SOFI Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 39 trades in period
+13.14%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,870.12
Current Value
69%
Win Rate
$11,375.24
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
32
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.0/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
32.6/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 32.4
30-Day Momentum
61
+6.1%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
3.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 64.2
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+29 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,375.24
Current Value
$12,870.12
Period P&L
$1,494.91
Max Drawdown
-26.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
27 /
12
Best Trade
+4.01%
Worst Trade
-3.51%
Avg Trade Return
+0.32%
Avg Hold Time
5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$932,113.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,494.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,494.91
Gross Return
+13.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.14%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,375.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $16.98 | 670 | $11,373.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 10:20am ET | $17.37 | 670 | $11,637.90 | $11,639.85 |
+$264.65 (+2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 2:15pm ET | $17.70 | 657 | $11,628.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 3:30pm ET | $17.73 | 657 | $11,645.33 | $11,656.21 |
+$16.36 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $17.99 | 648 | $11,654.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 11:25am ET | $17.95 | 648 | $11,631.60 | $11,633.53 |
$-22.68 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 2:10pm ET | $18.51 | 628 | $11,627.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 3:15pm ET | $18.61 | 628 | $11,684.19 | $11,690.30 |
+$56.77 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $18.78 | 622 | $11,684.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 2:50pm ET | $18.78 | 622 | $11,684.27 | $11,690.30 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:50pm ET | $17.93 | 651 | $11,674.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.30 | 651 | $11,264.90 | $11,280.37 |
$-409.93 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 1:15pm ET | $18.77 | 600 | $11,261.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 3:10pm ET | $18.78 | 600 | $11,267.94 | $11,286.37 |
+$6.00 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 3:35pm ET | $18.06 | 624 | $11,270.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.36 | 624 | $11,456.08 | $11,471.76 |
+$185.39 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $18.36 | 624 | $11,459.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 11:05am ET | $18.33 | 624 | $11,437.92 | $11,449.92 |
$-21.84 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 11:40am ET | $17.59 | 650 | $11,436.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 2:25pm ET | $17.45 | 650 | $11,342.50 | $11,355.67 |
$-94.25 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 2:30pm ET | $17.34 | 654 | $11,343.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 11:00am ET | $17.16 | 654 | $11,219.37 | $11,231.41 |
$-124.26 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 1:55pm ET | $17.28 | 649 | $11,217.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 2:45pm ET | $17.34 | 649 | $11,256.90 | $11,270.35 |
+$38.94 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.89 | 667 | $11,262.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $16.82 | 667 | $11,218.94 | $11,227.00 |
$-43.36 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $16.44 | 682 | $11,215.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 10:55am ET | $16.51 | 682 | $11,263.23 | $11,274.74 |
+$47.74 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 2:15pm ET | $16.86 | 668 | $11,262.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $16.94 | 668 | $11,318.93 | $11,331.25 |
+$56.51 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.13 | 749 | $11,328.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:55am ET | $15.27 | 749 | $11,440.97 | $11,443.60 |
+$112.35 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET | $15.98 | 716 | $11,441.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 11:05am ET | $16.20 | 716 | $11,599.20 | $11,601.12 |
+$157.52 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 11:40am ET | $18.55 | 625 | $11,593.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 12:35pm ET | $18.57 | 625 | $11,603.13 | $11,610.50 |
+$9.38 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $18.25 | 636 | $11,607.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.42 | 636 | $11,715.12 | $11,718.62 |
+$108.12 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $18.13 | 646 | $11,711.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 11:45am ET | $18.13 | 646 | $11,708.75 | $11,715.39 |
$-3.23 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 3:20pm ET | $17.88 | 655 | $11,708.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 3:35pm ET | $17.95 | 655 | $11,757.25 | $11,764.52 |
+$49.13 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 3:05pm ET | $18.30 | 643 | $11,763.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 3:20pm ET | $18.36 | 643 | $11,805.48 | $11,806.32 |
+$41.80 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.96 | 657 | $11,799.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $18.29 | 657 | $12,016.53 | $12,023.13 |
+$216.81 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 1:10pm ET | $18.48 | 650 | $12,008.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 2:00pm ET | $18.52 | 650 | $12,041.25 | $12,055.63 |
+$32.50 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.62 | 647 | $12,047.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $18.86 | 647 | $12,202.42 | $12,210.91 |
+$155.28 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 10:10am ET | $18.87 | 647 | $12,210.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 11:25am ET | $18.86 | 647 | $12,205.65 | $12,206.45 |
$-4.46 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 12:25pm ET | $17.82 | 685 | $12,203.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 12:55pm ET | $17.88 | 685 | $12,244.38 | $12,247.55 |
+$41.10 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 2:30pm ET | $17.09 | 716 | $12,234.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 2:40pm ET | $16.99 | 716 | $12,164.98 | $12,177.67 |
$-69.88 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $17.83 | 682 | $12,163.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.55 | 682 | $12,651.17 | $12,665.37 |
+$487.70 (+4.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.09 | 699 | $12,648.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 11:05am ET | $18.13 | 699 | $12,673.01 | $12,689.97 |
+$24.60 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 2:40pm ET | $18.03 | 703 | $12,678.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 3:50pm ET | $18.01 | 703 | $12,664.54 | $12,675.91 |
$-14.06 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.04 | 743 | $12,660.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 10:25am ET | $17.36 | 743 | $12,898.48 | $12,913.67 |
+$237.76 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 2:40pm ET | $17.25 | 748 | $12,903.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 3:05pm ET | $17.28 | 748 | $12,929.18 | $12,939.85 |
+$26.18 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $17.34 | 746 | $12,935.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 11:40am ET | $17.17 | 746 | $12,805.09 | $12,809.30 |
$-130.55 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 2:20pm ET | $16.83 | 760 | $12,794.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $16.85 | 760 | $12,806.00 | $12,820.70 |
+$11.40 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $16.72 | 767 | $12,820.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $16.78 | 767 | $12,874.09 | $12,874.39 |
+$53.69 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 12:40pm ET | $16.95 | 759 | $12,865.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 1:50pm ET | $16.97 | 759 | $12,876.44 | $12,885.77 |
+$11.38 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 2:20pm ET | $17.11 | 752 | $12,870.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 3:00pm ET | $17.20 | 752 | $12,936.73 | $12,952.02 |
+$66.25 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $16.58 | 780 | $12,936.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.48 | 780 | $12,854.40 | $12,870.12 |
$-81.90 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,870.12
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,870.12
Total Return:
+28.70%