SCHW Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 39 trades in period
-1.57%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,073.85
Current Value
72%
Win Rate
$12,266.64
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.18%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
49 neutral
20d Trend
-0.0%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026
39
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
10.4/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
9.3/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
39.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 38.8
30-Day Momentum
13
-5.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8
Conf: 0.98×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,266.64
Current Value
$12,073.85
Period P&L
$-192.82
Max Drawdown
-7.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
28 /
11
Best Trade
+1.18%
Worst Trade
-3.35%
Avg Trade Return
-0.04%
Avg Hold Time
5.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$959,479.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-192.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$-192.82
Gross Return
-1.57%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.57%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SCHW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,266.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $91.18 | 134 | $12,218.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 12:00pm ET | $89.97 | 134 | $12,055.98 | $12,103.86 |
$-162.81 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 2:30pm ET | $89.60 | 135 | $12,096.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 3:15pm ET | $89.78 | 135 | $12,119.63 | $12,127.49 |
+$23.63 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $90.29 | 134 | $12,099.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $90.54 | 134 | $12,132.36 | $12,160.32 |
+$32.83 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 2:35pm ET | $95.25 | 127 | $12,096.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 3:20pm ET | $95.62 | 127 | $12,143.74 | $12,207.31 |
+$46.99 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 3:35pm ET | $100.44 | 121 | $12,153.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $101.18 | 121 | $12,242.78 | $12,296.85 |
+$89.54 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 3:50pm ET | $101.99 | 120 | $12,238.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $101.16 | 120 | $12,139.20 | $12,197.85 |
$-99.00 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 12:25pm ET | $102.22 | 119 | $12,164.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 12:40pm ET | $102.55 | 119 | $12,203.95 | $12,237.62 |
+$39.77 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 1:50pm ET | $101.38 | 120 | $12,165.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 2:45pm ET | $101.52 | 120 | $12,182.40 | $12,254.42 |
+$16.80 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 2:55pm ET | $102.84 | 119 | $12,237.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 3:00pm ET | $102.68 | 119 | $12,218.33 | $12,234.79 |
$-19.63 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $101.20 | 120 | $12,143.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 10:15am ET | $102.39 | 120 | $12,286.80 | $12,377.60 |
+$142.81 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 3:10pm ET | $102.08 | 121 | $12,351.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 3:35pm ET | $102.44 | 121 | $12,395.24 | $12,421.16 |
+$43.56 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 11:50am ET | $101.71 | 122 | $12,408.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 12:55pm ET | $101.96 | 122 | $12,439.73 | $12,452.27 |
+$31.11 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 2:05pm ET | $101.35 | 122 | $12,364.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $101.52 | 122 | $12,385.44 | $12,473.62 |
+$21.35 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 1:55pm ET | $105.97 | 117 | $12,398.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 2:50pm ET | $105.98 | 117 | $12,399.66 | $12,474.79 |
+$1.17 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 3:05pm ET | $104.84 | 118 | $12,371.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 3:25pm ET | $105.23 | 118 | $12,417.14 | $12,520.81 |
+$46.02 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 12:15pm ET | $105.77 | 118 | $12,480.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 12:30pm ET | $106.12 | 118 | $12,522.04 | $12,561.99 |
+$41.18 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $107.94 | 116 | $12,521.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 3:40pm ET | $108.23 | 116 | $12,554.68 | $12,595.63 |
+$33.64 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $107.05 | 117 | $12,524.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 10:20am ET | $107.20 | 117 | $12,542.40 | $12,613.18 |
+$17.55 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 12:20pm ET | $108.53 | 116 | $12,589.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $108.72 | 116 | $12,611.52 | $12,635.22 |
+$22.04 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 3:05pm ET | $107.63 | 117 | $12,592.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $107.83 | 117 | $12,616.11 | $12,658.62 |
+$23.40 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $109.43 | 115 | $12,584.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:55am ET | $110.07 | 115 | $12,658.05 | $12,732.22 |
+$73.60 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 2:35pm ET | $110.82 | 114 | $12,632.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $111.15 | 114 | $12,671.10 | $12,770.41 |
+$38.19 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $111.30 | 114 | $12,687.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET | $111.68 | 114 | $12,731.52 | $12,813.96 |
+$43.55 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 1:40pm ET | $110.85 | 115 | $12,747.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 2:05pm ET | $111.06 | 115 | $12,771.90 | $12,838.11 |
+$24.15 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 11:45am ET | $113.38 | 113 | $12,811.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 1:35pm ET | $113.20 | 113 | $12,791.60 | $12,817.77 |
$-20.34 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $112.26 | 114 | $12,797.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.50 | 114 | $12,369.00 | $12,389.13 |
$-428.64 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.84 | 113 | $12,298.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 11:20am ET | $107.94 | 113 | $12,197.22 | $12,287.43 |
$-101.70 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 3:50pm ET | $110.43 | 111 | $12,257.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $109.56 | 111 | $12,161.16 | $12,190.86 |
$-96.57 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $109.29 | 111 | $12,131.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 10:20am ET | $109.71 | 111 | $12,178.36 | $12,238.03 |
+$47.17 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $108.96 | 112 | $12,203.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 1:45pm ET | $108.75 | 112 | $12,180.00 | $12,214.51 |
$-23.52 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $109.86 | 111 | $12,194.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 10:55am ET | $109.29 | 111 | $12,131.74 | $12,151.79 |
$-62.72 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 2:40pm ET | $108.23 | 112 | $12,121.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $107.29 | 112 | $12,016.48 | $12,046.51 |
$-105.28 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $107.06 | 112 | $11,990.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 11:45am ET | $107.42 | 112 | $12,031.04 | $12,087.39 |
+$40.88 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $108.00 | 111 | $11,988.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 2:20pm ET | $108.36 | 111 | $12,027.41 | $12,126.80 |
+$39.41 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 3:00pm ET | $104.92 | 115 | $12,065.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $105.04 | 115 | $12,079.60 | $12,141.18 |
+$14.38 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $104.45 | 116 | $12,116.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 10:10am ET | $104.77 | 116 | $12,153.32 | $12,178.30 |
+$37.12 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 3:35pm ET | $106.86 | 113 | $12,074.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $104.79 | 113 | $11,840.71 | $11,944.39 |
$-233.91 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $100.19 | 119 | $11,922.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 10:15am ET | $100.98 | 119 | $12,016.62 | $12,038.40 |
+$94.01 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 3:25pm ET | $99.11 | 121 | $11,991.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 3:50pm ET | $99.40 | 121 | $12,027.40 | $12,073.85 |
+$35.45 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,073.85
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,073.85
Total Return:
+20.74%