Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-23 14:38:51

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
47.3 neutral
20d Trend
+0.4%
5d Trend
+2.5%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
2.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 12.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 12.4

30-Day Momentum

15
-0.0%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 17.5 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,976
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,187.57
Current Value
$9,958.06
Period P&L
$-229.47
Max Drawdown
-5.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
21 / 16
Best Trade
+1.06%
Worst Trade
-1.51%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
6.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$735,178.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-229.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-229.47
Gross Return
-2.25%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 V Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,187.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $302.78 33 $9,991.74
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:40am ET $303.21 33 $10,006.09 $10,201.88 +$14.35
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 2:50pm ET $304.65 33 $10,053.45
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $305.20 33 $10,071.60 $10,220.03 +$18.15
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $303.19 33 $10,005.27
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:05am ET $298.61 33 $9,854.29 $10,069.05 $-150.98
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $298.88 33 $9,863.04
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $299.37 33 $9,879.21 $10,085.22 +$16.17
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $301.46 33 $9,948.18
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $304.65 33 $10,053.45 $10,190.49 +$105.27
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $297.17 34 $10,103.78
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:25am ET $298.51 34 $10,149.17 $10,235.88 +$45.39
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $302.94 33 $9,997.02
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $303.48 33 $10,014.68 $10,253.54 +$17.66
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $301.34 34 $10,245.56
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $302.63 34 $10,289.42 $10,297.40 +$43.86
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $308.05 33 $10,165.49
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $304.89 33 $10,061.37 $10,193.29 $-104.11
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $306.75 33 $10,122.87
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:10am ET $306.40 33 $10,111.20 $10,181.62 $-11.67
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:00am ET $315.48 32 $10,095.52
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET $315.65 32 $10,100.80 $10,186.90 +$5.28
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $317.17 32 $10,149.40
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:50pm ET $316.81 32 $10,137.92 $10,175.42 $-11.48
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET $308.95 32 $9,886.40
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:00am ET $310.47 32 $9,935.04 $10,224.06 +$48.64
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $305.79 33 $10,091.07
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $306.32 33 $10,108.40 $10,241.38 +$17.32
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $307.08 33 $10,133.64
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $309.80 33 $10,223.40 $10,331.14 +$89.76
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:05pm ET $312.27 33 $10,304.91
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $311.58 33 $10,282.17 $10,308.40 $-22.74
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 3:30pm ET $335.63 30 $10,068.90
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $331.33 30 $9,940.05 $10,179.55 $-128.85
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
18 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $331.36 30 $9,940.65
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $329.34 30 $9,880.20 $10,119.10 $-60.45
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
19 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $324.17 31 $10,049.27
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:55am ET $322.95 31 $10,011.30 $10,081.12 $-37.98
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
20 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:10am ET $320.36 31 $9,931.09
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $318.77 31 $9,881.87 $10,031.90 $-49.22
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
21 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $319.94 31 $9,918.14
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:55am ET $318.39 31 $9,870.09 $9,983.85 $-48.05
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
22 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 3:05pm ET $323.26 30 $9,697.65
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 3:25pm ET $324.07 30 $9,722.10 $10,008.30 +$24.45
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
23 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 3:45pm ET $326.60 30 $9,798.00
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $322.70 30 $9,681.00 $9,891.30 $-117.00
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
24 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $325.64 30 $9,769.20
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $326.08 30 $9,782.40 $9,904.50 +$13.20
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
25 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:25am ET $331.82 29 $9,622.64
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 1:40pm ET $330.95 29 $9,597.41 $9,879.28 $-25.22
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
26 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $328.42 30 $9,852.45
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 10:10am ET $330.24 30 $9,907.20 $9,934.03 +$54.75
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
27 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 12:25pm ET $329.15 30 $9,874.50
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:05pm ET $330.02 30 $9,900.45 $9,959.98 +$25.95
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
28 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $328.93 30 $9,868.05
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 1:45pm ET $329.24 30 $9,877.20 $9,969.13 +$9.15
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
29 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:30pm ET $330.00 30 $9,900.00
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:25pm ET $330.58 30 $9,917.25 $9,986.38 +$17.25
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $319.55 31 $9,906.05
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 12:10pm ET $316.33 31 $9,806.38 $9,886.72 $-99.66
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $319.55 31 $9,906.05
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $318.21 31 $9,864.51 $9,845.18 $-41.54
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2d held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $321.18 30 $9,635.55
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:00am ET $321.42 30 $9,642.60 $9,852.23 +$7.05
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET $322.97 30 $9,689.10
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:55am ET $324.92 30 $9,747.60 $9,910.73 +$58.50
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $318.64 31 $9,877.99
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $320.33 31 $9,930.08 $9,962.81 +$52.08
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:55pm ET $324.82 30 $9,744.60
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:15pm ET $324.61 30 $9,738.33 $9,956.54 $-6.27
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $333.31 29 $9,665.99
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:20pm ET $332.54 29 $9,643.66 $9,934.21 $-22.33
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $327.68 30 $9,830.55
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $328.48 30 $9,854.40 $9,958.06 +$23.85
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,958.06
Net Profit/Loss: $-41.94
Total Return: -0.42%
Back to Professor Mean