VOO Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 39 trades in period
+2.56%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,288.09
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$11,005.95
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
35.8 neutral
20d Trend
-2.8%
5d Trend
-2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
50%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
36
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
8.0/35
Total Return
9.5/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
8.0/10
Raw Quality
36.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 36.3
30-Day Momentum
30
+1.0%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.9
Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,978
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,005.95
Current Value
$11,288.09
Period P&L
$282.18
Max Drawdown
-5.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
24 /
15
Best Trade
+0.57%
Worst Trade
-0.49%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
5.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$848,168.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$282.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$282.18
Gross Return
+2.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.56%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VOO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,005.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $600.29 | 18 | $10,805.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:45am ET | $602.62 | 18 | $10,847.16 | $11,047.85 |
+$41.94 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:00pm ET | $605.07 | 18 | $10,891.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $605.71 | 18 | $10,902.78 | $11,059.46 |
+$11.61 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $590.37 | 18 | $10,626.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $588.90 | 18 | $10,600.20 | $11,033.00 |
$-26.46 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET | $581.68 | 18 | $10,470.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $580.44 | 18 | $10,447.92 | $11,010.68 |
$-22.32 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $603.65 | 18 | $10,865.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:20pm ET | $602.71 | 18 | $10,848.77 | $10,993.75 |
$-16.93 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $603.00 | 18 | $10,854.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET | $604.35 | 18 | $10,878.30 | $11,018.05 |
+$24.30 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $602.36 | 18 | $10,842.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $604.92 | 18 | $10,888.56 | $11,064.04 |
+$45.99 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $625.34 | 17 | $10,630.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 1:45pm ET | $624.41 | 17 | $10,614.95 | $11,048.29 |
$-15.75 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $636.41 | 17 | $10,818.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:10pm ET | $637.47 | 17 | $10,837.07 | $11,066.40 |
+$18.11 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $642.26 | 17 | $10,918.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $643.38 | 17 | $10,937.46 | $11,085.53 |
+$19.13 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $651.67 | 17 | $11,078.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $652.28 | 17 | $11,088.81 | $11,095.95 |
+$10.42 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $650.26 | 17 | $11,054.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 12:35pm ET | $650.04 | 17 | $11,050.76 | $11,092.29 |
$-3.66 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $651.77 | 17 | $11,080.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 2:10pm ET | $650.97 | 17 | $11,066.49 | $11,078.65 |
$-13.64 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $655.18 | 16 | $10,482.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $656.35 | 16 | $10,501.60 | $11,097.37 |
+$18.72 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $653.37 | 16 | $10,453.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 10:20am ET | $653.76 | 16 | $10,460.15 | $11,103.60 |
+$6.23 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET | $663.22 | 16 | $10,611.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET | $663.89 | 16 | $10,622.24 | $11,114.32 |
+$10.72 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 3:50pm ET | $665.59 | 16 | $10,649.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $669.34 | 16 | $10,709.44 | $11,174.32 |
+$60.00 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 12:00pm ET | $674.38 | 16 | $10,790.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 2:15pm ET | $672.67 | 16 | $10,762.72 | $11,146.96 |
$-27.36 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 2:50pm ET | $677.53 | 16 | $10,840.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 3:40pm ET | $677.72 | 16 | $10,843.52 | $11,150.08 |
+$3.12 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $677.19 | 16 | $10,835.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 1:05pm ET | $673.84 | 16 | $10,781.44 | $11,096.48 |
$-53.60 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.6h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $682.46 | 16 | $10,919.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $684.30 | 16 | $10,948.80 | $11,125.92 |
+$29.44 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $681.38 | 16 | $10,902.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $680.30 | 16 | $10,884.80 | $11,108.64 |
$-17.28 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $678.89 | 16 | $10,862.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:55am ET | $681.23 | 16 | $10,899.76 | $11,146.16 |
+$37.52 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 2:30pm ET | $676.51 | 16 | $10,824.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $676.22 | 16 | $10,819.52 | $11,141.52 |
$-4.64 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $678.64 | 16 | $10,858.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 10:05am ET | $680.59 | 16 | $10,889.44 | $11,172.80 |
+$31.28 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 3:20pm ET | $686.00 | 16 | $10,976.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $689.91 | 16 | $11,038.56 | $11,235.36 |
+$62.56 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $689.69 | 16 | $11,035.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $688.95 | 16 | $11,023.20 | $11,223.52 |
$-11.84 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 1:55pm ET | $694.80 | 16 | $11,116.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 2:30pm ET | $695.60 | 16 | $11,129.60 | $11,236.32 |
+$12.80 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 3:40pm ET | $697.98 | 16 | $11,167.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $696.00 | 16 | $11,136.00 | $11,204.65 |
$-31.67 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $697.20 | 16 | $11,155.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $695.55 | 16 | $11,128.80 | $11,178.25 |
$-26.40 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $691.38 | 16 | $11,062.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 10:20am ET | $693.41 | 16 | $11,094.56 | $11,210.73 |
+$32.48 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 11:20am ET | $687.61 | 16 | $11,001.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 1:35pm ET | $684.89 | 16 | $10,958.16 | $11,167.13 |
$-43.60 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET | $680.05 | 16 | $10,880.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $683.64 | 16 | $10,938.24 | $11,224.57 |
+$57.44 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $673.03 | 16 | $10,768.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $672.45 | 16 | $10,759.12 | $11,215.13 |
$-9.44 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET | $680.62 | 16 | $10,889.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $681.81 | 16 | $10,908.96 | $11,234.17 |
+$19.04 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $693.11 | 16 | $11,089.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $694.48 | 16 | $11,111.68 | $11,256.09 |
+$21.92 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 1:05pm ET | $689.04 | 16 | $11,024.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 1:55pm ET | $689.88 | 16 | $11,038.08 | $11,269.53 |
+$13.44 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:10pm ET | $687.13 | 16 | $10,994.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 3:35pm ET | $688.00 | 16 | $11,008.00 | $11,283.45 |
+$13.92 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $675.93 | 16 | $10,814.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $676.22 | 16 | $10,819.52 | $11,288.09 |
+$4.64 (+0.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,288.09
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,288.09
Total Return:
+12.88%