SOXL Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 39 trades in period
-15.49%
Last 3 Months Return
$25,788.29
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$30,515.39
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
47
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
12.2/35
Total Return
18.2/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
47.7/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 46.8
30-Day Momentum
17
-13.0%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.9
Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-30 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$30,515.39
Current Value
$25,788.29
Period P&L
$-4,727.20
Max Drawdown
-43.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
22 /
17
Best Trade
+13.61%
Worst Trade
-17.18%
Avg Trade Return
-0.31%
Avg Hold Time
5.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,282,890.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,727.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,727.20
Gross Return
-15.49%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.49%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $30,515.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 2:30pm ET | $251.50 | 121 | $30,431.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $253.56 | 121 | $30,680.76 | $30,764.73 |
+$249.26 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $208.85 | 147 | $30,700.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $195.23 | 147 | $28,698.08 | $28,761.85 |
$-2,002.88 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.84 | 122 | $28,528.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $231.19 | 122 | $28,205.18 | $28,438.56 |
$-323.30 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $212.00 | 134 | $28,408.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $221.85 | 134 | $29,727.23 | $29,757.79 |
+$1,319.23 (+4.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 11:20am ET | $201.59 | 147 | $29,633.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 12:10pm ET | $205.56 | 147 | $30,217.41 | $30,341.47 |
+$583.68 (+2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:35pm ET | $164.87 | 184 | $30,336.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $162.80 | 184 | $29,955.20 | $29,960.59 |
$-380.88 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 2:25pm ET | $196.52 | 152 | $29,871.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.16 | 152 | $27,689.08 | $27,778.63 |
$-2,181.96 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $171.79 | 161 | $27,658.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $170.00 | 161 | $27,370.08 | $27,490.52 |
$-288.11 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 3:00pm ET | $177.68 | 154 | $27,362.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.02 | 154 | $27,569.85 | $27,697.65 |
+$207.13 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $151.24 | 183 | $27,676.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $149.19 | 183 | $27,301.77 | $27,322.49 |
$-375.17 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $118.44 | 230 | $27,241.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $134.56 | 230 | $30,948.80 | $31,030.25 |
+$3,707.76 (+13.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $140.23 | 221 | $30,989.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.77 | 221 | $33,762.17 | $33,802.69 |
+$2,772.44 (+8.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.42 | 220 | $33,752.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $158.85 | 220 | $34,945.90 | $34,996.19 |
+$1,193.50 (+3.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 10:50am ET | $155.45 | 225 | $34,976.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 12:00pm ET | $155.77 | 225 | $35,048.25 | $35,068.19 |
+$72.00 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 2:10pm ET | $140.91 | 248 | $34,945.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $136.79 | 248 | $33,923.92 | $34,046.43 |
$-1,021.76 (-2.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $111.00 | 306 | $33,966.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $106.59 | 306 | $32,616.39 | $32,696.79 |
$-1,349.64 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $107.06 | 305 | $32,653.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:25am ET | $98.17 | 305 | $29,941.76 | $29,985.25 |
$-2,711.54 (-8.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $116.74 | 256 | $29,885.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.37 | 256 | $26,974.72 | $27,074.20 |
$-2,911.05 (-9.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $136.55 | 198 | $27,036.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $143.17 | 198 | $28,347.66 | $28,384.96 |
+$1,310.76 (+4.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 2:30pm ET | $137.52 | 206 | $28,329.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 3:00pm ET | $138.76 | 206 | $28,583.53 | $28,639.27 |
+$254.31 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $133.23 | 214 | $28,510.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $130.95 | 214 | $28,023.30 | $28,152.42 |
$-486.85 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 3:25pm ET | $144.03 | 195 | $28,085.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $146.65 | 195 | $28,597.72 | $28,664.68 |
+$512.26 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 11:25am ET | $139.66 | 205 | $28,630.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 12:20pm ET | $141.59 | 205 | $29,025.95 | $29,060.33 |
+$395.65 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 1:15pm ET | $154.06 | 188 | $28,963.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 2:45pm ET | $153.77 | 188 | $28,908.76 | $29,005.81 |
$-54.52 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET | $121.74 | 238 | $28,974.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:40am ET | $123.39 | 238 | $29,366.82 | $29,398.53 |
+$392.72 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 2:10pm ET | $119.89 | 245 | $29,371.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 2:50pm ET | $120.46 | 245 | $29,513.58 | $29,540.29 |
+$141.76 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $111.12 | 265 | $29,446.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $109.43 | 265 | $28,998.95 | $29,092.44 |
$-447.85 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $113.43 | 256 | $29,038.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 10:50am ET | $115.12 | 256 | $29,470.70 | $29,525.06 |
+$432.62 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET | $119.82 | 246 | $29,475.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 11:55am ET | $121.33 | 246 | $29,847.18 | $29,896.52 |
+$371.46 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 11:55am ET | $113.72 | 262 | $29,795.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 1:35pm ET | $112.19 | 262 | $29,393.78 | $29,494.35 |
$-402.17 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.42 | 279 | $29,412.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $104.08 | 279 | $29,038.32 | $29,120.60 |
$-373.75 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $102.95 | 282 | $29,031.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $105.14 | 282 | $29,649.48 | $29,738.18 |
+$617.58 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 12:30pm ET | $124.80 | 238 | $29,702.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 1:15pm ET | $125.96 | 238 | $29,977.29 | $30,013.07 |
+$274.89 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $116.91 | 256 | $29,928.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 10:50am ET | $117.74 | 256 | $30,140.16 | $30,224.27 |
+$211.20 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 3:05pm ET | $122.48 | 246 | $30,131.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $101.44 | 246 | $24,955.15 | $25,048.31 |
$-5,175.96 (-17.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 1:40pm ET | $106.70 | 234 | $24,967.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:00pm ET | $108.22 | 234 | $25,323.48 | $25,404.11 |
+$355.80 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 2:40pm ET | $114.83 | 221 | $25,378.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $115.16 | 221 | $25,450.36 | $25,475.94 |
+$71.83 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $145.76 | 174 | $25,362.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $144.79 | 174 | $25,193.46 | $25,307.16 |
$-168.78 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 2:05pm ET | $141.68 | 178 | $25,218.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 2:25pm ET | $144.38 | 178 | $25,699.64 | $25,788.29 |
+$481.13 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$25,788.29
Net Profit/Loss:
+$15,788.29
Total Return:
+157.88%