SPXU Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 36 trades in period
-1.64%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,314.06
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$11,502.68
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
24
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.4/35
Total Return
9.6/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality
24.4/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 23.8
30-Day Momentum
35
+1.5%
30d Return
70%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 40.0
Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,978
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,502.68
Current Value
$11,314.06
Period P&L
$-188.53
Max Drawdown
-19.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
19 /
17
Best Trade
+2.19%
Worst Trade
-1.35%
Avg Trade Return
-0.04%
Avg Hold Time
7.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$815,086.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-188.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$-188.53
Gross Return
-1.64%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.64%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,502.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.55 | 207 | $11,498.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:35am ET | $54.84 | 207 | $11,351.88 | $11,355.62 |
$-146.97 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 2:40pm ET | $55.95 | 202 | $11,301.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 3:30pm ET | $56.52 | 202 | $11,417.04 | $11,470.76 |
+$115.14 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:35am ET | $59.36 | 193 | $11,456.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 12:05pm ET | $59.82 | 193 | $11,545.65 | $11,559.93 |
+$89.17 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.95 | 192 | $11,510.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:50am ET | $59.96 | 192 | $11,511.36 | $11,560.89 |
+$0.96 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 3:50pm ET | $55.49 | 208 | $11,542.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 10:50am ET | $55.07 | 208 | $11,454.56 | $11,472.49 |
$-88.40 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.19 | 228 | $11,443.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $51.29 | 228 | $11,694.10 | $11,723.04 |
+$250.55 (+2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:20am ET | $50.37 | 232 | $11,685.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:05pm ET | $49.69 | 232 | $11,528.08 | $11,565.28 |
$-157.76 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 3:15pm ET | $49.62 | 233 | $11,561.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $49.75 | 233 | $11,591.75 | $11,595.55 |
+$30.27 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 3:50pm ET | $48.55 | 238 | $11,554.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.91 | 238 | $11,402.58 | $11,443.85 |
$-151.70 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.38 | 246 | $11,409.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:00pm ET | $46.08 | 246 | $11,334.45 | $11,368.82 |
$-75.03 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.26 | 256 | $11,330.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $44.11 | 256 | $11,292.19 | $11,330.37 |
$-38.45 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 1:10pm ET | $43.94 | 257 | $11,292.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $44.01 | 257 | $11,310.57 | $11,348.36 |
+$17.99 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:25pm ET | $44.06 | 257 | $11,323.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:40pm ET | $44.35 | 257 | $11,397.95 | $11,422.89 |
+$74.53 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.49 | 262 | $11,394.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 1:10pm ET | $43.03 | 262 | $11,273.86 | $11,302.37 |
$-120.52 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 1:30pm ET | $42.78 | 264 | $11,295.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 2:45pm ET | $42.78 | 264 | $11,293.89 | $11,301.02 |
$-1.35 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:05pm ET | $43.31 | 260 | $11,261.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:35pm ET | $43.43 | 260 | $11,291.80 | $11,330.92 |
+$29.90 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.93 | 263 | $11,290.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $43.46 | 263 | $11,429.95 | $11,470.28 |
+$139.36 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $41.60 | 275 | $11,440.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 12:00pm ET | $41.40 | 275 | $11,385.00 | $11,415.28 |
$-55.00 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $39.73 | 287 | $11,402.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:50am ET | $39.61 | 287 | $11,368.07 | $11,380.84 |
$-34.44 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 2:15pm ET | $38.96 | 292 | $11,376.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 2:40pm ET | $39.06 | 292 | $11,404.06 | $11,408.58 |
+$27.74 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 1:20pm ET | $39.56 | 288 | $11,393.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $39.21 | 288 | $11,292.48 | $11,307.20 |
$-101.38 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $37.85 | 298 | $11,279.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 12:30pm ET | $37.42 | 298 | $11,151.19 | $11,179.09 |
$-128.11 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 1:20pm ET | $38.31 | 291 | $11,148.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 2:20pm ET | $38.40 | 291 | $11,172.95 | $11,203.82 |
+$24.73 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 3:40pm ET | $39.13 | 286 | $11,191.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $39.55 | 286 | $11,311.30 | $11,323.94 |
+$120.12 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $39.08 | 289 | $11,294.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 12:25pm ET | $38.88 | 289 | $11,236.32 | $11,266.14 |
$-57.80 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 1:10pm ET | $38.70 | 291 | $11,261.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 2:50pm ET | $38.28 | 291 | $11,140.50 | $11,144.94 |
$-121.20 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.21 | 299 | $11,124.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 11:05am ET | $37.11 | 299 | $11,095.89 | $11,116.53 |
$-28.41 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $36.82 | 301 | $11,082.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 1:35pm ET | $36.64 | 301 | $11,028.61 | $11,062.32 |
$-54.21 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 3:35pm ET | $36.24 | 305 | $11,054.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.55 | 305 | $11,147.75 | $11,155.35 |
+$93.03 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $35.92 | 310 | $11,133.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $35.95 | 310 | $11,144.50 | $11,166.20 |
+$10.85 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 1:50pm ET | $36.51 | 305 | $11,137.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 3:00pm ET | $36.60 | 305 | $11,162.94 | $11,192.06 |
+$25.86 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 3:25pm ET | $36.13 | 309 | $11,165.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 3:40pm ET | $36.20 | 309 | $11,185.80 | $11,212.15 |
+$20.09 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.23 | 293 | $11,201.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 11:30am ET | $38.29 | 293 | $11,220.43 | $11,231.19 |
+$19.04 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $40.46 | 277 | $11,207.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 10:20am ET | $40.86 | 277 | $11,318.22 | $11,341.99 |
+$110.80 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.90 | 307 | $11,326.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $36.73 | 307 | $11,276.11 | $11,291.33 |
$-50.66 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $37.17 | 303 | $11,262.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 10:25am ET | $37.24 | 303 | $11,285.23 | $11,314.06 |
+$22.73 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,314.06
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,314.06
Total Return:
+13.14%