UNH Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 41 trades in period
-3.21%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,189.03
Current Value
61%
Win Rate
$10,526.79
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
20
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
3.8/25
Win Rate
10.3/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
20.4/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 20.2
30-Day Momentum
16
-1.1%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.4
Conf: 0.98×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,526.79
Current Value
$10,189.03
Period P&L
$-337.80
Max Drawdown
-22.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
25 /
16
Best Trade
+1.05%
Worst Trade
-2.34%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
11h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$833,817.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-337.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-337.80
Gross Return
-3.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.21%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,526.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $402.83 | 26 | $10,473.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 11:20am ET | $404.64 | 26 | $10,520.51 | $10,573.76 |
+$46.93 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 12:05pm ET | $425.47 | 24 | $10,211.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 1:50pm ET | $425.00 | 24 | $10,200.00 | $10,562.48 |
$-11.28 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 3:30pm ET | $417.41 | 25 | $10,435.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $418.31 | 25 | $10,457.75 | $10,584.98 |
+$22.50 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $414.10 | 25 | $10,352.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $417.50 | 25 | $10,437.50 | $10,669.98 |
+$85.00 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 12:25pm ET | $426.73 | 25 | $10,668.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 12:40pm ET | $416.74 | 25 | $10,418.50 | $10,420.35 |
$-249.63 (-2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 1:45pm ET | $426.81 | 24 | $10,243.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 3:50pm ET | $425.32 | 24 | $10,207.68 | $10,384.59 |
$-35.76 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $427.42 | 24 | $10,258.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 11:05am ET | $428.15 | 24 | $10,275.60 | $10,402.11 |
+$17.52 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 3:35pm ET | $428.03 | 24 | $10,272.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $429.13 | 24 | $10,299.12 | $10,428.51 |
+$26.40 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $416.34 | 25 | $10,408.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:55am ET | $420.46 | 25 | $10,511.50 | $10,531.51 |
+$103.00 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 2:10pm ET | $428.43 | 24 | $10,282.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $428.75 | 24 | $10,290.00 | $10,539.07 |
+$7.56 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $423.53 | 24 | $10,164.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 11:25am ET | $422.38 | 24 | $10,137.08 | $10,511.43 |
$-27.64 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $434.06 | 24 | $10,417.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 3:25pm ET | $434.64 | 24 | $10,431.36 | $10,525.35 |
+$13.92 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 3:25pm ET | $431.79 | 24 | $10,362.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 12:10pm ET | $422.41 | 24 | $10,137.84 | $10,300.35 |
$-225.00 (-2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 2:30pm ET | $419.52 | 24 | $10,068.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 2:40pm ET | $420.18 | 24 | $10,084.32 | $10,316.07 |
+$15.72 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 3:35pm ET | $417.20 | 24 | $10,012.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 3:50pm ET | $415.92 | 24 | $9,982.08 | $10,285.29 |
$-30.78 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $425.79 | 24 | $10,218.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 11:10am ET | $426.09 | 24 | $10,226.16 | $10,292.49 |
+$7.20 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 2:30pm ET | $424.23 | 24 | $10,181.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 11:00am ET | $419.19 | 24 | $10,060.56 | $10,171.53 |
$-120.96 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 12:35pm ET | $415.35 | 24 | $9,968.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 1:25pm ET | $415.86 | 24 | $9,980.52 | $10,183.65 |
+$12.12 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 2:50pm ET | $408.90 | 24 | $9,813.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 3:45pm ET | $409.79 | 24 | $9,834.84 | $10,204.87 |
+$21.22 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 3:50pm ET | $413.45 | 24 | $9,922.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $415.40 | 24 | $9,969.60 | $10,251.67 |
+$46.80 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 3:45pm ET | $408.26 | 25 | $10,206.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $410.35 | 25 | $10,258.75 | $10,304.05 |
+$52.38 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $405.27 | 25 | $10,131.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 11:15am ET | $404.96 | 25 | $10,124.12 | $10,296.30 |
$-7.75 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $404.52 | 25 | $10,112.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 11:20am ET | $403.74 | 25 | $10,093.50 | $10,276.92 |
$-19.38 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $397.90 | 25 | $9,947.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $396.82 | 25 | $9,920.50 | $10,249.92 |
$-27.00 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 11:45am ET | $395.40 | 25 | $9,885.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 1:05pm ET | $395.70 | 25 | $9,892.62 | $10,257.54 |
+$7.62 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 2:55pm ET | $388.24 | 26 | $10,094.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $388.96 | 26 | $10,112.96 | $10,276.26 |
+$18.72 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 2:05pm ET | $396.52 | 25 | $9,913.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 2:40pm ET | $397.45 | 25 | $9,936.25 | $10,299.51 |
+$23.25 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 3:00pm ET | $396.86 | 25 | $9,921.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 3:50pm ET | $397.19 | 25 | $9,929.75 | $10,307.76 |
+$8.25 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $400.19 | 25 | $10,004.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $398.37 | 25 | $9,959.25 | $10,262.26 |
$-45.50 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $393.04 | 26 | $10,219.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $394.74 | 26 | $10,263.34 | $10,306.56 |
+$44.30 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:50am ET | $390.54 | 26 | $10,153.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 10:50am ET | $391.51 | 26 | $10,179.26 | $10,331.91 |
+$25.35 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 12:55pm ET | $394.58 | 26 | $10,259.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $395.36 | 26 | $10,279.36 | $10,352.19 |
+$20.28 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $396.31 | 26 | $10,304.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $400.46 | 26 | $10,411.96 | $10,460.09 |
+$107.90 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 3:05pm ET | $396.16 | 26 | $10,300.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $392.55 | 26 | $10,206.43 | $10,366.32 |
$-93.77 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $391.42 | 26 | $10,177.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $389.93 | 26 | $10,138.31 | $10,327.58 |
$-38.74 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 1:50pm ET | $390.68 | 26 | $10,157.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 2:30pm ET | $391.24 | 26 | $10,172.24 | $10,342.14 |
+$14.56 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 3:50pm ET | $383.51 | 26 | $9,971.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 11:50am ET | $378.13 | 26 | $9,831.38 | $10,202.26 |
$-139.88 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET | $377.30 | 27 | $10,187.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:45pm ET | $379.29 | 27 | $10,240.83 | $10,255.99 |
+$53.73 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 3:45pm ET | $376.43 | 27 | $10,163.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 10:25am ET | $375.64 | 27 | $10,142.28 | $10,234.66 |
$-21.33 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 3:30pm ET | $376.30 | 27 | $10,159.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $377.36 | 27 | $10,188.85 | $10,263.55 |
+$28.89 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $372.95 | 27 | $10,069.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.19 | 27 | $9,995.13 | $10,189.03 |
$-74.52 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,189.03
Net Profit/Loss:
+$189.03
Total Return:
+1.89%