,718.62 |
+$55.10 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $88.12 | 144 | $12,689.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 11:45am ET | $86.73 | 144 | $12,489.12 | $12,518.46 |
$-200.16 (-1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $88.12 | 144 | $12,689.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $87.35 | 144 | $12,578.40 | $12,407.58 |
$-110.88 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 11:50am ET | $87.81 | 141 | $12,381.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 12:45pm ET | $88.11 | 141 | $12,423.51 | $12,449.88 |
+$42.30 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 1:15pm ET | $88.39 | 140 | $12,374.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 1:45pm ET | $88.55 | 140 | $12,397.00 | $12,472.28 |
+$22.40 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $89.60 | 139 | $12,454.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 10:25am ET | $89.62 | 139 | $12,457.18 | $12,475.06 |
+$2.78 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET | $91.41 | 136 | $12,431.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 1:25pm ET | $91.17 | 136 | $12,399.12 | $12,442.42 |
$-32.64 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 12:20pm ET | $92.34 | 134 | $12,373.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 3:25pm ET | $91.49 | 134 | $12,258.99 | $12,327.85 |
$-114.57 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,327.85
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,327.85
Total Return:
+23.28%