TSLA Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 37 trades in period
+10.39%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,164.62
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$8,301.83
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,191
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,301.83
Current Value
$9,164.62
Period P&L
$862.73
Max Drawdown
-25.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
20 /
17
Best Trade
+4.37%
Worst Trade
-1.66%
Avg Trade Return
+0.28%
Avg Hold Time
7.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$639,631.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$862.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$862.73
Gross Return
+10.39%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.39%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,301.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $386.81 | 21 | $8,123.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 10:25am ET | $399.88 | 21 | $8,397.48 | $8,576.29 |
+$274.39 (+3.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 12:55pm ET | $413.78 | 20 | $8,275.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 3:45pm ET | $408.21 | 20 | $8,164.24 | $8,464.91 |
$-111.38 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 12:10pm ET | $402.29 | 21 | $8,448.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 1:10pm ET | $403.40 | 21 | $8,471.40 | $8,488.22 |
+$23.31 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 1:50pm ET | $398.61 | 21 | $8,370.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 2:25pm ET | $402.36 | 21 | $8,449.56 | $8,567.07 |
+$78.85 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 3:50pm ET | $392.26 | 21 | $8,237.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $409.39 | 21 | $8,597.19 | $8,926.80 |
+$359.73 (+4.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $413.51 | 21 | $8,683.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $410.64 | 21 | $8,623.44 | $8,866.53 |
$-60.27 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:35am ET | $427.41 | 20 | $8,548.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:55am ET | $429.05 | 20 | $8,580.97 | $8,899.24 |
+$32.71 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 11:10am ET | $425.74 | 20 | $8,514.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 12:25pm ET | $425.52 | 20 | $8,510.36 | $8,894.80 |
$-4.44 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 1:00pm ET | $447.75 | 19 | $8,507.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 1:35pm ET | $449.12 | 19 | $8,533.29 | $8,920.84 |
+$26.04 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $446.44 | 19 | $8,482.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:35am ET | $444.03 | 19 | $8,436.57 | $8,875.03 |
$-45.81 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 3:25pm ET | $447.26 | 19 | $8,497.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $449.36 | 19 | $8,537.84 | $8,914.93 |
+$39.90 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:35am ET | $445.07 | 20 | $8,901.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 11:20am ET | $443.11 | 20 | $8,862.20 | $8,875.73 |
$-39.20 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $475.07 | 18 | $8,551.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $467.17 | 18 | $8,409.06 | $8,733.53 |
$-142.20 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $486.02 | 17 | $8,262.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 12:20pm ET | $478.64 | 17 | $8,136.83 | $8,608.01 |
$-125.51 (-1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 2:00pm ET | $486.09 | 17 | $8,263.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 3:05pm ET | $487.02 | 17 | $8,279.34 | $8,623.82 |
+$15.81 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $480.91 | 17 | $8,175.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $494.57 | 17 | $8,407.61 | $8,855.96 |
+$232.14 (+2.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 11:25am ET | $485.66 | 18 | $8,741.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 11:30am ET | $484.43 | 18 | $8,719.72 | $8,833.81 |
$-22.14 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 10:10am ET | $479.09 | 18 | $8,623.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 11:40am ET | $478.45 | 18 | $8,612.01 | $8,822.20 |
$-11.61 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 1:10pm ET | $464.13 | 19 | $8,818.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 2:50pm ET | $463.56 | 19 | $8,807.64 | $8,811.37 |
$-10.83 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 3:10pm ET | $456.38 | 19 | $8,671.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 10:30am ET | $454.92 | 19 | $8,643.46 | $8,783.61 |
$-27.76 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 1:20pm ET | $438.55 | 20 | $8,770.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 2:20pm ET | $438.29 | 20 | $8,765.80 | $8,778.51 |
$-5.10 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:50pm ET | $452.91 | 19 | $8,605.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $451.69 | 19 | $8,582.11 | $8,755.33 |
$-23.18 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:50pm ET | $435.51 | 20 | $8,710.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:30pm ET | $436.49 | 20 | $8,729.80 | $8,774.94 |
+$19.60 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $433.23 | 20 | $8,664.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $436.91 | 20 | $8,738.20 | $8,848.54 |
+$73.60 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 3:45pm ET | $449.38 | 19 | $8,538.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $450.42 | 19 | $8,557.98 | $8,868.30 |
+$19.76 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:20pm ET | $435.32 | 20 | $8,706.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:30pm ET | $436.58 | 20 | $8,731.57 | $8,893.56 |
+$25.27 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 12:55pm ET | $438.12 | 20 | $8,762.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $439.39 | 20 | $8,787.80 | $8,918.88 |
+$25.31 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:40pm ET | $423.37 | 21 | $8,890.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $422.41 | 21 | $8,870.61 | $8,898.72 |
$-20.16 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $445.30 | 19 | $8,460.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $448.75 | 19 | $8,526.25 | $8,964.27 |
+$65.55 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 12:55pm ET | $438.16 | 20 | $8,763.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:15pm ET | $438.45 | 20 | $8,769.00 | $8,970.00 |
+$5.73 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET | $432.89 | 20 | $8,657.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:50pm ET | $435.03 | 20 | $8,700.60 | $9,012.90 |
+$42.90 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 3:25pm ET | $415.51 | 21 | $8,725.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $425.89 | 21 | $8,943.74 | $9,230.93 |
+$218.03 (+2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $415.36 | 22 | $9,137.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $421.79 | 22 | $9,279.38 | $9,372.39 |
+$141.46 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:15pm ET | $421.51 | 22 | $9,273.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 2:40pm ET | $417.04 | 22 | $9,174.77 | $9,273.94 |
$-98.45 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $398.43 | 23 | $9,163.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:15am ET | $393.34 | 23 | $9,046.82 | $9,156.87 |
$-117.07 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:55pm ET | $411.34 | 22 | $9,049.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:15pm ET | $412.68 | 22 | $9,079.07 | $9,186.46 |
+$29.59 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:45pm ET | $419.29 | 21 | $8,805.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $418.25 | 21 | $8,783.25 | $9,164.62 |
$-21.84 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,164.62
Net Profit/Loss:
$-835.38
Total Return:
-8.35%