UVXY Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 40 trades in period
+7.86%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,213.24
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$11,323.66
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
26
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.2/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality
26.6/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 26.4
30-Day Momentum
10
-3.5%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.6
Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,323.66
Current Value
$12,213.24
Period P&L
$889.56
Max Drawdown
-33.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
25 /
15
Best Trade
+6.96%
Worst Trade
-2.27%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
4.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$955,876.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$889.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$889.56
Gross Return
+7.86%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.86%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,323.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $27.36 | 413 | $11,299.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 11:25am ET | $27.13 | 413 | $11,204.69 | $11,228.68 |
$-94.99 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 12:10pm ET | $26.78 | 419 | $11,220.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 12:35pm ET | $27.23 | 419 | $11,409.37 | $11,417.23 |
+$188.55 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.20 | 435 | $11,399.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $25.98 | 435 | $11,301.30 | $11,319.35 |
$-97.88 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $25.54 | 443 | $11,314.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $25.53 | 443 | $11,312.00 | $11,317.14 |
$-2.22 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 12:00pm ET | $24.82 | 455 | $11,293.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 12:45pm ET | $24.87 | 455 | $11,315.85 | $11,339.89 |
+$22.75 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.06 | 471 | $11,332.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $24.08 | 471 | $11,339.33 | $11,346.96 |
+$7.07 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 11:55am ET | $24.17 | 469 | $11,335.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:30pm ET | $23.65 | 469 | $11,091.85 | $11,103.08 |
$-243.88 (-2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $24.42 | 454 | $11,084.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $24.60 | 454 | $11,168.35 | $11,187.02 |
+$83.94 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 12:40pm ET | $23.23 | 481 | $11,171.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 1:20pm ET | $23.33 | 481 | $11,224.13 | $11,239.93 |
+$52.91 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.89 | 470 | $11,228.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $23.66 | 470 | $11,120.20 | $11,131.83 |
$-108.10 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $23.30 | 477 | $11,114.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $23.52 | 477 | $11,219.04 | $11,236.77 |
+$104.94 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 11:55am ET | $24.78 | 453 | $11,225.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 12:20pm ET | $25.28 | 453 | $11,451.84 | $11,463.27 |
+$226.50 (+2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.07 | 476 | $11,457.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 12:45pm ET | $23.57 | 476 | $11,216.94 | $11,222.89 |
$-240.38 (-2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 3:25pm ET | $23.78 | 471 | $11,202.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.44 | 471 | $11,982.24 | $12,002.40 |
+$779.51 (+7.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.28 | 474 | $11,982.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 10:40am ET | $25.37 | 474 | $12,025.38 | $12,045.06 |
+$42.66 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 2:55pm ET | $24.86 | 484 | $12,032.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.07 | 484 | $12,133.88 | $12,146.26 |
+$101.20 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 12:55pm ET | $25.73 | 472 | $12,142.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 3:15pm ET | $25.14 | 472 | $11,866.08 | $11,870.14 |
$-276.12 (-2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.84 | 497 | $11,848.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET | $24.45 | 497 | $12,154.13 | $12,175.79 |
+$305.65 (+2.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.42 | 542 | $12,154.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 10:05am ET | $22.81 | 542 | $12,360.31 | $12,381.75 |
+$205.96 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 2:00pm ET | $22.17 | 558 | $12,373.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.20 | 558 | $12,387.66 | $12,395.76 |
+$14.01 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 2:20pm ET | $21.50 | 576 | $12,384.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 2:40pm ET | $21.59 | 576 | $12,438.72 | $12,450.48 |
+$54.72 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 10:50am ET | $21.33 | 583 | $12,432.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 11:35am ET | $21.41 | 583 | $12,482.03 | $12,500.03 |
+$49.55 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 12:05pm ET | $20.70 | 603 | $12,485.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $20.31 | 603 | $12,246.93 | $12,261.84 |
$-238.19 (-1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $20.23 | 606 | $12,260.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 11:15am ET | $20.35 | 606 | $12,335.13 | $12,336.86 |
+$75.02 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 3:30pm ET | $20.36 | 605 | $12,317.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $20.50 | 605 | $12,402.50 | $12,421.62 |
+$84.76 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 12:40pm ET | $19.80 | 627 | $12,411.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 1:15pm ET | $19.91 | 627 | $12,483.51 | $12,493.66 |
+$72.04 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:20pm ET | $19.40 | 644 | $12,490.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $19.48 | 644 | $12,545.12 | $12,548.40 |
+$54.74 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 11:05am ET | $19.15 | 655 | $12,543.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 12:55pm ET | $19.08 | 655 | $12,497.40 | $12,502.55 |
$-45.85 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 1:25pm ET | $18.87 | 662 | $12,491.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 2:40pm ET | $18.90 | 662 | $12,511.80 | $12,522.41 |
+$19.86 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $18.26 | 685 | $12,511.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.34 | 685 | $12,562.97 | $12,573.85 |
+$51.44 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 12:10pm ET | $18.19 | 691 | $12,569.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 2:25pm ET | $18.16 | 691 | $12,548.56 | $12,553.12 |
$-20.73 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.57 | 676 | $12,549.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $18.28 | 676 | $12,357.28 | $12,360.46 |
$-192.66 (-1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 12:10pm ET | $17.64 | 700 | $12,348.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 1:25pm ET | $17.66 | 700 | $12,362.00 | $12,374.46 |
+$14.00 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.29 | 676 | $12,364.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $18.08 | 676 | $12,218.70 | $12,229.12 |
$-145.34 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 11:35am ET | $18.31 | 668 | $12,227.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 1:15pm ET | $18.24 | 668 | $12,180.98 | $12,182.36 |
$-46.76 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.00 | 676 | $12,168.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $17.98 | 676 | $12,151.10 | $12,165.46 |
$-16.90 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $17.53 | 694 | $12,164.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 11:00am ET | $17.59 | 694 | $12,210.93 | $12,211.61 |
+$46.15 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 3:05pm ET | $17.56 | 695 | $12,204.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 3:30pm ET | $17.63 | 695 | $12,252.85 | $12,260.26 |
+$48.65 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $17.38 | 705 | $12,249.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.17 | 705 | $12,101.33 | $12,112.21 |
$-148.05 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET | $17.13 | 707 | $12,107.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $17.27 | 707 | $12,208.41 | $12,213.24 |
+$101.03 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,213.24
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,213.24
Total Return:
+22.13%