USO Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 36 trades in period
+11.18%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,569.71
Current Value
72%
Win Rate
$13,104.47
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
45
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
13.9/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
45.2/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 45.0
30-Day Momentum
36
+1.7%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 39.0
Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,104.47
Current Value
$14,569.71
Period P&L
$1,465.24
Max Drawdown
-11.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
26 /
10
Best Trade
+4.83%
Worst Trade
-1.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$997,350.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,465.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,465.24
Gross Return
+11.18%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.18%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $13,104.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $106.52 | 123 | $13,102.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 1:55pm ET | $106.96 | 123 | $13,156.08 | $13,158.53 |
+$54.06 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.65 | 124 | $13,100.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 11:40am ET | $104.82 | 124 | $12,997.67 | $13,055.60 |
$-102.93 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 2:15pm ET | $107.14 | 121 | $12,963.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $107.08 | 121 | $12,956.68 | $13,048.34 |
$-7.26 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $104.42 | 124 | $12,948.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 12:20pm ET | $103.65 | 124 | $12,853.22 | $12,953.48 |
$-94.86 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 12:20pm ET | $104.01 | 124 | $12,897.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 1:35pm ET | $104.03 | 124 | $12,899.72 | $12,955.96 |
+$2.48 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 12:40pm ET | $113.17 | 114 | $12,901.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 3:35pm ET | $111.86 | 114 | $12,752.61 | $12,807.19 |
$-148.77 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 11:50am ET | $107.61 | 119 | $12,805.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $108.22 | 119 | $12,878.18 | $12,879.78 |
+$72.59 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 11:05am ET | $117.92 | 109 | $12,853.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 11:30am ET | $119.76 | 109 | $13,053.84 | $13,080.34 |
+$200.56 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 11:20am ET | $120.06 | 108 | $12,966.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 12:15pm ET | $120.23 | 108 | $12,984.84 | $13,098.79 |
+$18.45 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 2:05pm ET | $127.94 | 102 | $13,049.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $128.44 | 102 | $13,100.88 | $13,149.79 |
+$51.00 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 3:40pm ET | $131.97 | 99 | $13,065.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $138.35 | 99 | $13,696.65 | $13,781.41 |
+$631.62 (+4.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.41 | 100 | $13,741.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 11:05am ET | $136.83 | 100 | $13,683.00 | $13,723.41 |
$-58.00 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 12:30pm ET | $125.45 | 109 | $13,673.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 1:40pm ET | $126.31 | 109 | $13,767.25 | $13,816.71 |
+$93.30 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 3:15pm ET | $128.04 | 107 | $13,700.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 3:25pm ET | $128.89 | 107 | $13,791.24 | $13,907.66 |
+$90.95 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 11:50am ET | $128.73 | 108 | $13,902.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 12:55pm ET | $129.03 | 108 | $13,935.24 | $13,940.06 |
+$32.40 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $116.51 | 119 | $13,864.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 10:55am ET | $117.34 | 119 | $13,963.46 | $14,038.83 |
+$98.77 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 1:15pm ET | $113.99 | 123 | $14,020.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 2:00pm ET | $114.56 | 123 | $14,090.88 | $14,108.94 |
+$70.11 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.65 | 119 | $14,000.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 10:05am ET | $118.67 | 119 | $14,121.73 | $14,229.89 |
+$120.95 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $124.73 | 114 | $14,219.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $125.44 | 114 | $14,300.16 | $14,310.55 |
+$80.66 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 12:55pm ET | $126.81 | 112 | $14,202.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 1:15pm ET | $127.36 | 112 | $14,264.27 | $14,372.04 |
+$61.49 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 2:00pm ET | $125.51 | 114 | $14,308.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 3:30pm ET | $124.98 | 114 | $14,247.66 | $14,311.56 |
$-60.48 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 1:45pm ET | $132.13 | 108 | $14,269.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $130.88 | 108 | $14,135.04 | $14,177.10 |
$-134.46 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $134.19 | 105 | $14,089.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 10:35am ET | $134.82 | 105 | $14,156.62 | $14,243.79 |
+$66.69 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 11:25am ET | $131.31 | 108 | $14,181.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 12:05pm ET | $132.06 | 108 | $14,262.48 | $14,324.79 |
+$81.00 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 3:40pm ET | $127.46 | 112 | $14,274.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 3:50pm ET | $126.57 | 112 | $14,175.84 | $14,225.67 |
$-99.12 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.15 | 111 | $14,224.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $128.95 | 111 | $14,313.45 | $14,314.47 |
+$88.80 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.20 | 102 | $14,198.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $140.09 | 102 | $14,289.18 | $14,405.25 |
+$90.78 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 11:30am ET | $142.12 | 101 | $14,354.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 12:50pm ET | $142.06 | 101 | $14,348.06 | $14,399.19 |
$-6.06 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 12:40pm ET | $148.59 | 96 | $14,264.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $148.85 | 96 | $14,289.60 | $14,424.04 |
+$24.85 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.61 | 94 | $14,345.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 11:00am ET | $154.02 | 94 | $14,477.87 | $14,556.57 |
+$132.53 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $157.67 | 92 | $14,505.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 11:30am ET | $159.30 | 92 | $14,656.06 | $14,706.99 |
+$150.42 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 2:20pm ET | $161.77 | 90 | $14,559.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $161.83 | 90 | $14,564.70 | $14,711.94 |
+$4.95 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.19 | 95 | $14,648.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 10:50am ET | $154.51 | 95 | $14,678.45 | $14,742.34 |
+$30.40 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 12:40pm ET | $154.18 | 95 | $14,647.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 1:45pm ET | $154.48 | 95 | $14,675.60 | $14,770.84 |
+$28.50 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 3:30pm ET | $147.99 | 99 | $14,651.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.31 | 99 | $14,385.69 | $14,505.52 |
$-265.32 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 12:50pm ET | $147.35 | 98 | $14,439.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 1:35pm ET | $148.00 | 98 | $14,504.00 | $14,569.71 |
+$64.19 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,569.71
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,569.71
Total Return:
+45.70%