SLV Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 39 trades in period
+11.51%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,257.06
Current Value
69%
Win Rate
$10,094.94
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
27
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
9.4/25
Win Rate
8.8/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
27.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 27.3
30-Day Momentum
74
+8.5%
30d Return
86%
Win Rate
14
Trades
8.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 76.1
Conf: 0.98×
Accelerating (+47 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,094.94
Current Value
$11,257.06
Period P&L
$1,162.00
Max Drawdown
-25.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.32
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
27 /
12
Best Trade
+2.89%
Worst Trade
-2.93%
Avg Trade Return
+0.28%
Avg Hold Time
8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$805,635.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,162.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,162.00
Gross Return
+11.51%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.51%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,094.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:45pm ET | $52.29 | 193 | $10,091.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.63 | 193 | $10,157.59 | $10,160.68 |
+$65.62 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.87 | 192 | $10,151.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $52.72 | 192 | $10,123.20 | $10,132.84 |
$-27.84 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 12:55pm ET | $53.76 | 188 | $10,106.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 1:50pm ET | $53.92 | 188 | $10,136.02 | $10,161.98 |
+$29.14 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 2:20pm ET | $54.03 | 188 | $10,158.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 3:05pm ET | $54.15 | 188 | $10,179.26 | $10,182.66 |
+$20.68 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.27 | 184 | $10,169.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 12:15pm ET | $55.03 | 184 | $10,126.44 | $10,139.42 |
$-43.24 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 1:15pm ET | $54.43 | 186 | $10,123.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 1:45pm ET | $54.63 | 186 | $10,161.09 | $10,176.53 |
+$37.11 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.80 | 192 | $10,137.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $52.71 | 192 | $10,120.22 | $10,159.15 |
$-17.38 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 11:50am ET | $53.13 | 191 | $10,148.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 1:20pm ET | $53.13 | 191 | $10,148.78 | $10,159.15 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 3:30pm ET | $52.12 | 194 | $10,111.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.60 | 194 | $9,815.43 | $9,863.30 |
$-295.85 (-2.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.61 | 198 | $9,822.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $50.17 | 198 | $9,933.68 | $9,974.20 |
+$110.90 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 12:40pm ET | $51.34 | 194 | $9,959.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 3:25pm ET | $51.27 | 194 | $9,946.38 | $9,960.62 |
$-13.58 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 12:10pm ET | $54.32 | 183 | $9,940.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 2:45pm ET | $54.16 | 183 | $9,911.28 | $9,931.34 |
$-29.28 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 12:45pm ET | $52.96 | 187 | $9,902.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.03 | 187 | $9,915.68 | $9,944.43 |
+$13.09 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.58 | 192 | $9,902.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $51.38 | 192 | $9,865.92 | $9,907.95 |
$-36.48 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $51.56 | 192 | $9,900.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $51.44 | 192 | $9,875.52 | $9,882.99 |
$-24.96 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.97 | 190 | $9,874.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 10:55am ET | $52.05 | 190 | $9,889.48 | $9,898.17 |
+$15.18 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $55.99 | 176 | $9,855.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $56.22 | 176 | $9,895.60 | $9,938.65 |
+$40.48 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 1:00pm ET | $57.02 | 174 | $9,921.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 1:30pm ET | $57.22 | 174 | $9,956.28 | $9,973.45 |
+$34.80 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.72 | 169 | $9,922.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 10:55am ET | $58.83 | 169 | $9,942.27 | $9,992.89 |
+$19.44 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 12:30pm ET | $59.19 | 168 | $9,943.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 1:25pm ET | $59.17 | 168 | $9,940.56 | $9,989.53 |
$-3.36 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 2:55pm ET | $58.33 | 171 | $9,974.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.84 | 171 | $10,061.64 | $10,076.74 |
+$87.21 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $59.69 | 168 | $10,028.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $59.63 | 168 | $10,017.00 | $10,065.48 |
$-11.26 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $57.50 | 175 | $10,062.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.94 | 175 | $10,314.47 | $10,317.45 |
+$251.97 (+2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 2:10pm ET | $61.33 | 168 | $10,303.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 3:10pm ET | $61.52 | 168 | $10,335.36 | $10,349.37 |
+$31.92 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:25pm ET | $62.72 | 164 | $10,286.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $62.87 | 164 | $10,310.68 | $10,373.15 |
+$23.78 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.26 | 169 | $10,352.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 10:35am ET | $61.63 | 169 | $10,414.63 | $10,434.84 |
+$61.69 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 11:05am ET | $61.15 | 170 | $10,396.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 11:40am ET | $61.52 | 170 | $10,458.40 | $10,496.89 |
+$62.05 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 2:05pm ET | $62.44 | 168 | $10,490.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $62.72 | 168 | $10,536.96 | $10,543.09 |
+$46.20 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 10:20am ET | $59.74 | 176 | $10,515.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 10:40am ET | $59.98 | 176 | $10,556.46 | $10,584.43 |
+$41.34 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $58.26 | 181 | $10,545.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.97 | 181 | $10,672.67 | $10,712.04 |
+$127.61 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 2:10pm ET | $60.49 | 177 | $10,705.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $60.50 | 177 | $10,708.52 | $10,714.71 |
+$2.67 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 2:50pm ET | $59.47 | 180 | $10,704.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.19 | 180 | $11,014.20 | $11,024.31 |
+$309.60 (+2.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.36 | 188 | $10,971.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 11:20am ET | $58.33 | 188 | $10,966.04 | $11,018.67 |
$-5.64 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 12:25pm ET | $57.90 | 190 | $11,001.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 12:35pm ET | $58.21 | 190 | $11,058.97 | $11,075.69 |
+$57.02 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 3:10pm ET | $57.40 | 192 | $11,020.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.46 | 192 | $11,032.32 | $11,087.21 |
+$11.52 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $58.15 | 190 | $11,047.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 1:30pm ET | $58.27 | 190 | $11,071.28 | $11,110.94 |
+$23.73 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 2:35pm ET | $59.04 | 188 | $11,099.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.07 | 188 | $11,293.16 | $11,304.56 |
+$193.62 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 10:05am ET | $59.58 | 189 | $11,259.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 11:10am ET | $59.74 | 189 | $11,289.92 | $11,334.80 |
+$30.24 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.97 | 192 | $11,323.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 11:00am ET | $58.57 | 192 | $11,245.46 | $11,257.06 |
$-77.74 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,257.06
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,257.06
Total Return:
+12.57%