SLV Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 38 trades in period
-2.70%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,313.33
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$10,599.05
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
21
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.4/35
Total Return
5.0/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
21.0/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 20.7
30-Day Momentum
51
+4.8%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 53.7
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+30 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,976
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,599.05
Current Value
$10,313.33
Period P&L
$-285.84
Max Drawdown
-25.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
24 /
14
Best Trade
+5.11%
Worst Trade
-3.95%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
11.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$770,526.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-285.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$-285.84
Gross Return
-2.70%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.70%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,599.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $62.40 | 169 | $10,546.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 12:45pm ET | $62.29 | 169 | $10,527.01 | $10,579.74 |
$-19.43 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $62.60 | 169 | $10,579.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 2:10pm ET | $62.81 | 169 | $10,614.89 | $10,615.23 |
+$35.49 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:10pm ET | $64.59 | 164 | $10,592.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $62.04 | 164 | $10,174.72 | $10,197.19 |
$-418.04 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:40pm ET | $63.56 | 160 | $10,169.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:15pm ET | $63.40 | 160 | $10,144.80 | $10,172.74 |
$-24.45 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:00pm ET | $63.24 | 160 | $10,118.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $63.49 | 160 | $10,159.20 | $10,213.54 |
+$40.80 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $67.54 | 151 | $10,198.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:45am ET | $68.06 | 151 | $10,276.31 | $10,291.09 |
+$77.55 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $65.41 | 157 | $10,269.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $65.75 | 157 | $10,322.75 | $10,344.47 |
+$53.38 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $64.74 | 159 | $10,292.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $65.61 | 159 | $10,431.99 | $10,483.60 |
+$139.13 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.21 | 155 | $10,417.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 11:40am ET | $67.12 | 155 | $10,403.60 | $10,469.65 |
$-13.95 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:30am ET | $71.71 | 146 | $10,468.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:10pm ET | $72.07 | 146 | $10,522.95 | $10,523.67 |
+$54.02 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET | $74.19 | 141 | $10,460.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 2:25pm ET | $74.23 | 141 | $10,466.43 | $10,529.31 |
+$5.64 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:40pm ET | $72.10 | 146 | $10,526.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.05 | 146 | $10,373.59 | $10,376.30 |
$-153.01 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.63 | 151 | $10,363.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $69.04 | 151 | $10,425.79 | $10,438.97 |
+$62.67 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 3:25pm ET | $69.01 | 151 | $10,420.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.28 | 151 | $10,310.29 | $10,328.75 |
$-110.22 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.68 | 157 | $10,311.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 11:00am ET | $66.07 | 157 | $10,373.77 | $10,390.76 |
+$62.01 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 2:00pm ET | $64.54 | 160 | $10,326.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:55pm ET | $64.53 | 160 | $10,324.00 | $10,388.10 |
$-2.66 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 3:45pm ET | $68.32 | 152 | $10,383.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.32 | 152 | $10,079.88 | $10,084.10 |
$-304.00 (-2.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:25pm ET | $66.14 | 152 | $10,053.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:20pm ET | $66.29 | 152 | $10,076.84 | $10,107.66 |
+$23.56 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 11:55am ET | $72.89 | 138 | $10,058.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 2:00pm ET | $72.15 | 138 | $9,956.70 | $10,005.54 |
$-102.12 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 12:45pm ET | $76.96 | 130 | $10,004.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $77.32 | 130 | $10,051.61 | $10,052.35 |
+$46.81 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 1:35pm ET | $79.76 | 126 | $10,049.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.08 | 126 | $9,712.08 | $9,714.67 |
$-337.68 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.71 | 139 | $9,690.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 11:10am ET | $69.44 | 139 | $9,652.33 | $9,676.75 |
$-37.92 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 2:20pm ET | $69.44 | 139 | $9,652.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 3:05pm ET | $70.07 | 139 | $9,739.04 | $9,763.63 |
+$86.88 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.47 | 144 | $9,715.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $67.94 | 144 | $9,784.08 | $9,832.03 |
+$68.40 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 3:05pm ET | $68.43 | 143 | $9,785.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.19 | 143 | $9,894.17 | $9,940.71 |
+$108.68 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.07 | 148 | $9,926.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 11:35am ET | $67.48 | 148 | $9,987.04 | $10,001.39 |
+$60.68 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $68.24 | 146 | $9,963.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $68.42 | 146 | $9,989.32 | $10,027.68 |
+$26.29 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $67.49 | 148 | $9,988.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $67.25 | 148 | $9,953.74 | $9,993.00 |
$-34.68 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 12:15pm ET | $68.35 | 146 | $9,978.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 2:55pm ET | $67.98 | 146 | $9,924.55 | $9,939.18 |
$-53.82 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 1:15pm ET | $66.65 | 149 | $9,930.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 1:30pm ET | $66.94 | 149 | $9,974.05 | $9,982.38 |
+$43.20 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 2:10pm ET | $61.73 | 161 | $9,938.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $62.06 | 161 | $9,991.66 | $10,035.51 |
+$53.13 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $61.17 | 164 | $10,032.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 1:20pm ET | $59.03 | 164 | $9,680.92 | $9,683.73 |
$-351.78 (-3.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 1:25pm ET | $58.43 | 165 | $9,640.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 1:55pm ET | $58.65 | 165 | $9,677.25 | $9,720.03 |
+$36.30 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET | $61.16 | 158 | $9,663.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.29 | 158 | $10,157.03 | $10,213.78 |
+$493.75 (+5.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $63.12 | 161 | $10,162.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 11:35am ET | $63.28 | 161 | $10,188.88 | $10,240.35 |
+$26.57 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 12:50pm ET | $63.76 | 160 | $10,201.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 1:10pm ET | $63.92 | 160 | $10,226.40 | $10,265.15 |
+$24.80 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:05pm ET | $59.29 | 173 | $10,258.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $59.51 | 173 | $10,295.23 | $10,302.35 |
+$37.20 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.09 | 183 | $10,264.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 11:35am ET | $56.15 | 183 | $10,275.45 | $10,313.33 |
+$10.98 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,313.33
Net Profit/Loss:
+$313.33
Total Return:
+3.13%