VOO Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 38 trades in period
-0.30%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,231.53
Current Value
61%
Win Rate
$11,264.93
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.18%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
35.8 neutral
20d Trend
-2.8%
5d Trend
-2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
50%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026
35
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.6/35
Total Return
9.3/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
7.6/10
Raw Quality
35.3/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 35.2
30-Day Momentum
10
-0.6%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,264.93
Current Value
$11,231.53
Period P&L
$-33.36
Max Drawdown
-5.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
23 /
15
Best Trade
+0.72%
Worst Trade
-0.86%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
5.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$826,413.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-33.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$-33.36
Gross Return
-0.30%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.30%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VOO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,264.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $668.99 | 16 | $10,703.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 10:05am ET | $673.72 | 16 | $10,779.52 | $11,340.52 |
+$75.63 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $686.06 | 16 | $10,976.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $682.56 | 16 | $10,920.96 | $11,284.52 |
$-56.00 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 1:45pm ET | $689.27 | 16 | $11,028.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 2:05pm ET | $690.05 | 16 | $11,040.80 | $11,297.00 |
+$12.48 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:50pm ET | $687.66 | 16 | $11,002.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $687.32 | 16 | $10,997.12 | $11,291.56 |
$-5.44 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 2:55pm ET | $690.23 | 16 | $11,043.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 3:40pm ET | $690.58 | 16 | $11,049.20 | $11,297.07 |
+$5.51 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $692.53 | 16 | $11,080.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 2:40pm ET | $689.22 | 16 | $11,027.52 | $11,244.03 |
$-53.04 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 12:00pm ET | $691.26 | 16 | $11,060.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 1:00pm ET | $691.16 | 16 | $11,058.56 | $11,242.43 |
$-1.60 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 1:40pm ET | $690.55 | 16 | $11,048.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $690.09 | 16 | $11,041.44 | $11,235.07 |
$-7.36 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $684.40 | 16 | $10,950.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 2:00pm ET | $684.63 | 16 | $10,954.08 | $11,238.75 |
+$3.68 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 2:10pm ET | $687.69 | 16 | $11,003.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 2:40pm ET | $688.04 | 16 | $11,008.64 | $11,244.35 |
+$5.60 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 3:30pm ET | $687.28 | 16 | $10,996.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $681.38 | 16 | $10,902.09 | $11,149.96 |
$-94.39 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 12:45pm ET | $681.26 | 16 | $10,900.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 1:30pm ET | $682.14 | 16 | $10,914.16 | $11,163.96 |
+$14.00 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:55am ET | $676.90 | 16 | $10,830.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $678.59 | 16 | $10,857.44 | $11,191.00 |
+$27.04 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 11:50am ET | $674.18 | 16 | $10,786.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 12:45pm ET | $674.49 | 16 | $10,791.84 | $11,195.96 |
+$4.96 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET | $678.88 | 16 | $10,862.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 10:45am ET | $681.67 | 16 | $10,906.72 | $11,240.68 |
+$44.72 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $708.14 | 15 | $10,622.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $709.03 | 15 | $10,635.52 | $11,254.10 |
+$13.42 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 12:30pm ET | $708.97 | 15 | $10,634.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 1:40pm ET | $709.95 | 15 | $10,649.25 | $11,268.80 |
+$14.70 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 1:00pm ET | $708.77 | 15 | $10,631.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 1:50pm ET | $708.96 | 15 | $10,634.33 | $11,271.65 |
+$2.85 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 3:50pm ET | $710.14 | 15 | $10,652.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $711.73 | 15 | $10,675.95 | $11,295.50 |
+$23.85 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $712.59 | 15 | $10,688.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $712.79 | 15 | $10,691.91 | $11,298.51 |
+$3.01 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 2:00pm ET | $705.54 | 16 | $11,288.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 2:20pm ET | $706.23 | 16 | $11,299.76 | $11,309.55 |
+$11.04 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 3:50pm ET | $706.29 | 16 | $11,300.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $704.28 | 16 | $11,268.40 | $11,277.31 |
$-32.24 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 1:35pm ET | $703.73 | 16 | $11,259.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 2:50pm ET | $703.86 | 16 | $11,261.84 | $11,279.47 |
+$2.16 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 1:25pm ET | $703.01 | 16 | $11,248.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 2:30pm ET | $703.55 | 16 | $11,256.80 | $11,288.11 |
+$8.64 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 2:05pm ET | $708.36 | 15 | $10,625.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 3:30pm ET | $707.84 | 15 | $10,617.53 | $11,280.17 |
$-7.94 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $704.48 | 16 | $11,271.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 11:15am ET | $703.92 | 16 | $11,262.72 | $11,271.21 |
$-8.96 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 12:30pm ET | $700.19 | 16 | $11,203.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 2:40pm ET | $698.37 | 16 | $11,173.92 | $11,242.09 |
$-29.12 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 3:25pm ET | $710.75 | 15 | $10,661.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $709.68 | 15 | $10,645.20 | $11,226.04 |
$-16.05 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $706.51 | 15 | $10,597.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $705.84 | 15 | $10,587.53 | $11,215.92 |
$-10.12 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $700.63 | 16 | $11,210.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 12:35pm ET | $700.60 | 16 | $11,209.60 | $11,215.44 |
$-0.48 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $696.22 | 16 | $11,139.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 12:45pm ET | $697.70 | 16 | $11,163.20 | $11,239.12 |
+$23.68 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 3:10pm ET | $702.88 | 15 | $10,543.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $697.72 | 15 | $10,465.73 | $11,161.65 |
$-77.47 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $698.86 | 15 | $10,482.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 11:40am ET | $696.25 | 15 | $10,443.74 | $11,122.49 |
$-39.16 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET | $696.30 | 15 | $10,444.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $701.34 | 15 | $10,520.10 | $11,198.09 |
+$75.60 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:55am ET | $700.25 | 15 | $10,503.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 11:00am ET | $700.37 | 15 | $10,505.54 | $11,199.88 |
+$1.79 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 11:30am ET | $712.33 | 15 | $10,684.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 12:10pm ET | $712.69 | 15 | $10,690.35 | $11,205.28 |
+$5.40 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 12:50pm ET | $706.90 | 15 | $10,603.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $708.17 | 15 | $10,622.55 | $11,224.33 |
+$19.05 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2026 2:40pm ET | $710.08 | 15 | $10,651.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2026 2:45pm ET | $710.56 | 15 | $10,658.40 | $11,231.53 |
+$7.20 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,231.53
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,231.53
Total Return:
+12.32%