SMCI Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-15 to present • 37 trades in period
+4.97%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,110.63
Current Value
76%
Win Rate
$7,726.80
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,612
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-15 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
74 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$7,726.80
Current Value
$8,110.63
Period P&L
$383.81
Max Drawdown
-55.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
28 /
9
Best Trade
+2.72%
Worst Trade
-4.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.18%
Avg Hold Time
7.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$570,530.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$383.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$383.81
Gross Return
+4.97%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.97%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 74 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $7,726.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 3:45pm ET | $36.21 | 210 | $7,604.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.36 | 210 | $7,425.60 | $7,428.64 |
$-178.50 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 3:30pm ET | $35.11 | 211 | $7,407.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 1:35pm ET | $33.67 | 211 | $7,104.37 | $7,125.86 |
$-302.78 (-4.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
22.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 3:20pm ET | $31.81 | 224 | $7,124.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.22 | 224 | $7,217.28 | $7,218.82 |
+$92.96 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 2:45pm ET | $33.02 | 218 | $7,198.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 3:00pm ET | $33.15 | 218 | $7,225.61 | $7,245.79 |
+$26.97 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 12:15pm ET | $32.47 | 223 | $7,239.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 12:35pm ET | $32.74 | 223 | $7,299.91 | $7,306.00 |
+$60.21 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.88 | 222 | $7,299.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:50am ET | $33.30 | 222 | $7,391.49 | $7,398.13 |
+$92.13 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 11:10am ET | $33.34 | 221 | $7,368.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 12:00pm ET | $33.54 | 221 | $7,411.24 | $7,441.22 |
+$43.09 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $33.11 | 224 | $7,416.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 9:35am ET | $33.54 | 224 | $7,512.96 | $7,537.54 |
+$96.32 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $33.60 | 224 | $7,525.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 10:00am ET | $34.26 | 224 | $7,674.24 | $7,686.50 |
+$148.96 (+2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $34.90 | 220 | $7,678.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 10:35am ET | $35.04 | 220 | $7,707.70 | $7,716.20 |
+$29.70 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $33.74 | 228 | $7,692.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 12:10pm ET | $33.08 | 228 | $7,542.31 | $7,565.77 |
$-150.43 (-2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 2:10pm ET | $32.94 | 229 | $7,542.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 11:15am ET | $31.94 | 229 | $7,313.12 | $7,336.77 |
$-229.00 (-3.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 12:40pm ET | $31.06 | 236 | $7,330.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 1:20pm ET | $31.25 | 236 | $7,375.00 | $7,381.61 |
+$44.84 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 3:20pm ET | $29.97 | 246 | $7,371.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 3:45pm ET | $30.11 | 246 | $7,405.98 | $7,416.19 |
+$34.59 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 2:55pm ET | $31.05 | 238 | $7,389.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $31.07 | 238 | $7,394.66 | $7,421.86 |
+$5.66 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 9:35am ET | $30.39 | 244 | $7,416.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 11:00am ET | $30.52 | 244 | $7,447.56 | $7,453.38 |
+$31.52 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $30.28 | 246 | $7,447.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:35am ET | $30.77 | 246 | $7,569.42 | $7,574.88 |
+$121.50 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 1:35pm ET | $29.98 | 252 | $7,554.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 2:25pm ET | $30.06 | 252 | $7,573.96 | $7,593.91 |
+$19.03 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 1:45pm ET | $30.88 | 245 | $7,565.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 2:05pm ET | $31.08 | 245 | $7,613.38 | $7,641.71 |
+$47.80 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:50pm ET | $30.09 | 253 | $7,612.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $30.33 | 253 | $7,673.52 | $7,702.48 |
+$60.77 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:15pm ET | $29.98 | 256 | $7,674.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 12:35pm ET | $30.07 | 256 | $7,696.64 | $7,724.19 |
+$21.71 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $29.73 | 259 | $7,700.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $30.17 | 259 | $7,812.74 | $7,836.85 |
+$112.67 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 1:40pm ET | $30.12 | 260 | $7,829.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 2:05pm ET | $30.25 | 260 | $7,863.70 | $7,870.65 |
+$33.80 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 2:05pm ET | $28.22 | 278 | $7,846.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 2:50pm ET | $28.31 | 278 | $7,870.18 | $7,894.76 |
+$24.10 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 12:50pm ET | $29.39 | 268 | $7,876.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:25pm ET | $29.64 | 268 | $7,943.52 | $7,961.76 |
+$67.00 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.52 | 260 | $7,935.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:40am ET | $31.25 | 260 | $8,123.70 | $8,150.26 |
+$188.50 (+2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:05pm ET | $31.25 | 260 | $8,125.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 1:35pm ET | $31.31 | 260 | $8,141.48 | $8,166.47 |
+$16.22 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 1:50pm ET | $32.41 | 251 | $8,134.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET | $32.59 | 251 | $8,180.09 | $8,212.00 |
+$45.53 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.88 | 265 | $8,183.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $31.38 | 265 | $8,314.38 | $8,343.18 |
+$131.18 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 1:05pm ET | $30.95 | 269 | $8,325.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 2:50pm ET | $30.96 | 269 | $8,328.24 | $8,345.87 |
+$2.69 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 2:55pm ET | $31.14 | 268 | $8,344.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.48 | 268 | $8,168.64 | $8,170.33 |
$-175.54 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 12:00pm ET | $29.74 | 274 | $8,148.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:55pm ET | $29.61 | 274 | $8,113.14 | $8,134.71 |
$-35.62 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:15pm ET | $30.47 | 266 | $8,105.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $29.83 | 266 | $7,935.90 | $7,965.58 |
$-169.12 (-2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:40am ET | $32.68 | 243 | $7,941.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET | $32.64 | 243 | $7,932.25 | $7,955.87 |
$-9.72 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:10pm ET | $30.77 | 258 | $7,938.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $30.85 | 258 | $7,959.30 | $7,976.32 |
+$20.46 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $32.86 | 242 | $7,952.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $33.76 | 242 | $8,168.71 | $8,192.91 |
+$216.59 (+2.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:25pm ET | $33.75 | 242 | $8,167.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $33.41 | 242 | $8,085.22 | $8,110.63 |
$-82.28 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,110.63
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,889.37
Total Return:
-18.89%