USO Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 37 trades in period
+0.48%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,380.66
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$11,325.77
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,973
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,325.77
Current Value
$11,380.66
Period P&L
$54.90
Max Drawdown
-11.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
22 /
15
Best Trade
+1.60%
Worst Trade
-1.65%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
4.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$832,983.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$54.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$54.90
Gross Return
+0.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.48%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,325.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 2:05pm ET | $71.48 | 158 | $11,293.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 2:55pm ET | $71.61 | 158 | $11,314.38 | $11,346.31 |
+$20.54 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 2:55pm ET | $71.29 | 159 | $11,334.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 9:50am ET | $71.07 | 159 | $11,300.13 | $11,312.12 |
$-34.19 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 12:00pm ET | $70.42 | 160 | $11,267.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 12:20pm ET | $70.76 | 160 | $11,321.60 | $11,366.52 |
+$54.40 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 3:35pm ET | $70.24 | 161 | $11,308.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $69.08 | 161 | $11,121.88 | $11,179.76 |
$-186.76 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $68.95 | 162 | $11,169.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET | $68.82 | 162 | $11,148.84 | $11,158.72 |
$-21.04 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 11:35am ET | $69.18 | 161 | $11,137.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 11:40am ET | $69.48 | 161 | $11,186.28 | $11,207.02 |
+$48.30 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 11:15am ET | $70.92 | 158 | $11,205.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 12:10pm ET | $70.98 | 158 | $11,214.84 | $11,216.50 |
+$9.48 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 2:15pm ET | $70.30 | 159 | $11,177.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 3:50pm ET | $70.15 | 159 | $11,153.85 | $11,192.65 |
$-23.85 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 2:15pm ET | $71.39 | 156 | $11,136.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 3:20pm ET | $71.43 | 156 | $11,142.30 | $11,198.11 |
+$5.46 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $70.83 | 158 | $11,191.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 11:55am ET | $70.95 | 158 | $11,209.31 | $11,216.28 |
+$18.17 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 12:55pm ET | $69.70 | 160 | $11,152.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 1:15pm ET | $69.81 | 160 | $11,169.60 | $11,233.88 |
+$17.60 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $68.56 | 163 | $11,175.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 12:10pm ET | $68.65 | 163 | $11,189.95 | $11,248.83 |
+$14.95 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 1:20pm ET | $68.94 | 163 | $11,237.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 3:40pm ET | $68.83 | 163 | $11,218.48 | $11,230.08 |
$-18.74 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $66.61 | 168 | $11,190.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 11:15am ET | $66.32 | 168 | $11,141.76 | $11,181.36 |
$-48.72 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 1:50pm ET | $67.18 | 166 | $11,151.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 2:45pm ET | $67.28 | 166 | $11,168.48 | $11,197.96 |
+$16.60 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $69.67 | 160 | $11,147.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 9:40am ET | $69.53 | 160 | $11,124.00 | $11,174.76 |
$-23.20 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 10:35am ET | $70.07 | 159 | $11,141.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 11:45am ET | $70.16 | 159 | $11,155.44 | $11,189.07 |
+$14.31 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 1:05pm ET | $69.73 | 160 | $11,156.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 1:30pm ET | $69.86 | 160 | $11,177.60 | $11,209.87 |
+$20.80 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 2:20pm ET | $69.72 | 160 | $11,155.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 2:35pm ET | $69.82 | 160 | $11,171.20 | $11,225.87 |
+$16.00 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 2:35pm ET | $68.93 | 162 | $11,166.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 2:55pm ET | $69.17 | 162 | $11,205.54 | $11,264.75 |
+$38.88 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $69.73 | 161 | $11,226.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $70.32 | 161 | $11,321.52 | $11,359.74 |
+$94.99 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 11:55am ET | $67.69 | 167 | $11,303.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:55pm ET | $67.49 | 167 | $11,270.00 | $11,325.87 |
$-33.87 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 2:25pm ET | $71.15 | 159 | $11,312.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $70.89 | 159 | $11,271.51 | $11,284.53 |
$-41.34 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 12:00pm ET | $73.49 | 153 | $11,243.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 1:00pm ET | $73.62 | 153 | $11,263.86 | $11,304.42 |
+$19.89 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:00pm ET | $73.22 | 154 | $11,275.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:05pm ET | $72.50 | 154 | $11,165.00 | $11,193.54 |
$-110.88 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 3:25pm ET | $71.08 | 157 | $11,158.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.21 | 157 | $11,336.97 | $11,371.68 |
+$178.13 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:45pm ET | $72.74 | 156 | $11,347.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 2:25pm ET | $72.93 | 156 | $11,377.08 | $11,401.32 |
+$29.64 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.06 | 158 | $11,384.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $71.95 | 158 | $11,368.10 | $11,384.73 |
$-16.59 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.50 | 154 | $11,318.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 11:30am ET | $73.40 | 154 | $11,303.60 | $11,370.10 |
$-14.63 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:50am ET | $75.85 | 149 | $11,301.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:40pm ET | $76.04 | 149 | $11,329.96 | $11,398.41 |
+$28.31 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 1:30pm ET | $78.53 | 145 | $11,386.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 2:05pm ET | $79.22 | 145 | $11,486.18 | $11,497.73 |
+$99.33 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.31 | 152 | $11,447.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 11:45am ET | $75.11 | 152 | $11,416.72 | $11,467.33 |
$-30.40 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 2:00pm ET | $76.04 | 150 | $11,406.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 2:15pm ET | $76.41 | 150 | $11,461.50 | $11,522.83 |
+$55.50 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:35pm ET | $78.43 | 146 | $11,450.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 2:45pm ET | $77.79 | 146 | $11,356.61 | $11,428.66 |
$-94.17 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $77.65 | 147 | $11,415.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $76.99 | 147 | $11,316.80 | $11,330.17 |
$-98.49 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $77.63 | 145 | $11,256.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:20pm ET | $77.72 | 145 | $11,269.40 | $11,343.22 |
+$13.05 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 12:40pm ET | $78.69 | 144 | $11,331.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 1:20pm ET | $78.95 | 144 | $11,368.80 | $11,380.66 |
+$37.44 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,380.66
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,380.66
Total Return:
+13.81%