Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:30:57

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+6.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
3.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 12.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 11.9

30-Day Momentum

10
-5.0%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,711.20
Current Value
$9,402.26
Period P&L
$-308.98
Max Drawdown
-18.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
18 / 18
Best Trade
+1.64%
Worst Trade
-3.02%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
5.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$706,482.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-308.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$-308.98
Gross Return
-3.18%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,711.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:15pm ET $47.06 206 $9,693.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 2:15pm ET $47.22 206 $9,728.35 $9,746.27 +$35.02
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $46.53 209 $9,723.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 3:00pm ET $46.42 209 $9,701.78 $9,724.12 $-22.15
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $45.69 212 $9,685.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 11:10am ET $45.88 212 $9,727.62 $9,766.51 +$42.40
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:15pm ET $45.76 213 $9,745.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $45.92 213 $9,780.96 $9,801.65 +$35.14
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:55pm ET $46.92 208 $9,760.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $47.06 208 $9,789.52 $9,830.77 +$29.12
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $47.18 208 $9,813.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $47.48 208 $9,875.84 $9,893.17 +$62.40
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 12:15pm ET $47.94 206 $9,876.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $47.72 206 $9,831.35 $9,847.85 $-45.32
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 2:10pm ET $47.38 207 $9,806.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $47.44 207 $9,821.11 $9,862.34 +$14.49
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:35am ET $47.27 208 $9,832.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 11:55am ET $47.25 208 $9,828.02 $9,858.20 $-4.14
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 1:50pm ET $46.87 210 $9,842.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:55pm ET $46.90 210 $9,850.05 $9,865.55 +$7.35
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 2:55pm ET $46.67 211 $9,847.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 3:30pm ET $46.44 211 $9,798.84 $9,817.02 $-48.53
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $46.51 211 $9,812.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $47.27 211 $9,973.97 $9,978.44 +$161.41
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 11:05am ET $48.10 207 $9,956.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $47.49 207 $9,831.46 $9,853.20 $-125.23
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 2:35pm ET $52.13 189 $9,852.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:55am ET $51.73 189 $9,776.97 $9,777.60 $-75.60
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $48.97 199 $9,744.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 11:55am ET $48.67 199 $9,684.34 $9,717.90 $-59.70
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $48.56 200 $9,712.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 10:15am ET $49.28 200 $9,856.00 $9,861.90 +$144.00
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET $50.60 194 $9,815.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 10:00am ET $50.74 194 $9,842.59 $9,889.06 +$27.16
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $51.31 192 $9,851.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:25am ET $51.55 192 $9,897.60 $9,935.14 +$46.08
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 3:45pm ET $53.33 186 $9,918.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $53.54 186 $9,958.44 $9,975.13 +$39.99
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $52.54 189 $9,931.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $52.15 189 $9,857.29 $9,901.42 $-73.71
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $53.56 184 $9,855.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 2:35pm ET $53.79 184 $9,898.28 $9,944.48 +$43.06
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 12:15pm ET $53.40 186 $9,931.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 1:45pm ET $53.29 186 $9,911.94 $9,924.95 $-19.53
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $53.63 185 $9,920.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $53.49 185 $9,894.73 $9,899.05 $-25.90
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:30pm ET $53.56 184 $9,855.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:45pm ET $53.47 184 $9,838.48 $9,882.49 $-16.56
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 2:00pm ET $53.20 185 $9,842.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $53.29 185 $9,859.57 $9,900.03 +$17.54
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $55.15 179 $9,871.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:45am ET $55.69 179 $9,968.51 $9,996.69 +$96.66
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $59.05 169 $9,978.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:20am ET $58.78 169 $9,933.82 $9,951.74 $-44.95
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $57.98 171 $9,914.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $58.80 171 $10,054.80 $10,091.96 +$140.22
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $56.94 177 $10,079.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 10:50am ET $56.79 177 $10,052.71 $10,065.41 $-26.55
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 12:55pm ET $57.08 176 $10,045.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:00pm ET $57.30 176 $10,084.80 $10,105.01 +$39.60
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $57.31 176 $10,086.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET $55.84 176 $9,827.84 $9,846.11 $-258.90
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $55.60 177 $9,841.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 12:25pm ET $53.92 177 $9,543.84 $9,548.75 $-297.36
(-3.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:30pm ET $54.03 176 $9,508.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:25pm ET $54.12 176 $9,524.24 $9,564.59 +$15.84
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $52.01 183 $9,518.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $51.72 183 $9,464.76 $9,510.61 $-53.98
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $51.13 185 $9,459.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET $50.97 185 $9,429.45 $9,480.09 $-30.52
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 12:45pm ET $52.29 181 $9,464.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $51.86 181 $9,386.66 $9,402.26 $-77.83
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,402.26
Net Profit/Loss: $-597.74
Total Return: -5.98%
Back to Professor Mean