Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:12:37

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 8.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 8.6

30-Day Momentum

9
-5.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,553.84
Current Value
$5,311.94
Period P&L
$-241.83
Max Drawdown
-42.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
18 / 19
Best Trade
+2.74%
Worst Trade
-4.12%
Avg Trade Return
-0.11%
Avg Hold Time
8.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$408,323.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-241.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$-241.83
Gross Return
-4.35%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $5,553.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 12:05pm ET $39.35 141 $5,548.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 12:35pm ET $39.78 141 $5,609.68 $5,615.08 +$61.32
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $39.42 142 $5,597.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:05am ET $40.50 142 $5,751.01 $5,768.46 +$153.37
(+2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 2:40pm ET $36.21 159 $5,758.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $36.29 159 $5,770.11 $5,780.48 +$12.02
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $38.97 148 $5,766.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 11:15am ET $38.18 148 $5,650.63 $5,664.29 $-116.19
(-2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $40.12 141 $5,656.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 2:10pm ET $39.83 141 $5,616.73 $5,624.11 $-40.18
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $40.10 140 $5,613.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $38.98 140 $5,457.02 $5,467.83 $-156.28
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $37.69 145 $5,464.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 2:35pm ET $37.79 145 $5,479.54 $5,483.04 +$15.21
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $39.03 140 $5,463.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET $38.69 140 $5,416.60 $5,436.14 $-46.90
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 11:55am ET $42.06 129 $5,426.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 1:40pm ET $41.99 129 $5,417.35 $5,427.11 $-9.03
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $41.08 132 $5,423.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:35am ET $40.87 132 $5,394.84 $5,398.73 $-28.38
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 12:20pm ET $42.94 125 $5,366.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $43.23 125 $5,403.36 $5,435.22 +$36.49
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $43.58 124 $5,404.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:00am ET $44.63 124 $5,534.12 $5,565.06 +$129.84
(+2.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:15am ET $46.55 119 $5,539.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 1:05pm ET $46.21 119 $5,498.98 $5,524.59 $-40.47
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 1:10pm ET $47.46 116 $5,505.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:15pm ET $47.01 116 $5,452.58 $5,471.81 $-52.78
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $44.30 123 $5,448.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $43.03 123 $5,292.69 $5,315.60 $-156.21
(-2.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 2:05pm ET $41.19 129 $5,313.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 2:35pm ET $41.47 129 $5,350.06 $5,352.16 +$36.56
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 3:05pm ET $37.06 144 $5,337.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $37.25 144 $5,363.99 $5,378.79 +$26.63
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $37.87 142 $5,377.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:15am ET $38.34 142 $5,443.77 $5,445.02 +$66.23
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $37.43 145 $5,427.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET $37.86 145 $5,489.70 $5,507.37 +$62.35
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:35am ET $37.24 147 $5,475.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 10:55am ET $37.28 147 $5,479.43 $5,511.78 +$4.41
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $36.31 151 $5,483.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $35.98 151 $5,432.98 $5,461.20 $-50.58
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $37.90 144 $5,457.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET $38.27 144 $5,510.22 $5,513.82 +$52.62
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $38.84 141 $5,476.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:55am ET $39.40 141 $5,555.40 $5,593.06 +$79.24
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $39.72 140 $5,561.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 2:55pm ET $39.97 140 $5,596.23 $5,627.79 +$34.73
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $39.41 142 $5,596.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $39.80 142 $5,651.60 $5,683.16 +$55.37
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $38.48 147 $5,656.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:30am ET $38.27 147 $5,625.69 $5,652.29 $-30.87
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:50pm ET $38.71 146 $5,651.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:30pm ET $38.81 146 $5,666.99 $5,667.82 +$15.53
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:20am ET $39.79 142 $5,650.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:55am ET $40.01 142 $5,681.41 $5,699.05 +$31.23
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:00am ET $38.72 147 $5,692.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 12:35pm ET $38.51 147 $5,660.98 $5,667.46 $-31.59
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $38.23 148 $5,658.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $37.93 148 $5,613.64 $5,623.06 $-44.40
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $38.87 144 $5,597.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:55am ET $39.01 144 $5,617.81 $5,643.59 +$20.53
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:35am ET $39.79 141 $5,610.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $39.38 141 $5,552.57 $5,585.78 $-57.81
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $40.02 139 $5,562.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $39.94 139 $5,552.35 $5,575.35 $-10.43
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $38.97 143 $5,572.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 11:05am ET $38.84 143 $5,554.32 $5,557.68 $-17.67
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 2:50pm ET $38.25 145 $5,545.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $36.67 145 $5,317.15 $5,329.10 $-228.58
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET $34.23 155 $5,305.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 11:00am ET $34.16 155 $5,294.65 $5,318.10 $-11.00
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $34.35 154 $5,290.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 1:40pm ET $34.31 154 $5,284.51 $5,311.94 $-6.16
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,311.94
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,688.06
Total Return: -46.88%
Back to Professor Mean