Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:48:44

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.3 neutral
20d Trend
+0.4%
5d Trend
+2.5%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
2.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
2.7/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 16.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 16.4

30-Day Momentum

22
+0.5%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 23.7 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,954.04
Current Value
$10,142.71
Period P&L
$188.70
Max Drawdown
-5.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
21 / 16
Best Trade
+1.64%
Worst Trade
-1.48%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
7.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$732,064.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$188.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$188.70
Gross Return
+1.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 V Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,954.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $332.26 29 $9,635.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:35am ET $332.82 29 $9,651.64 $9,970.09 +$16.09
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $335.01 29 $9,715.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $340.51 29 $9,874.65 $10,129.44 +$159.35
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $340.47 29 $9,873.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:35am ET $339.94 29 $9,858.26 $10,114.07 $-15.37
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:35am ET $341.85 29 $9,913.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:00am ET $343.68 29 $9,966.86 $10,167.29 +$53.21
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $356.55 28 $9,983.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET $351.27 28 $9,835.56 $10,019.45 $-147.84
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:05am ET $351.40 28 $9,839.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 1:15pm ET $350.53 28 $9,814.84 $9,994.95 $-24.50
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $345.98 28 $9,687.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 11:40am ET $347.71 28 $9,735.88 $10,043.39 +$48.44
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 3:30pm ET $357.02 28 $9,996.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $357.76 28 $10,017.28 $10,064.25 +$20.86
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $350.99 28 $9,827.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:00am ET $355.79 28 $9,962.12 $10,198.65 +$134.40
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:05am ET $359.07 28 $10,053.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 11:30am ET $358.89 28 $10,048.92 $10,193.61 $-5.04
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 12:55pm ET $361.08 28 $10,110.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 1:25pm ET $361.97 28 $10,135.16 $10,218.53 +$24.92
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 1:30pm ET $357.57 28 $10,011.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:10pm ET $357.35 28 $10,005.87 $10,212.44 $-6.09
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 3:20pm ET $352.84 28 $9,879.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $353.43 28 $9,896.04 $10,228.90 +$16.46
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 3:00pm ET $362.46 28 $10,148.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $363.81 28 $10,186.68 $10,266.70 +$37.80
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 1:25pm ET $371.56 27 $10,032.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 1:30pm ET $369.96 27 $9,988.92 $10,223.50 $-43.20
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $362.85 28 $10,159.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $361.26 28 $10,115.14 $10,178.84 $-44.66
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 12:30pm ET $364.70 27 $9,846.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 1:25pm ET $365.42 27 $9,866.34 $10,198.28 +$19.44
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:20am ET $367.04 27 $9,909.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 12:15pm ET $367.94 27 $9,934.38 $10,222.71 +$24.43
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $367.40 27 $9,919.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 3:35pm ET $363.15 27 $9,805.05 $10,107.96 $-114.75
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 3:00pm ET $362.57 27 $9,789.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $360.75 27 $9,740.25 $10,058.95 $-49.01
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 10:35am ET $363.54 27 $9,815.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 11:15am ET $364.11 27 $9,830.97 $10,074.34 +$15.39
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $360.20 27 $9,725.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:40am ET $360.53 27 $9,734.31 $10,083.25 +$8.91
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 2:35pm ET $368.13 27 $9,939.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:50am ET $367.74 27 $9,928.98 $10,072.72 $-10.53
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $370.43 27 $10,001.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 2:45pm ET $370.00 27 $9,990.00 $10,060.98 $-11.74
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $380.42 26 $9,890.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:05am ET $380.75 26 $9,899.50 $10,069.56 +$8.58
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 3:35pm ET $381.63 26 $9,922.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $380.01 26 $9,880.26 $10,027.44 $-42.12
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $378.76 26 $9,847.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:10am ET $380.23 26 $9,886.11 $10,065.79 +$38.35
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $378.58 26 $9,843.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $378.63 26 $9,844.38 $10,067.09 +$1.30
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $376.34 26 $9,784.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:25am ET $374.40 26 $9,734.53 $10,016.70 $-50.39
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $367.57 27 $9,924.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 1:40pm ET $368.58 27 $9,951.66 $10,043.97 +$27.27
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $366.29 27 $9,889.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 10:55am ET $366.72 27 $9,901.44 $10,055.58 +$11.61
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:50pm ET $374.96 26 $9,749.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $374.80 26 $9,744.80 $10,051.29 $-4.29
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $374.83 26 $9,745.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:45am ET $373.99 26 $9,723.86 $10,029.44 $-21.85
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $370.71 27 $10,009.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:20am ET $369.80 27 $9,984.60 $10,004.87 $-24.57
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19h held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 2:15pm ET $367.26 27 $9,916.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:30pm ET $368.24 27 $9,942.48 $10,031.33 +$26.46
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $361.31 27 $9,755.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:35am ET $364.36 27 $9,837.59 $10,113.55 +$82.22
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $364.53 27 $9,842.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:25pm ET $365.61 27 $9,871.47 $10,142.71 +$29.16
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,142.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$142.71
Total Return: +1.43%
Back to Professor Mean