TQQQ Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 37 trades in period
+20.13%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,195.63
Current Value
76%
Win Rate
$10,151.67
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
30
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.9/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality
29.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 29.5
30-Day Momentum
78
+11.4%
30d Return
92%
Win Rate
12
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 84.7
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+49 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,977
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,151.67
Current Value
$12,195.63
Period P&L
$2,043.97
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.52
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
28 /
9
Best Trade
+3.20%
Worst Trade
-1.36%
Avg Trade Return
+0.50%
Avg Hold Time
6.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$790,059.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,043.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,043.97
Gross Return
+20.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.13%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,151.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $45.36 | 223 | $10,115.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 1:35pm ET | $44.87 | 223 | $10,004.90 | $10,041.25 |
$-110.41 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:00pm ET | $44.21 | 227 | $10,035.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $44.44 | 227 | $10,089.01 | $10,094.60 |
+$53.35 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.44 | 249 | $10,069.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $39.89 | 249 | $9,932.61 | $9,957.65 |
$-136.95 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET | $38.06 | 261 | $9,933.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $37.96 | 261 | $9,907.56 | $9,931.52 |
$-26.13 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $43.54 | 228 | $9,928.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:20pm ET | $43.30 | 228 | $9,872.97 | $9,876.23 |
$-55.29 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $43.35 | 227 | $9,840.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $43.81 | 227 | $9,944.87 | $9,980.17 |
+$103.94 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $42.67 | 233 | $9,942.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $43.74 | 233 | $10,191.12 | $10,229.18 |
+$249.01 (+2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:55am ET | $49.09 | 208 | $10,210.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 1:50pm ET | $49.03 | 208 | $10,199.28 | $10,217.74 |
$-11.44 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $52.75 | 193 | $10,180.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET | $53.07 | 193 | $10,242.45 | $10,279.44 |
+$61.70 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET | $55.88 | 183 | $10,226.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:00pm ET | $56.17 | 183 | $10,280.02 | $10,333.42 |
+$53.98 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $58.04 | 178 | $10,331.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 12:10pm ET | $57.58 | 178 | $10,250.13 | $10,252.45 |
$-80.97 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET | $57.51 | 178 | $10,237.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET | $57.92 | 178 | $10,309.76 | $10,324.54 |
+$72.09 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 3:05pm ET | $59.66 | 173 | $10,321.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:10pm ET | $59.87 | 173 | $10,357.79 | $10,361.15 |
+$36.61 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $62.15 | 166 | $10,317.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $61.71 | 166 | $10,243.86 | $10,287.28 |
$-73.87 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $60.56 | 169 | $10,234.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $60.87 | 169 | $10,287.03 | $10,339.65 |
+$52.37 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $61.04 | 169 | $10,315.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:50am ET | $61.56 | 169 | $10,403.66 | $10,427.55 |
+$87.90 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 2:45pm ET | $65.18 | 159 | $10,363.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET | $65.54 | 159 | $10,420.86 | $10,484.46 |
+$56.91 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $67.14 | 156 | $10,473.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:05pm ET | $67.36 | 156 | $10,508.94 | $10,519.86 |
+$35.40 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 11:55am ET | $72.31 | 145 | $10,485.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 2:00pm ET | $71.47 | 145 | $10,363.87 | $10,398.60 |
$-121.26 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 3:00pm ET | $76.67 | 135 | $10,350.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $76.93 | 135 | $10,385.55 | $10,433.70 |
+$35.10 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 1:10pm ET | $78.89 | 132 | $10,414.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 1:45pm ET | $79.09 | 132 | $10,439.88 | $10,459.44 |
+$25.74 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $75.18 | 139 | $10,450.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:15am ET | $75.65 | 139 | $10,515.35 | $10,524.63 |
+$65.19 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:15am ET | $71.51 | 147 | $10,512.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 11:15am ET | $72.32 | 147 | $10,631.03 | $10,642.95 |
+$118.32 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.17 | 141 | $10,598.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 10:10am ET | $75.93 | 141 | $10,706.13 | $10,750.11 |
+$107.16 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 3:15pm ET | $78.17 | 137 | $10,709.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.67 | 137 | $11,051.79 | $11,092.60 |
+$342.49 (+3.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $81.18 | 136 | $11,040.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 10:10am ET | $81.57 | 136 | $11,093.52 | $11,145.64 |
+$53.04 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 1:55pm ET | $83.96 | 132 | $11,082.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 2:30pm ET | $84.53 | 132 | $11,157.70 | $11,221.28 |
+$75.64 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 3:40pm ET | $86.25 | 130 | $11,212.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $86.20 | 130 | $11,206.00 | $11,215.07 |
$-6.21 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $86.33 | 129 | $11,136.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 12:55pm ET | $86.36 | 129 | $11,140.44 | $11,219.06 |
+$3.99 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 3:15pm ET | $85.68 | 130 | $11,137.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 3:25pm ET | $86.18 | 130 | $11,203.30 | $11,284.61 |
+$65.55 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET | $76.28 | 147 | $11,213.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.39 | 147 | $11,522.60 | $11,594.05 |
+$309.44 (+2.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $70.61 | 164 | $11,579.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $71.24 | 164 | $11,683.34 | $11,697.47 |
+$103.42 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET | $77.03 | 151 | $11,631.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $77.63 | 151 | $11,721.38 | $11,787.32 |
+$89.85 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $84.24 | 139 | $11,709.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $84.70 | 139 | $11,773.30 | $11,851.26 |
+$63.94 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 1:05pm ET | $80.48 | 147 | $11,830.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 1:55pm ET | $81.10 | 147 | $11,920.97 | $11,941.66 |
+$90.40 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 2:35pm ET | $82.75 | 144 | $11,916.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 2:55pm ET | $82.98 | 144 | $11,949.06 | $11,974.64 |
+$32.98 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.96 | 159 | $11,918.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 12:05pm ET | $76.35 | 159 | $12,139.63 | $12,195.63 |
+$220.99 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,195.63
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,195.63
Total Return:
+21.96%